Sunday 12-30-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358364

    #16
    Top 6 picks for Week 17 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest:

    1) Colts, -3 (972)

    2) Browns, +6 (904)

    3) Bills, -3.5 (847)

    4) Eagles, -6.5 (800)

    5) Vikings, -4.5 (758)

    6) Texans, -6.5 (670)

    Season record: 51-44-3
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358364

      #17
      F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
      Camarero - Race 2

      Pick 6 / Exacta / Daily Double 2-3


      Claiming $8,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 73 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 3:10P
      FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 12 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 30 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
      Contenders

      Race Analysis
      P#
      Horse
      Morn
      Line

      Accept
      Odds


      Race Type: Lone Front-runner. JOSE M. is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * CACHETITO ROJO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. JOSE M.: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. VIBRANTE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. AERONAUTICO: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
      4
      CACHETITO ROJO
      1/1

      9/2
      2
      JOSE M.
      2/1

      5/1
      5
      VIBRANTE
      4/1

      7/1
      3
      AERONAUTICO
      5/2

      8/1




      P#

      Horse (In Running Style Order)

      Post

      Morn
      Line

      Running Style

      Good
      Class

      Good
      Speed

      Early Figure

      Finish Figure

      Platinum
      Figure
      2
      JOSE M.
      2

      2/1
      Front-runner
      70

      66

      62.6

      45.4

      39.4
      3
      AERONAUTICO
      3

      5/2
      Stalker
      67

      63

      59.7

      54.1

      47.6
      4
      CACHETITO ROJO
      4

      1/1
      Trailer
      76

      67

      54.4

      66.2

      64.2
      5
      VIBRANTE
      5

      4/1
      Alternator/Trailer
      71

      65

      63.8

      60.8

      54.3
      1
      MAGO DE ORIENTE
      1

      10/1
      Alternator/Non-contender
      47

      50

      55.4

      54.4

      46.4
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358364

        #18
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Golden Gate Fields
        Golden Gate Fields - Race 4

        $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double $1 Superfecta (.10 min) / $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) $0.20 Golden Pick 6 (Races 4-9) / $1 Rolling Super High Five


        Starter Allowance $50,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 92 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 2:18P
        FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 15 ALLOWED 2 LBS. (ONE WIN FOR $20,000 OR LESS WILL NOT BE CONSIDERED WHEN DETERMINING ELIGIBILITY).
        Contenders

        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line

        Accept
        Odds


        Race Type: Lone Front-runner. STREETLIGHTROMANCE is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COPPER FEVER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NOVEMBER TALE (IRE): Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. OH SCATTY OH: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. OUR SLICK CHICK: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. STREETLIGHTROMANCE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
        6
        COPPER FEVER
        3/1

        5/1
        1
        NOVEMBER TALE (IRE)
        5/2

        6/1
        3
        OH SCATTY OH
        9/2

        7/1
        2
        OUR SLICK CHICK
        6/1

        8/1
        7
        STREETLIGHTROMANCE
        12/1

        10/1




        P#

        Horse (In Running Style Order)

        Post

        Morn
        Line

        Running Style

        Good
        Class

        Good
        Speed

        Early Figure

        Finish Figure

        Platinum
        Figure
        7
        STREETLIGHTROMANCE
        7

        12/1
        Front-runner
        90

        88

        97.7

        69.2

        59.2
        6
        COPPER FEVER
        6

        3/1
        Stalker
        93

        89

        102.9

        87.6

        83.1
        3
        OH SCATTY OH
        3

        9/2
        Stalker
        93

        92

        77.8

        87.2

        78.2
        2
        OUR SLICK CHICK
        2

        6/1
        Alternator/Stalker
        86

        83

        90.8

        84.7

        77.7
        1
        NOVEMBER TALE (IRE)
        1

        5/2
        Alternator/Stalker
        95

        90

        81.4

        88.4

        83.4
        4
        WISH YOU WERE MINE
        4

        7/2
        Trailer
        88

        87

        83.6

        83.1

        71.6
        8
        ANOTHER REDHEAD
        8

        20/1
        Trailer
        82

        73

        72.0

        78.7

        64.7
        5
        SOPHIA DEL SOL
        5

        20/1
        Trailer
        72

        72

        68.2

        74.5

        60.0
        9
        SENORITA COMETA
        9

        20/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        78

        68

        85.8

        81.2

        68.2
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358364

          #19
          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

          Bar

          Gulfstream Park - Race #4 - Post: 1:30pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $60,000 Class Rating: 84

          Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

          #3 ADMIRAL LYNCH (ML=5/2)


          ADMIRAL LYNCH - It looks like Jaramillo had to 'know' this colt on December 9th when riding him for the initial time. Back on board again today. The recent bullet 47.1 work should put this colt on track for today's outing. You have to be keen on that last race speed figure, 83, which is the highest last race speed rating of this bunch.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #6 GOLDEN IDOL (ML=3/1), #4 ROBINTAKINCHARGE (ML=7/2), #7 GREATER CAIRO (ML=9/2),

          GOLDEN IDOL - This questionable contender ran a common speed figure last time out. He shouldn't improve and will likely lose today running that fig. ROBINTAKINCHARGE - The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underpriced equine. GREATER CAIRO - Don't believe this mount will do much running in today's event. That last speed rating was disappointing when compared with today's class figure.



          STRAIGHT WAGERS:
          Go with #3 ADMIRAL LYNCH on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

          EXACTA WAGERS:
          Skip

          TRIFECTA WAGERS:
          Skip

          SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
          None

          SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
          Skip
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358364

            #20
            Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

            Bar

            Laurel - Race #2 - Post: 1:00pm - SO - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $28,000 Class Rating: 86

            Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

            #4 GLENGAR (ML=2/1)
            #3 BIGASAUROUS (ML=6/1)


            GLENGAR - This jock and handler have a high winning percent together. Pimentel comes to saddle up after getting to know the gelding in the last event. Ran a fast time for the last quarter on December 16th at Laurel. Anything close in this event should get the job done. BIGASAUROUS - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a strong race last time out within the last month or so. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figs (62-78-80) make this one a solid contender.

            Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ONE MORE TOM (ML=5/2), #5 CRUSH IT (ML=9/2), #7 PASSPORT (ML=8/1),

            ONE MORE TOM - I forecast disappointment for this horse in this contest. CRUSH IT - Earned a quite unimpressive rating in the last race in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on Nov 24th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that number. PASSPORT - This horse showed little last time finishing sixth. Can't expect any change in today's event. You always believe this animal has a shot to cross the finish line in first, but he fails frequently.



            STRAIGHT WAGERS:
            Have to go with #4 GLENGAR on the win end if we get at least 9/5 odds

            EXACTA WAGERS:
            Box [3,4]

            TRIFECTA WAGERS:
            Skip

            SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
            Skip

            SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
            None
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358364

              #21
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Portland Meadows
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.

              Race 4 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $5600 Class Rating: 84

              FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 30, 2018 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.


              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              The Walker Group Picks

              # 2 PREVAIL 3/1

              # 3 BUCKBEAK 6/1

              # 1 BURTON ERNIE 2/1

              I like PREVAIL here. Has very good Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race. Sound average speed figures in dirt route races make this equine a contender. Trainers don't bring mounts back this soon just for fun. BUCKBEAK - Has competitive Equibase Speed Figs and has to be considered for a wager in this competition. Should be given consideration in this competition if only for the formidable Equibase speed fig recorded in the last race. BURTON ERNIE - Lopez will probably be able to get this gelding to break out quickly in this event. Posted a quite good Equibase Speed Figure last time out.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358364

                #22
                Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

                12/30/18, SA, Race 8, 3.33 PT
                1M [Turf] 1.31.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $59,000.
                Claiming Price $62,500. FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR CLAIMING PRICE $62,500 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
                $1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.50 Rolling Pick Three (Races 8-9-10) / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) - $1 Rolling Super High 5 / $2 Horseracing Roulette (RED 2,3,4: - 4/5. BLK 7,10,9,8: 7/5. GRN 1,5,6: 10/1.)
                Top Horse - Races 58, Win Percent 22.41, $1 ROI 0.65, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
                Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
                100.0000 10 Lemoona 6-1 Atzeni A Baltas Richard J
                098.0435 4 English Dancer 4-1 Prat F Baltas Richard
                097.8988 2 Cordiality 5/2 Baze T Glatt Mark SE
                096.9301 1 Cheekaboo 10-1 Rosario J Eurton Peter W
                096.5733 3 Pulpit Rider 6-1 Van Dyke D Puype Mike C
                096.3475 8 Ippodamia's Girl 8-1 Bejarano R Morey William E. FL
                095.9616 7 Tammy's Window 8-1 Figueroa H Morey William E.
                095.6219 9 One Fast Broad 10-1 Fuentes R Ruis Mick
                094.5409 6 Lightning Dove 15-1 Franco G Palma Hector O.
                093.1435 5 Jazaalah 15-1 Desormeaux K J Cassidy James M.
                If Race Is Off Turf
                Top Horse - Races 71, Win Percent 29.58, $1 ROI 0.91, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
                Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
                100.0000 10 Lemoona 6-1 Atzeni A Baltas Richard J
                097.5466 2 Cordiality 5/2 Baze T Glatt Mark SFE
                097.3547 4 English Dancer 4-1 Prat F Baltas Richard
                097.0279 3 Pulpit Rider 6-1 Van Dyke D Puype Mike C
                095.6956 9 One Fast Broad 10-1 Fuentes R Ruis Mick W
                095.5575 7 Tammy's Window 8-1 Figueroa H Morey William E.
                095.5320 1 Cheekaboo 10-1 Rosario J Eurton Peter
                095.3736 8 Ippodamia's Girl 8-1 Bejarano R Morey William E. L
                094.3683 6 Lightning Dove 15-1 Franco G Palma Hector O.
                093.2560 5 Jazaalah 15-1 Desormeaux K J Cassidy James M.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358364

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Sunland Park
                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.

                  Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $32100 Class Rating: 84

                  FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500.


                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  The Walker Group Picks

                  # 4 MR. DIGGER 7/2

                  # 3 MISTER KOWEN 9/2

                  # 8 KRIS WHO 5/2

                  MR. DIGGER appears to be the bet in here. Has to be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed section alone. The average Equibase class rating of 77 makes this horse tough to beat. Has posted sound Equibase Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. MISTER KOWEN - Must be used in the exotic offerings. Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong speed figures (74 average) at today's distance and surface lately. KRIS WHO - Chirinos and Fincher are a strong pair for gains. Has very good front-end speed and will almost certainly fare admirably against this group.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358364

                    #24
                    Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

                    12/30/18, TAM, Race 2, 12.54 ET
                    5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.04 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $13,200.
                    Claiming Price $16,000. FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD
                    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 2-3-4) / Super High 5
                    Top Horse - Races 35, Win Percent 14.29, $1 ROI 0.35, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
                    Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                    Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
                    100.0000 8 Warrior's Delight 6-1 Morales P Rodriguez Darien JTL
                    098.7415 2 Savage Music 2-1 Camacho S Bennett Gerald S. E
                    098.3473 3 School Song(b+) 6-1 Centeno D Decker Kenneth W
                    097.3769 4 Not Necessarily 3-1 Allen. Jr. R D Bennett Gerald S.
                    097.3673 7 My Little Rockstar 7/2 Garcia J A Westlye Kenneth SFC
                    094.3377 1 J P's Wright 10-1 Mata F Wallace David
                    093.0628 5 Fireman Fred 30-1 Ulloa A P Paramo Martin
                    091.7105 6 Chess Master 15-1 Coa K J Galvan Baltazar
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                    Comment

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