Tuesday 1-22-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358456

    #46
    Bet against this period in Predators vs Golden Knights game, and this week's NHL predictions and picks
    Monty Andrews

    Viktor Arvidsson and the Nashville Predators will be taking on the Las Vegas Golden Knights in NHL action on Wednesday night.

    Two of the top defensive teams in the league face off on Wednesday as the Las Vegas Golden Knights take on the Nashville Predators, headlining an action-packed week of puck action heading into the All-Star Break. Here are the top games, betting trends and tips to monitor as the first half of the season winds down.

    Fillin' Them Nets

    The New Year has been rather kind to the Calgary Flames and Carolina Hurricanes – and not so much to their opponents. The two highest-scoring teams of the new calendar face off Tuesday night at Scotiabank Saddledome, with the Flames entering the week having scored 46 goals in 10 January games and the Hurricanes right behind them with 39 tallies. It's no surprise, then that Calgary is 10-1 O/U in its last 11 games overall while Carolina is 5-1 to the Over in its past six road games. But bettors beware: The Under has cashed in seven of their past 10 meetings.

    First is Sometimes the Worst

    Bettors looking at period-by-period totals betting for Wednesday's encounter between the Nashville Predators and the Vegas Golden Knights will enjoy this. The teams have met four times in their history, and have produced just two total first-period goals. It's easily the lowest-scoring period in their head-to-head encounters, with the teams having combined for six second-period markers and seven third-period tallies. And that trend might very continue Wednesday; while Vegas ranks 10th in first-period goals (45), Nashville is 24th (39). Vegas has also allowed the seventh-fewest goals in the first (39).

    Goalie Profile: Robin Lehner, New York Islanders

    Surprise! The Islanders sit atop the Metropolitan Division standings thanks in large part to a five-game winning streak fueled by some sensational goaltending. Lehner has been one of the hottest goalies in the NHL over the previous month, having posted an 11-1-0 while racking up three shutouts and not allowing more than three goals at any point over that stretch. And as you might expect, the Islanders have been a premier Under play in Lehner's appearances, having gone an incredible 3-13 O/U in his previous 16 appearances dating back to Nov. 21.

    Injury Update: G Tuukka Rask, Boston Bruins

    The Bruins go into the final week before the break on a somber note after losing Rask to a concussion over the weekend. The veteran netminder was run into by Filip Chytil of the New York Rangers just before Chytil scored to tie Saturday's game 1-1. Fortunately for the Bruins, they don't play again until Tuesday, Jan. 29, when they tangle with the Winnipeg Jets – but there's no guarantee Rask will have recovered in time. Rask is 14-8-3 with a 2.43 goals-against average and a .919 save percentage for the Bruins, who enter the break at +2,000 to win the Stanley Cup – the 10th-best odds in the NHL.

    Hat Trick Trends:

    Last week was a terrific time to lean on road 'dogs, as they converted at an unbelievable 47.2-percent clip (17-17-2) in what was easily the most unexpected league trend of the previous seven days. Underdogs on the whole were an impressive 26-20-3 for the week, improving to 42.6 percent for the season.

    Ian Walsh might look nothing like Homer Simpson, but in betting circles, there has been no more beneficial homer than he. The home team has gone 26-18 ATS in the 44 games Walsh has officiated so far this season, earning a league-best 19.63 units over that span. T.J. Luxmore is close behind, with home teams going 29-18 ATS for 18.39 units.

    Former Adams Division rivals Montreal and Buffalo are engaged in a new battle this season – specifically, which team is the league's best ATS play. The Canadiens enter the truncated week with an NHL-best 32 covers in 50 games, but the Sabres are right on their heels with 31 covers through their first 50 contests.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358456

      #47
      Bobby Conn

      Jan 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 4h
      NCAA-B | Miami-OH vs Ball State
      Play on: Miami-OH +9 -109 at GTBets

      1* Free Play on Miami-OH +9 -109
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358456

        #48
        Jimmy Boyd

        Jan 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 4h
        NCAA-B | Mississippi State vs Kentucky
        Play on: Mississippi State +6½ -105 at Bovada

        1* Free Pick on Mississippi State +
        One of the biggest challenges facing Kentucky is they got a target on their back, which means they get the best every team has to offer. I think it takes a toll on these players and this just feels like one of those spots where they struggle to play their best. The Wildcats are coming off a 82-80 win at Auburn and have a huge home game looming against Big 12 powerhouse Kansas on Saturday.
        I also think people are sleeping on this Mississippi State team. The Bulldogs are 14-3 with all 3 loss coming by 5-points or less. The just went on the road and steamrolled Vanderbilt 71-55 as a mere 3-point favorite. Mississippi State is also a tough matchup.
        They got the guys to keep Kentucky from dominating on the glass and the Bulldogs are the much better 3-point shooting team. Mississippi State is one of the best 3-point shooting teams in the SEC and the Wildcats are one of the worst.
        Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games, 6-2 ATS last 8 vs a team with a winning record and 5-1 ATS last 6 on the road against a team with a winning home record. Take Mississippi State!
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358456

          #49
          Hunter Price

          Jan 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 4h
          NCAA-B | Minnesota vs Michigan
          Play on: Michigan -12½ -113 at pinnacle

          1* Free Pick on Michigan -12½ -113
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358456

            #50
            Matt Josephs

            Jan 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 4h
            NCAA-B | Toledo vs Kent State
            Play on: Kent State +2½ -109 at GTBets

            I really like KSU this season and they've won six of their last eight. The Golden Flashes are led by Jaylin Walker who can score from all over the court. Jalen Avery and Antonio Williams are good complementary pieces. This team is 4-2-1 against the spread this season as an underdog. They are starting to play a little defense and will need it against Toledo. The Rockets have won three straight after a two game losing streak. Toledo is not as strong on the road losing at Buffalo and Wright State. They do have wins at Western Michigan, Marshall and Oakland with the last two by one point. I'm playing a hunch here in a higher scoring game that the home team can get the win in this one.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358456

              #51
              John Ryan

              Jan 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 4h
              NCAA-B | Notre Dame vs Georgia Tech
              Play on: OVER 131½ -105

              John Ryan Sports
              @JohnRyanSports1
              Tuesday, January 22, 2019
              1. Wager Opportunity5-Star Wager (5,7 and 10-Star scale) OVER the posted total (Currently 134 points) in the Georgia Tech Notre Dame matchup set to start at 8:05 PM EST.
              2. Machine Learning Projections and Outcomes The summary projections call for the Irish and Yellow Jackets to have the more efficient assist-to-turnover (ATR) ratios then there current season averages and shoot better than 45% form the field overall.
              Using the infamous Fibonacci series of numbers and ratios, when ND has had an ATS that is 38.2% better than their season ATR average, they have earned a 52-10 SU record, 32-17-1 ATS mark and 34-14 OVER mark for 71% and covering the total by an average of 11.4 points.
              3. Data Base Situational QueriesOur vast NCAAM, NFL, NCAAB, NBA, NHL, and MLB databases empower us to provide our clients with an endless query pipeline using all the predictive technologies we have in our toolshed and the ones now in development. This query resulting in a 92-48 OVER record for 65.7% winning wagers spanning the last 5 seasons. Play OVER the posted total with road teams that are solid offensive teams scoring between 74 and 78 PPG and are now facing an average offensive team scoring between (67 to 74 PPG after 15 or more games and after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games.
              The 15-game marker is generally connected to the beginning the of the conference schedules.
              Play the OVER for a 5-Star play. Today’s plays will be posted no later than 4:30 PM EST today, spo please check back then. Thanks.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358456

                #52
                Totals Guru

                Jan 22 '19, 7:00 PM in 4h
                NCAA-B | Minnesota vs Michigan
                Play on: OVER 136 -110

                Free Total Annihilator On Minnesota vs Michigan over 136 -110
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358456

                  #53
                  Doc's Sports

                  Jan 22 '19, 7:05 PM in 4h
                  NBA | Kings vs Raptors
                  Play on: Raptors -10½ -110 at Mirage

                  Toronto is in good form right now and the Kings have been really bad in the second half of back-to-backs, and this one looks like a blowout on Tuesday. Sacramento has dropped seven straight against the spread on the second half of a back-to-back. The main problem is this team can’t score when fatigued. They average less than 105 PPG on the second end of a back-to-back, and that is down almost 10 points from their season scoring average. Toronto has won seven of their last eight games overall and they are playing well now. Their offense has been very good. If the Kings have trouble scoring again this one could get ugly early for them. Also, the Raps have covered in all of the last three meetings.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358456

                    #54
                    ASA

                    Jan 22 '19, 7:05 PM in 4h
                    NHL | Sharks vs Capitals
                    Play on: Sharks +123 at pinnacle

                    ASA PLAY ON Free Pick: San Jose at Washington, Tuesday @ 7:05 PM ET

                    Both teams enter this match-up on losing streaks but, in our mind, there is only one way to play this. First off the line value is with the Sharks as they are the money line underdog in this match-up. Secondly, while the Sharks have lost 3 straight games, the Capitals have lost 5 straight games and 8 of their last 11 games! As for San Jose, prior to their 3-game losing streak they won 16 of their previous 21 games! It is plain to see who the hotter team has been in recent weeks and, for the Sharks, this is also their final chance at a W before the All Star break while Washington does have a game tomorrow at Toronto. Of course the Caps still are motivated to win this game but, undoubtedly, San Jose is even hungrier. Also, there is no disputing that the Sharks have been the better team in recent weeks. San Jose also has revenge from being swept by the Capitals last season. Prior to that, San Jose was on a 26-5 run in this series and that long-term series dominance is expected to resume in this one. Free Pick: San Jose Sharks in early evening action Tuesday.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358456

                      #55
                      Scott Rickenbach

                      Jan 22 '19, 7:35 PM in 4h
                      NHL | Coyotes vs Senators
                      Play on: Senators -110 at GTBets

                      Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #22 Tuesday Free Pick Ottawa Senators Money Line (-) vs Arizona Coyotes @ 7:35 ET - I know the Coyotes have been playing better and also have a surprisingly solid road record this season. However, Arizona has one more game tomorrow (at Montreal) before their time off for the All Star break begins. Conversely, this is the Senators final game before their break and they're definitely going to "leave it all on the ice" here. Ottawa has been quite solid at home this season but is coming off a road loss at St Louis Saturday which was decided on a controversial goal. The Senators are well-rested here with 2 full days off since the loss to the Blues. Also, prior to that defeat Ottawa had won 4 of their 5 prior games. Also, the Sens have allowed an average of just 2 goals per game in their last 6 games. The Coyotes have lost 8 of their last 11 visits to Ottawa. The Senators take advantage of their extra rest while Arizona is in a tough stretch of 5 games in 8 days leading into the All Star break. Free Pick OTTAWA
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358456

                        #56
                        Kenny Walker

                        Jan 22 '19, 8:00 PM in 5h
                        NCAA-B | Buffalo vs Northern Illinois
                        Play on: Northern Illinois +8½ -109 at GTBets

                        Free Pick on Northern Illinois
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358456

                          #57
                          Steve Janus

                          Jan 22 '19, 8:00 PM in 5h
                          NCAA-B | Wichita State vs South Florida
                          Play on: Wichita State +2½ -110 at sportsbook

                          1* Free Sharp Play on Wichita State +2½ -110
                          My money is on the Shockers to cash in an easy win and cover here as a small dog against the Bulls. Wichita State is way undervalued right now, as they have lost 5 of their last 6 and are off a double-digit loss at home to Cincinnati. Thing is, Bulls haven't been playing much better, as they have lost 3 straight. USF is a mere 9-21 ATS last 30 as a home favorite of 3 points or less and 9-23 ATS last 32 at home off a home conference loss. Bet Wichita State +2.5!
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358456

                            #58
                            Mike Williams

                            Jan 22 '19, 8:05 PM in 5h
                            NBA | Blazers vs Thunder
                            Play on: Blazers +6 -107 at pinnacle

                            1* on Blazers +6 -107
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358456

                              #59
                              Info Plays

                              Jan 22 '19, 8:05 PM in 5h
                              NBA | Blazers vs Thunder
                              Play on: Blazers +6 -105 at pinnacle

                              1* Free Play on Blazers +6 -105
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358456

                                #60
                                Brandon Lee

                                Jan 22 '19, 8:05 PM in 5h
                                NBA | Blazers vs Thunder
                                Play on: Thunder -5½ -106 at pinnacle

                                10* FREE NBA PICK (Thunder -5.5)
                                I'll take my chances here with OKC at home against the Blazers. Portland has been playing great basketball of late. Blazers secured their third straight win with a 109-104 victory at the Jazz last night and are now 9-3 in their last 12 overall. I just don't like this spot for Portland. It's never easy when you play a back-to-back that involves a game at Utah and that was a very highly contested game. I also think it's that much harder here with OKC not exactly playing great here of late. Thunder have won their last two, including a blowout win at New York yesterday, but had lost 5 of 6 prior to that. I think given how bad OKC had been playing they will be eager to keep their foot on the gas, where Portland has had a lot of success and really do for a flat spot. Keep in mind the Blazers recently lost by 8 at Sacramento in the second leg of a back-to-back. Give me the Thunder -5.5!
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