Sunday 11-11-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369828

    #31
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 10 - Optional Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $62300 Class Rating: 95

    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 11, 2017 OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $62,500,


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 4 ICKYMASHO (GB) 6/5

    # 7 SPARKLES' GIRL 5/2

    # 3 CRUMLIN QUEEN 10/1

    ICKYMASHO (GB) looks to be a strong contender. Looks to have a decent class edge based on the recent company kept. Has garnered solid Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. With one of the most competitive jockeys in terms of gains at the window, don't count this mare out. SPARKLES' GIRL - With a formidable jockey who has won at a competitive 25 percent rate over the last month. This has to be one of the top selections. Has very good early lick and should fare very well against this group. CRUMLIN QUEEN - Had one of the strongest Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last contest.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369828

      #32
      BIG AL

      Our complimentary selection for Sunday, Nov. 11 is:

      Marshall -7.5 over Hofstra.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369828

        #33
        NCAAB
        Dunkel

        Sunday, November 11


        Appalachian St @ Alabama

        Game 513-514
        November 11, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Appalachian St
        53.253
        Alabama
        64.774
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Alabama
        by 11 1/2
        148
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Alabama
        by 14
        144 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Appalachian St
        (+14); Over

        Hofstra @ Marshall

        Game 515-516
        November 11, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Hofstra
        58.515
        Marshall
        58.858
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Hofstra
        Even
        162
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Marshall
        by 7 1/2
        167 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Hofstra
        (+7 1/2); Under

        George Washington @ Virginia

        Game 517-518
        November 11, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        George Washington
        44.969
        Virginia
        76.111
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Virginia
        by 31
        121
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Virginia
        by 25 1/2
        126
        Dunkel Pick:
        Virginia
        (-25 1/2); Under

        Florida Atlantic @ UCF

        Game 519-520
        November 11, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Florida Atlantic
        40.471
        UCF
        66.800
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        UCF
        by 26 1/2
        148
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        UCF
        by 22
        140
        Dunkel Pick:
        UCF
        (-22); Over

        Green Bay @ Iowa

        Game 521-522
        November 11, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Green Bay
        48.438
        Iowa
        62.751
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Iowa
        by 14 1/2
        164
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Iowa
        by 19 1/2
        160
        Dunkel Pick:
        Green Bay
        (+19 1/2); Over

        Drexel @ Rutgers

        Game 523-524
        November 11, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Drexel
        51.565
        Rutgers
        61.660
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Rutgers
        by 10
        132
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Rutgers
        by 13
        139 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Drexel
        (+13); Under

        Southern Miss @ SMU

        Game 525-526
        November 11, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Southern Miss
        49.907
        SMU
        56.077
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        SMU
        by 7
        133
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        SMU
        by 11 1/2
        138
        Dunkel Pick:
        Southern Miss
        (+11 1/2); Under

        Florida State @ Tulane

        Game 527-528
        November 11, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Florida State
        69.545
        Tulane
        58.106
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Florida State
        by 11 1/2
        157
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Florida State
        by 14
        151
        Dunkel Pick:
        Tulane
        (+14); Over

        Cal Poly @ Arizona

        Game 529-530
        November 11, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Cal Poly
        39.314
        Arizona
        66.955
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Arizona
        by 27 1/2
        147
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Arizona
        by 22
        141
        Dunkel Pick:
        Arizona
        (-22); Over

        Vanderbilt @ USC

        Game 531-532
        November 11, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Vanderbilt
        61.506
        USC
        66.341
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        USC
        by 5
        156
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        USC
        by 2 1/2
        150
        Dunkel Pick:
        USC
        (-2 1/2); Over

        North Texas @ Hawaii

        Game 533-534
        November 11, 2018 @ 11:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        North Texas
        59.872
        Hawaii
        52.880
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        North Texas
        by 7
        143
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        North Texas
        by 1
        No Total
        Dunkel Pick:
        North Texas
        (-1); N/A

        E Tenn State @ Creighton

        Game 535-536
        November 11, 2018 @ 1:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        E Tenn State
        52.480
        Creighton
        69.988
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Creighton
        by 17 1/2
        142
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Creighton
        by 12
        146 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Creighton
        (-12); Under

        Santa Barbara @ North Dakota St

        Game 537-538
        November 11, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Santa Barbara
        51.292
        North Dakota St
        55.760
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        North Dakota St
        by 4 1/2
        145
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        North Dakota St
        by 1
        140 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        North Dakota St
        (-1); Over

        IPFW @ Ohio State

        Game 539-540
        November 11, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        IPFW
        51.818
        Ohio State
        71.345
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Ohio State
        by 19 1/2
        146
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Ohio State
        by 17
        149
        Dunkel Pick:
        Ohio State
        (-17); Under

        Oral Roberts @ TCU

        Game 541-542
        November 11, 2018 @ 5:00 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Oral Roberts
        45.344
        TCU
        68.107
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        TCU
        by 23
        140
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        TCU
        by 20 1/2
        146
        Dunkel Pick:
        TCU
        (-20 1/2); Under
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369828

          #34
          NCAAB
          Long Sheet

          Sunday, November 11

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          APPALACHIAN ST (1 - 0) at ALABAMA (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          APPALACHIAN ST is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in a road game where the total is 140 to 144.5 since 1997.
          ALABAMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          HOFSTRA (1 - 0) at MARSHALL (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 2:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MARSHALL is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          MARSHALL is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          MARSHALL is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          GEORGE WASHINGTON (0 - 2) at VIRGINIA (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          GEORGE WASHINGTON is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          GEORGE WASHINGTON is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          GEORGE WASHINGTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          GEORGE WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          GEORGE WASHINGTON is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          GEORGE WASHINGTON is 48-70 ATS (-29.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
          GEORGE WASHINGTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          VIRGINIA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          VIRGINIA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          VIRGINIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          VIRGINIA is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in November games since 1997.
          VIRGINIA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          FLA ATLANTIC (1 - 0) at UCF (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 3:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          FLA ATLANTIC is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
          UCF is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          UCF is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
          UCF is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          WI-GREEN BAY (1 - 1) at IOWA (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 3:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          IOWA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          DREXEL (0 - 1) at RUTGERS (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 3:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          RUTGERS is 1-0 against the spread versus DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
          RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against DREXEL over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          SOUTHERN MISS (1 - 0) at SMU (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 3:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          FLORIDA ST (1 - 0) at TULANE (0 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 7:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
          FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          CAL POLY-SLO (1 - 0) at ARIZONA (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          VANDERBILT (1 - 0) at USC (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          USC is 1-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
          USC is 1-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          N TEXAS (3 - 0) at HAWAII (2 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 11:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          HAWAII is 75-50 ATS (+20.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
          N TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          E TENN ST (1 - 1) at CREIGHTON (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 1:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CREIGHTON is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in November games since 1997.
          CREIGHTON is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
          E TENN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          E TENN ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          E TENN ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          E TENN ST is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          UC-SANTA BARBARA (1 - 0) at N DAKOTA ST (0 - 1) - 11/11/2018, 2:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
          N DAKOTA ST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          N DAKOTA ST is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          N DAKOTA ST is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 against the spread versus N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
          UC-SANTA BARBARA is 1-0 straight up against N DAKOTA ST over the last 3 seasons
          1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          IUPU-FT WAYNE (1 - 1) at OHIO ST (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 4:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          IUPU-FT WAYNE is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
          IUPU-FT WAYNE is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          IUPU-FT WAYNE is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
          IUPU-FT WAYNE is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
          IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
          IUPU-FT WAYNE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          IUPU-FT WAYNE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
          IUPU-FT WAYNE is 71-45 ATS (+21.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


          ORAL ROBERTS (1 - 1) at TCU (1 - 0) - 11/11/2018, 5:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ORAL ROBERTS is 98-132 ATS (-47.2 Units) in all games since 1997.
          ORAL ROBERTS is 98-132 ATS (-47.2 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
          TCU is 110-150 ATS (-55.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
          TCU is 110-150 ATS (-55.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.


          Head-to-Head Series History
          There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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          Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
          Twitter@cpawsports


          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369828

            #35
            NCAAB

            Sunday, November 11

            Alabama beat Southern by 20 in its opener, despite turning ball over 20 times (-5). Crimson Tide has three starters back from a 20-16 that lost in 2nd round of NCAA’s. Appalachian State has four starters back from a 15-18 team that broke even (9-9) in Sun Belt LY; they start two juniors, two seniors, are picked to finish in middle of Sun Belt. ASU beat up on a stiff team in their opener. Last 3 years, SEC teams are 17-9 vs spread when playing Sun Belt teams.

            Marshall won its opener 105-77 at Eastern Kentucky in a 91-possession track meet; doubtful Hofstra is going to let this game get this fast. Hofstra won its opener 59-41 vs Mt St Mary’s, in a 73-possession game; Pride start two juniors, three seniors- they had only 8 turnovers. Marshall has four starters back from a 25-11 team that won a game in NCAA’s LY; they’re expected to be near the top of C-USA. Hofstra has four starters back from a 19-12 team that ranked #136 nationally in tempo. Last 3+ years, CAA teams are 16-12 vs spread vs C-USA teams.

            Central Florida has three starters back from a 19-13 team that went 9-9 in AAC; Knights beat Rider by 14 in their opener, going 25-45 on foul line, 5-22 on arc. UCF starts two juniors, two seniors. Florida Atlantic lost four starters from a 12-19 team; the coach got fired, so this is a total rebuild for the Owls.. FAU started two frosh, two seniors in its opener, an easy win over a stiff; they were only 9-33 on the arc. New coach May was a Florida/La Tech assistant, so he knows C-USA. Last 3+ years, C-USA teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing AAC teams.

            Green Bay split its first two games, losing 78-74 at home to Indiana State Friday- they were 7-31 on arc vs ISU. Green Bay likes to play fast; they start four juniors, one senior; nine guys played 17:00+ vs ISU. Phoenix has three new starters but played lot of frosh off bench LW so that should pay off this year. Iowa has 90.3% of its scoring back from LY’s 14-19 team that went 4-14 in Big 14; Hawkeyes were 28-38 on foul line in their 77-63 win over UMKC in their opener. Iowa plays only one senior (he’s a sub); they start three juniors.

            Rutgers beat Drexel 87-56 in last meeting two years ago; Scarlet Knights won opener this year 90-55 over FDU, making 12-20 on arc. Rutgers starts two sophs, two juniors; they’ve got there starters back from a 15-19 team that went 3-15 in Big 14- they’re picked near bottom again this year. Drexel lost its opener by 4 at Eastern Michigan; Dragons were 13-34 on arc, 8-23 inside arc vs EMU’s 2-3 zone. Drexel starts two juniors, two seniors; they lost three starters from a 13-20 team that went 6-12 in CAA. Big 14 teams are 4-3-1 vs spread in last eight games vs CAA foes.

            Southern Mississippi has four starters back from 16-18 team that went 7-11 in C-USA; Eagles started three seniors, one junior in an opening 111-66 win over a stiff, ad that was with USM making only 10-34 on the arc. SMU was 9-36 on arc in its 69-58 win vs Northwestern State in its opener; Mustangs start two sophs, two seniors. SMU lost three starters from a 17-16 team that faded down stretch LY; they’re picked to finish in middle of AAC pack this year. Last 3+ years, C-USA teams are 11-10 vs spread when playing AAC teams.

            Florida State pounded Florida 81-60 in its opener Tuesday; FSU starts three seniors, a junior- they’re a preseason top 20 team that has three starters back from a 23-12 team that broke even (9-9) in ACC LY- they’re picked to finish near top of the ACC. Seminoles beat Tulane 72-53 in LY’s meeting, forcing 19 (+6) Green Wave turnovers. Tulane has three starters back from LY in Year 3 of Mike Dunleavy era, but Melvin Frazier’s jump to the pros hurts this Green Wave team. Last three years, ACC teams are 12-8 vs spread when playing an AAC team.

            USC beat Vanderbilt 93-89 in OT in Nashville LY; they were down 10 with 9:37 left, but USC was +10 (16-6) in turnovers and made 12-26 on arc. Trojans won their opener by 21 over Robert Morris, but were down 4 with 12:17 left- they played only one senior, are picked in top-third of Pac-12. Vanderbilt has three starters back from 12-20 team that went 6-12 in SEC; they beat Winthrop by 13 in their opener, a fast, 79-possession game. Commodores are picked to finish in middle of SEC pack. Last 3+ years, Pac-12 teams are 16-6 vs spread when playing SEC teams.

            North Texas is already 3-0, beating two stiffs, and then beating Portland 78-73 last nite, when only three UNT guys played more than 27:00. Mean Green starts a freshman, two sophs even though they’ve got all five guys back from LY’s 20-18 team that went 8-10 in C-USA. UNT has four pretty good guards but are thin up front. Hawai’i has three starters back from a 17-13 team that went 8-8 in Big West. Rainbows beat that Portland team by 18 Friday, then beat up on a stiff last night. Hawai’i start two juniors, two seniors- they’re picked in middle of Big West.

            East Tennessee State lost its opener 74-68 at Georgia State; they led by 4 with 7:04 left. Bucs then beat up on a stiff Friday; ETSU starts three sophs, two juniors- they were only 4-23 on arc vs Georgia State- they’re picked to finish near top of SoCon. Creighton beat Western Illinois by 11 in its opener; they were only up a hoop at half. Bluejays were 11-23 on arc; they start two sophs, two juniors but were only 9-20 on foul line. Bluejays lost three starters from a 21-12 team that went 10-8 in Big East- they’re picked to finish near bottom of Big East.

            Cal-Santa Barbara won its opener at Wyoming, now ventures to North Dakota State; interesting road trip. Gauchos started a frosh, two sophs in Laramie- they were -9 (18-9) in turnovers, but shot 61% inside arc. UCSB made 12-22 on arc in LY’s 85-66 home win over the Bison; Gauchos are picked in middle of Big West pack. ND State lost its opener 73-56 at New Mexico State; they started three juniors, didn’t play any seniors. Bison has eight players back from LY but lost its leading scorer. Last 3+ years, Big West teams are 8-10 vs spread when playing Summit teams.

            Ohio State got quality 64-56 win at Cincinnati in its opener; Buckeyes start two sophs, one frosh- they were up 16 and then held on late. OSU lost three starters back from a 25-9 team that won an NCAA tourney game; they’re picked to finish in middle of Big 14 pack. Fort Wayne lost its opener 96-71 at UCLA; Mastodons were 9-37- they start two juniors, two seniors. FW beat up on a D-III game Friday; they’re picked to finish near top of the Summit League. Last 3+ years, Summit League teams are 14-7-1 vs spread when playing Big 14 teams.

            TCU won its opener 66-61 over a pretty good Bakersfield team; they trailed by 11 early in 2nd half. Horned Frogs have three starters back from a 21-12 team that made the NCAAs LY; they start two frosh, two seniors, which is odd. Oral Roberts lost its opener 84-50 at Missouri State; Eagles starts three juniors, one senior- they’ve got two starters back from 11-21 team that went 5-9 in Summit League. ORU was 5-28 on arc at Missouri State, then beat up on a stiff team couple days later. Last 3+ years, Big X teams are 11-6 vs spread when playing Summit teams.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369828

              #36
              NCAAB

              Sunday, November 11

              Trend Report


              St. Francis-Brooklyn @ Boston College
              St. Francis-Brooklyn

              No trends to report

              Boston College

              Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Francis-Brooklyn
              Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Francis-Brooklyn

              Army @ Duke
              Army

              No trends to report

              Duke

              Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army
              Duke is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Army

              Colgate @ Cornell
              Colgate

              No trends to report

              Cornell

              Cornell is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
              Cornell is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

              Goucher College @ VMI
              Goucher College

              No trends to report

              VMI

              No trends to report

              Emerson College @ Boston University
              Emerson College

              No trends to report

              Boston University

              No trends to report

              East Tennessee State @ Creighton
              East Tennessee State

              No trends to report

              Creighton

              Creighton is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Creighton's last 5 games

              George Washington @ Virginia
              George Washington

              The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Washington's last 5 games
              George Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

              Virginia

              Virginia is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
              Virginia is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home

              Brown @ NJIT
              Brown

              Brown is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              Brown is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

              NJIT

              No trends to report

              Goshen @ Eastern Michigan
              Goshen

              No trends to report

              Eastern Michigan

              Eastern Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
              Eastern Michigan is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

              UC-Santa Barbara @ North Dakota State
              UC-Santa Barbara

              UC-Santa Barbara is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
              UC-Santa Barbara is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

              North Dakota State

              North Dakota State is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
              North Dakota State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

              Hofstra @ Marshall
              Hofstra

              Hofstra is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
              Hofstra is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

              Marshall

              Marshall is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games at home
              Marshall is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

              Drexel @ Rutgers
              Drexel

              Drexel is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
              Drexel is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games

              Rutgers

              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rutgers's last 6 games
              Rutgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

              Southern Mississippi @ Southern Methodist
              Southern Mississippi

              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Mississippi's last 6 games when playing Southern Methodist
              Southern Mississippi is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

              Southern Methodist

              Southern Methodist is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Mississippi
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing Southern Mississippi

              Florida Atlantic @ Central Florida
              Florida Atlantic

              Florida Atlantic is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Central Florida
              Florida Atlantic is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games when playing Central Florida

              Central Florida

              Central Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
              Central Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

              Wisconsin-Green Bay @ Iowa
              Wisconsin-Green Bay

              Wisconsin-Green Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin-Green Bay's last 5 games on the road

              Iowa

              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Iowa's last 7 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 6 games

              Southeastern Louisiana @ Nebraska
              Southeastern Louisiana

              No trends to report

              Nebraska

              Nebraska is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
              Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home

              Stetson @ Missouri State
              Stetson

              No trends to report

              Missouri State

              Missouri State is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Missouri State's last 7 games at home

              IPFW @ Ohio State
              IPFW

              The total has gone OVER in 10 of IPFW's last 14 games on the road
              IPFW is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games on the road

              Ohio State

              Ohio State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
              Ohio State is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

              Lamar @ East Carolina
              Lamar

              No trends to report

              East Carolina

              East Carolina is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 13 of East Carolina's last 19 games

              Central Penn College @ Howard
              Central Penn College

              No trends to report

              Howard

              No trends to report

              Middle Georgia @ Savannah State
              Middle Georgia

              No trends to report

              Savannah State

              No trends to report

              Wesley @ Towson
              Wesley

              No trends to report

              Towson

              Towson is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Towson's last 7 games

              UMKC @ Connecticut
              UMKC

              UMKC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
              UMKC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

              Connecticut

              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Connecticut's last 10 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games at home

              Oral Roberts @ TCU
              Oral Roberts

              No trends to report

              TCU

              TCU is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of TCU's last 5 games

              Sam Houston State @ Louisiana Tech
              Sam Houston State

              No trends to report

              Louisiana Tech

              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games at home

              Hartford @ Mississippi State
              Hartford

              No trends to report

              Mississippi State

              Mississippi State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
              Mississippi State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

              Cal Poly @ Arizona
              Cal Poly

              Cal Poly is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
              Cal Poly is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

              Arizona

              Arizona is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games at home

              Dartmouth @ Loyola-Maryland
              Dartmouth

              Dartmouth is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
              Dartmouth is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games

              Loyola-Maryland

              No trends to report

              Huntingdon College @ South Alabama
              Huntingdon College

              No trends to report

              South Alabama

              South Alabama is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
              South Alabama is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

              Wabash @ Northern Kentucky
              Wabash

              No trends to report

              Northern Kentucky

              No trends to report

              Florida Gulf Coast @ Michigan State
              Florida Gulf Coast

              No trends to report

              Michigan State

              Michigan State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
              Michigan State is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

              LaGrange @ Alabama State
              LaGrange

              No trends to report

              Alabama State

              No trends to report

              Appalachian State @ Alabama
              Appalachian State

              Appalachian State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Appalachian State's last 9 games on the road

              Alabama

              Alabama is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Alabama's last 12 games at home

              Florida State @ Tulane
              Florida State

              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games on the road
              Florida State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

              Tulane

              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane's last 6 games at home
              Tulane is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

              Nicholls State @ Washington State
              Nicholls State

              No trends to report

              Washington State

              Washington State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington State's last 6 games at home

              Utah Valley @ Saint Mary's-California
              Utah Valley

              Utah Valley is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
              Utah Valley is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road

              Saint Mary's-California

              Saint Mary's-California is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
              Saint Mary's-California is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games

              Presentation College @ Montana State
              Presentation College

              No trends to report

              Montana State

              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montana State's last 5 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Montana State's last 8 games

              Vanderbilt @ USC
              Vanderbilt

              The total has gone OVER in 9 of Vanderbilt's last 13 games
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games on the road

              USC

              USC is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
              The total has gone UNDER in 14 of USC's last 18 games

              Bryant @ Seattle
              Bryant

              No trends to report

              Seattle

              Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

              North Texas @ Hawaii
              North Texas

              North Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              North Texas is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road

              Hawaii

              Hawaii is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home
              Hawaii is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369828

                #37
                NBA
                Long Sheet

                Sunday, November 11

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                CHARLOTTE (6 - 6) at DETROIT (6 - 5) - 11/11/2018, 3:35 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                CHARLOTTE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
                CHARLOTTE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
                4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                INDIANA (8 - 5) at HOUSTON (4 - 7) - 11/11/2018, 7:05 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                INDIANA is 58-42 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                INDIANA is 81-56 ATS (+19.4 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
                INDIANA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
                INDIANA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
                HOUSTON is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
                5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                ORLANDO (5 - 7) at NEW YORK (4 - 9) - 11/11/2018, 7:35 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                ORLANDO is 74-99 ATS (-34.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                ORLANDO is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                ORLANDO is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
                ORLANDO is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
                ORLANDO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                ORLANDO is 27-48 ATS (-25.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
                NEW YORK is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                NEW YORK is 4-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                NEW YORK is 4-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
                5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                MILWAUKEE (9 - 3) at DENVER (9 - 3) - 11/11/2018, 8:05 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                MILWAUKEE is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in road games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
                MILWAUKEE is 271-325 ATS (-86.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
                MILWAUKEE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
                MILWAUKEE is 88-62 ATS (+19.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
                MILWAUKEE is 46-26 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                DENVER is 4-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                BOSTON (7 - 5) at PORTLAND (9 - 3) - 11/11/2018, 9:05 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                PORTLAND is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                PORTLAND is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 64-45 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                BOSTON is 41-26 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                BOSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                ATLANTA (3 - 9) at LA LAKERS (6 - 6) - 11/11/2018, 9:35 PM
                Top Trends for this game.
                ATLANTA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                LA LAKERS are 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
                LA LAKERS are 163-209 ATS (-66.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

                Head-to-Head Series History
                LA LAKERS is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                LA LAKERS is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
                3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369828

                  #38
                  NBA

                  Sunday, November 11

                  Charlotte split its first 12 games; they’re 2-3 on road, 3-1 as AU. Three of their last four games stayed under. won its last two games after a 5-game skid; they’re 3-2 at home, 0-2-1 as HF. Four of their last six games went over the total. Home side won eight of last ten Charlotte-Detroit games; Hornets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine series games.

                  Indiana won six of its last nine games; they’re 5-2 on road, 1-2 as AU. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Houston is off to a 4-7 start; they’re 0-4 at home, 0-4 as HF. Rockets’ last four games stayed under. Rockets won their last three games with Indiana by 4-21-23 points; last six series games stayed under the total. Pacers are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Houston.

                  Orlando won three of its las four games; they’re 2-2 on road, 3-1 as AU. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Knicks lost nine of their last 12 games; they’re 2-4 at home, 2-1 as HF. Over is 3-2 in their last five games. Road team won six of last seven Orlando-New York games; Magic covered their last three trips to Manhattan. Three of last four series games stayed under total.

                  Milwaukee lost three of its last five games after a 7-0 start; they’re 3-3 on road, 1-1 as AU. Five of their last six games went over. Denver lost its last two games after a 9-1 start; they’re 6-1 at home, 4-2 as HF. Under is 8-3-1 in their games this year. Nuggets won six of last seven games with Milwaukee, covering three of last four; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Bucks are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Denver.

                  Boston lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-4 on road, 1-3 as AU. Five of their last six games went over. Trailblazers won six of their last seven games; they’re 6-2 at home, 5-2 as HF. Six of their last seven games stayed under the total. Celtics won five of their last seven games with Portland; they covered four of last five visits to Oregon. Four of last five series games went over.

                  Atlanta lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 1-5 on road, 2-4 as AU. Four of their last six games went over the total. Lakers won in Sacramento last nite; they won four of their last five games, are 3-3 at home, 0-4 as HF. Under is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Lakers won/covered their last four games with Atlanta; over is 3-1 in last four series games. Hawks covered one of last five series games in Staples.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369828

                    #39
                    NBA

                    Sunday, November 11

                    Trend Report

                    Charlotte Hornets
                    Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games
                    Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                    Charlotte is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 9 games when playing Detroit
                    Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                    Charlotte is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Charlotte's last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                    Detroit Pistons
                    Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                    Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
                    Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                    Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
                    Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games when playing Charlotte
                    Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
                    Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte
                    The total has gone OVER in 11 of Detroit's last 13 games when playing at home against Charlotte


                    Indiana Pacers
                    Indiana is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                    Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
                    Indiana is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                    Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                    Indiana is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Houston
                    Indiana is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Houston
                    Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
                    Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
                    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Indiana's last 23 games when playing on the road against Houston
                    Houston Rockets
                    Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
                    Houston is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games
                    Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                    Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
                    Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
                    Houston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
                    Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Indiana
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Indiana
                    Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
                    Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
                    The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Houston's last 23 games when playing at home against Indiana


                    Orlando Magic
                    Orlando is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
                    Orlando is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
                    Orlando is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
                    The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Orlando's last 14 games on the road
                    Orlando is 8-15-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing New York
                    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 13 games when playing New York
                    Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
                    Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
                    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Orlando's last 16 games when playing on the road against New York
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
                    New York Knicks
                    New York is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
                    New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
                    The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 9 games at home
                    The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 13 games when playing Orlando
                    New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
                    New York is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Orlando
                    The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 16 games when playing at home against Orlando
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando


                    Milwaukee Bucks
                    Milwaukee is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games
                    Milwaukee is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
                    Milwaukee is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
                    Milwaukee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
                    The total has gone OVER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 15 games on the road
                    Milwaukee is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Denver
                    Milwaukee is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Denver
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Denver
                    Milwaukee is 5-14-1 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Denver
                    Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
                    Denver Nuggets
                    Denver is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
                    Denver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
                    Denver is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
                    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games at home
                    Denver is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee
                    Denver is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Milwaukee
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
                    Denver is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
                    Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee


                    Boston Celtics
                    Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
                    Boston is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                    Boston is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
                    Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
                    Boston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Portland
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Portland
                    Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
                    Boston is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Portland
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
                    Portland Trail Blazers
                    Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
                    Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games
                    Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                    Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
                    Portland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
                    Portland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Boston
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Boston
                    Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
                    Portland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston


                    Atlanta Hawks
                    Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
                    Atlanta is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
                    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games
                    Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                    Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
                    Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
                    Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
                    Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                    Atlanta is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                    Los Angeles Lakers
                    LA Lakers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
                    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
                    LA Lakers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                    LA Lakers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
                    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
                    LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
                    LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
                    LA Lakers is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta
                    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369828

                      #40
                      NHL
                      Long Sheet

                      Sunday, November 11

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      MINNESOTA (10-4-0-2, 22 pts.) at ST LOUIS (6-5-0-3, 15 pts.) - 11/11/2018, 3:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      ST LOUIS is 12-20 ATS (-10.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                      ST LOUIS is 11-17 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      ST LOUIS is 8-7 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                      ST LOUIS is 8-7-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                      7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      ARIZONA (7-7-0-1, 15 pts.) at WASHINGTON (7-5-0-3, 17 pts.) - 11/11/2018, 5:05 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      ARIZONA is 2-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
                      WASHINGTON is 2-2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                      3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      OTTAWA (7-7-0-3, 17 pts.) at FLORIDA (5-5-0-3, 13 pts.) - 11/11/2018, 5:05 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      OTTAWA is 4-4 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
                      FLORIDA is 4-4-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
                      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      NEW JERSEY (6-7-0-1, 13 pts.) at WINNIPEG (9-5-0-1, 19 pts.) - 11/11/2018, 7:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      NEW JERSEY is 5-21 ATS (+36.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                      WINNIPEG is 29-11 ATS (+15.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      WINNIPEG is 4-0 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
                      WINNIPEG is 4-0-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
                      2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      VEGAS (7-9-0-1, 15 pts.) at BOSTON (9-5-0-2, 20 pts.) - 11/11/2018, 7:05 PM
                      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      VEGAS is 1-1 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
                      BOSTON is 1-1-0 straight up against VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
                      2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      CALGARY (10-6-0-1, 21 pts.) at SAN JOSE (8-6-0-3, 19 pts.) - 11/11/2018, 9:05 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      SAN JOSE is 29-13 ATS (+14.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                      SAN JOSE is 197-151 ATS (+38.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
                      CALGARY is 110-114 ATS (+250.8 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      SAN JOSE is 6-3 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
                      SAN JOSE is 6-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
                      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.9 Units)

                      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                      COLORADO (7-6-0-3, 17 pts.) at EDMONTON (8-7-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/11/2018, 9:35 PM
                      Top Trends for this game.
                      COLORADO is 53-52 ATS (+123.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                      COLORADO is 87-69 ATS (+161.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
                      EDMONTON is 46-67 ATS (-38.9 Units) in home games in November games since 1996.
                      EDMONTON is 3-10 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
                      EDMONTON is 6-12 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
                      EDMONTON is 190-183 ATS (+6.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
                      EDMONTON is 82-95 ATS (-71.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

                      Head-to-Head Series History
                      EDMONTON is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
                      EDMONTON is 5-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
                      3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369828

                        #41
                        NHL

                        Sunday, November 11

                        Trend Report

                        Minnesota Wild
                        Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                        Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
                        Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                        Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
                        Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
                        Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
                        St. Louis Blues
                        St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
                        St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
                        St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                        St. Louis is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games at home
                        St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home
                        St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
                        St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota


                        Ottawa Senators
                        Ottawa is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                        Ottawa is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games
                        Ottawa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                        Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 5 games on the road
                        Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida
                        Ottawa is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida
                        Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida
                        Florida Panthers
                        Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                        Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                        Florida is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                        Florida is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
                        Florida is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
                        Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Ottawa
                        Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Ottawa
                        Florida is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Ottawa


                        Arizona Coyotes
                        Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games
                        Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                        Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 8 games on the road
                        Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Washington
                        Arizona is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
                        The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Arizona's last 17 games when playing on the road against Washington
                        Washington Capitals
                        Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                        Washington is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                        Washington is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home
                        Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Arizona
                        Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arizona
                        The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Washington's last 17 games when playing at home against Arizona


                        New Jersey Devils
                        New Jersey is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
                        New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Jersey's last 10 games
                        New Jersey is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
                        New Jersey is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
                        The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Jersey's last 15 games on the road
                        New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
                        New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
                        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New Jersey's last 12 games when playing Winnipeg
                        New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
                        Winnipeg Jets
                        Winnipeg is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
                        Winnipeg is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
                        Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey
                        Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
                        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Winnipeg's last 12 games when playing New Jersey
                        Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey


                        Vegas Golden Knights
                        Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
                        Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Vegas's last 13 games
                        Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                        Vegas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                        Boston Bruins
                        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games
                        Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home


                        Calgary Flames
                        Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                        Calgary is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
                        Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                        Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
                        Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
                        Calgary is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
                        Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
                        San Jose Sharks
                        San Jose is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
                        San Jose is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 9 games
                        San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                        San Jose is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 7 games at home
                        San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
                        San Jose is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
                        San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary


                        Colorado Avalanche
                        Colorado is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
                        Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
                        Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                        Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                        Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
                        Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Edmonton
                        Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
                        Edmonton Oilers
                        Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
                        Edmonton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                        Edmonton is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games at home
                        Edmonton is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
                        Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
                        Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369828

                          #42
                          Public bettors pile on Saints' odds, sharps eye Bengals in NFL Week 10 matchup
                          Patrick Everson

                          New Orleans has plenty to shout about after winning seven consecutive games (6-1 ATS). The Saints have gotten a flood of tickets this week, moving from -4.5 to -5.5 at Cincinnati.

                          The NFL Week 10 Sunday docket has plenty of matchups piquing bettors’ interest. We check in on the action and line movement for a handful of games, with insights from John Murray, director of The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas.

                          New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals – Open: +4.5; Move: +4; Move: +4.5; Move: +5; Move: +5.5

                          New Orleans has won seven in a row SU while cashing in its last six games. In Week 9, the Saints (7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS) dealt the Los Angeles Rams their first loss, fending off a big comeback to win a shootout 45-35 as 1.5-point home underdogs.

                          Cincinnati won and covered in four of its first five games, then had a two-game hiccup before getting back on track in Week 9. Like New Orleans, the Bengals (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) let a big lead slip away, but hung on for a 37-34 victory over Tampa Bay as 3.5-point home favorites.

                          “Very lopsided ticket count on the Saints, with close to 80 percent backing New Orleans,” Murray said of activity on a 1 p.m. ET kickoff. “The Bengals are down multiple top playmakers, including A.J. Green, but I know a number of sharp guys who like the Bengals this week. The book hopes they get this one right.”

                          Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Open: Pick; Move: -1; Move: -1.5; Move: -2; Move: -2.5; Move: -3; Move: -3.5

                          Washington remains atop the middling NFC East, despite having its three-game SU and ATS win streak snapped in Week 9. The Redskins (5-3 SU and ATS) went off as 1.5-point home favorites against Atlanta and got steamrolled 38-14.

                          Tampa Bay is trying to get the pirate ship back on even keel, after losing five of its last six games. The Buccaneers (3-5 SU and ATS) showed a little fight in Week 9 at Carolina, rallying from a 35-7 deficit to get within 35-28 in the fourth quarter. But the Bucs stopped there, losing 42-28 as 6-point ‘dogs.

                          Tampa’s struggles haven’t dissuaded bettors from backing the Bucs in a 1 p.m. ET matchup.

                          “We had a guy lay Bucs -1.5 for $30,000 early in the week, and we need the Redskins for a decent amount,” Murray said. “The public is mostly backing the Bucs as well, and it makes sense, with all the injuries the Redskins have on the offensive line.”

                          Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts – Open: -3; Move: -3.5; Move: -3; Move: -2.5; Move: -3

                          Jacksonville got out of the gate 3-1 SU and ATS, including a convincing home win over New England, but has been a shell of that squad since. The Jaguars (3-5 SU and ATS) dropped their last four games SU and ATS, including a 24-18 setback to Philadelphia as 3.5-point pups in a Week 8 tilt in London.

                          Indianapolis is nothing to write home about either – although the Twitter account @CaptAndrewLuck pens spectacular letters, and you should definitely follow that feed. But the Colts (3-5 SU, 4-4 SU) won and cashed their last two, dumping Oakland 42-28 as 3.5-point road faves in Week 8.

                          Both teams are coming off their bye week heading into this 1 p.m. ET meeting.

                          “We had a guy early in the week take the Jaguars +3.5 (-110) to win $60,000,” Murray said. “Other than his bet, the action has been pretty even on this game. Both teams need this game if they hope to catch Houston in the AFC South.”

                          Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns – Open: +3.5; Move: -4; Move: -4.5; Move: -5.5; Move: -6

                          Cleveland dumped its coach and offensive coordinator, but that wasn’t enough of a spark against one of the league’s best in Week 9. The Browns (2-6-1 SU, 5-4 ATS) lost to Kansas City 37-21 catching 7.5 points at home.

                          Atlanta is on a three-game win streak, climbing back to .500 after a 1-4 start. The Falcons (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) went off as 1.5-point ‘dogs at Washington in Week 9, but exited with an easy 38-14 victory.

                          “If you can believe it, we are going to need the Browns big in this game,” Murray half-jokingly said of another 1 p.m. ET start. “The public is once again running to the window to bet a road favorite in Cleveland, and the line has pushed up all the way to Falcons -6. Close to 90 percent of the tickets at The SuperBook are on the Falcons, and I have to think there’s some value on the Browns at this number.

                          “I feel like I’ve said that before.”

                          Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles – Open: -6; Move: -6.5; Move: -7; Move: -6.5; Move: -7

                          Defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia hasn’t exactly lit it up this year, but is still right there in a lackluster NFC East. The Eagles (4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS) are coming off their bye week, after topping Jacksonville 24-18 as 3.5-point favorites in London in Week 8.

                          Dallas is drawing ever closer to must-win territory. The Cowboys (3-5 SU and ATS) dropped three of their last four games, falling flat at home under the Monday night spotlight last week in a 28-14 loss to Tennessee as 4.5-point faves.

                          “We opened this game Eagles -6, and it went up after the Cowboys’ dreadful loss to the Titans,” Murray said. “It’s a good spot for Philly, coming off its bye week and facing a Dallas team that played on ‘Monday Night Football.’ I like the Cowboys’ defense, but I have little to no confidence in Jason Garrett, Dak Prescott and the Cowboys’ offense. We are going to need them in this game.”
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369828

                            #43
                            Gridiron Angles - Week 10
                            Vince Akins

                            NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

                            -- The Patriots are 11-0 ATS (7.1 ppg) since Oct 09, 2016 when at least their last two games have gone under the total.

                            NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

                            -- The Bills are 0-12 ATS (-17.3 ppg) since Dec 17, 2005 as a dog coming off a loss as a home dog where they scored less than expected.

                            TOP NFL PLAYER TREND:

                            -- The Cardinals are 13-0 OU (12.2 ppg) since Sep 20, 2015 on the road coming off a game where David Johnson had at least 40 receiving yards.

                            NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

                            -- The Chiefs are 0-13-2 OU (-8.0 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 at home coming off a game where they allowed less points than expected.

                            NFL O/U OVER TREND:

                            -- The Lions are 10-0 OU (12.5 ppg) since Nov 22, 2009 coming off a loss as a road dog of more than three points where they scored less than 14 points.

                            -- The Buccaneers are 0-13 ATS (-9.65 ppg) when they are at home after two away losses.
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369828

                              #44
                              SNF - Cowboys at Eagles

                              Fresh off getting blanked in the 2nd half of their disappointing 28-14 home loss on MNF, the Dallas Cowboys head out on the road for another prime time affair, this time against the defending champs.

                              Not only are the Cowboys on a short week here (after looking awful for the final 30 minutes vs Tennessee), the Philadelphia Eagles come into this game off their bye week. That's about as good as it gets in terms of a situational spot for the Eagles, but will it be enough to help them cover the touchdown they are laying on SNF?

                              Odds: Philadelphia (-7); Total set at 43

                              It's seemingly become an annual tradition in November that questions begin to surface about Jason Garrett's future as the head coach of the Dallas Cowboys, and that's definitely been the case this week. Owner Jerry Jones gave him that dreaded “vote of confidence” that he won't be making an in-season coaching change earlier in the week, despite talking heads and former Cowboys alumni calling for a major organizational shake-up soon.

                              There is no question that the Cowboys have a litany of issues to deal with right now as their offense has been putrid all year long. Dallas has only scored more than 20 points twice in eight games, and while they did go out and trade for WR Amari Cooper, you've really got to wonder if QB Dak Prescott was nothing more than a one-hit wonder.

                              This incarnation of the Cowboys has been built through the offensive line to be a predominantly run-heavy team that plays solid defense, but in today's NFL you need a QB that can produce through the air. Prescott may or may not be that guy long-term for Dallas, but if he and the Cowboys want any shot at a playoff berth this year, they'd better be prepared to take some shots and come away with the win this week.

                              It won't be easy for Dallas though, as this Eagles team is starting to get their swagger back. Health has been the biggest problem for Philly through eight weeks, but the bye week should've helped with some of that, at least in terms of active guys resting some bumps and bruises. Philly knows the NFC East is up for the taking now with Dallas slumping and Washington dealing with the massive injury concerns.

                              Eagles fans (and the team) feel like they've not come anywhere close to performing to their potential this year, but even with such a favorable spot for Philly this week, we are still halfway through the season and usually by this point you are what your record says you are.

                              In any walk of life you can only survive on reputation for so long, and with what the Eagles have done so far in 2018, I'm don't believe they deserve to be laying such a big number. I've already touched on the Cowboys offensive issues this year that everyone readily recognizes, but at 5.3 yards per play for Dallas, it's not like they are well behind Philly's 5.4 yards per play offensively this year. Flip that to the other side of the ball, and Dallas actually comes in with the better number on yards per play allowed (5.3 vs 5.7), so explain to me why the Eagles are TD favorites?

                              One could also argue that the Cowboys have actually played the harder schedule as well through eight weeks, as the combined record of the Cowboys opponents this year entering the week is 32-33 SU, while the record of Eagles opponents comes in at 29-35 SU. With games against four common opponents (Carolina, Tennessee, Jacksonville, and the NY Giants), the Eagles and Cowboys have identical 2-2 SU records with both losses for either side coming against the Panthers and Titans. So I ask again, why are the Eagles laying a TD here?

                              This line is too heavily influenced by the perception of both teams, not the reality for them, and with the Cowboys poor effort on MNF being the freshest memory in most bettor's memory banks right now, it's easy to see why 80% of the money has already come the Eagles way. But you can't count me as part of that majority, as this is still way too many points to give the Cowboys, even in a tough situational spot, with essentially their season, and possibly direction of their organization on the line.

                              The Cowboys have covered the number in five of their last six trips to Philly (as part of a 10-3 ATS run in this rivalry for road teams overall), and a 4-1 ATS run in division play for Dallas is the final bit of support I need to confidently take the points (and even a bit of the +275 ML price) with Dallas here.
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