Friday 11-30-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #2 - AQUEDUCT 12:49 PM EASTERN POST
8.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $14,000.00 CLAIMING $28,000.00 PURSE

#5 THREE EIGHTY EIGHT
#3 GIANT ENDING
#4 MOMENT OF TRIUMPH
#1 SHE'SGOTHEBEAT

#5 THREE EIGHTY EIGHT qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," takes a class drop (-9), is the overall speed and pace profile leader and is the overall speed leader in this field racing at today's distance of a mile on the dirt, and has hit the board in five straight, with four of those "board hit efforts," including a 15-length, "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Linda Rice send her "postward" today ... they've hit the board with 61% of more than 115 entries saddled as a team to date. #3 GIANT ENDING has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of her last five "adventures," including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 3rd race back.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6500 Class Rating: 70

FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 12 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 EL MAGISTRAL 3/1

# 6 DIOGU 8/5

# 8 JOSE M. 9/2

I've got to go with EL MAGISTRAL. Has to be carefully examined based on the formidable speed figure earned in the last race. With a strong jockey who has won at a respectable 18 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top choices. DIOGU - His 61 average has this gelding with among the strongest Equibase Speed Figures for this event. Should hit the board without a hitch. JOSE M. - Earned a reliable Equibase Speed Fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. Trainer has strong win rate (17 percent) at this distance and surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:31pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 69

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#4 CAPE DELIGHT (ML=3/1)
#6 CLASS OF CONCERN (ML=5/2)
#2 BRASS MAGNOLIA (ML=6/1)


CAPE DELIGHT - Zip is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. This filly earned a good speed rating of 72 in her last event. That speed figure should be good enough to score this time around. CLASS OF CONCERN - This filly is very reliable, frequently finishing in the money. Have to give this filly a fair chance. Ran a good outing last time around the track within the last 30 days. This filly is very familiar with the winner's circle at Charles Town. I expect a repeat visit in this race. BRASS MAGNOLIA - This filly is in nice physical condition, having run a good race on November 17th, finishing second. This thoroughbred absolutely loves this oval. All her victories have been here at Charles Town. This animal brings in a lot of dough per race. Tops in this contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SEEKING SERA (ML=2/1), #1 COURTLY KITTY (ML=5/1),

SEEKING SERA - This horse doesn't have a winning attitude. Habitually finishes close, but no cigar. This low class level horse will probably get leg weary in the stretch this time out after back to back stiff efforts. Don't feel this less than sharp equine will make an impact in today's race. That last speed rating was quite unimpressive when compared with today's class rating. COURTLY KITTY - Equibase speed figs of 64/60/53 are in motion the wrong direction.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 CAPE DELIGHT to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Stronach 5
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12500 Class Rating: 98

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 ATTICISM 6/1

# 1 CAPES HOT ROCKET 8/1

# 3 KNUST 5/2

ATTICISM is the best bet in this race. With a decent 96 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. Trujillo and Cedillo have a strong winning percentage together. A nice ROI of +15 with this jockey and conditioner duo. CAPES HOT ROCKET - Has to be given consideration based on the strong speed rating recorded in the last contest. Reason to like this gelding as he has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last 30 days. KNUST - With a solid 88 average Equibase speed fig at the distance, seems well suited for today's competition. Looks strong to be on the lead at the first call.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs
Evangeline Downs - Race 6

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)


Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 550 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 63 • Purse: $5,500 • Post: 7:40P
QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FAST PRIZE JEWEL: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. WICKED DASHIN WITCH: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ANGELS AMAZIN GRACE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. IM YOUR QUEEN: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2
FAST PRIZE JEWEL
8/1

9/2
4
WICKED DASHIN WITCH
5/1

6/1
8
ANGELS AMAZIN GRACE
6/1

8/1
6
DC DOUBLESHOTOFVODKA
10/1

10/1
3
IM YOUR QUEEN
8/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
CC FANCY GIRL
1

20/1
Average
54

48

6.0

0.0

0.0
2
FAST PRIZE JEWEL
2

8/1
Average
61

58

4.6

0.0

0.0
3
IM YOUR QUEEN
3

8/1
Average
55

51

5.3

0.0

0.0
4
WICKED DASHIN WITCH
4

5/1
Average
60

55

5.3

0.0

0.0
5
LD SASSY FIRST PRIZE
5

20/1
Slow
0

0

8.5

0.0

0.0
6
DC DOUBLESHOTOFVODKA
6

10/1
Average
51

54

5.9

0.0

0.0
7
FLINT RIVER BUX
7

5/2
Average
67

41

4.2

0.0

0.0
8
ANGELS AMAZIN GRACE
8

6/1
Average
59

52

3.9

0.0

0.0
10
SPECIAL RESULTS
10

7/2
Average
54

35

5.3

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: CC SEE U AT THE LAKE (12/1) [Jockey: Blake Donell - Trainer: Cooley Cullen].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
Remington Park - Race 9

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)


Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 51 • Purse: $12,623 • Post: 10:45
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BRED MAIDEN, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * PRINCE OLAF: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. IZ NOT HOME: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ON THE BRIDGE: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. MICKEY THE MOOCHER: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. NUISANCE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
6
PRINCE OLAF
5/2

4/1
3
IZ NOT HOME
10/1

7/1
9
ON THE BRIDGE
9/2

8/1
4
MICKEY THE MOOCHER
12/1

9/1
7
NUISANCE
2/1

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
PRINCE OLAF
6

5/2
Front-runner
57

51

63.7

35.3

29.3
4
MICKEY THE MOOCHER
4

12/1
Front-runner
49

48

60.5

30.6

17.1
3
IZ NOT HOME
3

10/1
Alternator/Stalker
69

42

47.4

37.0

28.5
9
ON THE BRIDGE
9

9/2
Alternator/Stalker
49

42

37.2

42.8

35.3
7
NUISANCE
7

2/1
Alternator/Trailer
60

39

46.4

38.8

31.8
8
GOGOMIST
8

5/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

39.4

30.9

24.9
1
WILD WEST DAVE
1

20/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

28.4

32.2

21.2
5
SMOOTH WHISKEY
5

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

28.8

25.0

11.5
2
CHIRPY BIRD
2

50/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
11
NADO WILDER
11

50/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: GIN (30/1) [Jockey: Steinberg Garrett - Trainer: Houser Megan].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

11/30/18, TAM, Race 8, 4.12 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.04 CLAIMING. Purse $18,200.
Claiming Price $16,000 (Condition Eligibility). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 8-9-10) / Super High 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 33.33, $1 ROI 0.93, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 13 Sugar Cane Girl 8-1 Lynch F Nations Keith T
098.3324 10 Straight Up Smarty 3-1 Centeno D Bennett Dale EL
097.4906 5 Felt in Pocket 7/5 Castanon J L Harty Eoin G. S
096.9587 4 Queen of the Party 6-1 Camacho S Ryan Derek S.
096.1614 8 Crown of Joy 8-1 Gallardo A A O'Connell Kathleen
096.1000 2 My Good Venezuela 8-1 Garcia W A Demasi Kathleen A.
094.7431 11 Ms Elegance 8-1 Martinez W Wasiluk. Jr. Peter
093.8906 1 Game Girl 10-1 Allen M Arterburn Lonnie
093.8212 6 Dim Sum 30-1 Spieth S Gonzalez Aldana FC
093.5782 9 All Good Times 20-1 Morales P Rigattieri John J
093.4245 3 A Rose for Lizzy 10-1 Allen. Jr. R D Dailey Jon W
093.3684 12 Nick's Rose 10-1 Spieth S Stewart Chad J.
090.0728 7 Luckystrikedelcoco 20-1 Camacho. Jr. S Harvatt Charles R.
089.3154 14 Morena Mia 30-1 Delgado D Parra Hernan
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse Win Percent 40.00, $1 ROI 1.22, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 13 Sugar Cane Girl 8-1 Lynch F Nations Keith T
098.5322 10 Straight Up Smarty 3-1 Centeno D Bennett Dale EL
096.7066 4 Queen of the Party 6-1 Camacho S Ryan Derek S.
096.5366 2 My Good Venezuela 8-1 Garcia W A Demasi Kathleen A.
095.8319 5 Felt in Pocket 7/5 Castanon J L Harty Eoin G. S
095.7369 8 Crown of Joy 8-1 Gallardo A A O'Connell Kathleen F
095.3590 1 Game Girl 10-1 Allen M Arterburn Lonnie
095.0075 3 A Rose for Lizzy 10-1 Allen. Jr. R D Dailey Jon W
094.6068 11 Ms Elegance 8-1 Martinez W Wasiluk. Jr. Peter
094.3608 9 All Good Times 20-1 Morales P Rigattieri John J
094.0924 12 Nick's Rose 10-1 Spieth S Stewart Chad J.
091.6430 6 Dim Sum 30-1 Spieth S Gonzalez Aldana C
091.3245 14 Morena Mia 30-1 Delgado D Parra Hernan
090.9606 7 Luckystrikedelcoco 20-1 Camacho. Jr. S Harvatt Charles R.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $45,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 MOON MAGIC (ML=6/1)
#4 LUCAS N' LORI (ML=9/5)


MOON MAGIC - Finished outside the top 3 last out at Woodbine, but was within five lengths of the winner. Opening at 6/1 makes me think he's got a chance. LUCAS N' LORI - I like that last effort on Nov 2nd at Woodbine where he finished second. Is ranked at the top in (EPS) earnings per start. A solid outing today will add to that bankroll.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SKYNYRD (ML=2/1), #1 BREAK AND ENTER (ML=4/1), #6 HUNGARY (ML=5/1),

SKYNYRD - This gelding earned a speed rating in his last event which likely isn't good enough in today's event. BREAK AND ENTER - Don't believe this racer will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed figure was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class figure. HUNGARY - This racer just hasn't looked ready of late. This colt garnered a speed figure in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 MOON MAGIC to win if you can get at least 2/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Championship Notes

Week 14 of the 2018 college football season will be highlighted with 10 championship games on tap.

The action starts Friday with the MAC and Pac-12 title games before finishing on Saturday with eight more championships.

Check out the matchups, odds and betting notes on all 10 title games below.

(SU - Straight Up, ATS - Against the Spread)

MAC Championship
Northern Illinois (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. Buffalo (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS)
Date: Friday, Nov. 30 (ESPN2, 7:00 p.m.)
Venue: Ford Field
Location: Detroit, Michigan


Odds: Buffalo -4, Total 47 ½

Betting Notes and Trends

-- Saturday's matchup will be the 22nd MAC Championship.

-- Underdogs have gone 13-8 against the spread in the MAC title game. The 'under' is 11-10.

-- Northern Illinois has played in the MAC title game seven times, which includes a run of six straight trips between 2010 and 2015. The school owns a 5-2 all-time mark in the title game.

-- This will be Buffalo's first trip to the MAC Championship since 2008 when it upset Ball State 42-24 as a 15-point underdog.

-- The two schools didn't meet in this year's regular season but NIU has won the last 10 encounters against Buffalo, which includes a 14-13 road win in the 2017 campaign.

Preseason Future Odds to win the MAC
Northern Illinois 2/1
Buffalo 7/1


Pac 12 Championship
Utah (9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. Washington (9-3 SU, 3-9 ATS)
Date: Friday, Nov. 30 (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)
Venue: Levi's Stadium
Location: Santa Clara, California


Odds: Washington -3, Total 43

Betting Notes and Trends

-- Prior to last year's win by USC over Stanford, the Pac-12 North had captured the first six championship games.

-- Washington has only made one trip to the title game and it captured a wire-to-wire 41-10 win over Colorado in the 2016 edition.

-- Utah, representing the Pac-12 South, will be making its first trip to the title game.

-- Favorites have gone 6-1 SU but points have mattered in this contest with underdogs owning a 4-3 ATS mark.

-- The 'over' has gone 4-3.

-- These teams played in Week 3 of this year's regular season and Washington captured a 21-7 win at Utah as a four-point road favorite.

-- Since the Utes entered the Pac-12 conference, the Huskies own a 5-1 record in the series but they're just 3-3 ATS. The 'over' has gone 4-2.

Preseason Future Odds to win the Pac-12
Washington 5/8
Utah 15/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, November 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (7 - 5) vs. BUFFALO (10 - 2) - 11/30/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in games played on a neutral field since 1992.
BUFFALO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
BUFFALO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
BUFFALO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
N ILLINOIS is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (9 - 3) vs. WASHINGTON (9 - 3) - 11/30/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
UTAH is 66-37 ATS (+25.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
UTAH is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 46-21 ATS (+22.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 94-124 ATS (-42.4 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 14

Trend Report

Friday, November 30

Northern Illinois @ Buffalo
Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Buffalo

Buffalo
Buffalo is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Utah @ Washington
Utah
Utah is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Washington

Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 14


Friday November 30

Northern Illinois @ Buffalo

Game 303-304
November 30, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
79.817
Buffalo
85.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 6
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 3 1/2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-3 1/2); Under

Utah @ Washington

Game 305-306
November 30, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
94.981
Washington
105.837
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11
47
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
45
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 14

Friday
MAC, Detroit
Northern Illinois went 3-3 in this game from 2010-15; Buffalo is in it for first time since 42-24 win over Ball State in ’08. Huskies beat Buffalo last three years, by 11-1-37 points; NIU beat Bulls 14-13 LY- teams played a scoreless 2nd half that day. Buffalo is 10-2 this year but got pounded in its two losses, 42-17 at Army, 52-17 at Ohio U; Bulls gave up 281-437 yards in those games. NIU lost its last two games after winning six in row before that. Under is 9-3 in NIU games this season; three of last four Buffalo games went over. Game is in a dome, so no worries about the weather.

Pac-12, Santa Clara, CA
Washington won its last three games with Utah, by 7-3-14 points; Huskies beat Utes 21-7 in SLC Sept 15- they held Utah to 261 yards, were +2 in turnovers. Washington won its last three games overall, running ball for 275-258 yards in last two games- they outgained Wazzu 487-237 in snowy Apple Cup LW. Utah is 8-0 when it scores 30+ points, 1-3 when they score less; does it help that they didn’t play a big rival LW? Washington beat Colorado 41-10 in this game two years ago; Utah is in this game for first time. Under is 9-3 in Washington games this year; over is 6-3 in last nine Utah games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 14
Bruce Marshall

Friday, Nov. 30

NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. BUFFALO (MAC title game at Ford Field, Detroit, MI, Friday, November 30)...NIU had covered four in a row away from DeKalb prior to loss at WMU. Bulls 9-3 vs. line this season, 18-5-2 vs. spread since late 2016.
Slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.


WASHINGTON vs. UTAH (Pac-12 title game at Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA, Friday, November 30)...Huskies have won SU last three years in series but covered only one of those (2018). U-Dub 3-9 vs. line in 2018, 4-12 last 16 on board, just 2-7 vs. spread last nine away. Utes 13-5 vs. points as dog since 2014.
Utah, based on team trends.