Thursday 1-24-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Washington St. Cougars vs. Oregon St. Beavers Preview and Predictions 2019-01-24

NCAAB Predictions 23rd January 2019 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 01/23/2019

Oregon State's 3-0 Pac-12 start was dampened by a 0-2 road trip to Arizona last week. The Beavers will now try to get back on track with a pair of home games, beginning with Thursday night's date with Washington State.


In its two losses in the desert, Oregon State was outrebounded by a combined 82-63, including 33-17 on the offensive glass. It was particularly damaging Saturday night as the host Wildcats finished with a 21-9 offensive rebounding edge, leading to 28 second-chance points in an 82-71 victory. "They were driving us, and we had to help, so you're not by your guy to box out," Beavers coach Wayne Tinkle said in his post-game news conference. "So (there) was penetration, No. 1, and we didn't play nearly physical enough." Washington State, meanwhile, has been facing a number of the same issues and then some while dropping seven of its last eight, including a 1-4 Pac-12 start.

TV: 11 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network


ABOUT WASHINGTON STATE (8-10, 1-4 Pac-12): Senior forward Robert Franks, the conference's leading scorer at 21.5 points per game, returned last week after missing the previous four contests with a hip contusion and had 24 points and eight rebounds in 31 minutes in an 82-59 win over California on Thursday. Franks, though, had only 12 points and six points on 4-of-14 shooting in Saturday's 78-66 home loss to Stanford. Freshman forward C.J. Elleby (15.8 points) is the only other player averaging double figures for the Cougars, who rank second in the Pac-12 with 78.6 points per game but are giving up nearly as many on the other end with 77.3 allowed per outing.

ABOUT OREGON STATE (11-6, 3-2): Ranking right behind Franks on the conference scoring list is Beavers junior forward Tres Tinkle who's averaging 20.4 points and a team-leading 8.4 rebounds. Brothers Stephen Thompson Jr. (14.8 points) and Ethan Thompson (13.4) also average double digits and that trio has combined to account for 182 of the team's 268 assists. The Beavers rank second in the conference in overall field-goal percentage (46.6) but are shooting a Pac-12-worst 32.2 percent from 3-point range after a 4-of-17 showing in the loss to Arizona.


TIP-INS

1. Oregon State has won eight of the last nine meetings, including four consecutive home wins.

2. Washington State has lost all eight of its road/neutral-site contests this season, and its three Pac-12 road losses (all without Franks) were decided by an average of 22.7 points.

3. The Beavers are averaging 5.8 blocked shots per game, which ranks second in the Pac-12 and seventh nationally.


PREDICTION: Oregon State 82, Washington State 70

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Colorado Buffaloes vs. California Golden Bears Preview and Predictions 2019-01-24

NCAAB Predictions 23rd January 2019 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 01/23/2019

Colorado guard McKinley Wright, the team's scoring and assists leader, says he's ready to return to the Buffaloes' lineup. The sophomore point guard missed his first collegiate game Sunday with a shoulder injury, but plans to take the floor Thursday night when Colorado visits California.


Wright is averaging 12.9 points, 5.4 assists and 4.9 rebounds and sat out the Buffaloes' 78-69 loss Sunday at Utah - their fourth setback in their last five games. "I'm feeling good," Wright told the Boulder Daily Camera on Tuesday. "At Utah I didn't want to rush coming back, so I decided to take a couple more days to help my body get back healthy. ... I just try to take care of this injury. It's not a small injury. It's something I have to pay attention to. I'm feeling good and ready to go for Cal (on) Thursday." Wright and the Buffs will encounter a California team mired in a tailspin. At 5-13 overall and 0-6 in the Pac-12, the Golden Bears are the only winless team in the conference, and their last victory came prior to Christmas when they outlasted visiting San Jose State (88-80) on Dec. 21.

TV: 11 p.m. ET, Pac-12 Network


ABOUT COLORADO (10-7, 1-4 Pac-12): The Buffaloes scored only 19 first-half points to trail by 22 at the break against Utah and couldn't recover to avoid their seventh straight loss in Salt Lake City. Guard Shane Gatling got the start for Wright and scored a season-high 21 points to pace Colorado but hit only 6-of-18 shots. Aside from Wright, forward Lucas Siewert (11.5 points) and guard Tyler Bey (11.4) are the other Colorado players averaging in double figures for the Buffaloes, who rank among the Pac-12's bottom three in scoring (69.6) and field-goal percentage (42.0) in conference play after entering the league slate averaging 79.7 points.

ABOUT CALIFORNIA (5-13, 0-6): After getting swept on the road by the Washington schools last week, the Bears have lost 11 straight Pac-12 games - a skid which began with a 68-64 loss at Colorado last Feb. 7. Cal is averaging a conference-worst 70.8 points after averaging 55.5 in the two losses last week and also brings up the rear in the league with a 43.6 field-goal percentage. Sophomore forward Justice Sueing is averaging a team-best 14.1 points and 6.3 rebounds while guards Paris Austin (13.1 points), Darius McNeill (11.7) and Matt Bradley (10.3) also boast double-figure scoring averages.


TIP-INS

1. The series is deadlocked at 15 wins apiece, but each team has dominated at home with Cal holding a 12-1 advantage in Berkeley.

2. After playing four of their first six Pac-12 games on the road, the Bears have three straight and five of their next seven at home.

3. Colorado ranks third in the conference with a 5.3 average rebounding margin while Cal owns a Pac-12-worst minus-5.9 margin on the glass.


PREDICTION: Colorado 76, California 72

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct
RACE #5 - 2:54 PM
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $10,000.00 CLAIMING $20,000.00 PURSE

#2 T LOVES A FIGHT
#6 HAUDENOSAUNEE
#7 OLD UPSTART
#5 READYHEARTANDSOUL

#2 T LOVES A FIGHT takes a class drop (-7), is the overall speed leader sprinting at today's distance of 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has turned in a trio of "POWER RUNS" in his last four starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN," facing better company (+5) in his 2nd race back. Jockey Manuel Franco and Trainer Linda Rice send him to the post ... they've hit the board with 59% of their last 75 entries saddled as a team to date. The 8-1 shot, #6 HAUDENOSAUNEE has produced a trio of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, hitting the board in a pair.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #2 - Post: 7:29pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 PRIMO PENTIMENTO (ML=5/1)
#7 QUALITY TIME (ML=6/1)


PRIMO PENTIMENTO - Gelding hasn't won in his last three starts, but his last win came on Sep 6th at today's class and distance. Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a solid contest last time around the track within the last thirty days. QUALITY TIME - Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Bass enters him at a similar class today. I'd expect an improved performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SET'EM UP JOE (ML=7/5), #4 EDIFY (ML=5/2), #6 NORTH DUBAI (ML=8/1),

SET'EM UP JOE - I don't normally play a morning-line favorite that hasn't been to the track in the last three weeks. This horse finished out of the money on Dec 6th and wasn't even close last time around the track either. EDIFY - I'm forecasting a lackluster effort out of him today. NORTH DUBAI - The fifth place result in the last race was not the best.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 PRIMO PENTIMENTO to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delta Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14500 Class Rating: 76

FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 24, 2018. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 LIKE A HAINT 5/2

# 3 OUR GOLDEN GIRL 4/1

# 4 ELLE LES YU 6/1

I've got to go with LIKE A HAINT. She has been moving soundly recently while recording strong speed figures. Trainer has solid win rate (30 percent) at this distance and surface. Will make a good showing versus this group. OUR GOLDEN GIRL - Could provide positive returns based on solid recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 67. Well above average win clip at this distance/surface. ELLE LES YU - It's a good signal that Ramirez is using Saenz on this entrant. Conditioner boasts strong win figs at this distance and surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds
Fair Grounds - Race 3

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / Daily Double


Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 68 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 1:26P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * CIMARRON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top thre e in TrackMaster Power Rating. TWINS PLUS A DOT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LADY BLUE: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SPUN LINE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
2
CIMARRON
3/1

7/2
7
TWINS PLUS A DOT
6/1

6/1
5
LADY BLUE
6/1

8/1
1
SPUN LINE
9/2

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
SPUN LINE
1

9/2
Front-runner
0

0

74.9

37.0

23.5
5
LADY BLUE
5

6/1
Front-runner
0

0

72.0

51.2

42.7
8
GIVEN GRACE
8

8/1
Stalker
54

43

65.4

45.5

34.5
2
CIMARRON
2

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
66

59

56.8

56.8

51.3
7
TWINS PLUS A DOT
7

6/1
Trailer
59

46

61.6

43.6

34.6
3
MICHEL IT'S AUTUM
3

4/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

54.5

57.8

53.3
6
ANOTHER MIMOSA
6

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
0

0

54.0

55.0

48.5
4
COOLER SCHEDULE
4

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

52.1

40.8

29.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

01/24/19, GP, Race 10, 4.41 ET
6 1/2F [Dirt] 1.14.02 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $44,000.
Claiming Price $12,500 (Races where entered for $10,000 or less not considered in allowances). FOR STATE BRED FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $2 HRR - (RED 8,2: 4/5. BLK 5,3,6: 6/5. GRN 1,7,4: 10/1.)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 155, Win Percent 27.10, $1 ROI 0.85, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are exclusive to GP.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Condition
100.0000 6 Hello Juliet 5-1 Lopez P Crichton Rohan W 11.00 1.12 27.66 13 47 Horse Best Workouts
099.2936 5 Threat 6-1 Jaramillo E Navarro Jorge JL 34.80 1.29 44.26 27 61 Horse Best Jockey
098.4910 2 Tiz Possible Dear 10-1 Maragh T Maragh Aubrey A. FE
097.3946 8 Mybigitalianfriend 6/5 Maragh R R Servis Jason T
096.9943 3 Flora Fantasy 4-1 Gutierrez R Loza. Jr. Efren S
094.5144 7 Galileo's Affair 12-1 Vasquez M A Walder Peter R. C
093.9695 1 Forty's Sweetheart 30-1 Montalvo C Rakoff David
093.4617 4 Cotton Tooyah 12-1 Panici L O'Connell Kathleen

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #6 - Post: 3:00pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 92

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 BRIMSTONE (ML=5/1)
#6 STOMP DANCE (ML=12/1)
#1A SHOE LOVES SHOE (ML=8/5)
#4 DOUBLE THE CHEERS (ML=4/1)


BRIMSTONE - Looking at today's class rating, this thoroughbred is encountering an easier bunch than last race out at Laurel. Another way to evaluate class is earnings per start. This horse has the topmost in the group. I think he'll be close at the finish line. STOMP DANCE - This gelding should give a strong account of himself in today's race. SHOE LOVES SHOE - This gelding should be at the peak of fitness, this far into his form cycle. DOUBLE THE CHEERS - I took a look at this gelding's finishes. He's almost always in the top three. I am keen on that latest race on January 10th at Laurel where he finished second. Dropping 9 pounds from last race. Could be a deciding factor today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SOCIAL STRANGER (ML=8/5), #7 JROCK (ML=5/2),

SOCIAL STRANGER - This gelding finished out of the top three on November 17th and wasn't close to victory last out either. Improbable that the speed fig he earned on December 9th will hold up in this clash. JROCK - If you keep playing these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down often.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 STOMP DANCE to win. Have to have odds of at least 8/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National
Penn National - Race 1

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) / $0.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)


Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 80 • Purse: $31,600 • Post: 6:05P
FOR REGISTERED PA-BRED MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Trailer. DONTRIDETHECLUTCH is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DONTRIDETHECLUTCH: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 day s. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. KNOWN QUANTITY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/su rface.
4
DONTRIDETHECLUTCH
6/5

5/2
1
KNOWN QUANTITY
3/2

3/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1A
KAIJU
6

3/2
Front-runner
0

0

56.9

48.3

40.3
4
DONTRIDETHECLUTCH
3

6/5
Trailer
80

75

57.5

68.5

65.0
1
KNOWN QUANTITY
4

3/2
Trailer
80

72

37.0

68.1

64.6
3
NORTH STARR ROAD
2

10/1
Trailer
55

49

24.5

50.0

42.0
2
GIACOMO'S THIEF
1

10/1
Trailer
0

0

0.0

55.9

49.4








Unknown Running Style: EL PISTOLERO (4/1) [Jockey: Wolfsont Andrew - Trainer: Graci Kimberly A].

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8000 Class Rating: 89

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE DECEMBER 24 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 U S CITIZEN 8/1

# 9 MY OWN LANE 12/1

# 2 LAFLOWMYLAXBRO 4/1

U S CITIZEN looks to be a respectable contender and the potential return justifies the precarious nature of the long odds. Has competitive Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a wager for this race. The average class figure of 83 makes this entrant hard to beat. MY OWN LANE - Ought to compete well in the early speed contest which bodes well with this field. This animal could stun this group at a big price. LAFLOWMYLAXBRO - Looks respectable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figs in dirt route races recently. Has strong Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, January 24

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GOLDEN STATE (33 - 14) at WASHINGTON (20 - 26) - 1/24/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-80 ATS (-22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-43 ATS (+25.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 57-74 ATS (-24.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (22 - 26) at OKLAHOMA CITY (29 - 18) - 1/24/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 75-46 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-61 ATS (-22.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (29 - 20) at PHOENIX (11 - 38) - 1/24/2019, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (23 - 24) at LA LAKERS (25 - 23) - 1/24/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 140-99 ATS (+31.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 8-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 8-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, January 24

Warriors won their last eight games (6-2 vs spread), are 5-2 vs spread in last seven road games. Eight of their last ten games went over. Wizards won four of their last five games; they covered their last five home games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Golden State won eight of last nine games with Washington, but Wizards covered four of last six; Warriors are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Three of last four series games went over.

Davis-less New Orleans lost four of its last six games; they covered their last four home games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Oklahoma City won/covered its last three games; they are 3-4 vs spread in last seven home games. Seven of their last eight games went over. Thunder won six of last nine games with the Pelicans; three of last four series games stayed under. New Orleans is 1-3 vs spread in its last four visits to Oklahoma.

Trailblazers won nine of their last 13 games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six road games. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Phoenix lost its last five games; they’re 2-6-1 vs spread in last nine home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Portland won its last eight games with the Suns; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the desert (under 4-1).

Minnesota is 4-3 since the coaching change; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 14-4 in their last 18 games. Lakers are 4-6 in their last ten games, 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. LA’s last three games went over. Home side won eight of last ten Timberwolves-Laker games; Minnesota covered six of last seven series games, with three of last four staying under the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, January 24

Trend Report

Golden State Warriors
Golden State is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Golden State
Washington is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
Washington is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State

New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
New Orleans is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games on the road
New Orleans is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
New Orleans is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Oklahoma City
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 8 games
Oklahoma City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games at home
Oklahoma City is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Portland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Portland is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Portland is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 11 games on the road
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Portland's last 15 games when playing Phoenix
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Portland is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Phoenix is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Phoenix's last 15 games when playing Portland
Phoenix is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Portland
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Portland

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 18 games
Minnesota is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Minnesota's last 15 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
Minnesota is 5-19 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games
LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 9 games
LA Lakers is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
LA Lakers is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home
LA Lakers is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of LA Lakers's last 22 games at home
LA Lakers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
LA Lakers is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 15 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
LA Lakers is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
Chris David

The point-spread is in place for a reason and last night it played a major factor in the Association as underdogs went 8-2 against the spread. Of those eight covers, only four of those pups managed to win outright on Wednesday as the favorites produced a 6-4 straight up record. The spread was single digits in nine of the 10 games with Boston (-15) being the lone exception and it ran past Cleveland 123-103 at home. Total players saw a stalemate (5-5) in the 10-game card and bettors had to put in a full 48-minute workout for a couple of those tickets.

Thursday’s card has four games on tap, including a nationally televised double-header on TNT.

Golden State (33-14 SU, 21-25-1 ATS) at Washington (20-26 SU, 20-26 ATS)

The Warriors will be looking to win their ninth straight game on Thursday against Washington when they pay a visit to the nation’s capital and the opener of Golden State -9 seems a little short to me.

During its current eight-game winning streak, Golden State has gone 5-2-1 ATS while averaging 130.6 points per game. Six of the wins came by 10-plus points and they’ve covered three times as double-digit favorites. If the Warriors role out a full squad and don’t rest anybody, I would expect this line to close at -10 or higher and while some bettors might be shy to lay the wood with the Warriors, they’ve been unreal as double-digit favorites (17-0 SU,13-4 ATS) this season. One of those wins for Golden State came at home on Oct. 24 versus Washington, a 144-122 decision as a 10-point favorite.

Another reason to back Golden State, the club has gone 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS against the Eastern Conference this season. Sticking with the possible double-digit favorite angle, the Warriors are 8-0 SU and 7-1 ATS while averaging 128.8 points per game versus teams from the East and the ‘over’ has gone 6-2 in those games.

Lastly, the team is 2-0 both SU and ATS since DeMarcus Cousins joined the Warriors lineup and one site noted that the Golden State “Death Lineup” of all five All-Stars has a point differential of +35 in just 18 minutes per game with Cousins.

All those facts give you plenty of reason to run to the window and bet the ‘chalk’ but we all know it’s never that easy. Especially since Washington (15-8 SU, 14-9 ATS) hasn’t been a pushover at home and the team has gone 7-4 since point guard John Wall (heel) went down with a season-ending injury. Also, the Wizards have won four of their last five at home, which includes quality wins over the 76ers and Bucks. Plus, the lone loss came to the Raptors and that was only a two-point setback (140-138). Golden State is certainly on a different level but with the postseason likely not in the cards for Washington, the fans should be amped for this game tonight.

Including the aforementioned win in October, the Warriors have won four straight and eight of their last nine games against the Wizards. They’ve gone 5-4 ATS during this span.

TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.

New Orleans (22-25 SU, 21-25-1 ATS) at Oklahoma City (29-18 SU, 26-21 ATS)

After suffering through a 1-4 skid a couple weeks ago, the Thunder have rallied to win and cover three straight games which includes a 123-114 win over Portland on Tuesday as four-point favorite. OKC has been solid at home this season (15-7 SU, 12-0 ATS) but it hasn’t won back-to-back games at Chesapeake Energy Arena since mid-December. The Thunder opened as an 11 ½-point favorite for this game and they’ve dropped their last two in this role at home, most recently to the LeBron-less L.A. Lakers (138-128) on Jan. 17. Overall, the team is 4-3 SU and 3-4 ATS as double-double digit favorites at home while the ‘over’ has gone 5-2 in those games.

The Pelicans will be playing on no rest tonight after losing 98-94 to Detroit on Wednesday as a five-point home favorite. New Orleans was playing without All-Star Anthony Davis for the second straight game and it won without him on Monday albeit it came against a struggling Memphis squad (105-85). Including last night’s loss, the Pelicans are now 2-5 without Davis in the line up this season.

New Orleans has gone 1-6 both SU and ATS in back-to-back spots this season and the defense has been grinded for 121.8 PPG, which has led to a 5-2 ‘over’ mark. The pair have played twice already this season and they’ve gone 1-1 versus one another with the home team winning each game. The total went 1-1 despite the pair combining for 232 and 238 points. Oddsmakers are expecting another shootout tonight with the opening total hovering between 237 and 238 points.

Portland (29-20 SU, 26-23 ATS) at Phoenix (11-38 SU, 22-27 ATS)

No overnight line was posted on this game due to the ‘questionable’ injury status of Portland point guard Damian Lillard (hand), plus the Suns won’t have center DeAndre Ayton (ankle) available. The Trail Blazers will be road favorites for this matchup and they’ve won eight straight games against the Suns but have only covered four of those wins. The pair met on Dec. 6 from the Moda Center and Portland captured a 108-86 win as a 12 ½-point home favorite.

As a road favorite this season, Portland has gone 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. The Blazers have brought their offense in those situations (119.2 PPG) and that’s helped produce a 4-1 ‘over’ mark.

Phoenix has been more successful at home (7-18 SU, 11-14 ATS) but that’s not saying much considering it only has 11 wins on the season. They’re coming off a 118-91 blowout loss to Minnesota in the desert on Tuesday as a four-point underdog and that dropped them to 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS in their last eight games from Talking Stick Resort Arena.

Minnesota (23-24 SU, 24-23 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (25-23 SU, 20-26-2 ATS)

The Timberwolves and Lakers will meet for the fourth and final time on Thursday and TNT will provide national coverage at 10:35 p.m. ET. Minnesota captured two of the first three encounters, both wins coming at home and while they lost 114-110 at the Staples Center on Nov. 7 they did manage to cover as a 5 ½-point underdog. LeBron James played in that game for the Lakers but he missed the most recent meeting on Jan. 6 from the Target Center when the T-Wolves ran the Purple and Gold by 20 points (106-86).

Since LeBron went down, the club has gone 5-9 in his absence and that includes a 2-5 mark at the Staples Center. On Monday, the club was blasted 130-111 by Golden State and that outcome came after they put up a solid effort in a 138-134 road loss to Houston last Saturday. James (groin) has been ruled ‘out’ for Thursday and his return to the team remains uncertain. Lonzo Ball (ankle) recently joined the injury list for Los Angeles and now the club has no true point guard, since Rajon Rondo (hand) hasn’t played since Christmas.

Minnesota has had a drama-filled season but the club has moved on from trading Jimmy Butler and firing head coach Tom Thibodeau. Since they shipped Butler to Philadelphia, the T-Wolves have gone 19-15 and they own a 4-3 record since ‘Tibs’ was replaced by Ryan Saunders. Coincidentally, Thibodeau was canned after the T-Wolves beat the Lakers at home on Jan. 6.

The Timberwolves remain 2 ½ games out of the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They enter this game off back-to-back wins, both coming against the cellar dweller Suns. This line opened short (-1 ½) and Minnesota has gone 4-3 both SU and ATS this season when listed as a road favorite. The ‘under’ has gone 5-2 in those games and outside of two poor outings to Sacramento (121, 141), the defense (97.8 PPG) has stepped up.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, January 24


Golden State @ Washington

Game 557-558
January 24, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.195
Washington
115.597
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 11 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 9 1/2
235
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-9 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Oklahoma City

Game 559-560
January 24, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
109.704
Oklahoma City
118.469
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 9
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 12
234
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+12); Under

Portland @ Phoenix

Game 561-562
January 24, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
118.093
Phoenix
102.536
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 15 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 7 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-7 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ LA Lakers

Game 563-564
January 24, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
122.497
LA Lakers
114,051
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 8 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-1 1/2); Under