Wednesday 12-19-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #31
    Wednesday's Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Game of the Night: Warriors at Jazz – 9:05 PM EST

    Since Stephen Curry returned to the Golden State lineup on December 1, the Warriors (21-10 SU, 14-17 ATS) have won six of eight games to move into first place of the Pacific division. The first game back for Curry was a loss at Detroit, but Golden State has fallen only once in the past seven trips to the court. The most recent victory for the two-time defending champions came in Monday’s 110-93 home blowout of the Grizzlies as 12 ½-point favorites, led by Kevin Durant’s 23 points.

    The Jazz (14-17 SU, 14-16-1 ATS) were one of the final four teams in the Western Conference last season, but Utah isn’t even one of the top four teams in its own division now. Since Utah knocked off San Antonio and Houston at home earlier this month, Quin Snyder’s club has dropped four of their last five, including road losses to the Spurs and Rockets. Utah finished off a two-game road trip with a 102-97 setback at Houston on Monday, as the Jazz lost in spite of limiting the Rockets to 37% shooting from the floor.

    Golden State edged Utah in its first matchup this season in Salt Lake City, 124-123 in late October. The Jazz put together a 16-point third-quarter advantage before the Warriors eventually erased the deficit with four minutes remaining in the fourth quarter. Former Jazz forward Jonas Jerebko tipped in the game-winner in the final second to give Golden State its first victory at Utah since clinching a second round sweep in the 2017 playoffs.

    Unfortunately for Utah, the Jazz have played only 11 home games compared to 19 away contests this season. The Jazz haven’t been able to build any kind of home-court advantage at 5-6, compared to a 28-13 mark last season at Vivint Smart Home Arena. With Curry in the lineup, the Warriors have won eight of 10 games away from Oracle Arena, but own a 4-5 ATS mark in the favorite role in these contests.

    Back Above the Border

    The Raptors (23-9 SU, 15-17 ATS) are back at home following a four-game road trip which started well, but ended with a dud. Toronto picked up a pair of blowout wins over the Clippers and Warriors, but the Raptors dropped the final two games at Portland and Denver. Point guard Kyle Lowry sat out the last two contests with a thigh contusion, as the Raptors’ offense was limited to a season-low 86 points in Sunday’s defeat to the Nuggets.

    Toronto welcomes in Indiana tonight as the Pacers (20-11 SU, 16-15 ATS) play with no rest following a shocking home loss to the Cavaliers, 92-91 as 12 ½-point favorites. The loss snapped a seven-game winning streak for Indiana, while the Pacers connected on only 4-of-22 attempts from three-point range. The Pacers extended their UNDER streak to 11 games in a row, while limiting their last eight opponents to 101 points or less.

    Double Strike

    Surprisingly, the Kings have taken both matchups from the Thunder this season. Sacramento (16-14 SU, 19-11 ATS) seeks a third win over Oklahoma City (19-10 SU, 16-13 ATS) tonight as the teams meet at Golden 1 Center. The Kings begin a three-game homestand after getting drubbed at Minnesota on Monday, 132-105. Sacramento fell behind by 30 points at halftime on the second of a back-to-back after winning at Dallas on Sunday night.

    OKC hits the road for a pair of games after beating the Clippers and Bulls at home. The Thunder has struggled on the highway of late by dropping three in a row away from Chesapeake Energy Arena, while posting an 0-4 ATS mark in their last four opportunities as a road favorite. Each of the first two matchups between the Kings and Thunder this season sailed OVER the total (222 and 227), but tonight’s total has been jacked up to 234 ½.

    Back from Mexico

    Maybe the Magic (14-15 SU, 17-12 ATS) may relocate to Mexico City, because apparently they can’t lose there. Orlando took a pair of neutral-site games against Chicago and Utah in a pair of low-scoring affairs, limiting those two teams to 91 and 89 points, respectively. The Magic haven’t won in their real home (Amway Center) since November 18 against the Knicks, but Orlando is seeking a season sweep of San Antonio. In their last matchup at AT&T Center in early November, the Magic shot 50% from the floor in a 117-107 triumph as 7 ½-point underdogs against the Spurs.

    San Antonio (16-15 SU, 16-14-1 ATS) improved to 12-5 at home after blowing out Philadelphia on Monday to finish off a six-game homestand at 5-1. Now, the Spurs need to improve on their road numbers as they own a dreadful 4-10 mark, while last winning on the highway on November 26 at Chicago. The total numbers for the Spurs correlate with where they play as their last five home games finished UNDER the total, but San Antonio is 7-0-1 to the OVER in its last eight away from AT&T Center.

    Washed Away

    It’s not even Christmas and it feels like the Wizards’ (12-19 SU, 12-19 ATS) season is finished. Granted, Washington started slowly two seasons ago (3-9) and reached the conference semifinals, but the Wizards aren’t taking care of business away from home. After blowing out the Lakers in impressive fashion on Sunday, the Wizards fell at Atlanta last night, 118-110 to drop to 4-13 away from Capital One Arena.

    Washington looks for its second victory over Houston in less than a month after the Wizards staved off the Rockets in overtime, 135-131 as two-point home favorites on November 26. The Rockets (15-14 SU, 12-16-1 ATS) are riding a four-game winning streak after beating the Jazz for the first time in three tries this season, 102-97 on Monday. James Harden torched Utah for 47 points, while posting 54 points and 13 assists against the Wizards last month.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #32
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Wednesday, December 19



      New York @ Philadelphia

      Game 553-554
      December 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New York
      113.607
      Philadelphia
      119.403
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Philadelphia
      by 6
      227
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Philadelphia
      by 13
      225 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      New York
      (+13); Over

      San Antonio @ Orlando


      Game 555-556
      December 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      San Antonio
      114.868
      Orlando
      110.845
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 4
      216
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 1
      209 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Antonio
      (-1); Over

      Cleveland @ Charlotte


      Game 557-558
      December 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Cleveland
      111.218
      Charlotte
      121.684
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Charlotte
      by 10 1/2
      210
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Charlotte
      by 13
      217
      Dunkel Pick:
      Cleveland
      (+13); Under

      Phoenix @ Boston


      Game 559-560
      December 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Phoenix
      111.733
      Boston
      121.729
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Boston
      by 10
      214
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boston
      by 12
      220
      Dunkel Pick:
      Phoenix
      (+12); Under

      Indiana @ Toronto


      Game 561-562
      December 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Indiana
      123.184
      Toronto
      116.733
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Indiana
      by 6 1/2
      213
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Toronto
      by 7 1/2
      210 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Indiana
      (+7 1/2); Over

      Detroit @ Minnesota


      Game 563-564
      December 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Detroit
      127.555
      Minnesota
      115.576
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Detroit
      by 12
      215
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Minnesota
      by 5
      218
      Dunkel Pick:
      Detroit
      (+5); Under

      Washington @ Houston


      Game 565-566
      December 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Washington
      118.831
      Houston
      121.730
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Houston
      by 3
      232
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      by 11
      224 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Washington
      (+11); Over

      Brooklyn @ Chicago


      Game 567-568
      December 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Brooklyn
      117.729
      Chicago
      111.393
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Brooklyn
      by 6 1/2
      206
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Brooklyn
      by 2
      214
      Dunkel Pick:
      Brooklyn
      (-2); Under

      New Orleans @ Milwaukee


      Game 569-570
      December 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New Orleans
      118.328
      Milwaukee
      120.903
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Milwaukee
      by 2 1/2
      221
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Milwaukee
      by 9
      232 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      New Orleans
      (+9); Under

      Golden State @ Utah


      Game 571-572
      December 19, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Golden State
      125.903
      Utah
      118.755
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Golden State
      by 7
      222
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Golden State
      by 2 1/2
      219 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Golden State
      (-2 1/2); Over

      Memphis @ Portland


      Game 573-574
      December 19, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Memphis
      114.668
      Portland
      125.727
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Portland
      by 11
      200
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Portland
      by 6
      201 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Portland
      (-6); Under

      Oklahoma City @ Sacramento


      Game 575-576
      December 19, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Oklahoma City
      115.463
      Sacramento
      112.779
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oklahoma City
      by 2 1/2
      235
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oklahoma City
      by 5 1/2
      234 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Sacramento
      (+5 1/2); Over
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #33
        Hoop Trends - Wednesday
        Vince Akins

        ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

        -- The Spurs are 13-0 ATS (+8.69 ppg) on the road when the line is within 3 of pick after they had fewer than ten turnovers and it is before the All-Star break.


        ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

        -- The Magic are 0-14 ATS (-15.18 ppg) with rest off a win facing an opponent averaging less than six refereed turnovers per game.


        OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

        -- The Bucks are 12-0 OU (+14.42 ppg) at home with rest off a road game when they are facing an opponent that is averaging more than 24 assists per game and it is before the All-Star break.


        OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

        -- The Pistons are 0-13 OU (-8.50 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog in which they scored fewer than ten fast break points.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #34
          By: Monique Vág



          Injury bug bites Raptors

          The Pacers will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back as they travel to Toronto to take on the Raptors. The Pacers are coming off a loss to the Cavaliers where they shot 39.8 percent from the field, 18.2 percent from beyond the arc, and only connected on 61.9 percent of their free throw attempts.

          The Raps will be without key reserves in Norman Powell, and Jonas Valanciunas, and have a long list of questionable players for the contest including Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Pascal Siakam, and Fred VanVleet. Even fully healthy, the Raps would struggle versus this Indiana squad. With so many notable injuries, back the Pacers and take the 6-points.


          On a roll

          The Spurs have won five of their most recent six games and have held opponents under 100 in five of those contests, a good sign for them as they travel to Orlando to play against the Magic. San Antonio's Monday night win versus the 76ers marked the eighth time the Spurs scored at least 120 points and the ninth time they shot above 50 percent this season.

          San Antonio is 12-3 SU in the most recent 15 games versus the Magic, and 6-1 SU over the last seven playing at Amway Center. Look for the Spurs to continue their hot shooting today as they get a big win on the road.


          Dominating inside

          The New York Knicks are huge 12.5-point road underdogs in Philadelphia this evening. The Knicks have been one of the worst teams at defending opposing centers allowing 24.9 points per game on 55.7 percent shooting and 14.9 rebounds per contest. The Knicks are also one of the worst teams in opponent scoring in the paint allowing an average of 52.1 points per game.

          This is an excellent spot for the 76ers' leading scorer Joel Embiid who is averaging 26.4 points per game and 13.3 rebounds. He's had 12 games with 15 or more total rebounds, and 15 games with 30 or more points. Look for his success to continue today in a favorable matchup and back Over his points, rebounds, and assists total of 42.5.


          Offensive fireworks

          The Pelicans and Bucks are the two top teams in points per game and both come in averaging over 47 percent shooting from the floor. There is no surprise the total for this meeting is set at 231.5.

          The Pelicans have struggled defending opposing point guards allowing 24.3 points, 6.2 rebounds, and 8.2 assists per game to the position. This bodes well for the Bucks' Eric Bledsoe who is having a very efficient year shooting 50 percent from the field, a huge improvement on his career mark of 45. He's logged three double-doubles and has only scored under 10 points in five games this season. Back the Over on his points, rebounds, assists total today.


          Struggling to keep up

          In the first meeting between Golden State and Utah this season, the Warriors edged out a 124-123 victory but things have taken a turn for the Jazz who are currently three games under .500, and 5-6 at home.

          Golden State is 19-5 SU over their most recent 24 games versus Utah, while winning six of their most recent eight contests on the road at Vivant Smart Home Arena. At only 106.5 points scored per game, and only 99 over their most recent three, the Jazz just haven’t shown the firepower to keep up with a high-scoring Warriors squad. Take Golden State to cover as 2.5-point road favorites.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #35
            NHL
            Long Sheet

            Wednesday, December 19


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PITTSBURGH (15-12-0-6, 36 pts.) at WASHINGTON (20-9-0-3, 43 pts.) - 12/19/2018, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            PITTSBURGH is 15-18 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games this season.
            PITTSBURGH is 15-18 ATS (-13.9 Units) first half of the season this season.
            PITTSBURGH is 15-28 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
            PITTSBURGH is 5-9 ATS (-10.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
            PITTSBURGH is 3-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
            WASHINGTON is 86-53 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            WASHINGTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games in December games over the last 2 seasons.
            WASHINGTON is 44-53 ATS (-46.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            WASHINGTON is 12-11-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
            12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MONTREAL (17-12-0-5, 39 pts.) at COLORADO (18-10-0-6, 42 pts.) - 12/19/2018, 8:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MONTREAL is 46-71 ATS (-32.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            MONTREAL is 15-40 ATS (+59.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
            COLORADO is 64-59 ATS (+3.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            COLORADO is 253-215 ATS (-24.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
            COLORADO is 29-20 ATS (+54.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
            MONTREAL is 5-0 ATS (+5.0 Units) in road games after a division game this season.
            MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game this season.
            COLORADO is 5-14 ATS (+19.1 Units) in home games in December games over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            COLORADO is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
            COLORADO is 2-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
            2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.2 Units)
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #36
              NHL

              Wednesday, December 19


              Trend Report

              Pittsburgh Penguins
              Pittsburgh is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
              Pittsburgh is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
              Pittsburgh is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
              Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
              Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games when playing Washington
              Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
              Washington Capitals
              Washington is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
              Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games
              Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
              Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
              The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
              Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
              Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
              The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games when playing Pittsburgh
              Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

              Montreal Canadiens
              Montreal is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
              Montreal is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games
              Montreal is 8-15-2 SU in its last 25 games when playing Colorado
              Montreal is 2-12-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Colorado
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
              Colorado Avalanche
              Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
              Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
              The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 7 games
              Colorado is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
              Colorado is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
              Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #37
                NHL
                Dunkel

                Wednesday, December 19



                Pittsburgh @ Washington

                Game 83-84
                December 19, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Pittsburgh
                10.540
                Washington
                13.147
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Washington
                by 2 1/2
                6
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Washington
                -145
                6 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Washington
                (-145); Under

                Montreal @ Colorado


                Game 85-86
                December 19, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Montreal
                11.286
                Colorado
                7.909
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Montreal
                by 3 1/2
                5
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Colorado
                -150
                6
                Dunkel Pick:
                Montreal
                (+130); Under
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #38
                  Cole Faxon

                  Dec 19 '18, 7:00 PM in 28m
                  NCAA-B | Delaware State vs Delaware
                  Play on: Delaware -21 -109 at GTBets

                  FREE PLAY on Delaware -21 -109
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #39
                    Alex Smart

                    Dec 19 '18, 7:00 PM in 28m
                    NCAA-B | Auburn vs NC State
                    Play on: Auburn -1½ -109 at pinnacle

                    The Wolfpack (9-1) dispatched opponents on one of the nation's weakest schedules to date to get off to a grand start to the season. But now thye play a real team, and things could prove very difficult for them.Auburn (9-1) is the highest non-conference foe to visit N.C. State since December 2011. Auburn is big step up for NC State, and Im betting they fail against a program that knows how to win against op tier competition, Note: AUBURN is 6-0 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level teams (Win Pct. 80% or better ) over the last 3 seasons.
                    NC STATE is 3-11 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 64 or less points/game over the last 3 seasons.
                    Note: Auburns only loss came vs power house Duke 78-72.
                    CBB teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NC STATE) - in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 8+ PPG, after scoring 80 points or more 3 straight games are 31-76 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 71% conversion rate for bettors.
                    Play on Auburn to cover
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #40
                      Marc David

                      Dec 19 '18, 7:00 PM in 28m
                      NCAA-B | Cornell vs Toledo
                      Play on: Cornell +12 -109 at GTBets

                      CORNELL @ TOLEDO
                      Cornell is only 5-5 but their defense has kept them competitive in their games. They were 22 point dogs against Syracuse and lost that game by 8 points as they held the Orange to just 63 points. It was the 3rd time in their last 4 games they held their opponent to 64 points or less and have held opponents to 73 points or less in 6 of their last 8 games. Over their last 5 games, they held their opponent to just 42% from the floor while they have hit 40% of their 3's. Toledo has won 8 games in a row but 4 of their last 5 wins were against teams they were a favorite by at least 13 points and 4 of the last 5 teams they beat have a combined 13-35 record. This looks like too many points for Toledo to handle against a scrappy Big Red team.
                      FREE PICK on Cornell
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #41
                        Ben Burns

                        Dec 19 '18, 7:05 PM in 33m
                        NBA | Cavs vs Hornets
                        Play on: Hornets -12 -112 at BMaker

                        These teams have met twice already this season, both games in early November. In each case, the home team won convincingly. The game here at Charlotte resulted in a 126-94 win for the Hornets. Ten days later, the Cavs returned the favor, winning 113-89. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I'm expecting a blowout win for the well-rested Hornets tonight. The Cavs left it all on the floor last night, earning an upset win at Indiana. They're not going to have much gas left in the tank. Lay the points.
                        FRSICO BOWL UPDATE! (BURNS PUTS 11-1 RECORD ON THE LINE!)
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #42
                          Frank Sawyer

                          Dec 19 '18, 7:05 PM in 33m
                          NBA | Knicks vs 76ers
                          Play on: 76ers -12 -110 at pinnacle

                          Take the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points versus the New York Knicks. Philadelphia (20-12) has lost three of their last four games after their 123-96 loss at San Antonio as a 1-point underdog on Monday. The 76ers have covered the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after a double-digit loss. Philadelphia has also covered the point spread in 23 of their last 31 home games against teams with a losing record. New York (9-23) has lost seven of their last eight games after their 128-110 loss to Phoenix on Monday. The Knicks have failed to cover the point spread in 5 of their last 6 games after a straight-up loss. New York has also failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after allowing at least 125 points in their last game. Lay the points with the 76ers. Best of luck — Frank.
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #43
                            Brandon Lee

                            Dec 19 '18, 7:05 PM in 33m
                            NBA | Cavs vs Hornets
                            Play on: Cavs +13 -105 at pinnacle

                            10* FREE NBA PICK (Cavaliers +13)
                            The Cavs were my favorite play on Tuesday didn't disappoint. Cleveland won outright as a 12.5-point road dog at Indiana. I know they are now in a bad scheduling spot, having to play the second leg of a back-to-back road set, but I think the books have over-adjusted for it. There's no question the Cavs are one of the least talented teams in the league. However, they play hard and I think they come out with a fire tonight against a struggling Hornets team. Cleveland's defense has held 4 of their last 5 opponents to 44% or worse from the field. Charlotte has failed to eclipse that mark in 4 of their last 6. They hit just 42.4% in their most recent game, which was a 28-point loss at home to the Lakers. Hornets are just 1-5 ATS last 6 home games and 0-4 ATS last 4 at home vs a team with a losing record. Give me the Cavaliers +13!
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #44
                              Bobby Conn

                              Dec 19 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
                              NCAA-B | Southern Miss vs Kansas State
                              Play on: Kansas State -12½ -110 at sportsbook

                              1* Free Play on Kansas State -12½ -110
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #45
                                Jimmy Boyd

                                Dec 19 '18, 8:00 PM in 1h
                                NCAA-F | Ohio vs San Diego State
                                Play on: UNDER 52½ -109

                                1* Free Pick on Ohio/San Diego State UNDER
                                I don't see San Diego State and Ohio eclipsing the total set here by the books for Wednesday's Frisco Bowl. This has all the makings of a grind it out type of game, which we see a lot of with San Diego State.
                                You can bank on the Aztecs fielding a solid defense and this year is no different. San Diego State allowed just 21.7 ppg and were outstanding up front against the run. The Aztecs only allowed 94.0 ypg and just 2.7 yards/carry vs teams that averaged 150 ypg and 5.0 ypc.
                                So much of what Ohio likes to do offensively is centered around the running game. The Bobcats averaged an impressive 262 ypg and 6.1 yards/carry. My money is on San Diego State winning this battle, as they played the much tougher schedule during the regular-season.
                                On the flip side of this, the big reason the Aztecs were down some this year is their offense. While never really a juggernaut on that side of the ball, they had averaged at least 30 ppg each of the last 3 years. This year they only managed 22.3 ppg (only 19.6 on the road). Ohio's defense isn't great, but are talented enough with all the time they have to prepare for this game to keep San Diego State in check.
                                Going back to 1992. The UNDER is 35-11 (76%) in non-conference games where you have a total of 49.5 to 56 and a matchup of a great offense (440+ ypg) against a good defense (280-330 ypg). Take the UNDER!
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