Tuesday 12-11-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mountaineer Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:44pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,200 Class Rating: 60

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 WALTERSRAM (ML=5/1)
#6 BEDTIME FOR BONZO (ML=9/2)


WALTERSRAM - Waite drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping information to believe this horse will be one to beat at this level. You always have to be on the lookout for money making jock/trainer tandems; we have it right here. Look for this gelding to run much better right here. Last affair at Mountaineer Park finishing sixth on a track listed as good is no sign of his true ability. BEDTIME FOR BONZO - Parker rode this entrant for the initial time last time around the track and comes right back this time around. The November 26th clash at Mountaineer Park was at a class level of (68). Dropping down the class scale considerably, so he should be in a good spot. 34-44-63 are last 3 speed ratings. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this event. This gelding is in fine form, having run a strong race on Nov 26th, finishing third.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 FIELDS OF DREAMS (ML=1/1), #4 STERLING REBEL (ML=6/1), #3 DA VINCI'S VISION (ML=8/1),

FIELDS OF DREAMS - 1/1 is just too low of a value to take on most any mount that has run poorly in back to back efforts. Finished fifth in his most recent performance with a pedestrian speed figure. When I look at today's Equibase class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group. STERLING REBEL - Improbable for this entrant to do much running with no recent good showings in a short distance race. DA VINCI'S VISION - Ran his best speed fig last out, but the 'off oval' may have had something to do with it.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 WALTERSRAM on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 2

Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)


Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 1:12P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR OHIO BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN WEIGHT ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * HIDATSA PARK: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MISS ALTAMIRA: Horse h as run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. CAROLINE THE GREAT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
HIDATSA PARK
5/2

4/1
3
MISS ALTAMIRA
8/1

9/2
6
CAROLINE THE GREAT
4/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
5
SOPHIE'S ANGEL
5

9/2
Trailer
81

70

59.5

49.8

37.8
3
MISS ALTAMIRA
3

8/1
Trailer
80

83

58.7

75.3

69.3
4
HIDATSA PARK
4

5/2
Trailer
83

81

52.2

81.8

78.3
6
CAROLINE THE GREAT
6

4/1
Alternator/Trailer
81

78

51.1

72.8

64.8
1
ORBITAL FLAG
1

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
84

80

73.8

68.6

60.1
2
NORTH PRINCESS
2

3/1
Alternator/Non-contender
86

74

60.1

52.6

41.6
7
HOPE'S FROG SONG
7

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
89

88

52.6

59.4

53.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows
Portland Meadows - Race 1

$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Daily Double (Races 1-2)


Claiming $2,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 62 • Purse: $5,400 • Post: 12:00
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 23 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Stalker. ABRAAJEENA is the Lone Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ABRAAJEENA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5
ABRAAJEENA
7/5

9/5




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
MARIANA GRACE
3

10/1
Front-runner
63

51

38.6

36.4

27.4
1
CURLEW SLEW
1

7/2
Alternator/Front-runner
64

55

43.7

56.0

50.5
5
ABRAAJEENA
5

7/5
Stalker
70

66

48.4

62.4

59.4
4
COME FIND ME
4

4/1
Alternator/Trailer
60

59

27.6

48.0

40.0
6
TOPPERS TRUTH
6

6/1
Alternator/Non-contender
67

75

69.8

44.8

39.8
7
SPLENDOR HOPE
7

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
51

50

29.2

26.6

14.1
2
ASTOUNDING ABBY
2

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
65

52

19.0

36.0

24.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Parx Racing - Race #1 - Post: 12:25pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,500 Class Rating: 68

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 JUMPIN JETT (ML=6/1)
#2 LITTLE MISS MAY (ML=3/2)


JUMPIN JETT - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let her get away early they probably won't catch her. I am keen on that most recent outing on November 27th at Parx Racing where she ended up first. That was a strong win last time out. In my opinion has a good chance to repeat today. LITTLE MISS MAY - Have to give this filly a fair chance. Ran a strong effort last race out within the last 30 days. The 66 recent race speed rating looks good in black and white.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 SIERRA LEONA (ML=3/1), #4 EMILIANA'S HOPE (ML=4/1),

SIERRA LEONA - Hard to invest in at 3/1 odds after the two most recent outings. EMILIANA'S HOPE - Quite unimpressive speed fig in the last race at Meadowlands at 1 mile. Don't feel this racer will improve too much in today's race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 JUMPIN JETT is the play if we get odds of 5/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 79

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2017-2018 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE IN 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 MOREOFTHESAME 6/1

# 8 MAYDAY MALONE 15/1

# 3 DUDLEY STUDLEY 7/2

MOREOFTHESAME is my choice. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this gelding a very good shot. MAYDAY MALONE - Love when any animal makes a quick major improvement. DUDLEY STUDLEY - Has decent front-end speed and ought to fare soundly against this field. Going in a dirt sprint race gives this gelding a respectable shot.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Zia Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $40500 Class Rating: 87

FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 CITIZEN GELLER 5/1

# 5 GOLDEN BAND 5/2

# 10 ME DARLIN ROD 6/1

I've got to go with CITIZEN GELLER. Cappellucci has one of the best winning percentages in this group of horses in this race with entries running at this distance and surface. A solid 95 avg class rating may give this gelding a distinct class edge versus this field. Sound average Speed Figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a solid contender. GOLDEN BAND - Put up a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. With Chirinos getting the mount, watch out for this pony. ME DARLIN ROD - Going in a dirt sprint race gives this gelding a strong shot. Could beat this field given the 88 Equibase Speed Figure recorded in his last outing.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 11


Portland @ Houston

Game 531-532
December 11, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
111.317
Houston
121.855
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 6
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-6); Over

Phoenix @ San Antonio

Game 533-534
December 11, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
100.946
San Antonio
121.155
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 20
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 12 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-12 1/2); Over

Toronto @ LA Clippers

Game 535-536
December 11, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
116.853
LA Clippers
119.138
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 2 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+4); N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, December 11

Portland won its last two games but they’ve lost last four road games; Trailblazers 2-6 vs spread in last eight games as a AU. Over is 8-3-1 in their last dozen games. Houston lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 4-6 vs spread as HF. Rockets’ last three series games stayed under. Rockets won seven of their last nine games with Portland; over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Blazers are 2-2 vs spread in their last four trips to Houston.

Suns lost their last nine games; they lost in OT to the Clippers Monday. Phoenix is 3-10 vs spread on the road. Six of their last eight games stayed under. San Antonio is 3-2 in its last five game; they’re 8-5 vs spread at home this year. Over is 12-3 in their last 15 games. Spurs won eight of their last ten games with Phoenix, covering three of last four; Suns are 0-3 vs spread in their last four visit to the Alamo. Five of last six series games stayed under.

Toronto lost three of its last four games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Raptors’ last five games stayed under the total. Clippers are 2-3 in their last five games; they’re 8-2-1 vs spread at home this year. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Clippers won three of last four games with Toronto; four of last six series games stayed under the total. Raptors are 3-2 vs spread in last five series gams played here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Tuesday, December 11

Trend Report

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Portland is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Portland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games on the road
Portland is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Portland's last 25 games when playing Houston
Portland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
Portland is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 19 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Rockets
Houston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 11 games
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home
Houston is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Houston's last 25 games when playing Portland
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland
Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Houston's last 19 games when playing at home against Portland

Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games on the road
Phoenix is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio Spurs
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games
San Antonio is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games at home
San Antonio is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Toronto Raptors
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Toronto's last 15 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Los Angeles Clippers
LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Clippers's last 15 games
LA Clippers is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
LA Clippers is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games at home
LA Clippers is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
LA Clippers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of LA Clippers's last 15 games when playing at home against Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (15 - 11) at HOUSTON (11 - 14) - 12/11/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 4-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (4 - 23) at SAN ANTONIO (13 - 14) - 12/11/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
PHOENIX is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1060-932 ATS (+34.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 840-718 ATS (+50.2 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 158-114 ATS (+32.6 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 216-165 ATS (+34.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 426-349 ATS (+42.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 179-140 ATS (+25.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (21 - 7) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 9) - 12/11/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Raptors (-4 ½, 223 ½) at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST

The Clippers (17-9 SU, 15-11 ATS) snapped a two-game losing streak in Monday’s 123-119 overtime triumph at Phoenix, but failed to cash as 9 ½-point favorites. The Suns took an early 10-point lead before the Clippers outscored Phoenix in the second quarter, 37-27. Phoenix rebounded to take an 11-point advantage in the fourth, but Los Angeles rallied again to force overtime. The Clippers beat the Suns for the second time in two weeks behind Tobias Harris’ 33 points and rookie Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s 16 points on 8-of-12 shooting from the floor.

Los Angeles has struggled to cover numbers of late by posting a 1-3 ATS mark in December, including poor offensive efforts in losses to Miami (98 points) and Memphis (86 points). The Clippers have been tremendous at home since losing the season opener at Staples Center to the Nuggets. Doc Rivers’ squad owns a 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS mark in its last 10 home contests, although the nine-game winning streak at Staples was snapped by Miami on Saturday in a 121-98 setback as 9 ½-point favorites.

The Raptors (21-7 SU, 13-15 ATS) embark on a four-game west coast trip, which continues to Golden State (Wednesday), Portland (Friday), and Denver (Sunday). Toronto remains atop the Atlantic Division in spite of dropping back-to-back games to Brooklyn and Milwaukee. In Sunday’s home setback to the Bucks, the Raptors built an early lead but Milwaukee rallied back for a 104-99 triumph as 4 ½-point underdogs. Serge Ibaka led Toronto with 22 points, while Kawhi Leonard poured in 20 points, but Kyle Lowry was held scoreless in 33 minutes on 0-for-5 shooting from the floor (all three-point attempts).

Toronto has hit the UNDER in five consecutive games following a five-game OVER streak, as the Raptors have allowed 106 points or fewer in each of the past five contests. Nick Nurse’s club owns a 1-5 ATS mark in the last six games, including failing to cover on the road at Brooklyn and Cleveland.

Last season, the Clippers pulled off the two-game season sweep of the Raptors, including a 96-91 victory at Staples Center as a six-point underdog last December. Both matchups finished UNDER the total, while three of the last four meetings in Los Angeles have gone UNDER.

Blazers at Rockets (-6 ½, 221) – 8:00 PM EST

This series was owned by Houston (11-14 SU, 9-16 ATS) last season, as the Rockets pulled off a four-game sweep of Portland. However, the Blazers (15-11 SU, 13-13 ATS) rebounded in the first matchup this season by routing the Rockets at Toyota Center, 104-85 as 4 ½-point underdogs on October 30. James Harden sat out due to injury for Houston, who shot 32% from the floor and converted only 10-of-43 attempts from three-point range.

The Rockets won eight of 10 games to start November following a dreadful 1-5 start, but Houston has been grounded once again. Mike D’Antoni’s team has dropped seven of the last nine games, including getting swept on a three-game road trip at Minnesota, Utah, and Dallas. The Rockets led the Mavericks by eight points with three minutes remaining on Saturday, but Dallas outscored Houston, 13-2 to pick up a 107-104 win.

The Blazers begin a quick two-game road trip that continues to Memphis on Wednesday. Portland bounced back from a three-game skid to knock off Phoenix and Minnesota at the Moda Center, capped off by an eight-point win over the Wolves on Saturday. However, the Blazers need to fix their road woes, as Terry Stotts’ squad has lost six of the last eight away from Portland since handling Houston in late October.

Suns at Spurs (-12 ½, 218 ½) – 8:35 PM EST

San Antonio (13-14 SU, 13-13-1 ATS) is creeping back towards the .500 mark following a pair of double-digit home wins over the Lakers and Jazz. The Spurs improved to 9-4 at AT&T Center after cruising past Utah on Sunday, 110-97 to avenge a 34-point setback in Salt Lake City last Tuesday. DeMar DeRozan continues his solid debut season in San Antonio by scoring 26 points on Sunday, while Rudy Gay posted a double-double (23 points, 15 rebounds) to give the Spurs their third straight win in the role of a home underdog.

The Spurs own a 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS mark as a home favorite this season, while laying their biggest number of the season tonight. San Antonio has split a pair of meetings with Phoenix as both matchups with decided by 20+ points. The Spurs ripped the Suns in Phoenix on Halloween night, 120-90, but the Suns picked up revenge in the next matchup in the Valley, 116-96 on November 14 as six-point underdogs.

Phoenix (4-23 SU, 9-18 ATS) is riding a nine-game skid following last night’s four-point overtime setback to the Clippers, but the Suns snapped an eight-game ATS slide by covering 9 ½ at home. The Suns have won only once away from Talking Stick Resort Arena in 13 tries with the lone victory coming at Milwaukee as 13 ½-point underdogs, 116-114 on November 23. Phoenix owns a 4-5 ATS ledger as a double-digit underdog, while going 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS with no rest this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Clippers are 10-0 ATS (+7.70 ppg) with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite when they won 2 straight vs current opponent and it is before the All-Star break.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Raptors are 0-15 ATS (-7.13 ppg) as a favorite with rest off a home game when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Spurs are 15-0 OU (+13.20 ppg) as a home favorite off a double-digit home win in which they had more than eight times as many field goal attempts as turnovers and it is before the All-Star break.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Suns are 0-11 OU (-12.55 ppg) as a 8+ dog with less than two days rest after playing as a home dog when they lost as a dog in each of their last two games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Monique Vág


Needing a win at home

The Rockets have only managed to win two of their most recent nine games, but return home where they have won five of their most recent six contests. In the head-to-head versus the Trail Blazers, Houston has won four of their last five games.

Expect James Harden to carry this team to victory as they get a much needed win with the Lakers and Grizzlies coming up next. Take the Rockets to cover as 6-point home favorites.


Taking advantage of the long ball

Last year in the first meeting between the Blazers and Rockets in Portland, James Harden had one of his best games of the year shooting 16 of 29 from the floor, including four of seven from beyond the arc, for 48 points. Attacking the rim paid off as he got to the free throw line 14 times that game.

Look for Harden to take advantage of a defense allowing opponents to shoot 37 percent from beyond the arc, and take Over his points, rebounds and assists total of 44.5.


A shot at redemption

San Antonio is trying to make it three straight victories today against Phoenix, after some impressive offensive showings over their last few games.

The Suns have only managed to win one of their most recent nine games and have posted a 1-12 record away from home this season.

This game has a little bit of extra incentive for the Spurs who hope to avenge their 116-96 loss on November 14th to the Suns. The Spurs should be able to shut down an already low-scoring Suns team and cover the 12-point spread.


Fading Suns

The Suns have been held under 100 points in four of their most recent six games, and play against a Spurs team eager to regain their defensive identity.

Phoenix enter today ranked 29th in the Association averaging 102.8 points per contest and have really struggled early in games on the road, averaging only 23.7 first quarter points per game and 50.5 for the half. Look for the sluggish start to continue as the Spurs stay locked in on defense and take Phoenix's team total Under 102.


Can Lowry break out of his dry spell?

Tonight's game between the Raptors and Clippers looks like the perfect opportunity for Kyle Lowry to get back on track. Toronto's point guard has been in a slump ever since sitting out a December 1st game against the Cavaliers. Lowry is in a favorable matchup versus a Clippers team allowing opposing point guards to post 23.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 8.2 assists per game.

It is imperative, even if shooting poorly, that Lowry continues finding the open man and adds to his league-leading assist average of 10 per game. Take Over his assist total today of 8.5.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 11


Villanova @ Pennsylvania

Game 601-602
December 11, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Villanova
71.885
Pennsylvania
62.188
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Villanova
by 9 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Villanova
by 7
140
Dunkel Pick:
Villanova
(-7); Under

Georgia Southern @ UCF

Game 603-604
December 11, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
51.126
UCF
69.867
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UCF
by 19
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UCF
by 11 1/2
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
UCF
(-11 1/2); Over

Colorado @ New Mexico

Game 605-606
December 11, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
63.833
New Mexico
54.499
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 9 1/2
170
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 5
166 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-5); Over

Denver @ Wyoming

Game 607-608
December 11, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
50.052
Wyoming
49.300
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 7 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+7 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VILLANOVA (8 - 2) at PENNSYLVANIA (8 - 2) - 12/11/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 117-81 ATS (+27.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 30-11 ATS (+17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VILLANOVA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PENNSYLVANIA is 101-136 ATS (-48.6 Units) in all home games since 1997.
PENNSYLVANIA is 101-136 ATS (-48.6 Units) in home lined games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
VILLANOVA is 2-0 against the spread versus PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 2-0 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (6 - 2) at UCF (7 - 2) - 12/11/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCF is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
UCF is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (7 - 1) at NEW MEXICO (4 - 3) - 12/11/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (3 - 7) at WYOMING (3 - 6) - 12/11/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
DENVER is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1997.
DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WYOMING is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 1-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 1-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons