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Robert Ferringo's Picks For College Basketball
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1-Unit Play. Take #602 Georgetown (-3) over SMU (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 15)
This is SMU's first true road game and I think that they will struggle against a motivated Hoyas team.
1-Unit Play. Take #604 Kansas (-7.5) over Villanova (Noon, Saturday, Dec. 15)
I'll go with the home team here. This is not the same level of Villanova team that we have seen in the past. And this spread is just begging the public to pour money down on the Wildcats. But the Wildcats have been thoroughly unimpressive outside of one win over Florida State on a neutral court. They weren't even close to Michigan and they have two losses to teams outside of the Top 100. Kansas is absolutely no joke when playing on their home court. And they have big-time wins over Michigan State, Marquette and Tennessee already this year. I think that they are going to handle the Wildcats here and I just don't see the Jayhawks losing in Lawrence to a rebuilding Villanova squad.
3-Unit Play. Take #626 VCU (-5) over Charleston (4 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
I really like this Charleston team. They are definitely a potential NCAA Tournament team out of the CAA. But the public is all over them here and I think that's a mistake. VCU is coming off a tough loss to Virginia one game after going on the road and beating Texas. They are playing well. And this is a VCU team that has been known to go absolutely bonkers on teams that come into their gym. Charleston has a bit of a motivational gap too; they know they are only going to the NCAA Tournament if they win their conference. So these nonconference games don't mean as much to them. This line has been coming down and I don't think it should have. I like VCU to get another double-digit home win.
1-Unit Play. Take #627 Utah (+15.5) over Kentucky (5 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
Kentucky's biggest issue is that they have no chemistry. They have talent. But this team doesn't play with any heart, emotion or chemistry. They are like robots out there. And that's why they are struggling. Maybe they will play a little harder now that Quade Green has transferred. But until I see it I won't believe it.
2-Unit Play. Take #631 Arizona State (-3) over Georgia (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
The more I see this Arizona State team the more I like them. These guys really could end up winning the Pac-12. They have the size in the post that they lacked last year. And with Lug Dort and Remy Martin they have a dynamic backcourt. This Georgia team is in the opening stages of a complete rebuild under Tom Crean. They aren't bad. They have some guys that can play. But their guard play is seriously lacking and this team is shockingly young. UGA hasn't played in 12 days and I wouldn't expect a strong home court crowd for this flagging program. This will be a close game. But I think that Arizona State is good enough to get a win here.
3-Unit Play. Take #634 North Carolina (-3) over Gonzaga (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
I have no beef with Gonzaga. They are a true national title contender. But I'm letting the line be my guide here. North Carolina is favored at home for a reason. And I think that they are going to give a max effort here. The Tar Heels have lost their two biggest games this year. But this is their first really big home game. And I think that they will take advantage. Gonzaga struggled in the first half at Creighton, barely beat Washington, and then lost to Tennessee. They are down two of their best players so they aren't 100 percent. And I think that they will struggle here in Chapel Hill. Give me the home team.
1-Unit Play. Take #643 Louisiana Tech (+6) over UL-Lafayette (8 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
I'll take the points in this regional rivalry game.
2-Unit Play. Take #646 Mississippi State (-3) over Cincinnati (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
I don't love Mississippi State. And Cincinnati is really, really tough to bet against when they are the underdog. But Mississippi State has some guys that can play. And I think that they are going to be up for this home game against another name program. Cincinnati has only played one road game this year. And when you look at their schedule they really haven't played anyone that is as good as the Bulldogs yet. The only Top 50 team they took on they lost to (Ohio State) and that game was at home. I'll take a flier that Miss State can ride the home crowd and that Cincinnati has a small letdown on the road here after their huge rivalry win in the Crosstown Shootout.
2-Unit Play. Take #650 Oklahoma (-8) over USC (9 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
If USC can go on the road and lose by 35 points at TCU then they can go on the road and lose by 12 to Oklahoma. The Trojans aren't any good. They have lost two much talent over the last two seasons and these guys just don't play well together. Oklahoma has been playing outstanding team basketball and they have really been dominating the mid-level teams that they have faced. OU has one of the most experienced teams in the country and I think they are going to come out firing against a big-name program from the Pac-12.
3-Unit Play. Take #656 Arizona (-6) over Baylor (11 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
I just don't think that Baylor is any good. At all. And they have done nothing to make me think anything to the contrary. Arizona has its own issues. But they scored some key transfers that brought much-needed stability and experience. Sean Miller also knows he is coaching for his job right now so he is extra motivated. This is a true home game for the Wildcats, who are off a loss. And they are facing a Baylor team that hasn't played in two weeks. Baylor does not have anywhere near the size in the post that has been a staple of Scott Drew teams. This is one of Drew's youngest teams ever and this is very much a transitional season for the Bears. Arizona has solid wins over Iowa State and Connecticut and they have played high-level teams in Gonzaga and Auburn. Baylor lost to Texas Southern. The Bears have been thoroughly unimpressive. Throw in the two weeks off and any associated rust and I really think this has the potential to be a 15- or 20-point blowout for Arizona.
2-Unit Play. Take #660 N.C. State (-4) over Penn State (2 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
North Carolina State coach Kevin Keatts just
2-Unit Play. Take #663 Washington (+8) over Virginia Tech (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 140.0 Washington vs. Virginia Tech (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
I was going to stay away from this game because I like both of these teams. But this is way too many points. Washington is a solid team. The only time they got run this year was at Auburn. But Auburn has been doing that to everyone and Washington just wasn't ready to play. Virginia Tech doesn't defend well enough to be considered a reliable favorite against a team with comparable talent. This game isn't in Blacksburg either. Tech has just one win over a top 80 team, and that was against an overrated Purdue team by six points. Washington has hung tough with Gonzaga and Minnesota and I think they can do the same here.
4-Unit Play. Take #672 Iowa (-10.5) over Northern Iowa (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
This is good value here. Iowa State is a 15-point favorite on the road against Drake. Drake is better than Northern Iowa. And Iowa has proven that they are better than Iowa State. Throw in the fact that Iowa is on a neutral site (where they will have the home crowd advantage) and, again, this is solid value. Northern Iowa is awful. I don't know what has happened to Ben Jacobson's program but this team is a mess. They haven't played a team from a major conference yet. But all their games against decent teams have been sloppy losses .This team lost by 32 to South Dakota State and by 19 to Utah State, two teams that are not as strong as Iowa. I know that this is an in-state rivalry game so Northern Iowa is going to max out. But Iowa has way too many weapons and there is a massive talent gulf between these two teams.
7-Unit Play. Take #673 BYU (-5) over UNLV (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
BYU is on a war tour. They have reeled off three impressive wins in a row, all by blowout. They hammered rival Utah State by 15, rival Utah by 15 and then avoided a letdown with a 19-point win over Portland State. I think they are going to keep on rolling over UNLV. BYU got Nick Emery back after a bogus nine-game suspension and that has given this team a huge boost. They already have a terrific inside-out duo with T.J. Haws and Yoeli Childs. But now having the experienced Emery back in the fold has helped them set their rotation and right now they have a bunch of solid role players around their two stars. UNLV doesn't have much. They are really in a rebuilding season. Of the Rebels' top nine players, six are freshmen and sophomores and a seventh is in his first year here as a transfer. UNLV has lost to every good team they have played - and they haven't played many. BYU might be the best team that they've played. And even though this game is in Vegas it is not on UNLV's home court. I think BYU is hot right now. And I think that they are going to stay hot and get another double-digit win here.
1-Unit Play. Take #675 LSU (-3) over St. Mary's (11 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
I don't know how LSU blew that game to Houston. But I think that they will bounce back here in Las Vegas against an overvalued St. Mary's team. The Gaels struggle against teams with the level of size and athleticism that LSU has. St. Mary's has lost to any good team that they've played this year. And after two straight games shooting out of their minds I thinkt hat this team is due to come back to earth a bit.
1-Unit Play. Take #685 Pepperdine (+2) over Southern Utah (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
Better team, better conference. Lorenzo Romar is a good coach with a young team. He has some talent though. And certainly has more talent than Southern Utah.
3-Unit Play. Take #697 Omaha (+2) over Idaho (6 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
No bet against Idaho is a bad bet. This is a terrible team and I think that the wrong team is favored here. The Vandals only have three wins this year and two of them have come against D-II teams. Omaha has played one of the toughest schedules in the country, so their numbers are skewed. But this is a team that brought back four starters from last year's team, including stud scorer Zach Jackson. Idaho is a team in a complete rebuild. I don't expect a big home court edge for them and I think that the Mavericks will score a road win here.
3-Unit Play. Take #700 Stanford (-13) over Eastern Washington (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
Stanford hasn't played in two weeks. When last we saw them they were taking Kansas to the limit in The Phog. This team is better than its 4-4 record and its peripheral numbers suggest. Two of their losses came in true road games at North Carolina and at Kansas. Two more came in back-to-back days against Wisconsin and Florida. Stanford is woefully inexperienced. But they do have some talent. And I think they will be ready to play after their two-week break for finals. On the other side is Eastern Washington. This team is a disaster. Jim Hayford built this program up but Shantay Legans is running it off the rails. They lost their two best players from last season. And the only thing between them and an 0-8 record is an OT win at home against UM-KC. These guys have not been competitive at all. They have lost their games b an average of nearly 20 points per game. They are one of the worst teams in the league in both offense and defense, and they are the worst shooting team in college basketball, making just 36.5 percent of their shots and just 28.7 percent of their 3-pointers. The cherry on top is that Stanford actually has revenge in this game. EWU came to Stanford last year and won outright as a 17-point underdog. Stanford played like absolute trash in that game, making just 33.9 percent of their shots and going 2-for-16 from 3-point range. I don't see that happening again here.
1-Unit Play. Take #705 Missouri State (+1.5) over North Dakota State (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
NDSU just isn't very good. They have played relatively tough schedule. But they have some bad losses as well and this is one of the Bison's worst teams this decade. Missouri State is still getting used to live without Alize Johnson
2-Unit Play. Take #708 Nevada (-15.5) over South Dakota State (9 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
South Dakota State has one of the best players in the country in Mike Daum. But Nevada has one of the best teams in the country. And they are simply too big, too strong, and too athletic for SDSU. The Wolfpack went on the road and beat a better Loyola-Chicago team by 14 points. They get this one at home, where none of their games have been close, and I think that they are going to hammer the Jackrabbits in this one.
2-Unit Play. Take #715 Loyola-Marymount (-2.5) over Portland State (10 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
Better team, better conference. Mike Dunlap's team has quietly played very well. They are 9-1 and hey have solid wins over UNLV, Georgetown, Ohio and Cal-Fullerton. The wins over UNLV and Fullerton - two teams better than Portland State - both came on the road and by double digit, so they can win in an opposing gym. Portland State has five wins, but three of them have come against D-II competition. Their four games against Top 150 competition have been losses by an average of 16 points per game. This one won't be that bad. But it should be another win for the Lions.
2-Unit Play. Take #1314 Rider (-12.5) over Robert Morris (3 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
This game can be found under 'Added Games' or 'Extra Games'. Rider is better than it has played. They've had a weird schedule - they have only played seven games - and they have had some minor issues with personnel. But this is a really experienced team that may end up being the best in the Metro. Rider actually has revenge for a three-point los at Robert Morris last year so they won't take Bob lightly here. Rider has a big road trip coming up after this game so I think that they will use it to get their heads on right and get a blowout win.
2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #604 Kansas (-2.5) over Villanova (Noon) AND Take #672 Iowa (-5.5) over Northern Iowa (7 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #650 Oklahoma (-3) over USC (9 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15) AND Take #656 Arizona (-1) over Baylor (11 p.m., Saturday, Dec. 15)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #604 Kansas (-2.5) over Villanova (Noon) AND Take #697 Omaha (+7) over Idaho (6 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #663 Washington (+13) over Virginia Tech (7 p.m.) AND Take #700 Stanford (-8) over Eastern Washington (7 p.m.,
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #648 Oregon (-6) over Boise State (9 p.m.) AND Take #1314 Rider (-7.5) over Robert Morris (3 p.m.)
OC Dooley:
TODAY'S "3 UNIT" REDZONE AFTERNOON COLLEGE BEST BET TOTAL (Arizona State versus Fresno State OVER 53' in a 3:30 eastern kickoff televised on ABC): This is a previously "unscheduled" move reacting to word on THURSDAY of this week thst Arizona State's #1 tackler on defense Merlin Robertson (family/personal issue) has been forced to leave the team robbing the Sun Devils of a player who won (Pac 12 Freshman of the Year) honors racking up 77 different tackles (8' of them for loss) while sacking opposing quarterbacks 5 different times. The Sun Devils prior to this development had 3 other defensive players listed as "questionable". I am aware that in today's Las Vegas Bowl heavily favored Fresno State is is 10-2 "under" the total on the campaign including all 7 of their "road" affairs where the defense allowed on average less than 13 points per game. However it should be pointed out that Fresno's last appearance (Mountain West Championship game at Boise State) was played in HEAVY SNOW which is not the case in this particular late afternoon affair being played in the desert of Las Vegas
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