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Premium Plays
Matchup: 7 Colorado at 8 Winnipeg
Time: 8:05 PM EDT (Fri)
Play: Colorado (+1.5 -175)
Line Source: 5dimes
Posted on: November 9, 2018 @ 7:58:44 AM EST
I'm playing COLORADO on the puck-line. (6* SPECIAL, +1.5 goals.) The Avs are going to be extremely motivated to snap their losing streak and I like their chances of scoring the outright upset. Still, Winnipeg is a tough place to play and the extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. Indeed, note that six of Colorado's last seven losses have come by a single goal. To put that a different way, if we were getting +1.5 goals with the Avs in each of their last 12 games, we'd be 11-1. Tonight, they're catching the Jets off a long layoff, due to their trip to Finland. Expect the Avs' best effort to lead to AT LEAST another "puck-line cover."
7-Unit Play. Take #509-510 Brooklyn/Denver GAME TOTAL OVER 212 (Friday, November 9th at 9:00 PM ET)
Take Brooklyn/Denver GAME TOTAL OVER as my 7-Unit NBA Smash for Friday night. This pick falls into one of my top NBA systems and I have this game flying over the posted total tonight. The Nets have averaged 109.4 ppg this season and 110.6 ppg over their last 5 games. The Nuggets have averaged 113.2 ppg at home this season and the O/U is 8-1 for the Nuggets in their last 9 home games when playing a team with a losing record on the road. The o/U is 5-1 for the Nets in their last 6 games against a Western Conference opponent and the O/U is 5-1 in the last 6 games played between these two teams. The O/U is 6-1 for the Nuggets in their last 7 games after a loss and the O/U is 4-0 for the Nets in their last 4 road games when playing a team with a win rate above .600 at home. Pay the OVER as we move to 5-1 the last 6 days in the NBA.
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