Re: 1/8/09
Nelly’s Green Sheet = 30 -34 ( 19-13 SIDES AND 11-21 TOTALS )
BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME 7:15 PM
Dolphin Stadium – Miami, Florida FOX
Florida (-3) Oklahoma (72)
A look at the total offensive numbers would lead you to backing
Oklahoma but the these teams play at a significantly different pace
and Oklahoma has the most impressive yardage numbers
because they ran more plays than just about every other team.
While Florida posted 442 yards per game and averaged 45 points
per game, Oklahoma delivered averages of 562 yards per game
and 54 points per game. On the other side of the ball Oklahoma’s
defensive numbers make the Sooners look mediocre to lousy but
far more plays were run against the OU defense. Florida’s defense
was downright dominant, allowing fewer than 13 points per game
with great numbers against the pass. The common denominator
that led both of these teams to the national championship game
was great turnover margins as Oklahoma was #1 in the nation and
Florida #2 in the nation in overall turnover margin on the year. In
the last eight games Oklahoma has allowed at least 21 points in
every game, even against some of the worst teams in the Big 12.
Both teams had incredible ATS numbers on the year and a strong
case could be made for either coach, as both Urban Meyer and
Bob Stoops have won national titles and played in plenty of big
games. Oklahoma has failed in several big games in recent years
however and although the SEC was down overall this year the
recent success of SEC teams in the title game is hard to argue
with. Florida has an incredible record as favorites, going 13-2-1
dating back to late last season and the Gators should kickoff as
slight chalk in this match-up. Oklahoma has fared well in the
underdog role however although that is not a common situation in
recent years. Oklahoma has had the more impressive wins this
season as teams like Tennessee, LSU, Georgia, and South
Carolina did not finish up as strong as many expected but the
Gators delivered in a strong non-conference schedule, pounding
three bowl teams including two from the highly rated ACC. The Big
12 had a lot of headlines this season but many were suckered in to
the big name QBs and the gaudy offensive numbers . The overall
quality of the conference was not likely as strong as many thought
and the Sooners had a very favorable set-up in most of its
toughest games, including the lone loss versus Texas. The college
football season rarely ends in conclusive finality and an Oklahoma
loss will create speculation that they may not have deserved to be
in this game, which would be a fitting end. FLORIDA 34-28
RATING 2: FLORIDA (-3)
RATING 3: ‘UNDER 72’
Nelly’s Green Sheet = 30 -34 ( 19-13 SIDES AND 11-21 TOTALS )
BCS CHAMPIONSHIP GAME 7:15 PM
Dolphin Stadium – Miami, Florida FOX
Florida (-3) Oklahoma (72)
A look at the total offensive numbers would lead you to backing
Oklahoma but the these teams play at a significantly different pace
and Oklahoma has the most impressive yardage numbers
because they ran more plays than just about every other team.
While Florida posted 442 yards per game and averaged 45 points
per game, Oklahoma delivered averages of 562 yards per game
and 54 points per game. On the other side of the ball Oklahoma’s
defensive numbers make the Sooners look mediocre to lousy but
far more plays were run against the OU defense. Florida’s defense
was downright dominant, allowing fewer than 13 points per game
with great numbers against the pass. The common denominator
that led both of these teams to the national championship game
was great turnover margins as Oklahoma was #1 in the nation and
Florida #2 in the nation in overall turnover margin on the year. In
the last eight games Oklahoma has allowed at least 21 points in
every game, even against some of the worst teams in the Big 12.
Both teams had incredible ATS numbers on the year and a strong
case could be made for either coach, as both Urban Meyer and
Bob Stoops have won national titles and played in plenty of big
games. Oklahoma has failed in several big games in recent years
however and although the SEC was down overall this year the
recent success of SEC teams in the title game is hard to argue
with. Florida has an incredible record as favorites, going 13-2-1
dating back to late last season and the Gators should kickoff as
slight chalk in this match-up. Oklahoma has fared well in the
underdog role however although that is not a common situation in
recent years. Oklahoma has had the more impressive wins this
season as teams like Tennessee, LSU, Georgia, and South
Carolina did not finish up as strong as many expected but the
Gators delivered in a strong non-conference schedule, pounding
three bowl teams including two from the highly rated ACC. The Big
12 had a lot of headlines this season but many were suckered in to
the big name QBs and the gaudy offensive numbers . The overall
quality of the conference was not likely as strong as many thought
and the Sooners had a very favorable set-up in most of its
toughest games, including the lone loss versus Texas. The college
football season rarely ends in conclusive finality and an Oklahoma
loss will create speculation that they may not have deserved to be
in this game, which would be a fitting end. FLORIDA 34-28
RATING 2: FLORIDA (-3)
RATING 3: ‘UNDER 72’

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