Service Plays Sunday 1/20/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369682

    #91
    Cal sports

    NFL 5* KC CHIEFS

    3* BC in college hoops
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369682

      #92
      Bondi

      4* KC
      3* New Orleans
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369682

        #93
        Al DeMarco

        Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner # 68 of 112

        New Orleans
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369682

          #94
          Steve Budin

          CALI-CARTEL

          50 DIME
          Playoff Total of the Year

          New England-Kansas City Under
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369682

            #95
            Gus Augustine


            50 DIME
            Winner # 4 of 6

            AFC Championship Total

            K.C/NE Over
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369682

              #96
              Rob veno

              5* over saints
              4* chiefs
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369682

                #97
                Originally posted by Can'tPickAWinner
                Been following Mitch & Paul from Vsin. Something to consider, the numbers don't lie. The books are catching on so the numbers are getting higher.

                FYI with 7 minutes left in the first period Blackhawks 2-0 WINNER! I don't need to watch the rest of that game. 46-5 run Tampa and Chicago
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369682

                  #98
                  UnderDog


                  Pats
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369682

                    #99
                    Cajun Sports Wire

                    6* L.A. RAMS +3
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369682

                      #100
                      Sports Unlimited/Marco D'Angelo
                      10 New Orleans
                      4 Kansas City
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369682

                        #101
                        11th: NFL 8u: 311 LAR+.5 1st Q. LAR+2.5 1st H. LAR+3gm. ML: LAR+145 1st H. LAR+150gm. LAR U 28 1st H. LAR U 56.5gm.
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                        • swaminator
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2017
                          • 858

                          #102
                          Larry Ness' NFL 10* signature 35-Club Play
                          Saints

                          Larry Ness' 10* Champ Sunday NFL O/U Play
                          KC UNDER

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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369682

                            #103
                            Scott Delaney

                            Top-Rated
                            100 DIME
                            NFL Winner # 12 of 18

                            AFC Playoff Game of the Year

                            K.C
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369682

                              #104
                              Ray Chadwick

                              Top-Rated
                              100 DIME
                              Quadruple Wager
                              Winner # 5 in a Row

                              NFC Championship Living Lock

                              Rams
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369682

                                #105
                                DWAYNE BRYANT

                                SUNDAY, January 20, 2019
                                NFL -- NFC Championship -- 3:05 PM ET
                                [311] Los Angeles Rams at [312] New Orleans Saints
                                PLAY: [312] NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -3 (-113)
                                BET SIZE: 3%
                                First road playoff game for Rams head coach Sean McVay and much more importantly, QB Jared Goff. Hard to imagine a much worse place for that to take place than the Superdome. It will be ridiculously loud when the Rams have the ball. I definitely expect Goff to have trouble hearing the play calls. Goff produced quite the home/road dichotomy this season:


                                Goff at Home this season: 22 TD, 3 INT, 116.7 QB Rating
                                Goff on the Road this season: 10 TD, 9 INT, 82.7 QB Rating


                                Those road numbers tell me Goff and the Rams will be in trouble in this one. I'm sure the Rams will once again try to lean on RBs Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson, but the Saints defense will be ready. I expect them to stack the box and force Goff to beat them. I don't think he can in this setting.


                                Saints QB Drew Brees also has quite a home/road dichotomy this season:


                                Brees at Home this season: 21 TD, 1 INT, 133.3 QB Rating
                                Brees on the Road this season: 11 TD, 4 INT, 99.3 QB Rating


                                The Saints are 6-0 SU at home in the playoffs under head coach Sean Payton, but just 2-4 ATS. The Saints were favored by more than a FG in all six of those games. I expect the big-game experience edge of Brees over Goff coupled with each QB's home/road results to lead to a win & cover for NEW ORLEANS.


                                ==============================


                                College Basketball -- 4 PM ET
                                [825] Missouri State at [826] Drake
                                PLAY: [825] MISSOURI STATE +3.5 (-115)
                                BET SIZE: 3%
                                Market Analysis Play.


                                ==============================


                                NFL -- AFC Championship -- 6:40 PM ET
                                [313] New England Patriots at [314] Kansas City Chiefs
                                PLAY: [314] KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -3 (-110)
                                BET SIZE: 3%
                                I told myself I couldn't go against Brady & Belichick in a big game like this. But, upon further review, the Chiefs look like the right side to me. Many will look to take the points with Brady & Belichick, and I do not at all mind being on the opposite side.


                                You probably know I believe it's defense that wins championships. So let's look at the home/road splits of these two teams:


                                Patriots at Home this season: 9-0 SU, 7-2 ATS... Average Score = PATRIOTS 33.8, Opponents 17.9
                                Patriots Away this season: 3-5 SU/ATS... Average Score = PATRIOTS 21.6, Opponents 24


                                Chiefs at Home this season: 8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS... Average Score = CHIEFS 32.2, Opponents 17.4
                                Chiefs Away this season: 5-3 SU, 4-2-2 ATS... Average Score = CHIEFS 38.2, Opponents 34.6


                                A couple things really stand out there. First, the Patriots score 12.2 points per game less on the road than at home. Secondly, the Chiefs allow an incredible 17.2 points per game less at home.


                                You need a very good pass rush to beat Brady. So it's a good thing KC tied for the NFL lead with 52 sacks.


                                I expect KANSAS CITY to get its revenge from a 43-40 road loss to these Patriots in Week 6.


                                ==============================


                                College Basketball -- 7 PM ET
                                [835] South Dakota at [836] Nebraska Omaha
                                PLAY: [835] SOUTH DAKOTA +5 (-110)
                                BET SIZE: 3%


                                Market Analysis Play.




                                DWAYNE BRYANT

                                SUNDAY, January 20, 2019


                                NFL -- NFC Championship -- 3:05 PM ET
                                [311] Los Angeles Rams at [312] New Orleans Saints


                                PLAY: [312] NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -3 (-113)
                                BET SIZE: 3%


                                First road playoff game for Rams head coach Sean McVay and much more importantly, QB Jared Goff. Hard to imagine a much worse place for that to take place than the Superdome. It will be ridiculously loud when the Rams have the ball. I definitely expect Goff to have trouble hearing the play calls. Goff produced quite the home/road dichotomy this season:
                                Goff at Home this season: 22 TD, 3 INT, 116.7 QB Rating
                                Goff on the Road this season: 10 TD, 9 INT, 82.7 QB Rating

                                Those road numbers tell me Goff and the Rams will be in trouble in this one. I'm sure the Rams will once again try to lean on RBs Todd Gurley and C.J. Anderson, but the Saints defense will be ready. I expect them to stack the box and force Goff to beat them. I don't think he can in this setting.
                                Saints QB Drew Brees also has quite a home/road dichotomy this season:
                                Brees at Home this season: 21 TD, 1 INT, 133.3 QB Rating
                                Brees on the Road this season: 11 TD, 4 INT, 99.3 QB Rating

                                The Saints are 6-0 SU at home in the playoffs under head coach Sean Payton, but just 2-4 ATS. The Saints were favored by more than a FG in all six of those games. I expect the big-game experience edge of Brees over Goff coupled with each QB's home/road results to lead to a win & cover for NEW ORLEANS.
                                ==============================
                                College Basketball -- 4 PM ET
                                [825] Missouri State at [826] Drake


                                PLAY: [825] MISSOURI STATE +3.5 (-115)
                                BET SIZE: 3%


                                Market Analysis Play.
                                ==============================
                                NFL -- AFC Championship -- 6:40 PM ET
                                [313] New England Patriots at [314] Kansas City Chiefs


                                PLAY: [314] KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -3 (-110)
                                BET SIZE: 3%


                                I told myself I couldn't go against Brady & Belichick in a big game like this. But, upon further review, the Chiefs look like the right side to me. Many will look to take the points with Brady & Belichick, and I do not at all mind being on the opposite side.
                                You probably know I believe it's defense that wins championships. So let's look at the home/road splits of these two teams:
                                Patriots at Home this season: 9-0 SU, 7-2 ATS... Average Score = PATRIOTS 33.8, Opponents 17.9
                                Patriots Away this season: 3-5 SU/ATS... Average Score = PATRIOTS 21.6, Opponents 24

                                Chiefs at Home this season: 8-1 SU, 5-4 ATS... Average Score = CHIEFS 32.2, Opponents 17.4
                                Chiefs Away this season: 5-3 SU, 4-2-2 ATS... Average Score = CHIEFS 38.2, Opponents 34.6

                                A couple things really stand out there. First, the Patriots score 12.2 points per game less on the road than at home. Secondly, the Chiefs allow an incredible 17.2 points per game less at home.
                                You need a very good pass rush to beat Brady. So it's a good thing KC tied for the NFL lead with 52 sacks.
                                I expect KANSAS CITY to get its revenge from a 43-40 road loss to these Patriots in Week 6.
                                ==============================
                                College Basketball -- 7 PM ET
                                [835] South Dakota at [836] Nebraska Omaha


                                PLAY: [835] SOUTH DAKOTA +5 (-110)
                                BET SIZE: 3%



                                Market Analysis Play.
                                Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter

                                Or Cpaw Iws for Facebook &
                                Twitter@cpawsports


                                Comment

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