Wednesday 11-7-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin

Nov 07 '18, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Miami-OH
Play on: UNDER 61 -115

Ohio @ Miami-Ohio 7:00 PM ET
Game# 103-104
Play On: Under 61.0
Ohio has been dominant in going 3-0 SU&ATS during their previous 3 games while scoring 49 points or greater on each occasion. Nonetheless, they also allowed exactly 14 points during each of those contests.
Miami is coming off last Tuesday’s 51-42 loss at Buffalo. This will be their largest total of the season with their previous high being 58.5 against Kent State. By the way, that contest against Kent State easily stayed under during a 31-6 Miami win.
Any team (Ohio) with a total of 56.5 to 63 who’s scored 31 points or more in each of its previous 2 games, and they’re facing an opponent (Miami-Ohio) coming off a contest in which there was a combined 80 points or more scored, resulted in those games going 76-34 (69.1%) under the total since 1992. This precise betting angle has also gone 34-11 (75.6%) under since 2014 and 7-1 under this season. Bet on this game to go under the total for my Wednesday 11/7 free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Nov 07 '18, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Ohio vs Miami-OH
Play on: Miami-OH +5 -110 at YouWager

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Miami, OH +5)
I'll take my chances here with Miami as a home dog against the rival Bobcats. I’m not 100% convinced that Ohio should be favored in this one. Miami is way better than their record indicates and I just think there’s enough at stake here that we get their best effort.
The RedHawks missed out on a bowl game last year at 5-7 and if they want to have a shot at extending their season, they have to win their final 3 games. That right there is plenty of motivation, but even if they were 2-7 right now, I’m willing to bet they would play their hearts out to try and end this losing streak to the Bobcats (lost 5 straight).
Ohio comes in off an impressive 3-game stretch, where they have absolutely annihilated the competition. It started with a 49-14 win at home over Bowling Green. Then came a 52-14 win at home over Ball State and finally a 49-14 win at Western Michigan.
We did see them lose on the road to Northern Illinois and while they need to win here for next week’s game against Buffalo to matter, the Bobcats might have a hard time not looking ahead to that showdown with the Bulls.
I also really like the matchup here for Miami. The RedHawks have one of the better defenses in the MAC and while they were shredded by Buffalo a week ago, most of the damage done by the Bulls came through the air. Ohio doesn’t have near the passing attack as Buffalo and I think they could really struggle to get going.
On the flip side of this, you might think the Bobcats have this great defense, given they have held 3 straight opponents to exactly 14-points, but their defense is giving up 28.6 ppg on the road, as well as 4.8 yards/carry, 66.2% completion rate and 6.3 yards/play.
Another reason for Ohio’s success of late, is they posted a +9 turnover margin in their last 3 games. They didn’t turn it over more than once in any of those games after giving it away 12 times in their previous 5. Bobcats are a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after 3 straight games where they had 1 or fewer turnovers. Give me Miami +5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Pistons -1½ -104 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on Pistons -1½ -104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Davis

Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Thunder vs Cavs
Play on: Cavs +6 -107 at pinnacle

This is a spot here where I want no part of the Thunder. Westbrook went down with an ankle injury and he isn't going to be back for this game. I also think the Thunder will just go through the motions here as they have a big game on deck tomorrow night against the Rockets.
Of course the Cavs are terrible, but given this situation they are worth a look here and since they know Westbrook is out I think they believe they can win so the effort will be there tonight

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Magic +2 -103 at 5Dimes

1* on Magic +2 -103

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Thunder vs Cavs
Play on: Cavs +6½ -105 at 5Dimes

Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5
The Oklahoma City Thunder suffered a big blow when Russell Westbrook went down with an ankle injury last time out against the Pelicans. I don’t think his absence is being factored into the line enough, and that’s partly because the Thunder come in on a five-game winning streak. But Westbrook was the biggest reason for that streak.
Westbrook also sat out the first two games of the season for the Thunder while recovering from arthroscopic knee surgery. It’s no surprise the Thunder opened the season 0-4 as even when he returned in Game 3 he wasn’t in game shape. He was finally starting to play like his old self. The Thunder will certainly miss him.
That’s why I’ll pull the trigger on the Cavaliers as 6.5-point home underdogs tonight. I think there’s value here, especially with the fact that the Cavaliers have opened the season 1-9. The Cavs have been more competitive since Larry Drew replaced Tyronn Lue, going 1-3 in their last four games with a blowout win over the Hawks and only a 2-point road loss in Orlando in which they blew a late 5-point lead with 24 seconds left.
The home team is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings. The Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last six trips to Cleveland. Oklahoma City is 6-19 ATS in road games after covering four or five of their last six against the spread over the last three years. The Thunder are 11-27 ATS in their last 38 road games after a combined score of 235 points or more. Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Magic +2 -105 at pinnacle

1* Free Pick on Magic +2 -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Nov 07 '18, 7:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Pistons vs Magic
Play on: Pistons -125 at 5Dimes

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
**8-1 FREE PICK RUN ~ 20-8 SINCE SEPTEMBER 1**
The Detroit Pistons have fallen apart completely since a perfect 4-0 start to the season as they travel to Orlando looking to put an end to an ugly five-game losing streak. They're still 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games and here the Pistons will face an Orlando team getting a bit too much credit coming off back-to-back victories against San Antonio and Cleveland.
How often would you expect this Magic team to win three in a row? How often do you expect this Pistons team, a playoff contender, to lose six consecutive games?
I'm not saying Pistons are "due", but they've lost a couple of close ones recently and the value is without a doubt on the visitors in this matchup.
Free pick on Detroit Pistons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Nov 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Northern Illinois
Play on: Northern Illinois -3½ -105 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Northern Illinois -3½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Nov 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Northern Illinois
Play on: Northern Illinois -3 -110 at 5Dimes

FREE PLAY on Northern Illinois -3 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Nov 07 '18, 8:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Toledo vs Northern Illinois
Play on: Northern Illinois -3½ -105 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Northern Illinois -3½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Totals Guru

Nov 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Nuggets vs Grizzlies
Play on: UNDER 205 -109

Free Total Annihilator On Nuggets vs Grizzlies under 205 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Nov 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Bulls vs Pelicans
Play on: Pelicans -10½ -107 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New Orleans Pelicans -10.5
The Pelicans are in need of a win. They have lost six straight following a 4-0 start. They should get the win and cover against the lowly Chicago Bulls tonight. The last five losses were all on the road, and the Pelicans now return home where they have been very good this season at 3-1. And they’re a lot healthier now as Anthony Davis and others have missed some time during this skid, but Davis is back healthy now. The Bulls are just 3-8 on the season with their three wins coming against the Hornets, Hawks and Knicks, three of the worst teams in the NBA. And two of those wins came by a combined 3 points. This is a big step up in class for them here tonight. The Pelicans are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing record, and 8-0 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team that wins less than 40% of their games. The Bulls are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Give me the Pelicans.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Nov 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Bulls vs Pelicans
Play on: Pelicans -10½ -105 at 5Dimes

Free Pick on Pelicans

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

Nov 07 '18, 8:05 PM in 5h
NBA | 76ers vs Pacers
Play on: 76ers +3 -110 at YouWager

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Philadelphia 76ers (513)
Philadelphia (6 - 5) at Indiana (7 - 4)
Tuesday, 11/6/2018 7:05 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 5-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Philadelphia, who is currently priced as a 2.5-point road dog.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for 76ers to make between 38% and 43% of their 3-point shot attempts, will have a minimum of 57 rebounds and will have a rebounding edge of at least 7 boards. In this situation, the 76ers have produce d a money making 45-17 ATS mark good for 73% winners and covering by an average of 7.6 PPG.
The Pacers when playing at home and an opponent has met these performance measures has been a money losing 5-16 ATS for 24% and losing to the number by an average of 7 PPG.

Take the 76ers to finally get their first road win of the season.