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7 Unit Play. Take #621 Clemson -3.5 over South Carolina (2:00 PM, Saturday, December 22, ESPN 2)
The Clemson Tigers will look to extend their win streak to three games when they hit the road to take on the South Carolina Gamecocks at the Colonial Life Arena in Columbia, SC on Saturday afternoon. Clemson has posted a perfect 5-0 ATS record in their last five games following a straight up win by 20 points or more and they have gone an excellent 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win. They have also covered the number in six of their last eight games where they faced a team with a winning % of .500 or lower and they are an impressive 7-1 ATS in their last eight games versus a team from the SEC. South Carolina, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games where they faced a team with a winning % of .600 or higher and they have failed to cover the number in ten of their last thirteen games following an ATS loss. They are also an awful 3-13-1 ATS in their last seventeen non-conference games and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. Throw in the fact that Clemson is 5-2 ATS in their last seven trips to Colonial Life along with the fact that are 10-4 ATS in the last fourteen head to head meetings between the two teams overall and we're going to lay the points with them here to get the road win and cover in Columbia on Saturday afternoon.
6 Unit Play. Take #636 DePaul -3.5 over Boston College (3:30 PM, Saturday, December 22, FS1)
The DePaul Blue Demons will look for their fourth win in a row and their sixth in their last seven games when they take on the Boston College Eagles at the Wintrust Arena in Chicago, IL on Saturday afternoon. DePaul has posted a 3-1-1 ATS record in their last five games where they faced a team with a wining record and they have that same 3-1-1 ATS record in their last five games played on a Saturday for whatever reason. Boston College, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a win and they are also 2-6 ATS on the road when facing a team with a home winning % of .600 or higher. They have also failed to cover the number in five of their last six games following an ATS loss and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall. Throw in the fact that DePaul is a lights out 8-3-1 ATS in their last twelve home games and we're going to lay the points with them here to get the home win and cover in Chicago on Saturday afternoon.
5 Unit Play. Take #689/690 North Carolina vs Kentucky Over 168 (5:15 PM, Saturday, December 22, CBS)
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the North Carolina Tarheels take on the Kentucky Wildcats at the United Center in Chicago, IL as part of the CBS Sports Classic on Saturday night. North Carolina has posted a perfect 6-0 record to the over in their last six games following a game where they scored 90 points or more and they have that same 6-0 record to the over in their last six games where they faced a team with a winning % of .600 or higher. Kentucky has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here tonight as they have gone up and over the number in six of their last seven neutral site games and they are an impressive 10-2 to the over in their last twelve versus a team with a winning % of .600 or higher. Throw in the fact that the Wildcats are 15-6 to the over in their last 21 non-conference games while the Tar Heels are 8-1 to the over in that same non-conference spot and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to try and push the pace a bit in Chicago on Saturday night.
4 Unit Play. #638 Take Over 130 in Air Force @ Michigan (4p.m., Saturday, December 22 BTN) Just do not believe Michigan can cover this huge number without the game going over. Michigan is third in the country in points allowed but they have not been as dominating of late giving up an average of 70 points per game in their last two contests. Air Force will shoot a lot of three-point shots and if they can score 60 points this game should go over the posted total. Michigan has gone over the posted total in 3 of their last 5 home games against teams with a losing record (1 push).
7 Unit Play. Take #670 Arizona State +4 over Kansas (9p.m., Saturday, December 22 ESPN 2) TOP COLLEGE PLAY OF THE DAY The PAC-12 Conference as a whole needs this win. They may be lucky to get two teams into the NCAA Tournament come March and they have not recorded many quality wins on the season. Kansas is ranked No. 1 in the country but they are nowhere near the best team especially without Udoka Azubuike. That is a major void for them to fill in the paint and they are not as good on either side of the court without him. They have struggled in Lawrence against them suspect teams and this will be their first true road game of the season. Arizona State won in Lawrence last season and they need this win to ensure their at large status into the NCAA Tournament come March. This team has the size and strength to match-up with Kansas and I believe they have the edge in rebounding missed shots off the glass. Kansas is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against PAC-12 teams. Arizona State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games against Big 12 teams.
5 Unit Play. Take #690 Kentucky +2.5 over North Carolina (5:30p.m., Saturday, December 22 CBS) Like using Kentucky in the role of an underdog. The Wildcats have not looked impressive this season, but talent is not their issues. Remember that this team was favored over Duke to open up the season. Just not a fan of North Carolina's talent this season. They are experienced but not sure Luke Maye can lead them to the promise land. Kentucky will have an edge in the stands and they need this game more. North Carolina is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Kentucky is 17-8 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 27 neutral site games.
Marco D/ Sports Unlimited
PLAY: (227) LOUISIANA TECH -1
RATING: 4% PLAY
You play all year and become Bowl eligible and for your reward you get to stay home…Yipee! I know a lot of people will look and say this will be a big edge for Hawaii playing at home with the home crowd. Have you ever seen a full screen shot of the stadium for this game no you haven’t because no one is there. I will say there may actually be a better crowd this year as the game is earlier on Dec 22nd and on a Saturday rather than Christmas eve which was a stupid idea. But the fact remains how excited will Hawaii be and let’s be honest which is bigger beating San Diego St as an 18 point underdog in season finale or this bowl game? Louisiana Tech can throw the Football and if Hawaii comes out flat they will find themselves down 14 points in a hurry. Expect a lot of scoring with La Tech winning this one. I have LOUISIANA TECH winning 38-28.
TAKE LOUISIANA TECH as MARCO’S 4% COLLEGE BOWL STEAMROLLER
Indian Cowboy
4-Unit Play. #602. Take Tennessee -19 over Wake Forrest (Saturday @ 12pm est) - EARLY GAME
Tennnessee will want to rout the ACC team here to prove a point and it's a good spot to take them. Tennessee has not played particularly well of late including only winning by 13 points to Samford, but as they face an ACC team here and the SEC wanting to prove that they have indeed gotten over the hump when it comes to Basketball, why not thump Wake Forrest here. Wake comes off a bib win against Davidson, but don't forget when they faced Saint Joseph's earlier this year who is a top 100 team they struggled badly losing by 20 points. This is a nice spot here for Tennessee to step up and get the rout on Wake today.
4-Unit Play. #626. Take Harvard -14 over George Washington (Saturday @ 2pm est)
Harvard has lost back to back years when it comes to GW and they get their revenge today. As GW comes off a rare win over Howard, Harvard facing the brutal schedule that they have faced, coming off losses to Siena and Vermont, look for Harvard to get their revenge and get back on track and avoid losing 3 straight here. Remember, Harvard is top 20 in effective field goal percentage and this sets up nicely for them to win and possibly win big against GW who they want massive revenge against and likely get it here.
Marco D/ Sports Unlimited
PLAY: (694) HAWAII +1 RATING: 3% PLAY
UNLV pulled a upset last Saturday night hitting a buzzer beater to upend BYU in Las Vegas. I will be the first to admit that UNLV is an improved team this year but this is a bad spot for them today. They have only played one game since Dec 8th, they are coming off a thrilling last second win and now must travel to Hawaii. Can these 19 & 20 year old kids stay focused to pull this off? I don’t think so as too many times in the past this is where this team would throw in a clunker. Note that off of a win by 6 points or less the last 2 years UNLV is 0-6 ATS in their next game. My numbers have Hawaii winning by 4-6 points.
TAKE HAWAII +1 as MARCO’S 3% COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAY
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Dec 22: NCAAF: Houston - Army
Back: Army -6.5 Odds: 1.91
Risk: 10 Units
This is a very good spot for Army. Houston will miss their dual threat QB D’Eriq King who accounted for over 60% of Houston's touchdowns. He is an efficient passer who completes 63.5% of the passes at a rate of 8.6 yards per attempts and has 36 passing touchdowns to 6 interceptions. He is also leads the team in rushing touchdowns with 14 and averages 6.1 yards per carry. On top of this Houston will also miss their best defensive player Ed Oliver. Considered one of the top prospects in the 2019 NFL Draft, Oliver will skip Houston’s bowl game against Army. The Cougars were average against the run this season (63rd in yards per carry allowed) but got gashed by Navy, another triple-option team, for 349 yards and 36 points earlier this season with Oliver healthy. These are two big misses and Houston simply won't be able to keep up with Army. Army is fully healthy and will be very motivated today against the shorthanded Houston who have lost all motivation after losing the conference bid.
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