Thursday 12-27-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369829

    #31
    Preview: Ducks at Sharks
    Gracenote
    Dec 26, 2018

    Christmas could not come soon enough for the Anaheim Ducks and San Jose Sharks, who resume their seasons Thursday in northern California. The clubs skidded into their holiday break on three-game losing streaks as Anaheim completing a 2-3-0 road trip with a 3-0 loss to Buffalo on Saturday while San Jose lost 4-3 in a shootout to Arizona on Sunday.

    "The break is coming at the right time," Sharks coach Peter DeBoer told reporters after his club lost the first three contests of a four-game home stretch (0-1-2). "... We've had to dig deep the last two nights to find a way to scratch out a couple points. We're looking forward to the break and having a big second half." San Jose will be without former two-time Norris Trophy winner Erik Karlsson, who will serve the second contest of a two-game suspension for an illegal check to the head of Los Angeles' Austin Wagner on Saturday. The Ducks and Sharks are separated by two points in the Pacific Division with Anaheim sitting in wild-card position in what figures to be a tight race down the stretch. "We've got lots of areas in which we can improve on for sure," Ducks coach Randy Carlyle told reporters. "We'll go back to work. … We can exhale a little bit from this five-game road trip. (It's) never easy playing on the road for 10 days here; it's been tiresome at times. But that's what we do and we'll move on."

    TV: 10 p.m. ET, Prime Ticket (Anaheim), NBCS California (San Jose)

    ABOUT THE DUCKS (19-14-5): The club owns the second-worst offense in the league at 2.42 goals per game and has only one player with a double-digit goal total (Pontus Aberg, 11). Ryan Getzlaf (team-high 29 points) continues to perform admirably despite the absence of long-time linemate Corey Perry, who is out probably until March with a knee injury. Rickard Rakell is out with an ankle injury after a slow start saw him score five goals in 30 games after totaling 67 in the last two seasons.

    ABOUT THE SHARKS (19-12-7): Joe Pavelski (team-best 23 goals) surged into the break with three tallies in his last four games but has slowed down a bit with seven scores and three of his seven assists in December. Brent Burns (club-high 31 assists) is set to play his 1,000th career game Thursday as the former Norris winner recorded only one point in his last four contests. Logan Couture (team-most 36 points) and Timo Meier (18 goals, 34 points) staggered into the break with a combined one point in their last three games.

    OVERTIME

    1. Anaheim's power play is 1-for-23 over the last nine games while its penalty killers are only 17-for-24 in the past seven contests.

    2. San Jose F Joe Thornton sits 10th all-time in the NHL with 1,041 assists, trailing Gordie Howe by eight for ninth place.

    3. The clubs split the first two of four meetings this season with each winning on the road after San Jose won the previous six meetings, including a four-game sweep in the first round of the 2018 Stanley Cup playoffs.

    PREDICTION: Ducks 3, Sharks 2
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369829

      #32
      Preview: Hurricanes at Capitals
      Gracenote
      Dec 26, 2018

      The Carolina Hurricanes hope to match the performance they delivered in green uniforms last time out as they return to their normal colors Thursday night with a matchup against the first-place Washington Capitals to start a two-game trip. The Hurricanes wore throwback Hartford Whalers sweaters to honor the franchise’s past Sunday when they knocked off Boston 5-3, after losing five of their previous six contests (1-4-1).

      Carolina scored four straight goals to wipe out an early 2-0 deficit Sunday, but coach Rod Brind’Amour told reporters he liked his team’s performance throughout: “You could see from the start they were engaged, even when we got down, and it was nice to see. The level of engagement, really for 60 minutes, it was there.” The Hurricanes coughed up a three-goal lead and fell 6-5 in a shootout at home Dec. 14 against the reigning Stanley Cup champion Capitals, who are in the midst of a 7-1-0 run. Washington won its last two games before the Christmas break while allowing one goal combined, including a 4-0 shutout at Ottawa on Saturday in the second of a back-to-back. “They were in the same situation, but we played well, I think,” Capitals defenseman Matt Niskanen told reporters of the consecutive games. “We came out with a real good purpose and a detailed and determined effort. It was a pretty good all around game.”

      TV: 7 p.m. ET, FS Carolinas, NBCS Washington

      ABOUT THE HURRICANES (15-15-5): Leading scorers Sebastian Aho (38 points) and Teuvo Teravainen (29) each had two goals and two assists Sunday while defenseman Justin Faulk scored for the first time since Oct. 22. But Carolina will have to get more consistency out of its power play, which is 0-of-14 over the last four games, and an offense that sits 28th in the league at 2.54 per game. Veteran Curtis McElhinney is back healthy after missing more than two weeks, but has lost three in a row, and fellow goalie Petr Mrazek is 2-1-0 in his last three games - allowing six total goals.

      ABOUT THE CAPITALS (22-10-3): Washington hasn’t gotten big contributions from its top scorers the past few games and the power play is 0-of-16 the last four contests, but it continues to find ways to win. Captain Alex Ovechkin managed one point (assist) in the last three games after a stretch in which he posted 10 goals in six contests, while defenseman John Carlson is mired in a four-game point drought. Ovechkin leads the team in goals (29) and points (44) while center Nicklas Backstrom has 41 points - eight assists in the past eight games - and Evgeny Kuznetsov boasts 11 points in 11 contests.

      OVERTIME

      1. Washington G Braden Holtby is 4-1-0 with a .937 save percentage over his last five appearances.

      2. Carolina LW Micheal Ferland (11 goals) snapped a six-game point drought with an assist against Boston.

      3. Kuznetsov is three points from 300 for his career and Capitals RW T.J. Oshie needs three goals for 200.

      PREDICTION: Capitals 4, Hurricanes 2
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369829

        #33
        NBA
        Dunkel

        Thursday, December 27



        Boston @ Houston

        Game 501-502
        December 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Boston
        124.008
        Houston
        132.259
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Houston
        by 8
        217
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Houston
        by 1
        215
        Dunkel Pick:
        Houston
        (-1); Over

        New York @ Milwaukee


        Game 503-504
        December 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        New York
        104.933
        Milwaukee
        124.693
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Milwaukee
        by 19 1/2
        223
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Milwaukee
        by 14 1/2
        225 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Milwaukee
        (-14 1/2); Under

        LA Lakers @ Sacramento


        Game 505-506
        December 27, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        LA Lakers
        119.067
        Sacramento
        116.651
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        LA Lakers
        by 2 1/2
        234
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Sacramento
        by 3 1/2
        229 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        LA Lakers
        (+3 1/2); Over

        Portland @ Golden State


        Game 507-508
        December 27, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Portland
        122.938
        Golden State
        126.431
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Golden State
        by 3 1/2
        219
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Golden State
        by 9 1/2
        228
        Dunkel Pick:
        Portland
        (+9 1/2); Under

        Philadelphia @ Utah


        Game 509-510
        December 27, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Philadelphia
        130.297
        Utah
        125.275
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Philadelphia
        by 5
        229
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Utah
        by 5
        218 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Philadelphia
        (+5); Over
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369829

          #34
          NBA

          Thursday, December 27


          Celtics won 10 of their last 13 games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Celtics’ last seven games went over the total. Houston won seven of its last eight games; they’re 6-0-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Rockets won seven of last ten games with Boston, but Celtics covered last four series games. Boston is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Houston. Nine of last ten series games went under the total.

          Knicks lost 10 of their last 11 games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven road games. Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Milwaukee won seven of its last nine games; they’re 2-4-1 vs spread in last seven home games. Nine of their last 11 games stayed under. Bucks won seven of last eight games with New York; they beat the Knicks 109-95 (-9.5) Tuesday. NY is 3-1-1 vs spread in last five visits to Milwaukee. Four of last five series games went over the total.

          Lebron James is out for the Lakers, who are 0-5 vs spread in game following their last five wins. LA is 4-7 vs spread in last 11 road games. Lakers’ last four games all stayed under. Sacramento is 2-5 vs spread this year if they played night before; Kings covered five of their last six home tilts. Over is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games. Lakers/Kings split their last 10 meetings; LA is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to the state capitol. Under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games.

          Trailblazers are 3-5 in their last eight games; they’re 0-9 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of last four Portland games stayed under. Golden State is 2-10 vs spread in its last dozen home games; Warriors are 4-3 SU in their last seven games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Warriors won eight of last ten games with Portland; five of last six series games went over total. Blazers are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Oakland.

          76ers are 3-4 in their last seven games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Four of their last five games went over. Utah won three of its last four games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Last seven Jazz games stayed under the total. Sixers won their last three games with the Jazz; Philly is 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Salt Lake City. Eight of last ten series games stayed under.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369829

            #35
            NBA

            Thursday, December 27


            Trend Report

            New York Knicks
            New York is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games
            New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            New York is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games on the road
            New York is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
            New York is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Milwaukee
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
            New York is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of New York's last 11 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
            Milwaukee Bucks
            Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 11 games
            Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            Milwaukee is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
            Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing New York
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing New York
            Milwaukee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
            Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 11 games when playing at home against New York

            Boston Celtics
            Boston is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
            Boston is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
            The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
            Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Boston is 7-14 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
            Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
            Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
            Boston is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Houston
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games when playing Houston
            Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Houston
            Houston Rockets
            Houston is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
            Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
            Houston is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
            Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
            Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 12 games when playing Boston
            Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
            The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston

            Los Angeles Lakers
            LA Lakers is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
            LA Lakers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            LA Lakers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
            LA Lakers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
            LA Lakers is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Sacramento
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 11 games when playing Sacramento
            LA Lakers is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
            LA Lakers is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
            Sacramento Kings
            Sacramento is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games
            Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Sacramento is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games at home
            Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
            Sacramento is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing LA Lakers
            Sacramento is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
            The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 11 games when playing LA Lakers
            Sacramento is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
            Sacramento is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

            Portland Trail Blazers
            Portland is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
            Portland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games
            Portland is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            Portland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
            Portland is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games when playing Golden State
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Golden State
            Portland is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Golden State
            Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Portland's last 16 games when playing on the road against Golden State
            Golden State Warriors
            Golden State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
            Golden State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 9 games
            Golden State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
            Golden State is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games at home
            Golden State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Portland
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing Portland
            Golden State is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games when playing at home against Portland
            Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 16 games when playing at home against Portland

            Philadelphia 76ers
            Philadelphia is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
            Philadelphia is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
            Philadelphia is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games on the road
            Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
            Philadelphia is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Utah
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing Utah
            Philadelphia is 7-16-1 ATS in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Utah
            Philadelphia is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Utah
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
            Utah Jazz
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games
            Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games at home
            Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
            Utah is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Philadelphia
            The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
            Utah is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            Utah is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369829

              #36
              NBA
              Long Sheet

              Thursday, December 27


              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              BOSTON (20 - 13) at HOUSTON (18 - 15) - 12/27/2018, 8:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              BOSTON is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              BOSTON is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
              BOSTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
              BOSTON is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
              BOSTON is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              BOSTON is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              BOSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
              HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              NEW YORK (9 - 26) at MILWAUKEE (23 - 10) - 12/27/2018, 8:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              NEW YORK is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
              MILWAUKEE is 413-484 ATS (-119.4 Units) in home games since 1996.
              MILWAUKEE is 139-180 ATS (-59.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
              MILWAUKEE is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
              MILWAUKEE is 8-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
              5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              LA LAKERS (20 - 14) at SACRAMENTO (18 - 16) - 12/27/2018, 10:00 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              SACRAMENTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
              SACRAMENTO is 69-50 ATS (+14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
              SACRAMENTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
              LA LAKERS are 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              LA LAKERS is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
              LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
              7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              PORTLAND (19 - 15) at GOLDEN STATE (23 - 12) - 12/27/2018, 10:30 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              GOLDEN STATE is 59-76 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
              GOLDEN STATE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
              GOLDEN STATE is 32-47 ATS (-19.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
              GOLDEN STATE is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              GOLDEN STATE is 6-6 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
              GOLDEN STATE is 10-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
              8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

              --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

              PHILADELPHIA (22 - 13) at UTAH (17 - 18) - 12/27/2018, 10:30 PM
              Top Trends for this game.
              UTAH is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 118-90 ATS (+19.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
              PHILADELPHIA is 58-34 ATS (+20.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

              Head-to-Head Series History
              PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
              PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
              3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369829

                #37
                Inside the Paint - Thursday
                Chris David

                After watching favorites go 3-2 both straight up and against the spread on Christmas, we saw the ‘chalk’ push ahead last night with a 9-1 record on the hardwood last night. A couple underdogs did manage to salvage covers which left the favorites overall number standing at 7-3 ATS. Wednesday was a solid night for ‘over’ bettors as the high side went 7-3, which was a nice turnaround after the holiday ‘under’ trend continued this season with a 3-2 mark.

                Thursday’s card will feature nine of the 10 teams that played on Christmas, which includes a solid non-conference double-header on TNT.

                Boston (20-13 SU, 17-16 ATS) at Houston (18-15 SU, 15-17-1 ATS)

                The Rockets opened as one-point home favorites but as of Tuesday morning, the game was ‘OFF’ the board due to the ‘questionable’ status of James Harden (calf). The All-Star scored 41 points on Tuesday as Houston dropped Oklahoma City 113-109 as a one-point home underdog. The Rockets were playing without Chris Paul (hamstring) for the second consecutive game and they improved to 2-5 without him in the lineup this season. Continuing to post wins without Paul won’t be as easy, especially against a Boston team that’s coming together.

                After a 10-10- start, the Celtics have gone 10-3 and that includes their 121-114 Christmas Day win and miracle cover at home against the 76ers in overtime as five-point favorites. Kyrie Irving forced the extra session with a late bucket before they outscored Philly 13-6 in OT. Boston hasn’t been as strong on the road this season (9-8 SU, 7-10 ATS) but it enters this game with a 5-2 record both SU and ATS in its last seven away games.

                Houston started the season 0-4 at the Toyota Center but has gone 11-1 since then and more importantly, the club has posted an impressive 9-2-1 ATS during this run while the ‘over’ has gone 8-4.

                The pair have split all four of their recent encounters over the last two seasons and the home team came out on top in every game but the Celtics went 4-0 ATS during this span as three of the games were decided by three points or less. Total bettors should note that this series has watched the ‘under’ go 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.

                TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.

                New York (9-26 SU, 16-18-1 ATS) at Milwaukee (23-10 SU, 17-15-1 ATS)

                This is a quick home-and-home set as the Bucks dropped the Knicks 109-95 on Christmas as 9 ½-point road favorites. Including that win, Milwaukee is now 8-2 in its last 10 encounters against New York and that includes a 2-1 record this season. The pair met in Wisconsin on Oct. 22 and the Bucks captured a 124-113 win as 10 ½-point home favorites. New York (5-14 SU, 10-9 ATS) has surprisingly won more road games this season but it hasn’t fared well away recently. The Knicks are 1-6 (3-4 ATS) in their last seven and the lone win came at Charlotte, who blew a big lead in that game.

                Milwaukee is listed as a 14 ½-point home favorite for Thursday’s match and if the Bucks hit from distance, this number could easily be covered. On Tuesday, they were just 6-of-32 (19%) from 3-point land and they still won by 14 points on the road. The Bucks have gone 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS as double-digit home favorites this season. This will be the first game of a six-game road trip for New York while Milwaukee is beginning a five-game homestand at the Fiserv Forum.

                L.A. Lakers (20-14 SU, 14-19-1 ATS) at Sacramento (18-16 SU, 21-12-1 ATS)

                Tough game to handicap as the Los Angles Lakers will be playing without LeBron James (groin) tonight after he was injured on Christmas. Despite going down, the team pushed ahead and dropped Golden State 127-101 as a nine-point road underdog on Tuesday. Will the club step up again on Thursday?

                Los Angeles dropped Sacramento 101-86 as a 5 ½-point road favorite on Nov. 10 and the ‘under’ (237) was never in doubt. For the rematch, the Kings opened as 3 ½-point home favorites and they’ll be playing with no rest after losing a 127-118 decision to the Clippers at the Staples Center on Wednesday. Sacramento won its first two games of the season on zero days rest but has since dropped five straight back-to-back situations. Two of the losses during this skid came at home and that included the aforementioned loss to the Lakers.

                While the rest angle could have you backing off the Kings, they certainly deserve a look as favorites. Sacramento has gone 5-0 both SU and ATS when laying points this season, surprisingly four of those results occurred on the road.

                The total on the game opened 229 ½ and was pushed up quickly to 231. The Lakers enter the game on a 4-0 ‘under’ streak but Sacramento has been the best ‘over’ (23-11) team in the NBA and it brings a 7-1 lean to the high side into tonight’s game. Be aware that the total results (8-8) for Sacramento have been even at the Golden 1 Center this season.

                Portland (19-15 SU, 16-18 ATS) at Golden State (23-12 SU, 14-21 ATS)

                The Trail Blazers lost by 24 points (117-96) at the Jazz on Christmas while the Warriors were embarrassed on the holiday at home to the Lakers by 26 (127-102). Can you really trust either team in the rebound spot? Golden State opened as a nine-point favorite and it’s burned bettors recently with a 1-7 ATS skid and despite owning a 15-4 record at home, they’ve only covered eight (8-11 ATS) of those victories. Over the past few seasons, backing Golden State off a loss was a great money-maker but they’re just 4-7 ATS after a setback in 2018.

                The book is out on Portland, who is great at home (13-5 SU, 11-7 ATS) and weak on the road (6-10 SU, 5-11 ATS) and lately they’ve been awful away from the Moda Center. Including the loss on Tuesday at Utah, the Trail Blazers have gone 1-7 both SU and ATS in their last eight road games and the losses came by an average of 18.7 PPG. Among teams with a winning record, Portland has the lowest point differential (+0.1) in the league.

                The two clubs just met at Oracle Arena on Nov. 23 and Golden State throttled Portland 125-97 as a one-point home favorite. The line was short for this matchup because the Warriors didn’t have Stephen Curry in the lineup and it was mired in a four-game losing skid. Including that setback, the Trail Blazers have dropped 13 straight games in the Bay Area and they haven’t been great for bettors (4-9 ATS) during this span either. Golden State will travel to Portland on Saturday night and it has dropped its last two trips to Oregon.

                Philadelphia (22-13 SU, 16-19 ATS) at Utah (17-18 SU, 17-17-1 ATS)

                The late-night portion of the TNT double-header (10:35 p.m. ET) takes place from Salt Lake City and it’s a nice matchup. The Jazz opened as a five-point home favorite and they’ve won and covered three of their last four games.

                We’re starting to see the Utah defense finally take shape and the club is allowing 96.8 PPG in its last seven games, which has led to a 7-0 ‘under’ mark. Make a note that the Jazz have faced some quality opponents during this stretch, which includes the Rockets, Warriors, Thunder and Blazers twice.

                Philadelphia is definitely considered in that class but bettors backing them are probably still pissed that the 76ers couldn’t cover in their 121-114 overtime loss at Boston on Christmas as a five-point road underdog. With that loss, the 76ers dropped to 7-9 against teams with winning records and they’re now 4-7 this season as underdogs. Keep in mind that Philadelphia has never covered a game as an underdog that it hasn’t won so the money-line (+184) could be a better option tonight.

                Also, confidence should be high for the club knowing that the 76ers have won and covered their last three meetings against the Jazz, which includes a 113-107 win on Nov. 16 as a 2 ½-point home favorite. Lastly, Philadelphia has gone 5-2 versus the Western Conference this season however all five wins came at home and the losses were on the road. Utah has gone 2-2 at home versus clubs from the East this season.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369829

                  #38
                  NHL

                  Thursday, December 27


                  Trend Report

                  New Jersey Devils
                  New Jersey is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
                  New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Jersey's last 16 games
                  New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  New Jersey is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
                  New Jersey is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 8 games on the road
                  New Jersey is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
                  New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing Boston
                  New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
                  Boston Bruins
                  Boston is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
                  Boston is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games
                  Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games at home
                  Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Jersey
                  Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing New Jersey
                  Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey

                  Columbus Blue Jackets
                  Columbus is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Columbus's last 8 games
                  Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Columbus is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Columbus's last 13 games on the road
                  Columbus is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
                  Columbus is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
                  The total has gone OVER in 12 of Columbus's last 16 games when playing NY Rangers
                  Columbus is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
                  The total has gone OVER in 9 of Columbus's last 10 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
                  New York Rangers
                  NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                  NY Rangers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Rangers's last 9 games
                  NY Rangers is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games at home
                  NY Rangers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  NY Rangers is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
                  NY Rangers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
                  The total has gone OVER in 12 of NY Rangers's last 16 games when playing Columbus
                  NY Rangers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Columbus
                  The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Rangers's last 10 games when playing at home against Columbus

                  Detroit Red Wings
                  Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
                  Detroit is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
                  Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
                  Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
                  Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
                  Detroit is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
                  Pittsburgh Penguins
                  Pittsburgh is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
                  Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                  Pittsburgh is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games at home
                  Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
                  Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
                  Pittsburgh is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing Detroit
                  Pittsburgh is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

                  Carolina Hurricanes
                  Carolina is 6-19 ATS in its last 25 games
                  Carolina is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Carolina's last 18 games
                  Carolina is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
                  Carolina is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 13 games on the road
                  Carolina is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Washington
                  Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 9 games when playing Washington
                  Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
                  Washington Capitals
                  Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                  Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                  Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
                  Washington is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Carolina
                  Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Carolina
                  Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Carolina

                  Philadelphia Flyers
                  Philadelphia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Philadelphia is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games
                  Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
                  Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
                  Philadelphia is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
                  Tampa Bay Lightning
                  Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
                  Tampa Bay is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
                  Tampa Bay is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games at home
                  Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
                  Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
                  Tampa Bay is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

                  Dallas Stars
                  Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games
                  Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                  Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  Dallas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Nashville
                  Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Nashville
                  The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing Nashville
                  Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
                  Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
                  The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing on the road against Nashville
                  Nashville Predators
                  Nashville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
                  Nashville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                  Nashville is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
                  Nashville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 7 games at home
                  Nashville is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
                  Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
                  The total has gone OVER in 7 of Nashville's last 9 games when playing Dallas
                  Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
                  Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
                  The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 12 games when playing at home against Dallas

                  Buffalo Sabres
                  Buffalo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Buffalo is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games
                  Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                  Buffalo is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing St. Louis
                  Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
                  St. Louis Blues
                  St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
                  St. Louis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                  St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
                  St. Louis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Buffalo
                  St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo

                  Calgary Flames
                  Calgary is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
                  Calgary is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
                  Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Calgary is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Calgary's last 16 games on the road
                  Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
                  Calgary is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Winnipeg
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 10 games when playing Winnipeg
                  Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
                  Winnipeg Jets
                  Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Winnipeg is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
                  Winnipeg is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 7 games at home
                  Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
                  Winnipeg is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Calgary
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 10 games when playing Calgary
                  Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Calgary
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary

                  Minnesota Wild
                  Minnesota is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
                  Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
                  Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                  Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games on the road
                  Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Chicago
                  Minnesota is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Chicago
                  Chicago Blackhawks
                  Chicago is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
                  Chicago is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
                  Chicago is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
                  Chicago is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
                  Chicago is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Minnesota

                  Vancouver Canucks
                  Vancouver is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games
                  Vancouver is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
                  Vancouver is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
                  Vancouver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                  Vancouver is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vancouver's last 8 games on the road
                  Vancouver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton
                  Vancouver is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
                  Vancouver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
                  Edmonton Oilers
                  Edmonton is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games
                  Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
                  Edmonton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
                  Edmonton is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Edmonton's last 8 games at home
                  Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vancouver
                  Edmonton is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vancouver
                  Edmonton is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Vancouver

                  Colorado Avalanche
                  Colorado is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
                  Colorado is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 10 games
                  Colorado is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
                  Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
                  Vegas Golden Knights
                  Vegas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
                  Vegas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games
                  Vegas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vegas's last 7 games at home

                  Arizona Coyotes
                  Arizona is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
                  Arizona is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
                  Arizona is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Los Angeles
                  Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
                  Arizona is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
                  Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
                  Los Angeles Kings
                  Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
                  Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
                  Los Angeles is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games at home
                  Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 6 of Los Angeles's last 9 games at home
                  Los Angeles is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Arizona
                  Los Angeles is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Arizona
                  Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Arizona
                  Los Angeles is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Arizona

                  Anaheim Ducks
                  Anaheim is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games
                  Anaheim is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                  Anaheim is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games on the road
                  Anaheim is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing San Jose
                  Anaheim is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing San Jose
                  Anaheim is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against San Jose
                  Anaheim is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against San Jose
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Jose
                  San Jose Sharks
                  San Jose is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
                  San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 6 games at home
                  San Jose is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Anaheim
                  San Jose is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
                  San Jose is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Anaheim
                  San Jose is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Anaheim
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Jose's last 10 games when playing at home against Anaheim
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369829

                    #39
                    NHL
                    Long Sheet

                    Thursday, December 27


                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    NEW JERSEY (12-16-0-7, 31 pts.) at BOSTON (20-13-0-4, 44 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 7:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    NEW JERSEY is 12-23 ATS (+36.3 Units) in all games this season.
                    NEW JERSEY is 2-12 ATS (+17.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
                    NEW JERSEY is 12-23 ATS (+36.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
                    NEW JERSEY is 0-8 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    NEW JERSEY is 0-8 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
                    BOSTON is 222-174 ATS (-41.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    BOSTON is 5-1 (+3.5 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
                    BOSTON is 5-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    DETROIT (15-17-0-6, 36 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (18-12-0-6, 42 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 7:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    DETROIT is 12-32 ATS (+52.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    PITTSBURGH is 18-4 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                    DETROIT is 8-4 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
                    PITTSBURGH is 37-39 ATS (-27.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                    PITTSBURGH is 24-27 ATS (-18.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
                    PITTSBURGH is 3-9 ATS (-16.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
                    PITTSBURGH is 3-9 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    DETROIT is 4-2 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
                    DETROIT is 4-2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    CAROLINA (15-15-0-5, 35 pts.) at WASHINGTON (22-10-0-3, 47 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 7:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    CAROLINA is 15-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
                    CAROLINA is 15-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) first half of the season this season.
                    CAROLINA is 66-99 ATS (-43.3 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
                    CAROLINA is 13-24 ATS (-12.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (+6.5 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CAROLINA is 20-36 ATS (+59.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    CAROLINA is 8-25 ATS (+38.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                    WASHINGTON is 88-54 ATS (+145.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    WASHINGTON is 6-3 (+1.1 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                    WASHINGTON is 6-3-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                    6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.0 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    COLUMBUS (21-12-0-3, 45 pts.) at NY RANGERS (15-14-0-6, 36 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 7:05 PM
                    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    COLUMBUS is 6-4 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
                    COLUMBUS is 6-4-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
                    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.9 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    PHILADELPHIA (15-16-0-4, 34 pts.) at TAMPA BAY (28-7-0-2, 58 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 7:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    TAMPA BAY is 28-9 ATS (+37.0 Units) in all games this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 10-1 ATS (+8.0 Units) in December games this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 28-9 ATS (+13.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 14-1 ATS (+11.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
                    TAMPA BAY is 55-21 ATS (+21.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
                    TAMPA BAY is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 86-67 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 13-8 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 20-12 ATS (+35.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                    PHILADELPHIA is 89-86 ATS (+194.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
                    TAMPA BAY is 399-427 ATS (-187.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
                    TAMPA BAY is 185-213 ATS (-79.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    TAMPA BAY is 5-2 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                    TAMPA BAY is 5-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
                    6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.1 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    BUFFALO (21-11-0-5, 47 pts.) at ST LOUIS (14-16-0-4, 32 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 8:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    BUFFALO is 21-16 ATS (+39.4 Units) in all games this season.
                    BUFFALO is 21-16 ATS (+39.4 Units) first half of the season this season.
                    BUFFALO is 11-5 ATS (+17.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
                    ST LOUIS is 11-19 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
                    ST LOUIS is 3-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    DALLAS (18-16-0-3, 39 pts.) at NASHVILLE (22-13-0-2, 46 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 8:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    DALLAS is 20-46 ATS (+72.7 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 3 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 20-39 ATS (+62.9 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 23-39 ATS (-19.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 18-29 ATS (-14.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
                    DALLAS is 255-164 ATS (+59.4 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
                    DALLAS is 223-148 ATS (+41.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
                    NASHVILLE is 21-25 ATS (-20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    NASHVILLE is 7-3 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                    NASHVILLE is 7-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                    7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+3.8 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    CALGARY (22-12-0-3, 47 pts.) at WINNIPEG (24-10-0-2, 50 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 8:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    WINNIPEG is 85-51 ATS (+138.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    WINNIPEG is 35-17 ATS (+16.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                    WINNIPEG is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
                    CALGARY is 71-64 ATS (+146.9 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
                    CALGARY is 120-118 ATS (+268.8 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
                    CALGARY is 111-115 ATS (+253.0 Units) in road games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
                    CALGARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
                    CALGARY is 12-5 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    CALGARY is 4-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
                    CALGARY is 4-3-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
                    4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.6 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    MINNESOTA (17-15-0-3, 37 pts.) at CHICAGO (13-20-0-6, 32 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 8:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    MINNESOTA is 15-5 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 46-76 ATS (-63.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 12-21 ATS (-11.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 5-16 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 10-15 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                    CHICAGO is 103-93 ATS (-63.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    CHICAGO is 6-5 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                    CHICAGO is 6-5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
                    5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    VANCOUVER (17-18-0-4, 38 pts.) at EDMONTON (18-15-0-3, 39 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 9:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    VANCOUVER is 11-31 ATS (+53.5 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.
                    EDMONTON is 14-4 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                    EDMONTON is 14-8 ATS (+23.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
                    EDMONTON is 57-89 ATS (+150.3 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
                    EDMONTON is 9-16 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
                    EDMONTON is 5-12 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
                    EDMONTON is 20-26 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
                    EDMONTON is 10-15 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    EDMONTON is 6-4-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
                    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    COLORADO (19-12-0-6, 44 pts.) at VEGAS (20-15-0-4, 44 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 10:05 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    VEGAS is 85-57 ATS (+157.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    VEGAS is 46-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                    VEGAS is 12-2 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
                    VEGAS is 45-29 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                    VEGAS is 18-4 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                    COLORADO is 65-61 ATS (+143.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                    COLORADO is 90-73 ATS (+168.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more since 1996.
                    COLORADO is 192-167 ATS (+360.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    VEGAS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
                    VEGAS is 2-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
                    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    ANAHEIM (19-14-0-5, 43 pts.) at SAN JOSE (19-12-0-7, 45 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 10:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ANAHEIM is 256-204 ATS (+36.0 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
                    ANAHEIM is 34-22 ATS (+9.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                    ANAHEIM is 41-33 ATS (+79.4 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
                    SAN JOSE is 165-135 ATS (-65.2 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
                    SAN JOSE is 184-154 ATS (-82.3 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    SAN JOSE is 10-5 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
                    SAN JOSE is 10-5-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
                    7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.8 Units)

                    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                    ARIZONA (16-18-0-2, 34 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (14-20-0-3, 31 pts.) - 12/27/2018, 10:35 PM
                    Top Trends for this game.
                    ARIZONA is 25-52 ATS (+95.8 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
                    LOS ANGELES is 98-108 ATS (+241.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
                    LOS ANGELES is 166-170 ATS (-20.0 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
                    LOS ANGELES is 31-43 ATS (-24.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                    LOS ANGELES is 130-137 ATS (-66.6 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

                    Head-to-Head Series History
                    ARIZONA is 6-4 (+6.5 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
                    ARIZONA is 6-4-0 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
                    5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.6 Units)
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369829

                      #40
                      NHL
                      Dunkel

                      Thursday, December 27



                      New Jersey @ Boston

                      Game 1-2
                      December 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      New Jersey
                      10.683
                      Boston
                      9.531
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      New Jersey
                      by 1
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Boston
                      -200
                      6
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      New Jersey
                      (+170); Over

                      Detroit @ Pittsburgh


                      Game 3-4
                      December 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Detroit
                      7.637
                      Pittsburgh
                      12.777
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Pittsburgh
                      by 5
                      5
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Pittsburgh
                      -260
                      6
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Pittsburgh
                      (-260); Under


                      Carolina @ Washington

                      Game 5-6
                      December 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Carolina
                      10.821
                      Washington
                      11.931
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Washington
                      by 1
                      5
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Washington
                      -170
                      6
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Washington
                      (-170); Under

                      Columbus @ NY Rangers


                      Game 7-8
                      December 27, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Columbus
                      11.083
                      NY Rangers
                      9.751
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Columbus
                      by 1 1/2
                      5
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Columbus
                      -140
                      5 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Columbus
                      (-140); Under

                      Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay


                      Game 9-10
                      December 27, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Philadelphia
                      8.088
                      Tampa Bay
                      13.131
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Tampa Bay
                      by 5
                      9
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Tampa Bay
                      -230
                      6 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Tampa Bay
                      (-230); Over

                      Buffalo @ St. Louis


                      Game 11-12
                      December 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Buffalo
                      9.647
                      St. Louis
                      10.993
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      St. Louis
                      by 1 1/2
                      5
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      St. Louis
                      -130
                      6
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      St. Louis
                      (-130); Under

                      Dallas @ Nashville


                      Game 13-14
                      December 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Dallas
                      12.086
                      Nashville
                      10.821
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Dallas
                      by 1
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Nashville
                      -175
                      5 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Dallas
                      (+155); Over

                      Calgary @ Winnipeg


                      Game 15-16
                      December 27, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Calgary
                      10.765
                      Winnipeg
                      14.148
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Winnipeg
                      by 3 1/2
                      5
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Winnipeg
                      -145
                      6 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Winnipeg
                      (-145); Under

                      Minnesota @ Chicago


                      Game 17-18
                      December 27, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Minnesota
                      8.409
                      Chicago
                      9.909
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Chicago
                      by 1 1/2
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Minnesota
                      -150
                      6
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Chicago
                      (+130); Over

                      Vancouver @ Edmonton


                      Game 19-20
                      December 27, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Vancouver
                      11.920
                      Edmonton
                      10.887
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Vancouver
                      by 1
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Edmonton
                      -165
                      6
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Vancouver
                      (+145); Over

                      Colorado @ Vegas


                      Game 21-22
                      December 27, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Colorado
                      11.894
                      Vegas
                      10.723
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Colorado
                      by 1
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Vegas
                      -140
                      6
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Colorado
                      (+120); Over

                      Anaheim @ San Jose


                      Game 23-24
                      December 27, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Anaheim
                      12.443
                      San Jose
                      11.224
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Anaheim
                      by 1
                      7
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      San Jose
                      -170
                      5 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Anaheim
                      (+150); Over

                      Arizona @ Los Angeles


                      Game 25-26
                      December 27, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

                      Dunkel Rating:
                      Arizona
                      8.409
                      Los Angeles
                      10.572
                      Dunkel Team:
                      Dunkel Line:
                      Dunkel Total:
                      Los Angeles
                      by 2
                      6
                      Vegas Team:
                      Vegas Line:
                      Vegas Total:
                      Los Angeles
                      -135
                      5 1/2
                      Dunkel Pick:
                      Los Angeles
                      (-135); Over
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                      Twitter@cpawsports


                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369829

                        #41
                        Cole Faxon

                        Dec 27 '18, 1:30 PM in 24m
                        NCAA-F | Duke vs Temple
                        Play on: Duke +3½ -114 at GTBets

                        FREE PLAY on Duke +3½ -114
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369829

                          #42
                          Jimmy Boyd

                          Dec 27 '18, 1:30 PM in 24m
                          NCAA-F | Duke vs Temple
                          Play on: UNDER 55 -110

                          1* Free Pick on Duke/Temple UNDER 55
                          The books have set the total way too high and I believe we are getting value with the UNDER because of the fact that Temple comes in having averaged 35.6 ppg and scored 40 or more 3 of their last 4.
                          You have to look at who they played. They had 57 against an awful UConn team, score 59 against Houston, who gave up 70 to Army in their bowl and 40 against UCF, who has been vulnerable on that side of the ball all year. Prior to that we saw Temple score a mere 24 in back-to-back games against Navy and Cincinnati.
                          I just don't see them going off against a well-coached Duke team that even after giving up 59 to Wake Forest in the finale (Blue Devils didn't come to play) they still only allowed 27.4 ppg on the season.
                          As for Temple, they too have a strong defense, as they only allowed 24.7 ppg, holding teams close to a TD under their season average. Owls should have no problem keeping a very mediocre Duke offense in check. Take the UNDER 55!
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369829

                            #43
                            Dustin Hawkins

                            Dec 27 '18, 1:30 PM in 24m
                            NCAA-F | Duke vs Temple
                            Play on: Duke +3½ -115 at Bovada

                            Free Play on Duke +3½ -115
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369829

                              #44
                              John Ryan

                              Dec 27 '18, 1:30 PM in 24m
                              NCAA-F | Duke vs Temple
                              Play on: Temple -3 -110 at sportsbook

                              John Ryan Sports Research Report
                              @JohnRyanSports1

                              The Play and the Matchup
                              Temple (236)
                              DUKE (7 - 5) vs. TEMPLE (8 - 4)
                              Week 16 Thursday, 12/27/2018 1:30 PM
                              INDEPENDENCE BOWl - Independence Stadium - Shrevport, LA
                              SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
                              5-stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
                              Place a 5-star wager on the Temple Owls, who are currently priced as 3-point favorites.
                              SIM Projections and ResultsTemple ranks 25th in the nation with a solid 0.5 turnover margin while Duke ranks 97 with a -0.5 TOM. This simply means that Temple forces opponents to have 0.5 more turnovers per game they commit and the exact oppositive for Duke. The TOM will be a significant metric in this game and Temple is projected to force Duke into 3 and possibly more turnovers and that overall Temple will win the TOM battle by at least 1 net turnover. Temple also ranks 14th in the nation averaging 37.3 points per game while Duke ranks 89th scoring 24.6 PPG. So, if you are the inferior offensive team and are projected to have more turnovers than that opponent, it makes it overwhelming to fight back and win the game. Temple is 105-23 SU winning by 16.5 PPG and 92-21-1 ATS covering by an average of 11.7 PPG when scoring 28 or more points; 11-4 SU winning by an Average of 13.5 points and 12-2-1 ATS covering by an average of 11.5 points since 2017. When scoring 28 or more points and winning the turnover battle by at least one turnover they are 7-1 SUATS winning by 18.3 points and covering the spread by 13.3 points.
                              Our database tells us that playing against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games and is now facing an opponent after having won 4 out of their last 5 games has produced a nice profit via a 49-23 ATS mark for 68% winners over the last five season of games.
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369829

                                #45
                                Brandon Lee

                                Dec 27 '18, 1:30 PM in 24m
                                NCAA-F | Duke vs Temple
                                Play on: Duke +4 -109 at GTBets

                                10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Duke +4)
                                I'll take my chances here with Duke. I just think the loss of head coach Geoff Collins will be too much for the Owls to overcome. Ed Foley, who will serve as the interim is way out-classed here by the Blue Devils David Cutcliffe.
                                One of the reasons I think Temple is getting a lot of love with this line, is the fact that Duke was outscored 94-13 in back-to-back blowout losses to Clemson and Wake Forest to end the year. They only lost by 29 on the road to the Tigers and were in that game early (down 14-6 at half). That’s a game they put everything into and with nothing to gain in the finale, they clearly didn’t come to play against the Demon Deacons.
                                I actually think that lopsided loss to Wake Forest will work in Duke’s favor here. Cutcliffe should have had his players full attention in the practices leading up this bowl game. On top of that, the Blue Devils are one of those teams that plays their best when they are the underdog. They are 47-34 in all games as a dog under Cutcliffe.
                                Duke is also an impressive 13-5 ATS in the 18 games under Cutcliffe when he’s got two or more weeks to prepare for an opponent. They are the same 13-5 ATS in road games when they enter having failed to cover 2 of their last 3 and an impressive 32-13 ATS in their last 45 non-conference games. Give me the Blue Devils +4!
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