Saturday 12-15-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Saturday, December 15

Trend Report

Calgary Flames
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Calgary's last 13 games on the road
Calgary is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Calgary is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Minnesota
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Calgary
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary

Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Anaheim is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Anaheim's last 11 games on the road
Anaheim is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
Anaheim is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
Anaheim is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Columbus is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 6 games
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Anaheim

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Toronto is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Toronto is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Florida
Toronto is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida Panthers
Florida is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Florida is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Florida is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Toronto

Ottawa Senators
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Ottawa's last 24 games
Ottawa is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Ottawa is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Ottawa's last 15 games on the road
Ottawa is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Montreal
Ottawa is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Ottawa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Montreal
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Montreal is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
Montreal is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
Montreal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa

Detroit Red Wings
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games
Detroit is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Detroit's last 18 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games when playing NY Islanders
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
New York Islanders
NY Islanders is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 9 games
NY Islanders is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Islanders's last 11 games when playing Detroit
NY Islanders is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games
Los Angeles is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 7 games on the road
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Pittsburgh is 5-8-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Buffalo Sabres
Buffalo is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games
Buffalo is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Capitals
Washington is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

New Jersey Devils
New Jersey is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
New Jersey is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Jersey's last 11 games
New Jersey is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
New Jersey is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
New Jersey is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Nashville
New Jersey is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games
Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Nashville is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games at home
Nashville is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
Nashville is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Dallas is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Colorado is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 10 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Philadelphia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Vancouver is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Vancouver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Vancouver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Vancouver is 3-11-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 15

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CALGARY (20-10-0-2, 42 pts.) at MINNESOTA (17-12-0-2, 36 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 1:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 195-124 ATS (+29.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 30-17 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 69-63 ATS (+144.1 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
CALGARY is 8-1 ATS (+6.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CALGARY is 11-4 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 5-2 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 5-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.3 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (11-20-0-2, 24 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (14-11-0-6, 34 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 11-22 ATS (+33.8 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 11-22 ATS (+33.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
LOS ANGELES is 204-254 ATS (-87.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
PITTSBURGH is 14-17 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 14-17 ATS (-15.6 Units) first half of the season this season.
PITTSBURGH is 12-19 ATS (-17.2 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 20-23 ATS (-14.6 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS (-14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 1-9 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-2-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

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ANAHEIM (17-11-0-5, 39 pts.) at COLUMBUS (17-12-0-2, 36 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 65-41 ATS (+7.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 46-24 ATS (+15.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 177-162 ATS (+378.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 13-3 ATS (+9.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 4-0 ATS (+4.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
ANAHEIM is 136-132 ATS (+285.0 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 447-448 ATS (+921.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 2-7 ATS (-7.3 Units) on Saturday games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLUMBUS is 3-2 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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OTTAWA (14-15-0-4, 32 pts.) at MONTREAL (16-11-0-5, 37 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 7-1 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Saturday games this season.
MONTREAL is 45-70 ATS (+136.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 8-4 (+2.5 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 8-4-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.9 Units)

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TORONTO (21-10-0-1, 43 pts.) at FLORIDA (11-13-0-6, 28 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 392-403 ATS (-114.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TORONTO is 29-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-5 ATS (+6.4 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 11-19 ATS (-20.7 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA is 11-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
FLORIDA is 1-8 ATS (-9.2 Units) on Saturday games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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BUFFALO (19-9-0-4, 42 pts.) at WASHINGTON (19-9-0-3, 41 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 85-53 ATS (+158.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-7 ATS (+10.2 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 49-29 ATS (+1.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 99-67 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
BUFFALO is 19-13 ATS (+33.8 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 19-13 ATS (+33.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
BUFFALO is 49-45 ATS (+107.5 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-1 (+3.9 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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DETROIT (14-15-0-4, 32 pts.) at NY ISLANDERS (14-12-0-4, 32 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 23-53 ATS (+89.6 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 450-346 ATS (-133.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
NY ISLANDERS are 18-9 ATS (+27.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 24-43 ATS (-23.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 4-3-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

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NEW JERSEY (11-13-0-6, 28 pts.) at NASHVILLE (21-10-0-1, 43 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 2-11 ATS (+15.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
NEW JERSEY is 3-13 ATS (+18.9 Units) in road games first half of the season this season.
NEW JERSEY is 1-9 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
NEW JERSEY is 5-24 ATS (+40.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
NEW JERSEY is 13-6 ATS (+20.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-2-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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DALLAS (16-13-0-3, 35 pts.) at COLORADO (17-9-0-6, 40 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 19-38 ATS (+60.4 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 22-37 ATS (-18.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 63-58 ATS (-0.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-5-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (12-14-0-4, 28 pts.) at VANCOUVER (14-16-0-4, 32 pts.) - 12/15/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 422-379 ATS (-127.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-20 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 85-66 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 126-132 ATS (-64.8 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 384-368 ATS (-9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Saturday, December 15


Philadelphia @ Vancouver

Game 35-36
December 15, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
9.998
Vancouver
12.510
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(-120); Over

Dallas @ Colorado

Game 33-34
December 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
8.252
Colorado
11.859
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-155
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-155); Under

New Jersey @ Nashville

Game 31-32
December 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
12.551
Nashville
9.161
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Jersey
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nashville
-230
6
Dunkel Pick:
New Jersey
(+190); Over

Detroit @ NY Islanders

Game 29-30
December 15, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
9.808
NY Islanders
11.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Islanders
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Islanders
-185
6
Dunkel Pick:
NY Islanders
(-185); Over

Buffalo @ Washington

Game 27-28
December 15, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
10.406
Washington
13.332
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-165); Over

Toronto @ Florida

Game 25-26
December 15, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
9.366
Florida
11.022
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-155
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(+135); Under

Anaheim @ Columbus

Game 21-22
December 15, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
9.338
Columbus
12.870
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-170); Under

Los Angeles @ Pittsburgh

Game 19-20
December 15, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Los Angeles
9.482
Pittsburgh
11.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-200
6
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-200); Over

Calgary @ Minnesota

Game 17-18
December 15, 2018 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
11.746
Minnesota
12.843
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-120); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Opening Line Report - Week 15
Joe Williams

The books made a killing in Week 14, as plenty of underdogs were coming through to save the shops. Generally the public sinks money on the favorites, and 'dogs were hitting all over the boards. I am paraphrashing a user I saw post in passing: "Show me a winning parlay ticket. There weren't many."

We have three regular-season weekends to go, and with college football in the rear-view mirror we get Saturday football, in addition to the usual assortment of Sunday activity. If you love betting NFL, this time of the year is right up your alley, as you have four separate days to watch and win.

Saturday, Dec. 15

Houston Texans (-6, 41) at New York Jets

The Texans finally saw their nine-game winning streak come to an end last week, but Vegas feels strongly that a new win streak will begin. The line at Atlantis moved from -6 1/2 to -6, as well as Southpoint and Westgate SuperBook. The Jets have a slew of injury issues of their own, including QB Sam Darnold (foot) who might be missing in action.

Cleveland Browns at Denver Broncos (-3, 45.5)

The Browns actually resemble an NFL-caliber team after years of futility, led by QB Baker Mayfield. 'The Bake Show' has produced five victories this season, and they're just a half-game back of the Broncos as the teams jockey to stay in the playoff picture. A loss to either likely eliminates them from contention. The line has held steady around -3 at most shops, while Jerry's Nugget dropped the line from -3 1/2 to -3. Westgate SuperBook opened this game at -4, and bettors quickly bet it down to -3, too.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 15

Saturday. December 15

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HOUSTON (9 - 4) at NY JETS (4 - 9) - 12/15/2018, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CLEVELAND (5 - 7 - 1) at DENVER (6 - 7) - 12/15/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 15

Trend Report

Saturday. December 15

Houston Texans
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
Houston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing NY Jets
New York Jets
NY Jets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 10 games
NY Jets is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
NY Jets is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games at home
NY Jets is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
NY Jets is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston

Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is 5-19-1 SU in its last 25 games
Cleveland is 5-12-1 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Cleveland's last 21 games on the road
Cleveland is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Denver
Denver Broncos
Denver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Denver is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games
Denver is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
Denver is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Cleveland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 15

NFL (PROFESSIONAL)

SATURDAY DECEMBER 15, 2018

Houston
@
NY Jets
Game 303-304
December 15, 2018 @ 4:30 pm

Dunkel Rating: Houston
135.618
NY Jets
122.991
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Houston
by 12 1/2
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Houston
by 6
41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston
(-6); Over

Cleveland
@
Denver
Game 305-306
December 15, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating: Cleveland
131.972
Denver
131.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Cleveland
Even
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Denver
by 3
45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland
(+3); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 15

Saturday

Texans (9-4) @ Jets (4-9)— Houston had its 9-game win streak snapped at home by Indy LW; Texans won their last four road games, three by either 2-3 points- they’re 4-3 vs spread in last seven games as a road favorite (0-2 this year). Texans are +6 in turnovers their last three games, with no giveaways. Jets snapped a 6-game losing skid with win at Buffalo LW; they’re 2-4 at home, with all four losses by 8+ points. Under Bowles, Gang Green is 10-6-1 as home underdog, but 0-2 this year. Houston won last two series games, 23-17/24-17, after losing previous five meetings; Texans lost three of four series games played here. Three of last four Jet games went over the total; six of last nine Houston games stayed under.

Browns (5-7-1) @ Broncos (6-7)— Cleveland won three of last four games; Gregg Williams is making strong case to be Browns’ coach in ’19. Browns are 1-5 SU on road, 2-3-1 as AU; last four years, they’re 10-19-1 as road dogs. Broncos won three of last four games but lost at 49ers LW, a bad loss; they’re +9 in turnovers in those four games, with only one giveaway. Denver is 3-3 SU at home, 0-2-1 as home favorite- under Joseph, Broncos are 1-5-1 vs spread as AU. Denver won last seven series games, winning last meeting 26-23 in OT three years ago. Browns lost last four visits here, with three of four losses by 21+ points. Three of last four Cleveland games stayed under; last six Denver games also stayed under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 15
December 11, 2018
By Bruce Marshall


SATURDAY, DEC. 15

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
HOUSTON at N.Y. JETS (NFL, 4:30 p.m. ET)
Texans have won nine of last ten last SU and are 5-2 vs. spread last seven TY. Jets 2-5 last 7 and 4-8 last 12 vs. line TY, no covers last three at home.
Tech Edge: Texans, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CLEVELAND at DENVER (NFL, 8:20 p.m. ET)
Denver 6-2 last eight vs. spread in 2018. Broncos also “under” 10-3 TY and 13-4 last 17 since late 2017. Browns 7-4 as dog this season.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on recent “totals” trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL's Best ATS Teams (based on cover %):

1. Saints 10-3 ATS
2. Bears 9-4 ATS
3. Seahawks 8-3-2 ATS
4. Chiefs 8-4-1 ATS
t5. Pats 8-5 ATS
t5. Cowboys
t5. Dolphins
t5. Browns


NFL's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

32. Falcons 3-10 ATS
t30. Niners 4-9 ATS
t30. Eagles
29. Jaguars 4-7-2 ATS
t25. Raiders 5-8 ATS
t25. Jets
t25. Bills
t25. Panthers


NFL Top OVER Teams (based on Over %)

1. Chiefs 8-4-1
t2. Bears 8-5
t2. Bengals
t2. Jets
t2. Bucs
t6. Falcons 7-6
t6. Panthers
t6. Packers
t6. Chargers
t6. Giants
t6. Steelers
t6. Niners


NFL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

1. Broncos 9-3-1
t2. Cardinals 8-5
t2. Texans 8-5
t2. Vikings 8-5
t2. Pats 8-5
t2. Saints 8-5
t2. Eagles 8-5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hot & Not Report

Week of December 10th

With the college basketball world on a bit of a hiatus as winter exams have arrived, last week's dissection of two of the sports conferences can be put on hold. The West Coast Conference is still loaded with ATS money makers, as the worst ATS record for anyone in that conference is just one game below the .500 mark.

The SEC continued to struggle covering spreads as well, as they continue to be a top candidate to be a victim of their own success/depth in the betting markets of non-conference play. With so many good teams it will be interesting to see how conference play shakes out in January/February, and it won't be until then that I'll come back and take a snapshot of the entire CBB betting landscape again.

Today, it's back to the football world as the NFL has hit the stretch drive and the playoff picture should start to get clearer each week. Motivational angles should be considered more often in December, but with some division leaders recently struggling, it's time to look at betting scenarios that have been quite streaky one way or another of late.

Who's Hot

Home Underdogs – 10-5 ATS last two weeks, including 9-6 SU

It's been a good two-week run for backing home underdogs – especially on the ML – as they've cashed at a 67% rate. Home underdogs tend to be spots bettors should naturally gravitate towards when the scenario/situation fits, and over the past two weeks with some very prominent teams laying road chalk, it's those favorites that have got burned in all sorts of ways.

There have been the offensive powerhouses like the Rams and Saints losing SU and ATS to home underdogs that pride themselves on great defensive play (Dallas, Chicago). Chicago was actually a team that got caught the week before knocking off L.A in the road chalk role, as the New York Giants beat up on the Bears for most of the game and managed to not fully blow it by getting the win in OT.

This past week we had a couple of “miracle” comebacks in the final minute by the likes of Miami and Oakland to pull off SU and ATS wins as sizable home underdogs against the Patriots and Steelers respectively. Considering New England and Pittsburgh meet in Pittsburgh this weekend, it's pretty safe to say in retrospect that both organizations likely had one eye already on Week 15.

All of that stuff matters in December, and when bad teams are at home, knowing their season is done in a few weeks, and they get to host a playoff-caliber squad, those games become like “playoff” games for the home underdog, and so far they've performed up to the challenge in recent weeks. Whether or not that continues remains to be seen, but it looks like we've got just four candidates to consider in the home 'dog role for Week 15.

The New York Jets (+6.5 vs Houston), San Francisco (+6 vs Seattle), Carolina (+6.5 vs New Orleans), and likely Pittsburgh (+2 range vs New England), are this week's candidates in that role. You can make cases for fading all four of their opponents for various reasons, but don't be surprised to see one of these home underdogs win outright in Week 15. At least one home underdog has won outright in every week this season from Week 2 on, so getting behind the Jets, 49ers, or Panthers (and probably Steelers) should be making everyone's handicapping short list as the week goes on.

Who's Not

NFC Super Bowl representatives from the last three years – 1-14 ATS last five weeks combined

Carolina, Atlanta, and Philadelphia have all been hit hard by injuries at various points of the year, and it's looking like those injuries combined with some poor overall play will have all three of these franchises on their couches watching playoff football.

Atlanta already knows they'll have a long off-season ahead of them, as their last shot at staying relevant was a few weeks ago back in New Orleans when turnovers and sloppiness officially did them in. Having gone 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall, the Falcons have shown little to no heart down the stretch. You've got to wonder if big organizational changes are coming to Atlanta this spring, but with Arizona, Carolina, and Tampa Bay left to play out the string, backing this uninspired Falcons team is not high on the “To-Do list” the rest of the year.

Carolina and Philadelphia still have a shot at getting into the playoffs, although the two of them (along with Minnesota) are basically fighting it out for one spot now. Considering Carolina is on a 0-5 SU and ATS run right now, and Philly is 3-7 ATS in their last 10, Week 15 might be the final curtain call for both organizations in 2018 when you consider who they are up against respectively.

Philadelphia heads to LA to take on the Rams on SNF, with what is basically their season on the line. The Eagles nearly fought all the way back to beat Dallas last week to stay in the NFC East hunt, but that loss all bunk sunk them in that regard, and they are likely to have a tough time picking themselves back up after a game like that. The Eagles are catching nearly double-digits against a Rams team that was somewhat exposed by Chicago, but you've got to have a great defense like the Bears to take advantage of that. The Eagles secondary has been obliterated by injuries all year long, and even if they were healthy, their defense just doesn't compare to Chicago's.

The Panthers at least have the added benefit of being at home this week, but hosting the Saints on MNF is no picnic with their season on the line. Carolina is already officially out of their division chase so it's just a Wildcard berth to fall back on, but they don't have a defense like the one the Cowboys possess when they shut down New Orleans a few weeks ago. The Saints are still out there playing for 1st seed in the NFC, so there isn't likely to be any post-division clinch letdown, especially when it's a prime time game to conclude the week.

Should Philadelphia and Carolina lose SU this week, you can add them to the list with Atlanta of teams I would not look to back the rest of the way. All three of these recent Super Bowl participants had much higher expectations for 2018, and to come up as short as they are puts them in the role of being “lame duck” teams that should be great fades as they all look to preserve their health for 2019 and beyond.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Gridiron Angles - Week 15
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Cowboys are 10-0-1 ATS (9.4 ppg) since Dec 09, 2012 on the road coming off a win where they had at least 400 total yards.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-12.8 ppg) since Oct 28, 2001 as a home favorite of more than three points coming off a road game with less than 300 total yards.

TOP NFL PLAYER ATS TREND:

-- The Buccaneers are 0-8-1 ATS (-5.8 ppg) since Dec 24, 2016 after a loss in which Cameron Brate had a receiving touchdown.

NFL CHOICE TRENDS:

-- The Ravens are 9-0 ATS (18.0 ppg) since Sep 21, 2008 as a home favorite off a game as a dog where they had less than 200 passing yards.

-- The Giants are 9-0 ATS (17.7 ppg) since Sep 25, 2011 coming off a game as a favorite where they allowed no more than 15 first downs.

TOP NFL PLAYER OU TREND:

-- The Patriots are 0-8 OU (-10.3 ppg) since Sep 14, 2014 on the road coming off a road game where Tom Brady threw at least 35 passes.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

-- The Texans are 11-0 OU (11.1 ppg) since Nov 14, 2004 coming off a loss in which they had zero turnovers.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

-- The Patriots are 0-10-1 OU (-10.1 ppg) since Sep 14, 2014 on the road coming off a loss.

SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:

-- Teams playing their final regular season home game which have won at least six of their first seven home games are 96-77-3 ATS. Active on Chicago.

NFL BIBLE ATS ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Giants are 0-10 ATS (-15.1 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a win as a road favorite in which they benefitted from a turnover margin of+2 or greater.

NFL BIBLE O/U ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Bills are 0-12 OU (-8.9 ppg) off a loss as a home favorite in which they converted at least five third downs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BAKER’S BIG DAY?

Saturday’s second game sees the Browns visit the Broncos and it could be a special night for rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield. Here’s a fun stat: Since Hue Jackson was fired, Mayfield has the third-best passer rating in the NFL behind only Drew Brees and Patrick Mahomes. He has passed for 1,406 passing yards for 9.2 yards per attempt in those five games. Today, he gets a Denver defense that is allowing the 335.8 passing yards since Week 10, which is the most in the league. The Broncos are also going to be without top cornerback Chris Harris, as they were last week when Nick Mullens dropped 332 yards on 10.1 yards per attempt on them. Take the Over 255.5 on Mayfield’s passing yards total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Dec 15 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Gonzaga vs North Carolina
Play on: North Carolina -2 -109 at GTBets

1* Free Pick on North Carolina -2
I like the Tar Heels to come away with a huge win at home against the Bulldogs. These two teams last met in the National Championship Game a couple years ago. For North Carolina, this is their shot at showing they need to be taken seriously and a chance to right the ship after a recent poor showing against a top caliber opponent.
On Nov. 28th the Tar Heels went to Ann Arbor and got annihilated by Michigan 84-67. A loss that I think is definitely playing into this line and why the public is on the Bulldogs. I think that was just a bad day for UNC on the road in a very tough environment. This time they are the ones playing at home and it's going to be electric at the Dean Smith Center for this prime time tip-off.
Tar Heels have covered 19 of their last 27 home games overall. They are 14-5 ATS last 19 at home after a win and 8-1 ATS when that win was by 15 points or more (beat UNC-Wilmington by 28). UNC is also a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games when playing an elite team that's won more than 80% of their games. Take North Carolina!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Dec 15 '18, 8:20 PM in 2h
NFL | Browns vs Broncos
Play on: UNDER 46 -102

Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
1* on Browns/Broncos UNDER 46
The Key: The Denver Broncos have been the best UNDER team in the NFL this season. They have gone 10-3 to the UNDER in their 13 games. And they’ve become even more of an UNDER team now that they traded away Demaryius Thomas, and then lost Emmanuel Sanders to a season-ending injury prior to the 49ers game last week. They managed just 14 points against a bad 49ers defense. But the Broncos are showing that their defense is still one of the best units in the NFL. They have given up 23 or fewer points in 7 of their last 8 games overall. They are yielding only 17.6 PPG in their last 5 games. And the Browns will struggle to move the football on this defense. Cleveland has allowed 20 or fewer points in 3 of their last 4 games, so they are playing well on defense too. This total really seems too high. Denver is 9-1 UNDER in all games played on a grass field this season. The Broncos are 8-0 UNDER vs. good offensive teams that average at least 5.65 yards per play this season. The UNDER is 38-11-2 in Browns last 51 December games. Take the UNDER.