Sunday 12-16-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 08:58 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Aqueduct

12/16/18, AQU, Race 7, 3.17 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $67,000.
Claiming Price $40,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $40,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (7-9), Double
Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
Top Horse Win Percent 35.04, $1 ROI 1.01, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
100.0000 11 Gambler's Fallacy 6-1 Franco M Brown Chad C. FEC
098.9557 7 Gio d'Oro 6-1 Cancel E Cox Brad H. TL
098.2337 5 Uncle Sigh 3-1 Maragh R Rodriguez Rudy R.
097.5903 10 Blugrascat's Smile 8-1 Cohen D Baker Charlton
097.3817 2 Gypsum Johnny 10-1 Alvarado J Rice Linda S
097.3214 3 J J's Dreaming 9/2 Lezcano J Hennig Mark A.
096.6636 8 Papa Shot 15-1 Silvera R Rodriguez Rudy R.
096.4671 4 Blame the Thief 8-1 Diaz. Jr. H R Hills Timothy A.
095.9440 9 Dublinthepleasure 15-1 Reyes L R Englehart Jeremiah C. W
094.3105 6 Testosterstone 15-1 Davis D Sciacca Gary
093.1903 12 Here Comes Tommy 30-1 Luzzi M J Morrison John
092.0147 1 Holy Week 30-1 Hernandez B Breed. Jr. Ronald J

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 08:58 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct
Aqueduct - Race 1

Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 (1-3), Early Pick 5 (.50) (1-5) Double .1st Half NYNY Double

Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $68,000 • Post: 12:20
(UP TO $11,832 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * THREAD THE NEEDLE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. COMMUNAL: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DREAMERS AND ME: Horse has run a Goo d Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
7
THREAD THE NEEDLE
7/2

4/1
4
COMMUNAL
9/5

9/2
6
DREAMERS AND ME
6/1

5/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
DREAMERS AND ME
6

6/1
Front-runner
80

73

93.9

67.3

61.3
2
HURRICANE SHEILA
2

8/1
Front-runner
79

63

81.2

54.3

45.8
4
COMMUNAL
4

9/5
Alternator/Front-runner
85

81

71.1

76.8

72.3
7
THREAD THE NEEDLE
7

7/2
Stalker
85

82

87.9

78.3

74.8
3
THAT'S SPEIGHTFUL
3

8/1
Alternator/Stalker
0

0

68.3

59.7

52.2
5
SIERRA SARAH
5

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Unknown Running Style: HATTIE L (5/2) [Jockey: Franco Manuel - Trainer: Pletcher Todd A].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 08:59 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Fair Grounds - Race #2 - Post: 12:58pm - Claiming - 7.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 FAST BOAT (ML=9/2)

FAST BOAT - Faced tougher last race out at Fair Grounds. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker group, so I will put this animal on my list of choice plays. Beschizza was aboard this gelding last out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. I expect a lot from this fine animal. His speed figures under similar conditions are tops in this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #11 HANDSOME HARVE (ML=3/1), #2 TAPIT CITY (ML=4/1), #6 BLOWIN SMOKE (ML=5/1),

HANDSOME HARVE - Usually I need a sprinter to have some recent success in short distance contests in order to back him. I don't normally play a morning-line choice that hasn't been to the track in the last 3 weeks. Pony ran a great speed figure last time out, but that was in the mud. TAPIT CITY - In any race of 7 1/2 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been on the board in short distance races of late. BLOWIN SMOKE - Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint contests in order to wager on him. Unlikely that the speed rating he earned on October 24th will be enough in this race.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FAST BOAT - My calculations and statistics say you can ignore the last race at Fair Grounds. Contested in the slop, this gelding obviously didn't take to the going.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 FAST BOAT is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [2,4] with [1,2,4,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,2,4,7] with [1,2,4,7] with [1,2,4,7] Total Cost: $24

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 08:59 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
Gulfstream Park - Race 10

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5

Optional Claiming $25,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $47,000 • Post: 4:35P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $20,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. RASHETTE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PRINCESS VICTORIA: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. Horse's win percenta ge at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. RASHETTE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MO TOWN KAT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Po wer Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. GIFT OF GLORY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
5
PRINCESS VICTORIA
3/1

5/1
2
RASHETTE
4/1

6/1
7
MO TOWN KAT
6/1

6/1
3
GIFT OF GLORY
15/1

10/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
2
RASHETTE
2

4/1
Front-runner
86

76

92.2

73.6

64.6
7
MO TOWN KAT
7

6/1
Stalker
91

86

78.6

85.0

80.5
4
FEISTY EMBRACE
4

5/1
Stalker
79

74

73.4

68.6

56.1
8
VIOLENT NATURE
8

10/1
Stalker
80

85

61.5

69.6

56.1
5
PRINCESS VICTORIA
5

3/1
Stalker
92

90

60.5

79.0

75.0
1
AS FAST AS YOU CAN
1

7/2
Alternator/Stalker
89

77

68.4

75.4

67.4
3
GIFT OF GLORY
3

15/1
Trailer
91

82

50.5

53.8

45.3
6
TOO MUCH TIP
6

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
84

86

90.8

70.6

59.1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:00 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 78

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 LION COMMAND 3/1

# 4 BULLISH ON STEVE 5/2

# 2 REAL QUICK 7/5

I think LION COMMAND is a solid choice. He has been travelling admirably recently while recording very solid Speed Figures. The average Equibase class figure alone makes this entrant a contender. Rosales has this horse running well and is a very good selection based on the strong Equibase Speed Figs recorded in sprint races lately. BULLISH ON STEVE - With Hernandez getting the mount, watch out for this animal. Avalos has him trained admirably to break quickly out of the gate. REAL QUICK - Looks solid versus this group and ought to be one of the early speedsters. Posted a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:00 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 12 - Stakes - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 109

JEFFREY A. HAWK MEMORIAL S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NO NOMINATION FEE. $350 TO ENTER AND AN ADDITIONAL $350 TO START WITH $75,000 GUARANTEED. $50,000 FROM THE REMINGTON PARK PURSE FUND AND $25,000 FROM SPONSORSHIP. THE GUARANTEED MONIES TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY THE USUAL

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 HARLAN PUNCH 4/1

# 6 SHOTGUN KOWBOY 10/1

# 7 HENCE 3/1

HARLAN PUNCH looks to be a very good contender. He has been racing soundly as of late while recording strong Equibase Speed Figures. Should be given a shot in here if only for the solid Equibase speed fig posted in the last affair. Has been running in the most competitive company of the group of horses in this race recently. SHOTGUN KOWBOY - Has been travelling soundly and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. He has been travelling well lately while recording strong Equibase Speed Figures. HENCE - Earnings per start in dirt route races is strong for this pony. Can't overlook the connections here, a 22 winning percentage, one of the strongest at getting into the winner's circle.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:00 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Zia Park - Race #10 - Post: 4:03pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,000 Class Rating: 78

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 MINERAL RIGHTS SF (ML=10/1)
#7 ONE KEY (ML=2/1)
#8 SNAPY HOUR (ML=4/1)

MINERAL RIGHTS SF - Trainer Bueno moves this horse to a lower level to face a lower rated field. Look for a sharp performance at this level. ONE KEY - Likes to go to the lead and the fact that today is a shorter distance should be beneficial. Zamora drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to think this horse should have a chance to win at this level. A thoroughbred coming back this quickly after a sharp effort is a good sign. SNAPY HOUR - The return on investment when Fuentes and Barton team up is tremendous. Was in a $5,000 Claiming race at Zia Park in the last race. That event had a class rating of 85 and he is moving down right here. A certain win candidate. Coming off a fourth place finish at Zia Park, some may pass on this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good M/L odds today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #10 SUPERPASS (ML=5/2), #5 DANCING WITH DOGIE (ML=8/1),

SUPERPASS - This entrant will almost certainly be way back as this group crosses the finish line. DANCING WITH DOGIE - A bit of a less than stellar try when this gelding finished sixth. Will be tough for this thoroughbred to beat this group off of that last speed rating. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 MINERAL RIGHTS SF to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7,8] Total Cost: $6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:18 AM

NFL LONG SHEET

Sunday. December 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (7 - 6) at MINNESOTA (6 - 5 - 1) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (3 - 10) at CINCINNATI (5 - 8) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 51-84 ATS (-41.4 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
OAKLAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games against AFC North division opponents since 1992.
OAKLAND is 36-61 ATS (-31.1 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 39-81 ATS (-50.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
OAKLAND is 22-43 ATS (-25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 34-58 ATS (-29.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TAMPA BAY (5 - 8) at BALTIMORE (7 - 6) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (8 - 5) at INDIANAPOLIS (7 - 6) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (5 - 8) at BUFFALO (4 - 9) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 64-90 ATS (-35.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GREEN BAY (5 - 7 - 1) at CHICAGO (9 - 4) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 192-137 ATS (+41.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 73-46 ATS (+22.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 63-39 ATS (+20.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CHICAGO is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GREEN BAY is 5-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TENNESSEE (7 - 6) at NY GIANTS (5 - 8) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
NY GIANTS are 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in December games since 1992.
NY GIANTS are 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) off a win against a division rival since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 52-28 ATS (+21.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (6 - 7) at JACKSONVILLE (4 - 9) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (3 - 10) at ATLANTA (4 - 9) - 12/16/2018, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) against NFC West division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ATLANTA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (7 - 5) at SAN FRANCISCO (3 - 10) - 12/16/2018, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-2 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ENGLAND (9 - 4) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 5 - 1) - 12/16/2018, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (6 - 7) at LA RAMS (11 - 2) - 12/16/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 189-238 ATS (-72.8 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 189-238 ATS (-72.8 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 135-188 ATS (-71.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 146-189 ATS (-61.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 20-37 ATS (-20.7 Units) against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 66-101 ATS (-45.1 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 1-0 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Monday. December 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (11 - 2) at CAROLINA (6 - 7) - 12/17/2018, 8:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 116-86 ATS (+21.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:18 AM

NFL TRENDS

Sunday. December 16

Green Bay Packers
Green Bay is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games
Green Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games
Green Bay is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Green Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Green Bay's last 18 games on the road
Green Bay is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Green Bay is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Bears
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games at home
Chicago is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Green Bay
Chicago is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Green Bay

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
Miami is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota is 5-8-2 ATS in its last 15 games
Minnesota is 17-7-1 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 17-7-1 ATS in its last 25 games at home
Minnesota is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

Detroit Lions
Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games
Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Buffalo's last 22 games at home
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games
Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore Ravens
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
Baltimore is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay

Arizona Cardinals
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games
Arizona is 8-14-1 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Arizona is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Arizona's last 24 games on the road
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Arizona
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

Oakland Raiders
Oakland is 7-13-2 ATS in its last 22 games
Oakland is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oakland's last 20 games
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games on the road
Oakland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
Oakland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Oakland
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

Tennessee Titans
Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games on the road
Tennessee is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Giants
New York Giants
NY Giants is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NY Giants is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
NY Giants is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of NY Giants's last 18 games at home
NY Giants is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee
NY Giants is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Tennessee

Washington Redskins
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville is 1-6-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Jacksonville is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Jacksonville is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
Jacksonville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Jacksonville is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 22 games
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 10 games on the road
Dallas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indianapolis's last 19 games at home
Indianapolis is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Dallas

Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 13 games on the road
Seattle is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games when playing San Francisco
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing San Francisco
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Francisco is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games at home
San Francisco is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games at home
San Francisco is 2-13 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Seattle
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing Seattle
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

New England Patriots
New England is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 6 games
New England is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
New England is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England's last 11 games on the road
New England is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 17-7-1 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Pittsburgh is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games at home
Pittsburgh is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing New England
Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New England

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Rams
Los Angeles Rams
LA Rams is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Rams is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
LA Rams is 1-2-2 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Rams is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games at home
LA Rams is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Rams is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Rams is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
LA Rams is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Monday. December 17

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
New Orleans is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Carolina
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New Orleans's last 15 games when playing on the road against Carolina
Carolina Panthers
Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Carolina's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
Carolina is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Carolina is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Carolina's last 15 games when playing at home against New Orleans

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:18 AM

NFL DUNKEL

SUNDAY DECEMBER 16, 2018

Miami
@
Minnesota
Game 307-308
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Miami
124.305
Minnesota
136.757
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Minnesota
by 2 1/2
34
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Minnesota
by 7
43
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota
(-7); Under

Oakland
@
Cincinnati
Game 309-310
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Oakland
125.127
Cincinnati
126.002
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Cincinnati
by 1
44
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Cincinnati
by 3 1/2
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland
(+3 1/2); Under

Tampa Bay
@
Baltimore
Game 311-312
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Tampa Bay
125.134
Baltimore
139.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Baltimore
by 14 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Baltimore
by 8
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore
(-8); Under

Dallas
@
Indianapolis
Game 313-314
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Dallas
136.159
Indianapolis
134.330
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Dallas
by 2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Indianapolis
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick: Dallas
(+3); Under

Detroit
@
Buffalo
Game 315-316
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Detroit
124.772
Buffalo
128.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Buffalo
by 4
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Buffalo
by 2
38
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo
(-2); Over

Green Bay
@
Chicago
Game 317-318
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Green Bay
130.826
Chicago
138.749
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Chicago
by 8 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Chicago
by 5 1/2
44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago
(-5 1/2); Over

Tennessee
@
NY Giants
Game 319-320
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Tennessee
132.817
NY Giants
132.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Tennessee
by 1
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: NY Giants
by 2 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee
(+2 1/2); Over

Washington
@
Jacksonville
Game 321-322
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Washington
121.957
Jacksonville
125.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Jacksonville
by 3 1/2
32
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Jacksonville
by 7 1/2
36
Dunkel Pick: Washington
(+7 1/2); Under

Arizona
@
Atlanta
Game 323-324
December 16, 2018 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating: Arizona
121.504
Atlanta
126.404
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Atlanta
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Atlanta
by 9
44
Dunkel Pick: Arizona
(+9); Over

Seattle
@
San Francisco
Game 325-326
December 16, 2018 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating: Seattle
132.337
San Francisco
128.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Seattle
by 3 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Seattle
by 6 1/2
44
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco
(+6 1/2); Over

New England
@
Pittsburgh
Game 327-328
December 16, 2018 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating: New England
00.000
Pittsburgh
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: New England

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: New England

Dunkel Pick: New England
( );

Philadelphia
@
LA Rams
Game 329-330
December 16, 2018 @ 8:20 pm

Dunkel Rating: Philadelphia
130.231
LA Rams
136.938
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Rams
by 6 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: LA Rams
by 9 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia
(+9 1/2); Over

MONDAY DECEMBER 17, 2018

New Orleans
@
Carolina
Game 331-332
December 17, 2018 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating: New Orleans
138.483
Carolina
134.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: New Orleans
by 4
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: New Orleans
by 6 1/2
54
Dunkel Pick: Carolina
(+6 1/2); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:19 AM

NFL's Best ATS Teams (based on cover %):

1. Saints 10-3 ATS
2. Bears 9-4 ATS
3. Seahawks 8-3-2 ATS
4. Chiefs 8-4-1 ATS
t5. Pats 8-5 ATS
t5. Cowboys
t5. Dolphins
t5. Browns

NFL's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

32. Falcons 3-10 ATS
t30. Niners 4-9 ATS
t30. Eagles
29. Jaguars 4-7-2 ATS
t25. Raiders 5-8 ATS
t25. Jets
t25. Bills
t25. Panthers

NFL Top OVER Teams (based on Over %)

1. Chiefs 8-4-1
t2. Bears 8-5
t2. Bengals
t2. Jets
t2. Bucs
t6. Falcons 7-6
t6. Panthers
t6. Packers
t6. Chargers
t6. Giants
t6. Steelers
t6. Niners

NFL's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

1. Broncos 9-3-1
t2. Cardinals 8-5
t2. Texans 8-5
t2. Vikings 8-5
t2. Pats 8-5
t2. Saints 8-5
t2. Eagles 8-5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:19 AM

NFL Underdogs: Week 15 pointspread picks and predictions
Jason Logan

I’ll be truthful. At first glance, I didn’t have any knee-jerk, must-play feelings about a single NFL betting underdog in Week 15. That’s strange, because there are usually one or two each week.

I feel like I walked into Toys R Us (we still have those in Canada, BTW) on Christmas Eve looking for whatever glitter-infused, rainbow-pooping unicorn toy my daughter’s been asking for, but I’m faced with barren shelves and discounted dolls with one eye that doesn’t quite open all the way. Creepy.

But like any good father, I’m going to find that god damn unicorn. I just have look harder. And when it comes to finding value with the points in Week 15, it’s going to take some additional digging. Like finding out that Aaron Rodgers hasn’t been an underdog in Chicago since the 2008 season – his first year as the No. 1 QB in Green Bay (Packers were +4.5 at Chicago in Week 10 with Brett Hundley under center last season).

Yep, you’ve got to go all the way back to Week 16 of the 2008 schedule to see A-Rod pegged as a pup in the Windy City. Books gave the Packers four points that day, and they lost 20-17 in overtime but came through with the cover for Cheeseheads with a little extra cheddar on the line.

This Sunday, sportsbooks are dealing Green Bay +6 against a Bears squad boasting a dominating 6-1 SU and ATS record inside Solider Field and fresh off a victory over the L.A. Rams Sunday night, sucking all the offensive power out of an attack that’s averaging almost 33 points per game.

I’m not buying the Packers based on Rodgers’ track record as a favorite in Chicago – I just thought that was an interesting stat (although Green Bay is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 meetings in Chi-Town). I don’t think they win this game outright. This is just too many points to give in a heated divisional rivalry with a Green Bay team still trying to prove something with an interim head coach singing for his supper.

Green Bay is a dismal 1-4-1 ATS on the road this season but none of those games came inside Soldier Field. This is the Packers’ home away from home and it’s nice to be home for the holidays.

Pick: Green Bay +6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens (-7.5, 46.5)

The Ravens find themselves in a sandwich spot, hosting the Bucs as 7.5-point favorites. Baltimore is coming down off a disappointing finish in Kansas City (losing 27-24 in OT in Week 14) and has a huge lookahead game on deck, traveling to L.A. to take on the Chargers – another team vying for a AFC Wild Card spot - in Week 16.

Thrown into this situational stew is a sprig of internal drama, with the Ravens doing everything but cutting veteran QB Joe Flacco and leaning on rookie “passer” Lamar Jackson down the stretch (and let's not forget RG3). The media is all over this controversy, pulling even more attention away from Tampa Bay.

The Buccaneers are playing much better football over their last four games. Well, three and a half games. Tampa Bay had New Orleans on the ropes with a 14-3 halftime lead last weekend and crumbled in the final 30 minutes.

Regardless, this isn’t the same Tampa team that was the punchline of the league for two and a half months of the season. The stop unit has improved (which wasn’t too hard to do), finally gaining an identity behind a beastly defensive line, and the offense is capitalizing on chances, with a near 78 percent touchdown rate inside the red zone over the past three games.

Pick: Tampa Bay +7.5

Arizona Cardinals at Atlanta Falcons (-10, 44)

Last week, I took the Cardinals +3.5 at home to Detroit and even though Arizona lost that game 17-3, I still feel like it was the correct pick. Weird right?

The Cardinals defense held the Lions to 223 yards of offense and 10 points. The Arizona offense outgained Detroit by 78 yards and won the time of possession battle 31:44 to 28:16, Yet, a pick-6 from rookie Josh Rosen late in the third quarter broke the back of this Arizona team, which would eventually surrender another score in the final minutes of the fourth.

The Cardinals are getting 10 points in Atlanta, where the Falcons drag a five-game losing skid into Mercedes Benz Stadium. Atlanta has lost by an average margin of 10.6 points per game during this slide, allowing rushing totals of 211, 132, 150, 207, and 138 yards. That’s almost 168 yards on the ground against per contest.

Cardinals RB David Johnson has been the scourge of the fantasy football community all season, failing to live up to his past production, but will totally redeem himself (Lloyd Christmas style) and push some long-suffering fantasy GMs to their league finals with a huge effort in Atlanta.

Pick: Arizona +10

Last week: 2-1 ATS
Season: 28-13-1 ATS

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:19 AM

Gridiron Angles - Week 15
Vince Akins

NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:

-- The Cowboys are 10-0-1 ATS (9.4 ppg) since Dec 09, 2012 on the road coming off a win where they had at least 400 total yards.

NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:

-- The Rams are 0-10 ATS (-12.8 ppg) since Oct 28, 2001 as a home favorite of more than three points coming off a road game with less than 300 total yards.

TOP NFL PLAYER ATS TREND:

-- The Buccaneers are 0-8-1 ATS (-5.8 ppg) since Dec 24, 2016 after a loss in which Cameron Brate had a receiving touchdown.

NFL CHOICE TRENDS:

-- The Ravens are 9-0 ATS (18.0 ppg) since Sep 21, 2008 as a home favorite off a game as a dog where they had less than 200 passing yards.

-- The Giants are 9-0 ATS (17.7 ppg) since Sep 25, 2011 coming off a game as a favorite where they allowed no more than 15 first downs.

TOP NFL PLAYER OU TREND:

-- The Patriots are 0-8 OU (-10.3 ppg) since Sep 14, 2014 on the road coming off a road game where Tom Brady threw at least 35 passes.

NFL O/U OVER TREND:

-- The Texans are 11-0 OU (11.1 ppg) since Nov 14, 2004 coming off a loss in which they had zero turnovers.

NFL O/U UNDER TREND:

-- The Patriots are 0-10-1 OU (-10.1 ppg) since Sep 14, 2014 on the road coming off a loss.

SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:

-- Teams playing their final regular season home game which have won at least six of their first seven home games are 96-77-3 ATS. Active on Chicago.

NFL BIBLE ATS ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Giants are 0-10 ATS (-15.1 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a win as a road favorite in which they benefitted from a turnover margin of+2 or greater.

NFL BIBLE O/U ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Bills are 0-12 OU (-8.9 ppg) off a loss as a home favorite in which they converted at least five third downs.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 12-16-2018, 09:19 AM

TECH TRENDS

BY Bruce Marshall

SUNDAY, DEC. 16

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MIAMI at MINNESOTA (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Miami only 2-4 vs. spread away TY but is 8-5 overall vs. number and has covered last three. Tannehill 5-2 vs. spread in games he has started. Also “under” 6-1 last seven away. Vikings “under” 5 of last 6 TY and “under” 8-1 last nine at home in reg season.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Dolphins, based on “totals” and trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
OAKLAND at CINCINNATI (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cincy on 1-7 SU and 2-6 spread slide. Oakland 5-8 vs. line TY, on 7-17-3 spread skid since early last season, though has covered three of last four. Raiders “over” thre eof last four TY.
Tech Edge: Slight to Raiders and “over”, based on recent team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
TAMPA BAY at BALTIMORE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Ravens have covered last three with Lamar Jackson in lineup. Bucs on 9-5 “over” run since late 2017 though “under” last three.
Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DALLAS at INDIANAPOLIS (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Dallas has now won and covered last five in 2018 and has covered 3 of last 4 on road. Colts however 6-1 SU last seven TY “under” last 4.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Cowboys, based on recent “totals” and team trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DETROIT at BUFFALO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions 2-5 vs. spread last seven in 2018.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bills, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
GREEN BAY at CHICAGO (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Pack 0-8 SU, 1-6-1 vs. line last 8 away since last LY. Though they have won 8 straight at Soldier Field dating to 2010 NFC title game. Bears 7-1 SU and vs. line at home since late 2017. Last four “over” in series.
Tech Edge: Bears and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
TENNESSEE at N.Y. GIANTS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Eli 4-0-1 vs. line last five TY, though only 1-4-1 vs. spread at MetLife. Titans snapped 3-game spread skid with win over Jags but only 2-4 vs. spread as visitor TY (not counting London game).
Tech Edge: Giants, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
WASHINGTON at JACKSONVILLE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Jags 1-9 SU and 1-6-2 vs. line last nine TY, but they are 3-2-1 vs. spread at home. Jags “under” 4-1 last five at home. Skins “under” 6-2 last 8 away since late LY.
Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ARIZONA at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cards 6-4-1 last eleven vs. spread TY, 3-1-1 last five away. Falcs only 3-10 vs. line in 2018. Atlanta no covers last five, 1-4 last five vs. points at Mercedes-Benz.
Tech Edge: Cards, based on recent trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SEATTLE at SAN FRANCISCO (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Hawks 7-1-1 vs. spread last 9 in 2018, covered last four away. Niners 2-5 last seven vs. line. Hawks have won last ten in series and 8-2 vs. spread in those.
Tech Edge: Seahawks, based on team and series trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ENGLAND at PITTSBURGH (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Belichick has won last five and six of last seven SU vs. Tomlin, 5-1-1 vs. line. Steelers no SU wins last three or covers last four TY (0-3-1). Belichick “under” 12-6 in reg season since mid 2017. Steel however “over” 7-1 last eight at Heinz Field.
Tech Edge: Patriots, based on series trends.

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PHILADELPHIA at L.A. RAMS (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Rams surprisingly only 2 covers last ten TY (2-6-2), no covers last four at Coliseum (0-2-2). Birds 4-9 vs. line TY, 4-11-1 last 16 reg season. After 6-2 as dog LY, Eagles 0-2 TY. Birds “under” 10-5 last 15 in reg season.
Tech Edge: Slight to Eagles and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

MONDAY, DEC. 17

NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at CAROLINA (ESPN, 8:25 p.m. ET)
Saints won all three meetings LY (2-1 vs. line including wild card round) and have covered last four at Charlotte. Brees 10-1 vs. spread last ten TY, Cam no wins or covers last five. “Overs” 7-1 last eight meetings.
Tech Edge: Saints and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Sunday 12-16-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Sunday 12-16-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment