Thursday 12-27-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Sal Michaels

Dec 27 '18, 5:15 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Wisconsin
Play on: Miami-FL -3 -105 at Bovada

Free Play on Miami-FL -3 -105

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Jack Jones

Dec 27 '18, 5:15 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Wisconsin
Play on: Wisconsin +2½ -103 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Wisconsin +2.5
The Pinstripe Bowl is a matchup of two 7-5 teams coming off disappointing regular seasons after having big expectations coming into the year. So the goal is to find out which team is not only better, but also more motivated. And I think that team is Wisconsin in both categories.
For starters, this is going to be a cold weather game in New York with temperatures expected to be around 40 degrees. Well, Wisconsin is used to playing in cold weather. There’s no way a warm weather team like Miami can be too excited to be playing in this cold weather game. And they simply won’t be used to it like Wisconsin is.
The Badgers have to feel disrespected as underdogs here after beating Miami 34-24 in South Florida in the Orange Bowl last year. Certainly Wisconsin fans will travel well, but I question how well Miami fans will travel to be up in the cold weather of New York as well. It’s a Wisconsin team that is not used to being an underdog.
Miami has somehow been favored in all 12 games thus far, and now you can make that all 13. That speaks to just how overrated this Miami team has been all season, and also the ease of their schedule. The Hurricanes played the 60th-toughest schedule in the country, while Wisconsin played a much tougher schedule having to face the likes of Iowa, Michigan and Penn State.
Miami will be without All-American DT Gerald Willis, who is probably one of the best two or three defensive tackles in the country. He is sitting out to prepare for the NFL. Without him, Wisconsin will find some success with its 7th-ranked ground game in the country. The Badgers average 268.4 rushing yards per game this season. Jonathan Taylor is primed for his second 2,000-yard season and averages a nation-best 165.8 rushing yards per game.
Wisconsin’s defense should be able to shut down a Miami offense that has gotten terrible quarterback play all season. N’Kosi Perry completed just 51.6% of his 186 attempts this season while Malik Rosier completed just 53.5% of his 144 attempts. I’m just not sure how this Miami offense is going to move the football against what is still a very good Wisconsin defense. And Wisconsin starting QB Jack Can has performed well, completing 61% of his 82 pass attempts this season.
Mark Richt is 0-6 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) as the coach of Miami. The Hurricanes are 3-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons. Wisconsin is 14-4 ATS when the total is 42.5 to 49 over the last three seasons. The Badgers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games played on a grass field. The Hurricanes are 1-7 SU in their last eight bowl games. Miami is 1-8 ATS in its last nine neutral site games. Bet Wisconsin Thursday.

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Bobby Conn

Dec 27 '18, 5:15 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Wisconsin
Play on: Wisconsin +3 -110 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Wisconsin +3 -110

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Mike Williams

Dec 27 '18, 5:15 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Wisconsin
Play on: Miami-FL -2 -115 at Bovada

1* on Miami-FL -2 -115

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Kenny Walker

Dec 27 '18, 5:15 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Wisconsin
Play on: Miami-FL -2½ -110 at BMaker

Free Pick on Miami-FL

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Info Plays

Dec 27 '18, 5:15 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Wisconsin
Play on: Miami-FL -3 -101 at pinnacle

1* Free Play on Miami-FL -3 -101

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Dec 27 '18, 8:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Celtics vs Rockets
Play on: Celtics -1½ -115 at BMaker

Dave’s Thursday Free Play:
1* on Boston Celtics -1.5
The Key: The Houston Rockets are just 2-5 without Chris Paul this season. Their two wins have been close home victories. And now there’s a chance they could be without James Harden, who suffered a calf injury on Christmas Day in the win over the Thunder. They are also without another starter in James Ennis III. I like the Celtics here, who have played well since their players’ only meeting a few days ago. They won and covered in a 119-103 home win over Charlotte as 7.5-point favorites and won and covered 121-114 over the 76ers as 5-point favorites. The Celtics are now 10-3 SU & 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games overall. They are the better team in this matchup right now because they are fully healthy. And they should have no problem covering this short price on the road. Take Boston.

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Mike Lundin

Dec 27 '18, 8:05 PM in 6h
NBA | Knicks vs Bucks
Play on: OVER 224 -115

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Milwaukee Bucks put a 109-95 beating on the Knicks at Madison Square Garden on Christmas Day. That game went way under the total (which closed at 225.5 points), but four straight meetings prior to that had gone over and I think points will come fast and easy for both teams in the second leg of the home-and-home set tonight.
The Knicks have allowed an average of 117.0 ppg on the road this season and over/under is 12-7 in their 19 games away from home (10-3 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record). The Bucks are the highest scoring team in the league and have been averaging a superb 119.7 ppg home at Fiserv Forum on the season.
The Knicks know they'll need to score in order to keep this close, and I expect this to turn into a fast-paced shootout.
Free pick on OVER in Milwaukee.

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Vic Duke

Dec 27 '18, 9:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-F | Vanderbilt vs Baylor
Play on: Baylor +4 -105 at Bovada

Baylor/Vanderbilt 9:00: Vanderbilt is clearly the trendy play here; after all, they're from the stronger conference (SEC) and played a tougher schedule. Nevertheless, they've found ways of losing games and I'm questioning their focus here. On the other hand, Baylor's Matt Rhule did a bang up job bringing the Bears back to respectability. And he had time to help work on the struggling offensive line to protect QB Brewer. The Bears do have RB Lovett (546 rush yards /5 TDs) to lend a hand, and WR Mims (699 yards/8 TDs) to offset for the loss of top receiver - Hurd (knee). And remember, in 2014, Rhule's Temple Owls beat Vandy 37-7 in Derek Mason's first game as HC of the Commodores. We'll take the points here in a small play.

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Hunter Price

Dec 27 '18, 10:05 PM in 8h
NBA | Lakers vs Kings
Play on: Kings -3½ -110 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Kings -3½ -110

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John Martin

Dec 27 '18, 10:35 PM in 9h
NBA | Blazers vs Warriors
Play on: Warriors -9 -102 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Golden State Warriors -9
The Warriors should come back pretty hungry for a win today after an embarrassing showing against the Lakers on Christmas Day. And they’re playing a Portland Trail Blazers team that is struggling right now, going 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games. The Blazers lost by 30 as home favorites against Utah and by 21 as 7-point road dogs in a rematch with Utah. They also needed overtime to beat Dallas by 3 as 7-point favorites during this stretch. The Warriors are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home meetings with the Blazers. They won 125-97 at home in their first and only meeting with the Blazers this season. The Blazers are 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games. Give me the Warriors.

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Top Dog NCAA Football BAYLOR BEARS +165

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Ace / V.I.P. NBA HOUSTON ROCKETS ‑115

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Lasvegasmoneymachine NHL PHILADELPHIA FLYERS/TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING o6.5

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Monster Sports Picks NHL PHILADELPHIA FLYERS/TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING o6.5