Thursday 11-8-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Info Plays

Nov 08 '18, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Evansville vs Illinois
Play on: OVER 147 -110

1* Free Play on Evansville vs Illinois over 147 -110

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Hunter Price

Nov 08 '18, 8:35 PM in 3h
NHL | Sharks vs Stars
Play on: Sharks -120 at sportsbook

1* Free Pick on Sharks -120

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Stephen Nover

Nov 08 '18, 8:35 PM in 3h
NHL | Hurricanes vs Blackhawks
Play on: Blackhawks -104 at betonline

I want the Blackhawks going for me in their first game since Joel Quenneville was fired. The price certainly is right to take them. The Blackhawks return from a three-game road trip through Western Canada having dropped five in a row. The Blackhawks are in true circle-the-wagons mode. Chicago was 6-4 before this trip. Quenneville is an elite coach with the resume to prove it - second-winningest coach in NHL history and three Stanley Cup winners with the Blackhawks. But the Quenneville era in Chicago had run its course. Jeremy Colliton is the new coach and the youngest in the league at 33. Early reports are good that he's a strong communicator and can provide the Blackhawks a spark they have needed for more than a year now. Carolina hasn't been playing well either. The Hurricanes have lost five consecutive games. They are 2-8 in their last 10 games. Carolina has managed only seven goals in its last five games. Chicago should have a huge goalie edge, too, with Corey Crawford opposing Scott Darling, who was a backup in Chicago for three years before going to the Hurricanes last season. I'm not a fan of Darling, who has a 3.14 goals against average and an .893 save percentage.

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Jack Jones

Nov 08 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Celtics vs Suns
Play on: UNDER 214½ -110

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Celtics/Suns UNDER 214.5
The Celtics and Suns both are having serious problems offensively right now. The Celtics are 27th in offensive efficiency while the Suns are 30th, averaging 103.5 points and 100.3 points per 100 possessions, respectively.
But the Celtics have been putting the effort in on the other end. Boston ranks 1st in the NBA in defensive efficiency, giving up 100.8 points per 100 possessions. And the Suns have actually improved quite a bit on defense this season thanks to the additions of DeAndre Ayton and Trevor Ariza.
The Celtics and their opponents are averaging just 205.5 combined points per game this season. And we’re seeing a number of 214.5 here for the total. The last time these teams met the Celtics won 102-94 in Phoenix for 196 combined points. The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Phoenix.
The UNDER is 5-0 in Celtics last five road games vs. a team with a losing record. The UNDER is 11-4 in Celtics last 15 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 4-0 in Suns last four home games. The UNDER is 6-0 in Suns last six vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

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Doug Upstone

Nov 08 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Celtics vs Suns
Play on: UNDER 215 -110

The total in this NBA clash jumped from 211 to 214.5. Boston relies more on its defense than offense, not being a good shooting team (27th) but they should get easier looks against a Phoenix defense that permits the other team to make more than 50 percent of their shot attempts. Still, the Celtics can contain the Suns and are 19-8 UNDER in road games having lost two of their last three and 13-3 UNDER in away outings versus teams allowing 110 or more points a game.

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Will Rogers

Nov 08 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Celtics vs Suns
Play on: UNDER 211½ -110

The set-up: The Celtics look to get back on track after a tough 115-107 loss in Denver on Monday. The Suns enter motivated as well after they were humbled 104-82 at home by the lowly Nets. When these teams played in Phoenix last March 26th, it was the C’s that came out on top 102-94. I’m expecting a similar final combined outcome here as well.
The pick: Boston is averaging only 104.2 PPG, but it’s No. 1 defensively in allowing only 101.3. That’s bad news for a Phoenix team averaging only 100.6 PPG. Note that Boston has already seen the total go “under” in both games it’s played vs. teams with losing records this year, while Phoenix has seen the total go “under” in four of six at home to this point. I’m going to highly recommend a second look at the under in this one.

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John Ryan

Nov 08 '18, 10:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Clippers vs Blazers
Play on: UNDER 224½ -105

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
UNDER (705-706)
Boston (6 - 3) at Denver (8 - 1)
Monday, 11/5/2018 9:05 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
5 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Place a 5-star wager on the UNDER, which the market has priced at 225-points.

SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for the Clippers to have a percentage of 3-point shots be 25 or less and will shoot 43% or less form the field. In this projected scenario the UNDER has gone a money making 342-126-11 for 73.1% and went under the posted total by an average of 8.5 PPG.

The following database system query has produced a solid 36-8 ATS for 82% spanning the last 5 seasons. Play Under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (LA CLIPPERS) in November games involving two good teams sporting win percentages between 60% to 75%.

This database system query has produced a 42-12 ATS mark good for 78% winners over the past five seasons. Play Under with all teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (PORTLAND) off a home win by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win.

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John Martin

Nov 08 '18, 10:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Bucks vs Warriors
Play on: Bucks +6 -109 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Milwaukee Bucks +6
The Milwaukee Bucks are off to an 8-2 start this season and looking like juggernauts in the Eastern Conference. The hiring of Mike Budenholzer has opened up the offense as the Bucks are averaging 120 points per game this year. And their still the most lengthy team in the NBA, so their defense is always going to be good. They’re ready to show they can play with the Warriors. And it’s a Warriors team that will be without Draymond Green, who will be missed tonight in trying to defend Giannis. He is the most underrated player on this Golden State team because he’s the leader of the defense, and he’s the screener and playmaker on offense that frees everything up for KD, Steph and Klay. The Bucks won 116-107 outright as underdogs at Golden State last season and are live underdogs again tonight. Give me the Bucks.

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Ray Chadwick

N.C. State has lit up the scoreboard the past 2 weeks - both games going Over the total - but do remember that 3 of their previous 4 games at Carter-Finley Stadium this year did land Under the total.

The Under is 6-1 the past 7 times the Wolfpack have played a team with a losing record, and under the Thursday night lights, N.C. State is a massive 14-1-1 Under the total! That is the number that had me at hello!

Demon Deacons and the Wolfpack to hold Under the total.

3* WAKE FOREST-N.C. STATE UNDER

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Chris Jordan

My free play for tonight is on the Atlanta Falcons laying the number in Cleveland against the Browns.

Now I've been extremely critical of the Falcons' defense, and complimentary of the Browns' offense the entire season. So this weekend I'm going against everything I've been clamoring about and laying the road chalk. I think Atlanta is in the right spot to put up some points and distance itself for a double-digit win after making a statement in Washington last week.

Atlanta has two winnable games staring it in the face, before heading to New Orleans for a rematch with the Saints, looking for revenge after losing at home 43-37 in a wild shootout on Sept. 23.

The Falcons can't afford to let up, especially knowing the Saints have a tough game in Cincinnati on Sunday.

With Atlanta's fifth-best offense, you're going to see Matt Ryan victimize Cleveland's 30th-ranked defense that was just swatted by the Kansas City Chiefs last week, 37-21.

Ryan, who completed 26 of 38 passes for 350 yards and four touchdowns last week, is completing 71 percent of his passes, and has thrown 19 touchdowns versus just three interceptions. His main target, Julio Jones, is in after hauling in seven passes for 121 yards and one touchdown - which happened to be his first in 12 games. Ryan also has rookie Calvin Ridley.

The biggest problem for Cleveland's 29th-ranked rushing defense will be stopping Atlanta on 3rd and shorts, as the Falcons have converted a league-high 53.3 percent on third downs.

Lay the chalk in this one, as Atlanta rolls to the dub.

5* FALCONS

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Gus Augustine

Good spot to back the Rockets on the road against the Thunder this Thursday, and that is exactly what I am going to do.

Houston has not played since Monday night when they won their third game in a row, 98-94 at Indiana, as the Rockets improved to 4-1 now straight up away from home for the year.

Oklahoma City is also riding a winning streak, as they have claimed the straight up win in each of their last 6 games, but the Thunder is at the distinct disadvantage of having had to play last night on the road at Cleveland.

OKC is also dealing with Russell Westbrook's ankle injury which has him listed as questionable for tonight's showdown.

The Rockets did drop 2 of the 3 regular season series meetings from a year ago, but they are in a prime scheduling spot tonight to reverse that trend tonight.

The Thunder is just 1-4 against the spread their last 5 home games versus teams with a winning record, and my feeling is they are due for a loss after 6 straight on the winning side of the ledger.

Lay it with Houston on Thursday.

5* HOUSTON

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Tommy Brunson

Thursday night comp play is the Celtics minus the points over the Suns.

Boston continues on their current 5 game road trip, and things will take a turn for the better tonight as they play against Phoenix.

Thus far, the Celtics have lost both to start this road swing, but playing the 2-8 Suns should put a little pep in their step before they head to Salt Lake City tomorrow for a date with the Jazz.

Boston won both series meetings last year over Phoenix, including a 102-94 win on the Suns home floor.

Phoenix is concluding their 5 game home stand, and they have won just once thus far during this stretch. Their last game was an ugly 104-82 setback to the Nets on Tuesday.

The paltry 82 points the Suns netted is certainly not a fluke, as Phoenix ranks 30th in the league in points scored, averaging just over 100 points per game through their first 10. The C's defense is more than capable of stifling the Suns in this spot as they get themselves in the win column in a convincing way for Thursday.

Boston in need of an easy win gets the easy win.

5* BOSTON

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Insider Sports Report NBA LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS/PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS o224.5

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Odds & News NBA HOUSTON ROCKETS ‑3.5 ‑110

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Tommy King Wins NCAA Football WAKE FOREST DEMON DEACONS +19.5