Sunday 11-11-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

TOMMY BRUNSON

They could only score 14 points last week at home against a very depleted Atlanta defense, and they have not scored more than 23 points in any of their 5 games since their bye-week, but I do think Washington will combine with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to land Over the total here on Week 10 at Raymond James Stadium.

The Bucs are not capable of playing a 10-7 game - at least the stats say they aren't! - as Tampa Bay enters this home game having played Over the total in 7 of their 8 games on the season. It doesn't seem to matter who is under center, the Bucs just like to score - 28.6 points per game - and they like to be scored upon - 34.3 points per game allowed - so why not just plunk down some cash on the Over in this one?!!?!

True, Alex Smith brings a more "safe" dynamic to Jay Gruden's offense, but also consider that prior to this season, Jay Gruden's team had been on a 25-12 Over clip. My feeling is the Redskins get their offense working against the yielding Buccaneers defense, as this one heads north of the total when the dust settles.

'Skins-Bucs Over on Sunday.

2* WASHINGTON-TAMPA BAY OVER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RAY CHADWICK

I guess the Redskins 5-2 mark they entered play with last Sunday was a little bit of "fool's gold", as the Redskins laid a big fat egg at home in a 38-14 beating they absorbed at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons.

Now, Washington must go on the road to play another team from the NFC South, but whereas the Falcons were coming off a bye-week, and also happen to be surging with 3 straight wins, the same cannot be said for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers who are once again playing quarterback roulette. The bigger problem though for the Bucs is their leaky defense which has allowed some big points (42, 27, 23, 34, 48, 30, 21 & 40) this year, and while the Redskins are not known for scoring in droves, I am sure Jay Gruden will be willing to take a few shots this weekend against this porous stop-unit.

Tampa Bay is on a 1-5 slide both straight up and against the spread, while Washington has rebounded from both previous defeats this year with wins and covers over Green Bay and Carolina.

This is the first of 3 on the road for the 'Skins over the next 4 weeks, and it is the one that shapes up to be the easiest on paper to win. I know they don't play them on paper, but with the Bucs defense looking like a paper tiger, chances Alex Smith and the offense get enough going to win this game seems good to me. The fact we are getting a point or two makes me willing to give the Redskins the "mulligan" for last week's setback.

Smith knows how to protect the football, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Jameis Winston are always good for a turnover or two.

'Skins to get us the skins!

3* WASHINGTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SCOTT DELANEY

Is this the week the Oakland Raiders really stick it to the bettors? I mean, they do every week, when fans and squares back them, then lose big. But something tells me Jon Gruden's boys are going into Carson, California and will shock everyone.

This ought to be the week we see just about everyone side against the Raiders, meaning they'll be on the Los Angeles Chargers. And I say Oakland puts forth its best effort and this is the week it covers the spread. Heck, it may catch the Bolts off guard and win this game outright.

The Raiders have been outscored 55-3 over their last five quarters, and they've lost four straight by at least 14 points for the first time in franchise history. The Raiders have also allowed the second most points as a franchise through eight games (252), and are tied for second fewest takeaways (6).

Everything points to a Chargers rout.

And when things are too good to be true, and they look like an easy play (imagine all the survivor pools), that's when bad things happen.

The Chargers' defense is not all that, ranking 19th in the league. The rushing D is suspect, and if Oakland can get anything going, sustain some drives, giving the defense some rest and draining clock, this margin will stay tight.

I won't dare make the Raiders a premium play the rest of the season. But this week I'll take a shot with them as my free play.

2* RAIDERS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GUS AUGUSTINE

Comp play winner for Sunday is the points and the visiting Seahawks over the overvalued Rams.

LA's defense has been giving up some big plays the past couple of weeks - 45 points to New Orleans, and 27 at home to Green Bay the week prior - and they also gave up 31 points in the first series meeting with Seattle back on October 7th in their 33-31 win but no cover over the Seahawks.

The Rams have been asked to cover some large imposts this season, and Sean McVay's team has not been able to get on top of those numbers, as Los Angeles is just 1-4-1 against the spread their last 6 after covering their first 3 this year.

As for the Seahawks, they dropped a tough one at home to the Chargers last week, but they did win outright the last time they were installed as the road dog - at Detroit, 28-14 to close out the month of October.

The underdog in this series has covered 6 of the last 7 meetings, and I would be remiss to fail to mention the Rams do have a very, very big Monday night game against the Kansas City Chiefs up next, so look for this large impost to be just large enough for Seattle to sneak inside of the number.

Seahawks the live dog.

4* SEATTLE

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEPHEN NOVER
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Patriots vs. Titans
Titans+7

What if I told you there was a matchup on the Sunday NFL card where you could take a touchdown with a home team that had won eight of their last 10 home games, had the superior defense with maximum motivation going and was facing an opponent who has yet to look good on the road. Would you be interested? I am - even though it means going against the Patriots. That's the story with Tennessee hosting New England. The Titans are 8-2 SU, 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games at Nissan Stadium, which is one of the more underrated strong home fields. The Patriots have done little in their road matchups. They lost by double-digits to the Jaguars and Lions in their first two road games. New England was outgained and needed two touchdowns that didn't come from its offense to subdue the Bears in Chicago, 38-31, and only managed one touchdown on offense to beat the Bills, 25-6, in their last away contest. The 2-7 Bills, with the worst offense in the NFL in years, was set to cover in that game until third-string quarterback Derek Anderson threw a pick-six with less than six minutes left. So I think it's fair to say the Patriots have been less than impressive away from Foxboro. The Titans are going to be sky-high for this matchup. Not only do they have playoff revenge, but the Titans feature a number of former Patriots. The list includes running back Dion Lewis, cornerbacks Malcom Butler and Logan Ryan along with defensive coordinator Dean Pees and head coach Mike Vrabel, a longtime player and linebacker coach for Bill Belichick. Even though this is a non-division game, the Titans are going to know the Patriots extremely well. From a matchup standpoint, the Titans offense has picked up since Marcus Mariota discarded a glove he had to wear on his throwing hand. A healthy Mariota accounted for three touchdowns and a season-high 119.9 passer rating in the Titans' 28-14 road win against the Cowboys this past Monday. The Patriots rank third-from-the-bottom in sacks and are 26th in pass defense. By contrast, the Titans give up the fewest points per game in the NFL at 17.6. The Titans don't reside in the Patriot League, I mean AFC East Division either. New England's offense hasn't been at full strength with both Rob Gronkowski, its top receiving threat, and Sony Michel, its best runner, both missing last week. Each is questionable for Sunday. I'm not in the habit of fading the Patriots, but this is the matchup and spot to do it.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LARRY NESS
NFL | Nov 11, 2018
Chargers vs. Raiders
Chargers-9½

My free play is on the LA Chargers at 4:05 ET.

Philip Rivers is often overlooked when in a discussion of "best NFL quarterbacks." However, Rivers is in his 15th season and he has not missed a start since making the first of his career in the 2006 season opener. When the 6-2 Chargers visit the woeful 1-7 Oakland Raiders on Sunday, the 36-year-old QB will be making his 201st consecutive start. He enters the game third in the NFL with a 116.5 QB rating and is tied for fourth with 19 TD passes, while throwing only three interceptions. His counterpart is Oakland's Derek Carr, who comes in completing 72.3% of his passes but owns a more modest 94.8.QB rating, while throwing just 10 TDs against eight NTs. Carr was sacked SEVEN times in the team's Week 9 loss and Oakland's young, injury-plagued offensive line has made things difficult for him, as he's been sacked 24 times this season and "roughed up" many more times.

Rivers will lead the Chargers onto to field looking for a SIXTH straight victory. The team hasn't lost since dropping a 35-23 decision at the Los Angeles Rams in Week 3 and currently occupies the top wild-card spot in the AFC. Rivers joined Brett Favre (297), Eli Manning (210) and Peyton Manning (208) as the only quarterbacks in NFL history to start at least 200 consecutive games. He has recorded two touchdown tosses and a passer rating of 95 or higher in each of the Chargers' first eight contests and will join Aaron Rodgers (13 in 2011) and Tom Brady (10 in 2007) as the only QBs to do so in their teams' initial nine games with another such performance on Sunday. RB Melvin Gordon may not be Todd Gurley but he's not too far behind, rushing for 579 yards (5.4 YPC / 7 TDs) plus adding 31 catches for three TDs. A healthy Keenan Allen leads in catches (47) and receiving yards (640) but Tyrell and Mike Williams each have five TD catches, while averaging 20.5 and 18.8 YPC, respectively.

Oakland comes in off four straight defeats, a slide that began with a 26-10 setback against the Chargers in Los Angeles in Week 5. The Raiders have allowed 76 points in their last two games, including a 34-3 loss at San Francisco in Week 9 (Thursday game). The Raiders have allowed at least 20 points in every contest during coach Jon Gruden's first season on the sideline since 2008 with Tampa Bay (Oakland allows 31.5 PPG on the season, ranking 31st of 32 teams). The Raiders are tied with the 1-7 NY Giants for the worst record in the NFL.

Bottom line is, the Raiders are just NOT not getting better. They are coming off their most embarrassing game of the season, a 34-3 loss to a 49ers team that was 1-7 at the time and was starting a QB (Nick Mullens) who began the season on the practice squad and was making his NFL debut against Oakland. The Chargers are 3-1 SU & ATS on the road in 2018, losing only at the 8-1 Rams. Looking back further, the Chargers are 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 road games plus are 5-0 ATS in their last five November games. The Chargers beat the Raiders 26-10 back on Oct 7 but the venue change (Oakland, not LA) shouldn't much alter the result. Take the Chargers.

Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS
(NFL)
Bears
Falcons
Dolphins
Eagles

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BUSTER SPORTS

Event: (507) Milwaukee Bucks at (508) Denver Nuggets
Sport/League: NBA
Date/Time: November 11, 2018 8PM EST
Play: 1H Denver Nuggets -1.5 (-110)

We will be taking the home club here for the first half as the Bucks play their second game of a back to back and the dreaded third game in 4 nights. Milwaukee had to go to OT yesterday in a 128-126 loss to the Clippers and now face one of the best teams in the NBA this year coming off their first home loss of the season. Denver will come out strong early tonight especially after losing to the up and coming Nets in their last home start. At the time of this writing we are laying only 1 1/2 for the first half line and that is exactly what we will do. So lets get the job done with the Denver Nuggets as your free play for today.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Churchill Downs

11/11/18, CD, Race 8, 4.36 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.07.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $82,000.
Claiming Price $62,500 (Races Where Entered For $50,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 8-9-10)
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 21.79, $1 ROI 0.64, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 1 Shanghai Tariff 4-1 De La Cruz F DiVito James P. EWL
098.9546 7 Maybe Wicked(b-) 3-1 Geroux F Cox Brad H. JT
097.7072 3 Bizzee Mischief 6-1 Leparoux J R Manley Steve
097.0804 6 Quick Quick Quick 4-1 Landeros C Wilkes Ian R. C
096.7370 2 Nineteenth Street 4-1 Saez G Margolis Steve
096.3725 4 Foxy Mischief(b-) 15-1 Lanerie C J Hiles Rick
095.6287 5 Go Lady Jay 7/2 Albarado R Rainwater Bradlee SF

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 24, 2018 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 11, 2018 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 11, 2018 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 STREET GENT 2/1

# 5 FLASH BULLETT 5/2

# 6 CHESTER B 10/1

STREET GENT looks to be a decent contender. Ought to compete well in the pace contest which bodes well with this group. Is a key contender - given the 89 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race. He has earned quite good figures under today's conditions and will probably fare well against this group. FLASH BULLETT - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look respectable in this contest. Hard to pass on this gelding with Ramirez in the irons. CHESTER B - Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of quite good win percentage - 18 percent - at this distance & surface. Boasts strong Equibase Speed Figs on average overall when compared with the rest of this group.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Del Mar - Race #5 - Post: 2:30pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $32,000 Class Rating: 95

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 FALCONE (ML=6/1)
#1 RUMPUS CAT (ML=5/2)


FALCONE - I like to see consistency in a racehorse. Look at this colt's PPs. Almost always in the money. This colt ran well in his last race but just couldn't beat the winner. Note that he was well clear of the show horse, and looks like a major contender in this field. Earnings per start (EPS) is something that I believe can be a vital handicapping factor. This horse is ranked at the top in this group. Had a solid closing move last time around the track, running the last quarter in less than 25 seconds. A similar race today, and it's straight to the winner's circle. May be extremely hard to beat this steed on the grass today. Last race out scored a nice turf figure, the highest of any of these animals. RUMPUS CAT - Taking this jockey/trainer combination is a good decision. Great average class rating on this horse. Should have the form to run well on the turf. I really like that last effort on Oct 12th at Santa Anita where he ran second. This colt recorded a strong speed rating of 95 in his last event. That speed figure should be strong enough to prove victorious this time out. Horse has improved at least two speed fig points in last two races. I look for that to continue to trend in a positive direction right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SHAKY ALIBI (ML=2/1), #4 MO BOB (IRE) (ML=3/1), #5 AUSSIE FOX (ML=8/1),

SHAKY ALIBI - Didn't land in the top three on October 21st after the very long layoff. Be doubtful of this horse today. This gelding recorded a speed fig in his last contest which probably isn't good enough today. MO BOB (IRE) - I don't possess a 'use' intuition about this pony in this event. AUSSIE FOX - Showed very little in the last race. Really don't see any hint of any change today. The speed figs are going downward. I'm not wagering on this less than sharp equine off of that trend.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 FALCONE to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park West

11/11/18, GPW, Race 5, 2.00 ET
6F [Dirt] 1.08.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
Claiming Price $16,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $1 Super Hi 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 24.00, $1 ROI 0.61, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 6 Valerie First 8-1 Cruz M R Collazo Henry FW
099.5232 4 Mia's Bobtail 9/5 Maragh R R Minott Leon TC
097.4674 8 All About Hay 20-1 Maragh T Maragh Allen
096.7693 3 Princes Dynamite 2-1 Zayas E J Sano Antonio EL
095.8334 11 Russian Roulette 6-1 Camacho S Thomas Monte R. J
095.7036 10 Tong Shu 20-1 Berrios H I Mejia Jaime S
095.2949 9 Allez Allez 15-1 Reyes L Rodriguez Juan Andres
093.8463 1 Steady Rock 20-1 Hernandez J H Negrete Javier
093.5959 7 Yita 20-1 Montalvo C Munoz Carlos
091.4439 2 My Little Rosy(b+) 15-1 Martinez O Westlye Kenneth
090.6853 5 Aurora Nation 30-1 Carmona K Jehaludi Mohamed

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
Laurel Park - Race 2

EXACTA &TRIFECTA / DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 2-3) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 2-3-4) / 50 cent PICK 4 (RACES 2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


SO $25,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $28,000 • Post: 1:00P
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING $25,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * TAMBORA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. VINEYARD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GODLOVESASINNER: Horse has the highest TrackM aster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. STROLL SMOKIN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
3
TAMBORA
5/2

9/2
1
VINEYARD
3/1

5/1
4
GODLOVESASINNER
6/1

7/1
7
STROLL SMOKIN
6/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
VINEYARD
1

3/1
Front-runner
83

89

89.6

74.3

70.3
3
TAMBORA
3

5/2
Front-runner
88

88

88.8

79.3

72.8
7
STROLL SMOKIN
7

6/1
Front-runner
95

86

86.2

69.9

62.4
2
JACK OF SPADES
2

12/1
Front-runner
73

66

78.8

51.0

39.0
4
GODLOVESASINNER
4

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
84

78

82.4

72.8

69.8
6
FREE TO TRUMP
6

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72

74

80.0

59.6

49.1
5
CALCULATED THINKIN
5

7/2
Alternator/Non-contender
66

72

75.8

61.8

51.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Parx Racing
Parx Racing - Race 5

Daily Double / Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 50 cent Pick 4 (Races 5-8) / 10 cent Superfecta


Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $20,500 • Post: 2:13P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DIE HARD DI: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top thre e in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SPEEDY A. P.: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CONQUEST KRONOS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SHIITAKE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
1A
DIE HARD DI
5/2

9/2
3C
SPEEDY A. P.
9/2

6/1
2
CONQUEST KRONOS
4/1

7/1
1
SHIITAKE
5/2

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
9
LORI'S FOLLY
12

5/1
Front-runner
72

70

66.9

57.7

40.2
1A
DIE HARD DI
2

5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
85

76

54.8

68.5

60.0
3C
SPEEDY A. P.
9

9/2
Stalker
79

69

61.8

70.0

60.5
2
CONQUEST KRONOS
4

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
87

77

74.0

65.6

55.6
1
SHIITAKE
1

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
75

72

69.6

64.4

50.4
8
NINETYEIGHTTWO
11

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
69

73

69.2

59.7

47.7
5
D. S. BOYD
5

15/1
Alternator/Stalker
71

73

58.0

67.0

52.0
7
TRUE BLUE
10

20/1
Trailer
56

62

50.0

55.8

35.8
2X
TAKE THE STROMBOLI
7

4/1
Trailer
80

72

43.2

70.2

61.7
4
MARIO'S REVENGE
3

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
84

76

72.6

47.4

29.9
3
BROCKTON GEORGE
8

9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
95

79

66.8

63.4

56.9
6
BENNYLUVSPOKER
6

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
80

71

59.8

63.8

50.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #6 - Post: 3:12pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 88

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 PUNDY (ML=15/1)
#1 PLAYOFF BOUND (ML=4/5)


PUNDY - All systems look good for this gelding. Last workout, 2nd fastest of the day, shows he's fit and ready. This animal wins a lot of money per start. Tops in this race. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back. PLAYOFF BOUND - This jock and trainer have a terrific winning pct when they team up. Based on this gelding's recent efforts, he should be aided by today's shorter distance. You have to really like that recent race fig, 84, which is the best recent race speed rating of this group. Diodoro has a very strong win percent in grass sprints. This gelding should be ready to go.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 DARE TO ENTER (ML=7/2), #5 FIRST TO THE WIRE (ML=9/2), #3 THORNY ISSUE (ML=6/1),

DARE TO ENTER - You think this equine is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't win regularly. The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine. FIRST TO THE WIRE - This gelding hasn't had any positive results in sprint affairs in the last couple of months. Could be tough for this horse to beat this field off of that last fig. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure close to today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the questionable contenders list. THORNY ISSUE - This gelding is always in the mix, but just doesn't win. Hard to bet on him on the top end. Finished second in his most recent effort with a mediocre fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to triumph after that in this group.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #7 PUNDY to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass