Saturday 12-22-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358304

    Saturday 12-22-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358304

    #2
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs
    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 9 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $21000 Class Rating: 81

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 4 BLUE WARRIOR 2/1

    # 5 JAIL HOUSE 4/1

    # 6 GUS'S TIZZY 3/1

    I've got to go with BLUE WARRIOR. He has been racing solidly recently while recording solid Speed Figures. This colt obviously likes the distance, going 1 for 2 in his races lately. Could beat this group of horses in this race given the 75 speed figure recorded in his last outing. JAIL HOUSE - Have to play this gelding with the strong earnings per start in dirt sprint events. Always seems to be close up at the finish. GUS'S TIZZY - Looks very good for the conditions of this competition today, showing solid figs in dirt sprint races recently. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Broberg have shown very strong results recently.
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358304

      #3
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fair Grounds
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 13 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $41000 Class Rating: 86

      FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 10 JUST REVENGE 10/1

      # 11 ACE DESTROYER 20/1

      # 3 COMEDIAN 5/1

      JUST REVENGE is the top bet in this race especially at a such a nice price. Baker has been nails with two year olds, winning at a 27 percent rate. 2 year old contests can be risky but Baker has this young pony in decent shape, worth a look. With a formidable ROI of +7 this handler has shown very good results with entries running at this distance and surface. ACE DESTROYER - Ought to be given a shot as Flint has been among the most favorable trainers with two-year olds. Can't overlook as conditioner has been terrific lately with 2 year olds. Graham's ROI over the last 30 days automatically makes this horse a sharp contender. COMEDIAN - This colt could improve on Lasix. Into Mischief is a formidable sire when it comes to two-year olds. With one of the best jockeys in terms of dividends at the window, don't count this colt out.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358304

        #4
        Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

        12/22/18, GP, Race 6, 2.32 ET
        5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.02 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $19,000.
        Claiming Price $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
        $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta /$1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8) - $.20 Rainbow Pick 6 (Races 6-11)
        Top Horse - Races 27, Win Percent 25.93, $1 ROI 0.59, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
        Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
        Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
        100.0000 11 Mondaymorningmemo 8-1 Saez L Gonzalez Nicholas
        099.8188 2 Rosas for Jimmy 12-1 Vasquez M A Rodriguez Angel M. S
        099.7599 1 Down to the Felt 10-1 Jaramillo E Braddy J. David
        099.6274 7 Mr Lucas 4-1 Lopez P Fawkes Natalie L
        099.2382 5 Field Officer 5-1 Lopez C C Iwinski Allen W
        098.2128 8 Why Trust 12-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Gonzalez Oscar M. J
        097.8176 10 My People Sing 7/2 Maragh R R Avila Juan Carlos FEC
        097.1975 6 W W Handsome 20-1 Jimenez A Becker Scott T
        096.6722 3 Dream of God 6-1 Hernandez J O Minguet Ramon
        096.0320 9 Noble King 10-1 Zayas E J Sano Antonio
        095.2990 4 Quest Approval 15-1 Zapico S Sano Antonio
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358304

          #5
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

          Bar

          Hawthorne - Race #8 - Post: 4:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,500 Class Rating: 60

          Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

          #10 TOMASITA (ML=5/1)
          #6 ROSIE'S FLAME (ML=8/1)


          TOMASITA - My handicapping 'sense' tells me to be ready for this entrant in this affair ROSIE'S FLAME - I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run her best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #3 KLASSY KARALYNN (ML=2/1), #2 PRESENT OF HERO (ML=4/1), #5 SPECIAL CONQUEST (ML=6/1),

          KLASSY KARALYNN - Not likely for this entrant to make a winning move with no recent success in a short distance race. PRESENT OF HERO - This filly in all probability won't be close at the wire. SPECIAL CONQUEST - No pace in this event to help this rallier's hopes. Pedestrian speed figure in the last race at Hawthorne at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this vulnerable equine will improve too much in today's event.



          STRAIGHT WAGERS:
          Bet on #10 TOMASITA to win if you can get at least 5/2 odds

          EXACTA WAGERS:
          Box [6,10]

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Pass

          SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
          Pass
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358304

            #6
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            Bar

            Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 2:53pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 80

            Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

            #15 MEETATBDUBS (ML=5/1)
            #10 HONOR RUN (ML=6/1)
            #9 COOL MAN CLETUS (ML=9/2)
            #8 EL ROJO (ML=6/1)


            MEETATBDUBS - Rider jumped on this colt's back for the 1st attempt on December 9th. Should be in tune with the horse even better in this race. HONOR RUN - Has unearthed a soft spot this time out. COOL MAN CLETUS - Gelding is a few starts into a comeback here. Should give a big race today. I like to bet on this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice outing within the last thirty days. Earnings per start (EPS) is something that I believe can be a vital handicapping aspect. This thoroughbred is ranked numero uno in this bunch. EL ROJO - A pony coming back this rapidly after a sharp effort is a good signal.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #13 RAFTER (ML=5/1), #11 BELMONT RIDE (ML=6/1),

            RAFTER - Didn't end up on the board on Nov 11th at Laurel. Followed it up with another less than stellar effort. BELMONT RIDE - A bit of a less than stellar try when this colt finished eighth. Will be tough for this entrant to beat this field off of that last speed rating. Improbable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put him on the vulnerable contenders list.



            STRAIGHT WAGERS:
            Bet on #15 MEETATBDUBS to win if you can get at least 9/2 odds

            EXACTA WAGERS:
            Box [10,15]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Skip

            SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
            Pass

            SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
            [10,15] with [8,9,10,15] with [8,9,10,15] with [8,9,10,11,15,16] with [8,9,10,11,15,16] Total Cost: $72
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358304

              #7
              Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

              12/22/18, TAM, Race 6, 2.52 ET
              7F [Dirt] 1.21.02 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $27,500.
              FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD
              Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-7-8) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 6-10) - Super High 5
              Top Horse - Races 23, Win Percent 04.35, $1 ROI 0.08, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
              Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
              Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
              100.0000 6 Whateverusaydear 6-1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. TSFC
              099.3404 4 Mochi 5/2 Castanon J L Harty Eoin G. W
              097.0709 3 Take Me Home 2-1 Centeno D Hamm Timothy E. EL
              096.8227 2 Warm 9/2 Gallardo A A Sweezey J. Kent J
              094.1864 5 Lolanita 3-1 Ulloa A P Carvajal. Jr. Luis
              092.2734 1 Steady Rock 20-1 Mata F Negrete Javier
              089.8594 7 Spanish Exchange(b+) 30-1 Villa-Gomez H Negrete Javier
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358304

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turfway Park
                Turfway Park - Race 7

                Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Late Daily Double


                Maiden Special • 6 1/2 Furlongs • All-Weather • Age 2 • CR: 76 • Purse: $18,500 • Post: 9:12P
                FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $30,000).
                Contenders

                Race Analysis
                P#
                Horse
                Morn
                Line

                Accept
                Odds


                Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ABOUTTHEBENJAMINS is the Lone Front-runner of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * ZYPTO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ITS YES: Horse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. ROUGHIN THE CITY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
                11
                ZYPTO
                3/1

                5/2
                14
                ITS YES
                6/1

                6/1
                5
                ROUGHIN THE CITY
                5/2

                9/1




                P#

                Horse (In Running Style Order)

                Post

                Morn
                Line

                Running Style

                Good
                Class

                Good
                Speed

                Early Figure

                Finish Figure

                Platinum
                Figure
                10
                ABOUTTHEBENJAMINS
                10

                15/1
                Front-runner
                0

                0

                0.0

                0.0

                0.0
                11
                ZYPTO
                11

                3/1
                Stalker
                79

                69

                72.0

                65.4

                61.4
                5
                ROUGHIN THE CITY
                5

                5/2
                Stalker
                0

                0

                68.3

                70.2

                65.7
                14
                ITS YES
                14

                6/1
                Stalker
                75

                67

                0.0

                0.0

                0.0
                4
                HALO FRIEND
                4

                12/1
                Alternator/Stalker
                65

                45

                57.8

                37.3

                26.8
                12
                AGAINST THE LINE
                12

                6/1
                Alternator/Stalker
                69

                56

                32.2

                34.1

                23.6
                8
                HARLINSDALE
                8

                6/1
                Trailer
                0

                0

                8.5

                52.1

                45.1
                2
                REDS BEST
                2

                50/1
                Alternator/Trailer
                0

                0

                8.5

                19.9

                6.4








                Unknown Running Style: HALLELUJAH HAWK (15/1) [Jockey: Ramos Hector G - Trainer: Krummen Monica], PRESSONREGARDLESS (15/1) [Jockey: Machado Luan - Trainer: Michael Brian], WISE LEGACY (12/1) [Jockey: Pusac Alberto - Trainer: Rodriguez Regulo G], STER
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358304

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise
                  Turf Paradise - Race 8

                  $1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta


                  Claiming $3,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $7,000 • Post: 4:11P
                  (PLUS UP TO 10% PLUS 10%) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 22, 2018. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $2,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
                  Contenders

                  Race Analysis
                  P#
                  Horse
                  Morn
                  Line

                  Accept
                  Odds


                  Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. AMERICAN LEAGUE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AMERICAN LEAGUE: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. Horse has the highest Tr ackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
                  9
                  AMERICAN LEAGUE
                  3/1

                  7/5




                  P#

                  Horse (In Running Style Order)

                  Post

                  Morn
                  Line

                  Running Style

                  Good
                  Class

                  Good
                  Speed

                  Early Figure

                  Finish Figure

                  Platinum
                  Figure
                  9
                  AMERICAN LEAGUE
                  9

                  3/1
                  Front-runner
                  98

                  100

                  89.6

                  90.4

                  86.9
                  10
                  THREE PADRES
                  10

                  10/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  81

                  73

                  71.4

                  67.0

                  48.5
                  6
                  SIR MATADOR
                  6

                  6/1
                  Alternator/Stalker
                  82

                  77

                  70.0

                  76.0

                  66.0
                  5
                  FORT CADY
                  5

                  5/1
                  Trailer
                  95

                  89

                  75.4

                  85.4

                  81.9
                  8
                  PURPLE SKY
                  8

                  9/2
                  Trailer
                  85

                  83

                  55.0

                  79.6

                  70.6
                  3
                  TOCCET'S CHARM
                  3

                  4/1
                  Trailer
                  87

                  83

                  52.4

                  79.0

                  68.5
                  1
                  DEPUTY'S COMMAND
                  1

                  20/1
                  Trailer
                  89

                  85

                  51.8

                  74.8

                  63.8
                  2
                  HAT IN THE RING
                  2

                  20/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  80

                  76

                  73.8

                  68.6

                  54.1
                  7
                  TAKE A RISK
                  7

                  20/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  86

                  74

                  68.2

                  70.2

                  57.2
                  4
                  WALLY'S GOT CLASS
                  4

                  6/1
                  Alternator/Non-contender
                  82

                  84

                  66.4

                  75.4

                  61.9
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                  Comment

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