Friday 11-2-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, November 2

Clippers lost three of their four road games (1-3 as AU). LA’s last four games all went over the total. Orlando lost last three and five of last six games; they’re 1-3 at home, 1-2 as home underdogs. Under is 5-2 in their games. Clippers won their last nine games with Orlando, but Magic covered three of last four. LA is 3-1 vs spread in their last four visits here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Houston lost its last four games, is off to a 1-5 start; they’re 1-1 on road (1-1 as AF). Over is 4-2 in their games. Brooklyn lost three of its last four games; they’re 2-1 at home- underdogs covered all three of those games. Nets lost their last four games with Houston, but Brooklyn covered six of last seven; Rockets are 2-3 vs spread in last five games in Barclays Center. Four of last five series games went over total.

OKC won its last three games after an 0-3 start; they’re 1-2 on road, 2-1 as road dogs. Over is 4-3 in their games this season. Washington lost its last four games and six of last seven; Wizards are 0-2 at home (0-1 as HF). Over is 5-2 in their games. Home side won eight of last ten Thunder-Wizard games; OKC won six of last eight series games, but is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.

Indiana won three of its last four games; they won last three road games, are 2-0 as AF. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Bulls is off to a 2-6 start; they’re 3-1 vs spread as home underdogs. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Home side won seven of last eight Indiana-Chicago games; Pacers won four of last five series games, but are 1-3 vs spread in last four trips to the Windy City. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

New York lost six of its last seven games; they’re 2-1 vs spread as AU. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Mavericks lost their last five games; Dallas is 2-1 at home, 1-0 as HF; over is 4-3 in their games this year. Knicks lost seven of last nine games with Dallas (5-4 vs spread); they covered four of their last five visits here. Last five series games stayed under the total.

Memphis won four of its last five games; they’re 1-2 on road, 1-1 as road underdogs. Under is 4-2 in their games this year. Jazz won three of its last four games; they’re 0-2 SU at hoe, 0-1 as HF. Over is 5-2 in their games this season. Road team won six of last eight Memphis-Utah games; Jazz won three of last four. Grizzlies covered their last four visits to Utah. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games.

Toronto is off to a 7-1 start; they split their two road games (1-1 as AF). Over is 6-1-1 in Raptor games this season. Phoenix lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread); they’re 1-2 vs spread as home underdogs.. Three of their last four games went over the total. Raptors won their last two games with Phoenix after losing six of previous eight; Suns covered last ten series games (over 7-3).

Minnesota is 0-3 on road (1-1 as AU) losing by 4-4-7 points; over is 6-2 in their games this year. Golden State won its last won its last six games (5-1 vs spread); they’re 3-1 as home favorites. Last five Warrior games went over the total. Home side won last five Minnesota-Golden State games; Timberwolves are 0-2-1 vs spread in last three visits to Oakland, losing by 14-24-13 points. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Friday, November 2

Trend Report

LA Clippers @ Orlando
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando

Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 9 games

Houston @ Brooklyn
Houston
Houston is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing Brooklyn
Houston is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn

Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston

Indiana @ Chicago
Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Chicago

Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Indiana

Oklahoma City @ Washington
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 11 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington

Washington
Washington is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Washington is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

New York @ Dallas
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Dallas
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas

Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing New York
Dallas is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against New York

Memphis @ Utah
Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road

Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games

Toronto @ Phoenix
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 9 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto

Minnesota @ Golden State
Minnesota
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games

Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - Minnesota at Golden State (-11, 239), ESPN, 10:35 ET

Derrick Rose playing at an MVP level for even one night, especially right before this nationally televised matchup, serves to spice it up even more.

After scoring 50 points to fuel an upset of Utah despite the absence of starting guards Jimmy Butler and Jeff Teague, Rose will return to his role off the bench as we get to see an experiment unfold. More accurately, said experiment is more fantasy than anything else.

How good can the Timberwolves be if they weren’t torn apart?

Butler, looking forward to a showcase game against the Warriors to build on his own personal momentum after shooting 6-for-7 from 3-point range in Monday’s 124-120 upset of the Lakers, still wants out. An upset of Golden State won’t change that.

Sooner than later, Minnesota will realize it has no other recourse but to strike a deal with the Rockets, Heat or some other team looking to bring Butler into the fold. At that point, Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins will again return to being the franchise’s focal points, while Rose will look to continue his career resurgence as he takes aim at the NBA’s Sixth Man of the Year award.

The Timberwolves’ ceiling for this season will depend on what other pieces they can acquire in exchange for Butler, with making the playoffs as a No. 8 seed again on the high end of expectations. More likely, they’ll take a step backwards.

Butler’s work on the defensive end and the attention he commands should make life easier for teammates, which is why matchups like tonight become statement games for him. He wants to be viewed as the missing piece and aims to be paid that way too. This is probably his last shot at a lucrative long-term deal, which is why it cut him so deeply that Minnesota prioritized taking care of Wiggins and Towns over him despite his on-court importance.

Already this season, Butler has heard boos from fans at Target Center and ultimately turned those into MVP chants by helping take down Cleveland with a season-best 33 points in the home opener. He’s matched up with LeBron James, Kawhi Leonard, Giannis Antetokounmpo, DeMar DeRozan and Victor Oladipo. Add the Warriors’ big guns to the list tonight.

There’s no concern that Butler won’t bring the requisite intensity level for the Timberwolves to be successful despite the fact he’s not all in. It simply remains to be seen how Rose hits in since he’ll be asked to play a different role with Butler back in the mix but could also be forced to start since fellow point guards Jeff Teague (knee) and Tyus Jones (foot) are questionable.

Rose shot 19-for-31 and hit four 3-pointers in a game for the first time since 2015, helping him get wherever he wanted. He dribbled around more looking for his own shot a lot more than he’ll be able to tonight with Butler back, but there’s no question he can remain effective and continue taking steps forward despite the uncertainty under Tom Thibodeau prevailing for at least another night. He’s not going to be sneaking up on anybody, which serves to make this matchup all the more intriguing since there’s no chance the defending champs won’t be engaged as they take their home floor for Friday’s most attractive offering.

Through nine games, the Warriors have shown remarkable discipline so far since they admittedly get bored during the NBA’s regular season. The last team to chase a three-peat, the ’13-’14 Heat, started 4-3 despite LeBron Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh in the mix.

The 2010-11 Lakers won their first eight before going 5-6 over their next 11. The ’01-’02 Lakers were the last team to succeed in their quest for three straight titles and opened 16-1, which was an improvement on how the two Michael Jordan-led Bulls three-peat closers opened their seasons, opening 9-4 and 8-7.

It’s tough to focus this early in the season, especially with a target on your back. The Warriors are devising ways to keep things fresh, taking turns getting one another going and celebrating how much fun it is to dominate peers.

Golden State put up a 92-point first half against Chicago on Monday to open the week in style despite playing the second of a back-to-back. Klay Thompson may have flirted with surpassing Kobe Bryant’s 81-point night as the largest scoring output since Wilt Chamberlain dropped 100 if Steve Kerr hadn’t pulled him after knocking down 14 3-pointers in just 26 minutes of action.

Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry lit up New York City’s gyms and have 10 games scoring 30 or more points between them. Draymond Green needed to play his way into shape after recovering from knee surgery by staying away from basketball-related activities over the summer but has made no secret of the fact he’s shooting for another Defensive Players of the Year award after being relegated to the All-Defensive second team by voters last season. Earning this season’s top honors would help him become eligible for the Super Max, so you know he’s dead serious about regaining the title of NBA’s top defender.

With new starting center Damian Jones and young pieces like Alfonzo McKinnie and Jacob Evans to help bring along, the Warriors are hoping that keeping things fresh will keep them interesting. So far, so good. Matchups like tonight’s and next week’s showdown with upstart Milwaukee should ensure they don’t get too complacent – at least until the marathon truly sets in.

The card
L.A. Clippers (-3/217.5) at Orlando, 7:05 p.m. ET: Longtime Orlando resident Doc Rivers and his team got in late after a tough loss in Philadelphia, so this is a short turnaround for his Clippers, who got carved up by Joel Embiid regardless of who tried to defend him last night. Nikola Vucevic should be a better matchup for L.A., especially since Marcin Gortat should have fresh legs after barely playing last night, picking up four fouls in nine minutes. Luc Richard Mbah a Moute is nursing a sore knee, so he’s questionable and would be missed since he’d be an ideal option to help guard Aaron Gordon.

Houston (-4/217.5) at Brooklyn, 7:35 p.m. ET: The Rockets have been dreadful thus far and will have to go without James Harden for at least one more game since he’s unlikely to play here due to a hamstring injury. The reigning MVP practiced on Thursday and is optimistic he’ll be able to return for Saturday’s game at the Bulls, but it’s going to be on Chris Paul and Carmelo Anthony to help prevent a defeat here. The return of James Ennis III from his own hamstring issue should bump ‘Melo back to the bench and improve a defense that has looked brutal over the past week. Brooklyn will look to take advantage of Houston surrendering an NBA-worst 59 points per game in the paint, so this could be a good spot for Brooklyn’s Jarrett Allen to break out after a slow start.

Oklahoma City at Washington (-2.5/231), 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN: Dwight Howard will finally debut with the Wizards but is still bothered by the buttocks injury that has kept him out and won’t be able to sit on the bench during periods where he’s not playing. Instead, he’ll lay on the floor like Larry Bird and Steve Nash often used to. There’s no word on a minutes restriction yet, but Washington should be at full strength with Markieff Morris expected back from a concussion and Kelly Oubre, Jr. working after dealing with the flu. The Thunder won in Charlotte despite Paul George shooting 4-for-20 and will have him in the lineup despite a nerve issue in his left foot he’s been dealing with for weeks. Alex Abrines and Dennis Schroder helped bail out George by pouring in 46 points off the bench and should play large roles here as well. Scott Brooks is 2-2 with the Wizards against OKC, which he coached from ’07-’15, serving all but one of those years in the head seat.

Indiana (-7/212.5) at Chicago, 8:05 p.m. ET: The Pacers were blown out by double-digits in their first two road games but have won their last three. They’ve lost six of seven at the United Center but are favored here and hope forward Domantas Sabonis can build on a 12-for-12 effort from the field at the Knicks on Wednesday. The Bulls played arguably their best game of the season in coming a Paul Millsap tip-in away from pulling an upset of Denver and will be looking for consistency from rookie Wendell Carter, Jr., who finished with 25 points, eight boards and five assists while taking 21 shots in a breakout performance.

New York at Dallas (-6.5/216.5), 8:35 p.m. ET: The Knicks have seen the ‘under’ prevail in five of their last seven games and are playing hard for David Fizdale despite a depleted group. New York will have its work cut out for it attempting to slow down a Mavs squad that has scored 100 or more points in all their games but has surrendered 116.6 points per game and dropped five straight. New York is 0-3 on the road and may not have top defender Frank Ntilikina, which means this could wind up becoming a shootout between Tim Hardaway, Jr. and rookie Luka Doncic.

Memphis at Utah (-7.5/205), 9:05 p.m. ET: The Grizzlies have won five of six since being hammered in their season opener, which includes a 92-84 win over these Jazz in Salt Lake City. Utah is the only team with a winning record that the Griz have defeated this season since their other three victims are a combined 4-18, so it’s hard to get too excited over Memphis’ resurgence just yet, though it is great to see Mike Conley back. With Donovan Mitchell (hamstring) and Alec Burks (hand) sidelined, look for Jae Crowder and Dante Exum to play major roles next to veteran starters Ricky Rubio and Joe Ingles.

Toronto (-11/226) at Phoenix, 10:05 p.m. ET: The Suns have seen rookies Deandre Ayton and Elie Okobo featured over the past week, but life should get easier for everyone with Devin Booker returning from a hamstring injury. Isaiah Canaan (ankle) is expected back too, so Phoenix will at least have a puncher’s chance of pulling an upset of the team tied with Milwaukee and Denver for the NBA’s second-best record. Backup Raps’ point guard Fred VanVleet, leader of the second unit, could miss his third straight game with a toe issue, but versatile forward OG Anunoby will be back for Toronto.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Friday, November 2

Florida @ Winnipeg

Game 51-52
November 2, 2018 @ 2:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida
11.856
Winnipeg
8.751
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+130); Over

Colorado @ Vancouver

Game 53-54
November 2, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
9.391
Vancouver
13.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 4
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+100); Under

Carolina @ Arizona

Game 55-56
November 2, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Carolina
10.957
Arizona
14.433
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-120
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, November 2

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FLORIDA (2-5-0-3, 7 pts.) at WINNIPEG (8-4-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/2/2018, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 2-8 ATS (-7.6 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 2-8 ATS (-7.6 Units) first half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 166-245 ATS (+429.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 10-2 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 28-10 ATS (+15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 4-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

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COLORADO (7-4-0-2, 16 pts.) at VANCOUVER (8-6-0-0, 16 pts.) - 11/2/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 53-49 ATS (+119.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 87-67 ATS (+159.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
COLORADO is 189-162 ATS (+352.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 7-28 ATS (+46.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 4-2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

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CAROLINA (6-5-0-1, 13 pts.) at ARIZONA (6-5-0-0, 12 pts.) - 11/2/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 42-52 ATS (-15.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 70-132 ATS (+230.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
CAROLINA is 12-35 ATS (+59.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 8-23 ATS (+37.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-37 ATS (+70.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 2-2 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 2-2-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.3 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Friday, November 2

Trend Report

Florida Panthers
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Florida is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Florida is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
Florida is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Florida's last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
Florida is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Winnipeg is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Winnipeg is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Winnipeg's last 18 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Winnipeg's last 12 games when playing Florida
Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Florida
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida


Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 7 games
Carolina is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona Coyotes
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 12 games
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Carolina
Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing at home against Carolina


Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Colorado is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Vancouver
Colorado is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Vancouver's last 11 games
Vancouver is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Vancouver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Vancouver's last 23 games at home
Vancouver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Vancouver is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Colorado
Vancouver is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, November 2

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PITTSBURGH (4 - 4) at VIRGINIA (6 - 2) - 11/2/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W KENTUCKY (1 - 7) at MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 3) - 11/2/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W KENTUCKY is 1-0 against the spread versus MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against MIDDLE TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLORADO (5 - 3) at ARIZONA (4 - 5) - 11/2/2018, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 59-91 ATS (-41.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 87-130 ATS (-56.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 10

Trend Report

Friday, November 2

Pittsburgh @ Virginia
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Virginia

Virginia
Virginia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Middle Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games on the road

Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games when playing Western Kentucky
Middle Tennessee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Colorado @ Arizona
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games when playing Arizona

Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 10

Friday’s games
Pittsburgh is 0-3 on road, losing by 3-31-5 points, allowing an average of 34 ppg; Panthers are 11-6 as road underdogs under Narduzzi, 1-2 this year. Virginia won its last three games, allowing an average of 16 ppg; under Mendenhall, Cavaliers are 5-3 as home favorites, 3-0 this year. Pitt won its last three games with Virginia, winning 45-31 in its last visit here; favorites covered four of last five series games. Pitt beat Duke 54-45 LW, but allowed 619 yards, 396 thru the air.

Western Kentucky is 1-7 with a loss to a I-AA team; Hilltoppers won their last three games with Middle Tennessee, scoring 47.7 ppg in a series where average total in last four series games is 84.8. WKU’s last three visits here all decided either by 1 point or in OT. Hilltoppers are 5-1-1 in last seven games as road underdogs. MTSU won four of its last five games; they covered five of last six games as a HF. Last three WKU games went over the total; under is 4-2 in Blue Raiders’ last six games. Hilltoppers allowed 40-37-38 points in their last three games.

Colorado lost its last three games after 5-0 start; they blew a 31-3 lead in home loss to Oregon St LW. Buffaloes are 10-6 in last 16 games as road underdogs, 2-1 this year. Arizona won five of last six games with Colorado; road team won last three series games. Wildcats ran ball for 289-276 yards in last two games; they won last two home games, allowing 17-15 points. Arizona is 1-3-1 in its last five games as a home favorite. Four of last five Colorado games stayed under the total; under is 5-1 in last six Arizona games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 10


Friday, November 2

Pittsburgh @ Virginia

Game 315-316
November 2, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
91.987
Virginia
97.110
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia
by 5
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 7 1/2
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+7 1/2); Under

Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee St

Game 317-318
November 2, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Kentucky
70.047
Middle Tennessee
76.511
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 6 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Middle Tennessee
by 13 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Western Kentucky
(+13 1/2); Over

Colorado @ Arizona

Game 319-320
November 2, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
88.590
Arizona
84.770
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 4
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 3
57
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football's Top ATS Teams:

1. Washington St 8-0 ATS
t2. Fresno St 7-1 ATS
t2. Georgia Southern 7-1 ATS
t2. UAB 7-1 ATS
t2. Utah St 7-1 ATS
t2. Virginia 7-1 ATS
t7. 8 teams tied at 6-2 ATS (Buffalo, BC, Florida, Florida Int, Iowa, Temple, Texas A&M, UL-Lafayette)


College Football's Worst ATS Teams:

t130. Navy 1-7 ATS
t130. Louisville 1-7 ATS
t130. Florida Atlantic 1-7 ATS
127. Connecticut 1-6-1 ATS
t125. Washington 2-7 ATS
t125. New Mexico St 2-7 ATS
t116. 9 teams tied at 2-6 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 10
Bruce Marshall


Friday, Nov. 2

PITT at VIRGINIA...Bronco Mendenhall 7-1 vs. line TY, covers in all four at home. Though Pitt has won last two and covered last three in series. Panthers 6-2 last 8 as road dog.
Slight to Virginia, based on recent trends.


WKU at MTSU...These two have gone into OT in three of past four seasons. Tops 4-7 vs. spread away form home since Sanford took over last season. MTSU 5-1 last six as Murfreesboro chalk.
MTSU, based on team trends.


COLORADO at ARIZONA...Buffs have covered 2 of last 3 vs. Cats. Sumlin 3-2 vs. line at Tucson TY, though UA only 5-8-1 last 14 on board since mid 2017.
Slight to Colorado, based on team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's Tip Sheet
Brian Edwards

**Pittsburgh at Virginia**

There’s a rare ACC showdown in Charlottesville on Friday night that will have conference-championship implications at 7:30 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. As of Wednesday, most spots had Virginia (6-2 straight up, 7-1 against the spread) installed as a 7.5-point home favorite vs. Pitt with a total of 48. The Panthers were +245 on the money line (risk $100 to win $245).

UVA is 4-0 both SU and ATS at home this year. As a home favorite during Bronco Mendenhall’s three-year tenure, the Cavaliers have compiled a 5-3 spread record. Mendenhall has his team atop the ACC Coastal Division with a 4-1 record in league play. The Cavs own a one-half game lead over both Pitt and Virginia Tech, both of whom are 3-1 in ACC action.

UVA has won three straight games both SU and ATS, including last week’s 31-21 over UNC as a 7.5-point home ‘chalk.’ QB Bryce Perkins rushed for a team-best 112 yards and one TD on 21 carries, while junior RB Jordan Ellis ran 16 times for 64 yards.

Perkins completed 18-of-27 passes for 217 yards and three TDs with one interception. Olamide Zaccheaus brought down 10 catches for 108 yards, while Hasise Dubois had two receptions for 40 yards and one TD.

Perkins, the juco transfer who started his career at Arizona State, has completed 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,623 yards with a 15/8 touchdown-to-interception ratio. The dynamic signal caller has run for 575 rushing yards and six TDs. Ellis paces the Cavs in rushing yards (683) and has seven rushing scores and a 5.3 yards-per-carry average.

Zaccheaus has 56 receptions for 690 yards and six TDs, while Dubois has caught 32 balls for 360 yards and three TDs.

Mendenhall’s team took its defeats at Indiana (20-16) in Week 2 and at N.C. State (35-21) on Sept. 29.

Pittsburgh (4-4 SU, 4-4 ATS) is winless in three road assignments with a 1-2 spread record. Pat Narduzzi’s club has covered the spread in three consecutive contests, winning outright in two of those and taking the cash when it lost 19-14 at Notre Dame as a 21-point underdog.

Pitt is off a 54-45 win over Duke this past Saturday as a three-point home underdog. The Panthers trailed by a double-digit margin four separate times to the Blue Devils, but they pulled even at 42-42 with 2:33 left on a 48-yard field goal from Alex Kessman. Then with five ticks remaining, QB Kenny Pickett found Maurice Ffrench for a 25-yard game-winning scoring strike.

Pickett had a pair of TD passes without an interception, in addition to rushing for 76 yards and one TD on seven attempts. Senior RB Qadree Ollison ran for 149 yards and one TD on 18 carries, while V’Lique Carter rushed for 137 yards and two TDs on seven totes.

Pickett has completed 60.6 percent of his passes for 1,156 yards with an 8/5 TD-INT ratio. He’s run for 152 yards and three TDs. Allison has rushed for a team-high 795 yards and seven TDs with a 6.3 YPC average. Darrin Hall has run for 429 yards and four TDs while averaging 6.1 YPC.

Ffrench has 19 receptions for 294 yards and four TDs.

When these teams collided last year at Heinz Field, Pitt beat UVA for the third straight time. The Panthers won a 31-14 decision as one-point home favorites, while the 45 combined points dropped ‘under’ the 49-point tally.

Totals have been an overall wash (4-4) for the Cavs, with the ‘over’ going 2-2 in their four home contests. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 47.0 PPG.

Totals have been an overall wash (4-4) for the Panthers, who have seen the ‘under’ go 2-1 in their road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 60.6 PPG.

ESPN2 will have Friday night’s broadcast at 7:30 p.m. Eastern.

**Colorado at Arizona**

As of Wednesday, most books had Arizona (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) installed as a three-point home favorite with a total of 57.5 or 58. The Buffaloes were +140 on the money line (risk $100 to win $140).

Kevin Sumlin’s team improved to 3-3 in Pac-12 play and picked up its best win of the season by blasting Oregon 44-15 as a seven-point home underdog this past Saturday night. Sophomore running back J.J. Taylor erupted for 212 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 30 carries. Junior QB Khalil Tate, who had missed most of the past two games injured, returned to the starting lineup and completed 19-of-33 passes for 189 yards and three TDs with one interception.

WR Shun Brown had 10 receptions for 96 yards, while Shawn Poindexter had two catches for 30 yards and a pair of TDs. Josh Pollack buried three field goals from 32, 34 and 23 yards out.

UA dominated from start to finish, enjoying a 465-270 advantage in total offense and a 27-18 edge in first downs. The Wildcats are now on a 5-2 ATS run after starting the season with back-to-back defeats vs. BYU (28-23) and at Houston (45-18). Two of its three losses since then have come by five combined points, falling 31-30 at UCLA and 24-20 at home vs. USC. The only bad loss besides the one at Houston was a 42-10 loss at Utah when Tate was injured early in the first quarter and didn’t return.

Tate exploded on the scene last season with his legs, rushing for 1,411 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 9.2 yards per carry. He was considered by many to be a legit Heisman Trophy candidate coming into the 2018 campaign. Tate has improved throwing the ball, but his production on the ground has basically been non-existent.

Tate has completed 54.0 percent of his throws for 1,604 yards with a 14/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. He has 53 rushing attempts for 139 yards and two TDs with a meager 2.6 YPC average.

Taylor is second in the Pac-12 in rushing yards with 1,034. He has six rushing scores and averages 6.2 YPC. Poindexter has 32 receptions for 582 yards six TDs, while Brown has 46 catches for 485 yards and four TDs.

Colorado (5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS) raced out to a 5-0 start with wins over Colorado St. (45-13 in Denver), at Nebraska (33-28), vs. New Hampshire (45-14), vs. UCLA (38-16) and vs. Arizona State (28-21). Since then, however, Mike MacIntyre’s club has lost three games in a row, including a stunning 41-34 overtime loss to Oregon State as a 24.5-point home ‘chalk.’

We should point out, however, that the Buffaloes have been without star Laviska Shenault. The sophomore WR was playing like a first-team All-American until being sidelined with turf toe that caused him to miss the losses at UW and vs. OSU. Shenault remains ‘questionable’ for Friday’s game in Tucson. Before the injury, he had 60 receptions for 780 yards and six TDs, in addition to rushing for 87 yards and five TDs on 15 attempts.

In last week’s improbable setback, Colorado led 24-3 at halftime and then extended its advantage to 31-3 on Travon McMillian’s 75-yard run to start the third quarter. The Beavers responded with 25 unanswered points to trim the deficit to 31-28 with 7:13 remaining. CU got a 34-yard FG from Evan Price to extend the lead to 34-28.

But with 29 seconds left, OSU’s Jake Luton found Trevon Bradford for a 10-yard scoring strike. However, the Beavers missed the PAT to force OT. Oregon State got the ball first in the extra session and scored on Jack Colletto’s one-yard TD run, and it got a stop to preserve the shocking victory.

Colorado junior QB Steven Montez connected on 24-of-39 passes for 319 yards and two TDs without an interception. He also rushed nine times for 66 yards, while McMillian finished with 132 rushing yards and one TD on 20 attempts. K.D. Nixon had 13 receptions for 198 yards and two TDs.

Montez has connected on 68.2 percent of his throws for 2,053 yards with a 14/4 TD-INT ratio. He is second on the Buffaloes in rushing yards with 226 and four TDs. WR K.D. Nixon has 46 catches for 560 yards and three TDs. McMillian, a grad transfer from Virginia Tech, has run for 778 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.3 YPC.

CU has lost two of its three road games outright, but it has produced a 2-1 spread record. As a road underdog since MacIntyre took over in 2013, Colorado is 13-12 ATS.

Arizona is 1-1 both SU and ATS as a home favorite this season. The Wildcats are 3-2 both SU and ATS in five home games, but they’ve been home underdogs in their last three outings at Arizona Stadium.

The road team is 6-0 ATS in the past six head-to-head encounters. The ‘over’ is on a 3-0 run to improve to 6-1 in the past seven meetings of this rivalry.

When these squads squared off in Boulder last season, Arizona captured a 45-42 win as a seven-point road underdog. Tate was nothing short of sensational, rushing for 327 yards and four TDs on merely 14 carries. He completed 12-of-13 passes for 154 yards and one TD without an interception.

In the losing effort, Montez threw for 251 yards and three TDs without an interception.

The ‘under’ is 7-2 overall for the Wildcats, 4-1 in their home games. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 57.0 points per game.

The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for the Buffaloes, 4-0 in their road assignments. They’ve seen their games average combined scores of 55.9 PPG.

Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. Eastern on Fox Sports 1.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- One day after reinstating D.J. Durkin as its head football coach, Maryland pulled a U-turn and decided to fire Durkin on Wednesday. The change of course started with major criticism from the media and multiple players walking out of a team meeting with Durkin on Tuesday, but the real tide turner came from Maryland Governor Larry Hogan. He released a statement Wednesday afternoon ripping the Board of Regents. Durkin and the BOR won a power struggle with the school president, who wanted Durkin out to begin with. OC Matt Canada will remain the interim head coach for the Terrapins, who host Michigan State this weekend.

-- Oregon QB Justin Herbert practiced Wednesday and was upgraded to ‘probable' for Saturday’s home game vs. UCLA. Herbert will continue to be monitored after sustaining a concussion in last week’s 44-15 loss at Arizona. Herbert has 2,069 passing yards and a 20/6 TD-INT ratio. His favorite target Dillon Mitchell remains in concussion protocol and is ‘questionable’ against the Bruins. Mitchell has 48 receptions for 677 yards and four TDs. The Ducks were 10-point home favorites, as of Wednesday night.

-- Washington star RB Myles Gaskin has missed back-to-back games due to a shoulder injury. The all-time leader in career rushing yards for the Huskies remains ‘questionable’ vs. Stanford, which has plenty of injuries as well. Two preseason All-Americans – RB Bryce Love and OG Nate Herbig – are ‘questionable’ for the Cardinal at UW.

-- After missing an extra point five minutes before to leave Buffalo leading only 48-42 as a seven-point home favorite in the fourth quarter of Tuesday’s MACtion showdown vs. Miami (OH), senior kicker Adam Mitcheson broke the school record for career field goals by burying his 45th with 3:54 remaining in a 51-42 victory for the Bulls. QB Tyree Jackson threw for 358 yards and three TDs without an interception, while Anthony Johnson hauled in eight receptions for 238 yards and three TDs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 21
David Schwab

Calgary may still have the best record in the CFL, but it heads into the final week of the regular season on a straight-up three-game losing streak after falling to Winnipeg 29-21 on Friday night as a 3 ½-point road underdog.

In the first of two Saturday games, Ottawa tripped up Hamilton 3013 as a 4 ½-point road underdog to sweep the home-and-home series while also locking up the East Division title. Saskatchewan remained in the hunt for the division title in the West with a 35-16 victory against British Columbia as a 4 ½-point home favorite.

Week 20 wrapped things up on Sunday with Montreal playing its best game of the season in a 40-10 victory against Toronto as a rare three-point home favorite.

Friday, Nov. 2

Toronto Argonauts (4-13 SU, 6-11 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (10-7 SU, 8-9 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -7
Total: 53 ½

Game Overview

The Argonauts have finally gotten to the point they are just phoning it in after giving up 40 points to the worst offense in the league. One score was actually recorded by Montreal’s defense, but at this point does it really matter. They have failed to cover in seven of their last nine games with the total going OVER in six of the last eight outings.

Ottawa has little to play for in this regular-season finale after winning the East to secure a first round bye in the playoffs. The RedBlacks head into the postseason with some solid momentum after going 4-2 both SU and ATS in their last six games, including that impressive sweep over Hamilton the last two weeks. Trevor Harris had another big day in Saturday’s win with 267 yards passing and three touchdown throws.

Betting Trends

-- Ottawa has covered in six of its last nine home games against Toronto while also going 6-3 SU. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last six meetings overall.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Division Semis

Trend Report

Friday, November 2

Toronto Argonauts
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Toronto is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing on the road against Ottawa

Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Ottawa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Ottawa is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto