Monday 11-5-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Opening Line Report - Week 9
Joe Williams

We're halfway through the National Football League regular season, and it seems like only yesterday that we were just starting out. All of a sudden there is a chill in the air, the leaves have changed colors in the northern tier and the calendar is about to flip to November. We're also seeing divisional teams start to play each other for the second time this season.

In Week 9, the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens will meet in Charm City, and the Steelers are seeking revenge after a 26-14 setback on their home field earlier in the season on a Sunday night. The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins are meetings under the same circumstances, as the Dolphins picked up a win in New Jersey earlier this season.

This week's most anticipated games will be later Sunday afternoon and on Sunday evening. The Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints meet in a possible playoff preview down on the Bayou, while the Green Bay Packers and New England Patriots hook up in a battle of two potential first-ballot Hall of Fame signal callers in Foxboro.


Monday, Nov. 5

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys (-6.5, 41)

The Titans will be the first team to try and slow down WR Amari Cooper in a Cowboys uniform. Both teams come off a bye, and they have the luxury of an extra day of rest, too, with the game being played on Monday.

CG Technology had Dallas listed at -4 1/2 to open, quickly moving to -6. The Strat also opened at -4 1/2, and quickly rose to -6 1/2 in less than 24 hours. Westgate went all the way from -4 to -6 1/2 in about 19 hours. Early bettors are feeling the Cowboys in their Jerry World on Monday night. Meanwhile, the total has tumbled from 42 1/2 to 41 at BetOnline.ag offshore.

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NFL
Long Sheet

Week 9

Monday. November 5

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TENNESSEE (3 - 4) at DALLAS (3 - 4) - 11/5/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 51-28 ATS (+20.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NFL

Week 9

Trend Report

Monday. November 5

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Cowboys
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tennessee

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NFL
Dunkel

Week 9


Monday, November 5

Tennessee @ Dallas

Game 474-474
November 5, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tennessee
124.951
Dallas
136.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 12
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6 1/2
40 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6 1/2); Over

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NFL

Week 9

Monday
Titans (3-4) @ Cowboys (3-4)— Cowboys fired their OL coach during bye week, would expect to see them try and run ball more here. Dallas is 3-0 at home, 0-4 on road; 3 of their last 4 games were decided by 3 or fewer points. Cowboys are 7-6 in last 13 games as home favorites, 1-1 this year. Titans lost last three games after a 3-1 start; five of their last six games were decided by 3 or fewer points- they’re 10-24-1 vs spread in last 35 true road games, 8-17 in last 25 games as a road underdog. Dallas won three of last four series games; Oilers/Titans are 4-3 in their visits here. Under is 5-2 in Dallas games, 5-1 in last six Titan tilts. Thought o lay 6.5 points to a team that hasn’t played a game this season that was decided by more than seven points.

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THE 2018 NFL SEASON IS UNLIKE ANY OTHER...

��Ave 48.2 total points per game (all-time high)
��Teams ave 252.5 passing yards (all-time high)
��5.7 ave yards per offensive play (all-time high)

��Over/Under record on the season: 60-60-1 O/U (50%)

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Tech Trends - Week 9
Bruce Marshall

Monday, Nov. 5

TENNESSEE at DALLAS (ESPN, 8:25 p.m. ET)
Dallas 3-0 SU at home TY (2-1 vs. line), Cowboys also “under” 9-2 last 11 since late 2017. Titans 4-1 as dog for Vrabel, and “under” 9-4 since late 2017.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

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MNF - Titans at Cowboys
Kevin Rogers

LAST GAME

Both these teams are off the bye last week as each squad looks to climb back to the .500 mark. The Titans (3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS) were once 3-1 after three consecutive three-point wins. However, the offense has scored a total of 31 points in the past three losses, while coming off a 20-19 defeat to the Chargers in London back in Week 7. Tennessee cashed as 6 ½-point underdogs to improve to 4-1 ATS when receiving points, but there were many questions on why the Titans didn’t win.

The Titans erased a 17-6 deficit to creep within one point in the final minute on a Marcus Mariota touchdown pass to Luke Stocker on fourth down. However, instead of opting for the tie and overtime, Titans’ head coach Mike Vrabel put his offense on the field for the game-winning two-point conversion. Tennessee didn’t convert as that call was questioned by the pundits, even though the Titans’ defense limited Los Angeles to one touchdown in the final three quarters and the Titans had momentum late.

The Cowboys (3-4 SU, 3-4 ATS) have not owned a winning record this season, while alternating wins and losses through the first seven games. Prior to the bye, Dallas fell short at Washington, 20-17 as kicker Brett Maher hit the post on a game-tying field goal in the final seconds. Running back Ezekiel Elliott ranked second in the NFL in rushing yards heading into Week 9, as the former Ohio State standout was limited to a season-low 33 yards against Washington.

Off a win this season, the Cowboys have scored 13, 16, and 17 points. However, Dallas has put up 20, 26, and 40 off a loss, which is the situation the Cowboys are in this week. The Cowboys and Titans are part of a three-team group that has not allowed more than 27 points in a game this season, while the Eagles are the other.

DIAL UP ANOTHER WIN?

The Cowboys have yet to lose a game at AT&T Stadium this season by beating the Giants, Lions, and Jaguars. Yes, it has worked out that Dallas faced all those off road losses, where they are 0-4 this season. Dallas has split its first against the spread in the home favorite role by cashing against New York, but needing a late field goal to edge Detroit. Since 2016, the Cowboys have covered in four of five opportunities as a home favorite of six points or more, while being listed in that range for the first time this season.

DOGGY DOES IT

Tennessee has thrived in the underdog role this season by covering in four of five opportunities. Prior to the one-point loss (and cover) against the Chargers in London, the Titans had won outright when receiving points in their first three chances against the Texans, Jaguars, and Eagles. The 4-1 ATS mark under Vrabel is a significant change from the 4-6 ATS record last season as an underdog, while the Titans posted a horrific 9-18 ATS ledger from 2014 through 2017.

SERIES HISTORY

Before the Texans were even a thought, the Cowboys and the then-Oilers were the two main attractions in the Lone Star State. Since the Titans moved to Nashville in 1998, Tennessee and Dallas have hooked up five times in the regular season with the Cowboys coming out victorious three times. The Cowboys knocked off the Titans in their last meeting at Tennessee in 2014 as three-point underdogs, 26-10. Every main offensive weapon on both sides is no longer on the active roster as tight end Delanie Walker is the lone contributor still on one of these teams, but he is sidelined with a season-ending ankle injury.

MONDAY NIGHT LIGHTS

The Cowboys have won in each of their last three opportunities on Monday night football since 2015. In the past two seasons, Dallas has cruised in the favorite role on Mondays by pounding Detroit, 42-21 in 2016 and taking care of Arizona last season, 28-17 as three-point chalk. The Titans have covered six consecutive Monday night games dating back to 2008, while winning five times straight-up. Last season, Tennessee pulled away from Indianapolis, 36-22 after rallying from a 10-point deficit in the first half.

HANDICAPPER’S CORNER

Handicapper Joe Nelson checks in on this interconference matchup by noting how competitive Tennessee has been this season, “Six of the seven games for the Titans have been decided by a single-score, making this underdog spread of nearly a full touchdown appealing. However, Tennessee is on a 12-25 ATS run in road games since 2014. The Titans have the third-best scoring defense in the NFL allowing 18.1 points per game but only Arizona and Buffalo have been worse scoring teams with Tennessee averaging 15.1 points per game.”

Two seasons ago, Dak Prescott and the Cowboys owned the best record in the NFC. Things have changed quickly for the former Mississippi State standout, according to Nelson, “Prescott has been a top 4 QBR quarterback each of the past two seasons for the Cowboys, but with some changes on the offensive line, he has struggled this season. He and Mariota are both outside of the league’s top 20 in QBR at this point in the season. The numbers are even worse in traditional QB Rating with Prescott 24th and Mariota 30th as the star quarterbacks trail players like Derek Carr, Brock Osweiler, and Eli Manning in that metric.”

Nelson also notes that Dallas needs to end their inconsistent ways if it wants to make a playoff push in the NFC, “For Dallas, road games at Philadelphia and at Atlanta follow this game as the season is certainly at a critical juncture. All four losses have come by 11 or fewer points vs. winning teams while the wins for Dallas have all come at home vs. losing teams. Dallas made a bye week deal for Amari Cooper looking to boost the offensive potential of the team though he remains questionable with a concussion. Cooper was one of the best receivers in the league in 2015 and 2016, but has just 70 catches for 960 yards over his past 20 games.”

LINE MOVEMENT

The Westgate Superbook opened the Cowboys as 6 ½-point favorites last Monday. However, that line has dropped to Dallas laying four at the Westgate, while other books are showing Dallas -4 ½. There hasn’t been much movement on the total, which opened at 41, as this number has dipped to 40 ½ at most outfits.

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Cole Faxon

Nov 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Rockets vs Pacers
Play on: Rockets +1 -103 at 5Dimes

FREE PLAY on Rockets +1 -103

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Teddy Davis

Nov 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Heat vs Pistons
Play on: Pistons -3½ -105 at pinnacle

The Pistons are worth a look here as they look to end their 4 game losing streak. You to look at who they have lost to though with two of them being the Celtics and one being the Sixers. Those are two of the better teams in the Eastern Conference.
The Heat have some questionable injuries right now with Whiteside and Dragic. The Pistons are a vastly improved team this season and the books aren't taking that into account here.
Detriot bounces back with an easy win

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Mike Williams

Nov 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Heat vs Pistons
Play on: Pistons -3½ -110 at BMaker

1* on Pistons -3½ -110

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Doug Upstone

Nov 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Cavs vs Magic
Play on: UNDER 213½ -110

On Monday night, Play Under on home teams like Orlando when the total is 210 to 219.5, after allowing 105 points or more in two straight games, against an opponent after allowing 105 points or more five straight games, In the past five years the UNDER is 25-5, 80 percent!

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Kenny Walker

Nov 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Heat vs Pistons
Play on: Pistons -3½ -110 at BMaker

Free Pick on Pistons

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John Martin

Nov 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Rockets vs Pacers
Play on: Rockets -1 -100 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Houston Rockets -1
The Houston Rockets are back to near full strength now with James Harden returning to the lineup against the Bulls last time out. The Rockets have won two in a row and I believe them to be undervalued right now because of the slow start they got off to this season due to all the injuries. I’ll back them as only 1-point road favorites over the Indiana Pacers, who are coming off three straight close wins by a combined 9 points. I think their luck runs out against the motivated, healthy Rockets tonight. Houston won both meetings with Indiana last season by 20-plus points each. Give me the Rockets.

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Ross Benjamin

Nov 05 '18, 7:05 PM in 3h

NHL | Devils vs Penguins
Play on: UNDER 6½ -130



New Jersey @ Pittsburgh 7:05 PM ET
Game# 1-2
Play On: Under 6.5 (-130)
Pittsburgh is coming of Saturday 5-0 home loss to Toronto. The Penguins are 5-0 under the total this season following a loss.
New Jersey currently possesses a win percentage of .454 and today will be their 3rd road game in 5 days.
Any team (New Jersey) that’s playing in their 3rd road game in the last 5 days, and they possess a win percentage of .450 to .550, resulted in those road teams going 76-33 (69.7%) under the total since 1996. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Monday 11/5 free pick.