Sunday 12-2-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Aqueduct - Race #1 - Post: 12:50pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 91

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 DEVINE ENTRY (ML=5/2)
#3 BASELINE (ML=3/1)


DEVINE ENTRY - This horse garnered a nice speed fig of 87 in his last race. That speed rating should be good enough to score this time around. This horse is tops in earnings per race. He looks strong in today's race. Came home in speedy time last time around the track. A positive sign. BASELINE - Sub-par try last out at Aqueduct was due to the off-going (he finished fifth). I'd expect a better race in this race on a fast track.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 JAVELIN (ML=9/5), #6 I'M AN OCALA DUDE (ML=7/2), #5 APPEALING HENRY (ML=8/1),

JAVELIN - Hard to bet on any horse to turn things around if there is no large gain to taking the chance. I'M AN OCALA DUDE - Tough to bet on this vulnerable equine today. Make him show you something in a sprint affair before you invest in him in a race of 6 furlongs. APPEALING HENRY - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last couple of efforts. Not probable for this entrant to make an impact with no recent good showings in a short distance event. This pony ran a common rating in the last race. He shouldn't run much better and will likely get beat in today's race running that figure.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #1 DEVINE ENTRY to win. Have to have odds of at least 3/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Del Mar

12/02/18, DMR, Race 9, 4.30 PT
1M [Turf] 1.32.01 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $53,000.
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
$1 Exacta / $2 Quinella / 50 cent Trifecta - $1 Superfecta (10-cent min.) / $1 Super High 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 27.08, $1 ROI 1.36, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 1 Loomis(b-) 8-1 Talamo J Mandella Richard E.
098.4973 10 Mystical Moon 10-1 Espinoza A Mandella Richard E. W
096.5300 12 Jefe 9/2 Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J. Keith EC
096.3409 5 Felix Leiter 8-1 Van Dyke D Proctor Thomas F. J
095.1076 4 Speakerofthehouse 5-1 Baze T Kruljac Ian
094.9278 9 Noble Nebraskan 6-1 Franco M Weaver George T
094.7980 11 Mobou 7/2 Smith M E Shirreffs John A. FL
092.4886 6 Leader of Men 8-1 Blanc B Callaghan Simon
092.0272 8 Silent Musketier 30-1 Roman E A Mendoza Jesus
090.4335 7 Caecilius 12-1 Pedroza M A Spawr William S
085.5476 2 Autumn Isabella 30-1 Vergara. Jr. O Stutts Charles R.
000.0000 3 Emotional Wreck S
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse Win Percent 29.82, $1 ROI 0.93, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 10 Mystical Moon 10-1 Espinoza A Mandella Richard E. W
099.7765 1 Loomis(b-) 8-1 Talamo J Mandella Richard E.
097.5075 12 Jefe 9/2 Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J. Keith EC
097.3407 5 Felix Leiter 8-1 Van Dyke D Proctor Thomas F. J
097.1490 11 Mobou 7/2 Smith M E Shirreffs John A. FL
096.3203 9 Noble Nebraskan 6-1 Franco M Weaver George T
093.9573 8 Silent Musketier 30-1 Roman E A Mendoza Jesus
093.8169 7 Caecilius 12-1 Pedroza M A Spawr William S
092.6650 4 Speakerofthehouse 5-1 Baze T Kruljac Ian
091.6434 6 Leader of Men 8-1 Blanc B Callaghan Simon
088.2321 2 Autumn Isabella 30-1 Vergara. Jr. O Stutts Charles R.
000.0000 3 Emotional Wreck S

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $35000 Class Rating: 88

FOR CALIFORNIA BRED OR CALIFORNIA SIRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 KLAY NATION 9/5

# 6 SIR LAUGHALOT 12/1

# 5 DOUBLE TIGER 3/1

My pick for this race is KLAY NATION. Is worth considering and may be a wager - strong speed figures (84 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. He looks solid in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. DOUBLE TIGER - Could best this field based on the speed figure - 81 - of his last effort. Formidable average Equibase Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this animal a contender.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

12/02/18, GP, Race 10, 5.06 ET
1 1/8M [Turf] 1.44.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $47,000.
Claiming Price $35,000 (Races where entered for $25,000 or less not considered in allowances) (Condition Eligibility). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $35,000
$1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 8 Art Collection 12-1 Leparoux J R Dickey Charles L. EW
099.3731 14 Colonel Moorhead(b+) 10-1 Saez L Sheppard Jonathan E. FC
098.8018 13 Blue Harbor 6-1 Sanchez J Fawkes David
098.7011 3 The Green Mo'ster 12-1 Reyes L Vitali Marcus J.
098.6701 9 Ambassador Jim 6-1 Lopez P Orseno Joseph F. JS
098.4883 2 Bern' James Bern 5/2 Zayas E J Maker Michael J.
098.1812 4 Second Mate 3-1 Juarez N Cibelli Jane
098.0355 15 Erasmo's Dream 12-1 Saez L De La Cerda Armando
097.6757 6 Diamond Bachelor 9/2 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L.
097.1511 7 Global Entry(b+) 15-1 Jimenez A Gracida Ruben
096.6380 16 King of Spades 15-1 Alvarado. Jr. R Breen Kelly J. T
095.9879 5 Cowboy's Hero 20-1 Lugo C D Castillo Pedro
095.3199 11 Bold Daddy 20-1 Panici L Croft Barry N. L
093.9404 12 Rompin Reid 30-1 Vasquez M A Dwoskin Steven
093.6210 1 Western Crusader 20-1 Gaffalione T Motion H. Graham
093.1771 10 Golden Decision 20-1 Prado E S Mills Howard
If Race Is Off Turf
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 9 Ambassador Jim 6-1 Lopez P Orseno Joseph F. JS
099.2608 4 Second Mate 3-1 Juarez N Cibelli Jane
099.1107 13 Blue Harbor 6-1 Sanchez J Fawkes David
099.0916 2 Bern' James Bern 5/2 Zayas E J Maker Michael J.
097.9279 8 Art Collection 12-1 Leparoux J R Dickey Charles L. EW
097.7718 6 Diamond Bachelor 9/2 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L.
097.2943 14 Colonel Moorhead(b+) 10-1 Saez L Sheppard Jonathan E. C
097.0583 16 King of Spades 15-1 Alvarado. Jr. R Breen Kelly J. TF
097.0145 3 The Green Mo'ster 12-1 Reyes L Vitali Marcus J.
096.8861 15 Erasmo's Dream 12-1 Saez L De La Cerda Armando
096.3180 5 Cowboy's Hero 20-1 Lugo C D Castillo Pedro
094.9069 7 Global Entry(b+) 15-1 Jimenez A Gracida Ruben
094.7385 1 Western Crusader 20-1 Gaffalione T Motion H. Graham
092.8507 10 Golden Decision 20-1 Prado E S Mills Howard
092.8185 12 Rompin Reid 30-1 Vasquez M A Dwoskin Steven
092.5256 11 Bold Daddy 20-1 Panici L Croft Barry N. L

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 100y on the Dirt. Purse: $10665 Class Rating: 87

QUARTER HORSE 100Y, FOR THREE AND FOUR YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; FOUR YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 FROZEN ICON 6/1

# 3 BE QUICK 4/1

# 7 RUNNIN JESSE 2/1

FROZEN ICON is the most competitive bet in this race. She ought to be given a shot given the quite good speed figs. Must be given a chance based on the decent Equibase speed fig garnered in the last contest. Has performed soundly lately in short races, posting a nifty 87 avg Equibase Speed Figure. BE QUICK - She looks quite good in this spot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. With a quite good 80 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. RUNNIN JESSE - Players ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this group. Is a solid contender - given the 81 Equibase Speed Figure from his most recent race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park
Mountaineer Park - Race 6

($.50) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9) $.50 Trifecta $1 Exacta Box ($.20) Superfecta


Claiming $4,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $6,200 • Post: 9:05P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE NOVEMBER 2 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. SEVEN KNOTS is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * MAGICAL BREEZE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Ho rse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
7
MAGICAL BREEZE
7/5

1/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
WAR OR PEACE
4

3/1
Front-runner
55

60

91.4

43.6

32.6
8
BLAKE'S RIVER
8

15/1
Front-runner
49

53

47.6

47.6

36.1
1
SEVEN KNOTS
1

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
59

48

32.8

45.5

34.0
3
GIANT RED
3

10/1
Trailer
67

56

37.0

57.4

52.4
7
MAGICAL BREEZE
7

7/5
Alternator/Trailer
86

71

65.6

73.8

71.8
9
RUOTE
9

10/1
Alternator/Trailer
69

60

46.8

49.8

40.8
6
SITO'S BOY
6

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
63

62

45.8

45.8

37.3
2
DELTA CHANCE
2

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
72

58

40.2

38.4

24.4
5
SIXTY FORTY
5

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

24.4

32.4

15.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:10pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 KANZA KOWBOY (ML=5/1)


KANZA KOWBOY - Trainer, Barraza Sosa, has been deliberate with this gelding off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. Was in an $8,000 Claiming race at Turf Paradise last race out. That race had a class figure of 92 and he is moving down right here. A certain strong challenger.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 GIRO CANDITO (ML=8/5), #1 MALIBU PARK (ML=2/1), #6 CHARLIE'S DEERE (ML=4/1),

GIRO CANDITO - That was merely not a very good display in the last event. The speed rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued equine. MALIBU PARK - I can't play this perpetual non-winner. Gets the task fulfilled now and then. Unlikely that the speed figure he notched on November 18th will hold up in this event. CHARLIE'S DEERE - No good results for this entrant in a short distance event over the last sixty days tells me that this gelding is in a very difficult spot The seventh place finish last time around the track coming after the long layoff is undeniably not a healthy omen.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 KANZA KOWBOY is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA
ZIA - Race 1

1st Half Early $2 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta 1st Leg .50 Pick 4


Maiden Claiming $8,000 • 350 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $14,500 • Post: 12:00
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 125 LBS.; OLDER, 127 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DONT BUG DADDY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. EXS AND OOHS: Horse has t he highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RUBYSHAVINGAHOTFLASH: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Powe r Rating.
1
DONT BUG DADDY
4/1

4/1
8
EXS AND OOHS
5/2

9/2
2
RUBYSHAVINGAHOTFLASH
2/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
DONT BUG DADDY
1

4/1
Average
76

70

5.5

0.0

0.0
2
RUBYSHAVINGAHOTFLASH
2

2/1
Average
66

65

4.5

0.0

0.0
3
EMOJI
3

6/1
Average
63

48

5.6

0.0

0.0
5
CP RUNNIN
5

15/1
Average
63

59

5.0

0.0

0.0
6
SOPHIA LP
6

8/1
Slow
69

55

6.5

0.0

0.0
7
DILIGENTS FANCY ROSE
7

20/1
Fast
0

0

3.2

0.0

0.0
8
EXS AND OOHS
8

5/2
Fast/Trouble-prone
73

70

3.4

0.0

0.0








Unknown Running Style: SWISSLES TORNADO (10/1) [Jockey: Constantin Lucas - Trainer: Collier Jimmy C].