Thursday 11-29-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Dave Price

Nov 29 '18, 7:00 PM in 49m
NCAA-B | Alabama vs UCF
Play on: Alabama +5 -103 at 5Dimes

Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on Alabama +5
The Key: Alabama has the superior talent here over UCF and I’m a little surprised they are catching points, let alone 5 points. UCF doesn’t have any real good wins against quality opponents yet. Alabama will definitely be the most talented team they have faced as both teams enter 5-1 on the season. Alabama is 11-3 ATS when failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the past 3 seasons. Take Alabama.

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Brandon Lee

Nov 29 '18, 7:00 PM in 49m
NCAA-B | Alabama vs UCF
Play on: UCF -5½ -110 at betonline

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (UCF -5.5)
I'll take my chances here with UCF covering at home against Alabama. I think a lot of people are going to look at this line and wonder why the Knights are getting so much respect against a Crimson Tide team that is 5-1. It's because this UCF team is the real deal and I think it's only a matter of time before they are ranked in the Top 25. The Knights won 19 games last year, despite their 3 best players (Aubrey Dawkins, Tacko Fall, and B.J. Taylor) all missing significant time. All 3 are healthy for the time being and arguably the best trio in the AAC. Don't be fooled by Alabama's win over Wichita State, as the Shockers lost basically their entire team from last year and are likely going to be in rebuilding mode for at least this season. This is hands down the best team the Tide have faced and it's also Alabama's first true road game. I fully expect the Knights to take control of this game early and win here by double-digits. Give me UCF -5.5!

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Hunter Price

Nov 29 '18, 7:05 PM in 54m
NHL | Islanders vs Bruins
Play on: Islanders +157 at sportsbook

1* Free Pick on Islanders +157

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Larry Ness

Nov 29 '18, 7:05 PM in 54m
NHL | Wild vs Blue Jackets
Play on: Blue Jackets -120 at 5Dimes

My free play is on the Col Blue Jackets at 7:05 ET.
The Minnesota Wild are 14-8-2 and find themselves third in the Western Conference's Central Division with 30 points. The Wild coughed up a two-goal lead in a 4-3 home loss to the Coyotes on Tuesday
and now visit Columbus, which sports an identical 14-8-2 record. The Blue Jackets' 30 points leave them just one point shy of the Metropolitan-leading Washington Caps The Blue Jackets nearly squandered a pair of huge leads in Monday's 7-5 win at Detroit, having to hold off a comeback after scoring the first three goals and building a 5-1 edge.
The Wild were clearly frustrated with their effort after giving up three consecutive goals against Arizona, when they appeared to be in good position to win. The Wild players were clearly frustrated with their effort after giving up three consecutive goals when they appeared to be in good position to win. Goaltender Devan Dubnyk (9-6-2, 2.57 GAA & .916 SP) is mired in his first three-game winless drought of the season, all coming as a result of Minnesota's third-period collapses. Dubnyk owns a 10-6-3 record with a 2.35 GAA versus Columbus.
As for the Blue Jackets, center Pierre-Luc Dubois scored early in the third period on Monday, after the Red Wings had closed within one goal to make it 6-4. Defenseman Seth Jones added an empty-netter to seal the win. The future of Artemi Panarin, who will be a free agent after the season, has been a hot-button topic in Columbus but he halted a 12-game goal drought with a three-point night on Monday. Goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky, who is 7-3-0 in his last 10 games after getting off to a slow start this season, managed to pick up the victory in Detroit with 27 saves despite giving up five goals.
Columbus is at home for this game and enters 7-2-1 over a 10-game stretch that included six away contests. Sergei Bobrovsky is 8-2-1 with a 1.78 GAA versus Minnesota and I'll back the home team in this one.
Good luck...Larry

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Dustin Hawkins

Nov 29 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Sabres vs Lightning
Play on: Sabres +175 at Bovada

Free Play on Sabres +175

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Pro Computer Gambler

Nov 29 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Coyotes vs Predators
Play on: Predators -225 at betonline

NHL SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history, road dogs off of 2 or more straight wins in which they put up just 3 goals or less are 175-328 -92.87 units SU (Play on Predators today)

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Mike Lundin

Nov 29 '18, 8:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Warriors vs Raptors
Play on: OVER 226 -110

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Golden State Warriors are back to their winning ways despite remaining shorthanded, coming off three straight victories and they've averaged 119.3 ppg during that stretch. Their defense has been far from flawless though, and that could spell big trouble tonight.
Here the Warriors will face a Toronto team which does not only own the best record in the league, it is also one of the top scoring ones averaging 117.0 ppg. It has scored 122 points or more in four straight games but has also given up 107 points o more in each of those contests.
Over is 15-7 in games involving the Raptors this season and over is 5-1 in the last six meetings with the Warriors.
Free pick on OVER.

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Jack Jones

Nov 29 '18, 9:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Georgia Southern vs Arizona
Play on: Arizona -9 -110 at BMaker

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Arizona -9
The Arizona Wildcats come in highly motivated for a victory tonight. They opened 4-0 with a big win over Iowa State, but then lost their final two games of the tournament with losses to two of the best teams in the country in Gonzaga and Auburn.
Obviously, those aren’t bad losses. And they led Gonzaga by double-digits at one point. And now they’ve had over a week off since their loss to Auburn, so they are chomping at the bit to get back on the court and get back in the win column here against Georgia Southern.
This Georgia Southern team is overvalued now after a 5-1 SU & 4-1 ATS start to the season. But they have’t beaten anyone of any significance. And now the Eagles will be playing their first true road game of the season. Plus, they’ll be playing their 2nd game in 3 days after a home loss to East Tennessee State on Tuesday.
The Wildcats have the rest, talent and motivational edge in this one that should have them winning by double-digits. Lay the points. Bet Arizona Thursday.

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Sal Michaels

Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Clippers vs Kings
Play on: Clippers -2½ -110 at sportsbook

Free Play on Clippers -2½ -110

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Cole Faxon

Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Lakers
Play on: Pacers +5½ -110 at sportsbook

FREE PLAY on Pacers +5½ -110

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Mike Williams

Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Clippers vs Kings
Play on: Clippers -2½ -110 at sportsbook

1* on Clippers -2½ -110

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Jimmy Boyd

Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Lakers
Play on: UNDER 217 -113

1* Free Pick on Pacers/Lakers UNDER
The books have set the total way too high for Thursday's NBA action that has Lakers hosting the Pacers. Both teams should bring the intensity on the defensive side of the ball. Everyone wants to play well against LeBron and the Pacers have started out their west coast swing with back-to-back wins over Utah and Phoenix. Expect them to bring it tonight.
As for the Lakers, they are going to show up and give it their all to make sure they don't lose three in a row. It's also worth noting that while LA comes in allowing 112.9 ppg, they have been much better on that side of the ball this month. They are giving up just 102 ppg over their last 5 and will be catching the Pacers without their top playmaker in Victor Oladipo.
We know the Lakers will be without Raton Rondo for at least a couple more weeks, but they could also be without Lonzo Ball, who hurt his ankle in their last game. If Ball doesn't go, LA will have to play without a true point guard and that should slow the offense down.
UNDER is 12-3-1 in the Lakers last 16 games overall, 6-1-1 in their last 8 at home and a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 off a straight up loss. UNDER is also 20-9 in the Pacers last 29 off a SU win. Take the UNDER!

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John Martin

Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Clippers vs Kings
Play on: Kings +2½ -110 at Bovada

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Sacramento Kings +2.5
The Kings have a big edge in rest and preparation over the Clippers tonight that has me liking them as home underdogs in this matchup. The Clippers will be playing for a second consecutive night here after beating the Suns at home last night. The Kings have had the last three days off after last playing the Jazz at home on Sunday. The Kings are 5-4 at home this year and the Clippers are 5-5 on the road. The Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Sacramento is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on at least three days’ rest. The Kings are 6-0 ATS in their last six Thursday games. The Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Give me the Kings.

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Doug Upstone

Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Lakers
Play on: UNDER 219½ -110

The total on this encounter jumped from 215.5 to 219.5. Among the reasons is the Lakers are having troubles guarding a basic pick and roll against an experienced guard and center. It has been either player is scoring or when the Lakers go to double team, they are kicking the ball out to an open shooter. Indiana has center Myles Turner and point guard Darren Collison to run this. However, L.A. has point guard injuries and the Pacers are 17-5 UNDER versus teams scoring 110+ points or game.

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John Ryan

Nov 29 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pacers vs Lakers
Play on: Pacers +5 -105 at 5Dimes

Like the Saints, John Ryan's proven algorithm has won 9 of the last 10 TEN-STAR games and has identified a ROCK SOLID winner in Thursday night action. His extensive research report shows you specific matchups that will be immensely important and numerous predictive data metrics with one sporting a 45-5 record for 90% winners and a database query that has gone 45-8 for 85% winners.
John Ryan Sports Research Report