Friday 1-25-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, January 25

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MICHIGAN (18 - 1) at INDIANA (12 - 7) - 1/25/2019, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 4-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (17 - 2) at KENT ST (15 - 4) - 1/25/2019, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 123-93 ATS (+20.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
KENT ST is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 4-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 3-3 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROWN (12 - 5) at YALE (11 - 3) - 1/25/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 92-62 ATS (+23.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 93-62 ATS (+24.8 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 3-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 4-1 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUTLER (12 - 8) at CREIGHTON (11 - 8) - 1/25/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUTLER is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 3-2 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 3-2 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RIDER (10 - 7) at IONA (6 - 11) - 1/25/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
RIDER is 59-30 ATS (+26.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
IONA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all games this season.
IONA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
IONA is 67-96 ATS (-38.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1997.
IONA is 59-86 ATS (-35.6 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
IONA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
IONA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
IONA is 3-2 against the spread versus RIDER over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 3-2 straight up against RIDER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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QUINNIPIAC (8 - 9) at MARIST (7 - 11) - 1/25/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
QUINNIPIAC is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
QUINNIPIAC is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
QUINNIPIAC is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 2-2 against the spread versus QUINNIPIAC over the last 3 seasons
QUINNIPIAC is 3-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, January 25

Michigan raced out to 32-13 lead, waxed Indiana 74-63 at home Jan 6th; Wolverines turned ball over only three times. Michigan won last five series games, winning last two visits here, by 3-12 points. Michigan struggled last two games, losing at Wisconsin, beating Gophers by hoop; their big 14 road wins are by 2-10 points. Indiana lost its last five games- four of those were on road. Hoosiers are shooting 26.8% on arc in Big 14 tilts. Michigan is 3-7 in last 10 games as a Big 14 road favorite, 1-2 this year; Hoosiers are 18-26 in last 44 games as a home favorite, 0-3 this year.

Buffalo lost its first MAC game at Northern Illinois Tuesday; they’re 5-1 in MAC, 2-1 on road, winning by 16-9 points- they’re 7-2 in true road games, are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time in MAC games. Kent won its last three games; they’re 4-2 in MAC, winning last three home games, scoring 84.3 ppg in those games. Buffalo won nine of last 12 games with Kent, winning four of last five visits here; they lost 82-79 (-7) in Kent LY. Bulls are 4-6-1 in last 11 games as a road favorite, 1-2 this year; Kent is 4-3 in its last seven games as a home underdog, 1-0 this year.

Yale survived 20 turnovers (-6) in 70-67 win at Brown six days ago; Bulldogs won seven of last eight series games. Brown lost its last eight visits to New Haven. Bears won five of their last six games; they’re 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 15 at Butler. Brown split its eight true road games this season. Yale won its last six games, is 10-3; all three of their losses are to top 100 teams, which Brown isn’t. Yale is #64 experience team in country. Brown is 18-12-2 in its last 32 games as an Ivy League road underdog; last four years, Yale is 11-14-1 as a home favorite.

Butler led 48-29 at half in their 84-69 home win over Creighton Jan 5th; home side is 8-3 in series games, with Bulldogs losing last three visits to Omaha, by 8-11-11 points. Bulldogs is 3-5 in its last eight games, losing three of last four road games, with lone win at DePaul. Bluejays lost four of last five games, losing last two home games while allowing 98 ppg- they won their last game at Georgetown. Bulldogs are 2-5 in last seven games as a road underdog (1-0 this year); Creighton is 13-11 in last 24 games as a home favorite, 0-1 this year.

Rider is 5-0 in MAAC after a 5-7 pre-conference mark; Broncs scored 89 ppg while winning all three of its MAAC road games. Rider is shooting 57.2% inside arc in MAAC. Iona is 4-2 in MAAC after a 2-9 pre-conference mark; they won all three of their conference home games. Rider-Iona split their last six meetings; Broncs lost six of their last seven visits to New Rochelle. Favorites covered four of last five series games. Rider is 6-2 in its last eight games as a MAAC road favorite, 2-0 this year; over last decade, Gaels are 0-2 as a MAAC home underdog.

Quinnipiac lost its last two games, is 3-3 in MAAC; this is their first road game in 20 games. Bobcats are turning ball over 23.8% of time in MAAC tilts. Marist lost six of its last eight games; they’re 1-2 in MAAC home games. Red Foxes lost their last seven games while allowing 65+ points. Home side is 8-2 in Quinnipiac-Marist MAAC games; Bobcats are 2-3 at Marist- underdogs are 3-1 vs spread in series games played here. Quinnipiac is 12-6-1 in last 19 games as a road underdog, 1-0 this year; Marist is 3-8 in its last 11 games as a home favorite, 1-2 this year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Friday, January 25

Trend Report

Buffalo @ Kent State
Buffalo
Buffalo is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
Buffalo is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kent State
Kent State
Kent State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

Michigan @ Indiana
Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Indiana is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Michigan

Brown @ Yale
Brown
Brown is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brown's last 7 games on the road
Yale
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brown
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Quinnipiac @ Marist
Quinnipiac
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Quinnipiac's last 5 games when playing on the road against Marist
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Quinnipiac's last 5 games on the road
Marist
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marist's last 5 games when playing at home against Quinnipiac
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Marist's last 6 games

Rider @ Iona
Rider
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Rider's last 13 games on the road
Iona
Iona is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Rider
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Iona's last 9 games

Butler @ Creighton
Butler
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Butler's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Butler's last 5 games when playing on the road against Creighton
Creighton
Creighton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Butler
Creighton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Butler

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, January 25


Michigan @ Indiana

Game 851-852
January 25, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan
70.529
Indiana
61.011
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 9 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 3 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-3 1/2); Under

Buffalo @ Kent State

Game 853-854
January 25, 2019 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
73.242
Kent State
59.891
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 13 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 8 1/2
162
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-8 1/2); Under

Quinnipiac @ Marist

Game 861-862
January 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Quinnipiac
46.185
Marist
44.557
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Quinnipiac
by 1 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marist
by 3
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Quinnipiac
(+3); Over

Rider @ Iona

Game 859-860
January 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rider
48.600
Iona
50..189
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iona
by 1 1/2
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rider
by 2 1/2
172
Dunkel Pick:
Iona
(+2 1/2); Under

Brown @ Yale

Game 855-856
January 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brown
47.004
Yale
52.181
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Yale
by 5
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Yale
by 7
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(+7); Over

Butler @ Creighton

Game 857-858
January 25, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Butler
67.243
Creighton
63.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Butler
by 3 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Creighton
by 2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Butler
(+2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Jan 25 '19, 6:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Buffalo vs Kent State
Play on: Kent State +9 -110 at sportsbook

1* Free Pick on Kent State +9 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Jan 25 '19, 6:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Buffalo vs Kent State
Play on: Kent State +9 -110 at sportsbook

1* Free Play on Kent State +9 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dustin Hawkins

Jan 25 '19, 6:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Buffalo vs Kent State
Play on: Kent State +8½ -110 at YouWager

Free Play on Kent State +8½ -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Jan 25 '19, 6:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Michigan vs Indiana
Play on: Indiana +4½ -110 at Bovada

1* Free Sharp Play on Indiana +4½ -110
My money is on the Hoosiers to cash in an easy cover here as a home dog against the Wolverines. Michigan played incredible basketball to start the season, but you had to think they would hit a rut at some point. That rut is right now. Wolverines perfect 17-0 start was put to rest with a 10-point loss at Wisconsin over the weekend and then Michigan barely beat Minnesota 59-57 at home as a 12.5-point favorite on Tuesday. I think this is a really tough spot playing on the road in what will be their 3rd game in the last 7 days. They are also going to get everything the Hoosiers have to offer, as Indiana comes in having lost 5 straight. Bet the Hoosiers +4.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Jan 25 '19, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Quinnipiac vs Marist
Play on: Quinnipiac +2½ -106 at pinnacle

1* Free NCAAB Pick on Quinnipiac +2.5
Great value here with the Bobcats as a small road dog against the Red Foxes. Quinnipiac is 3-3 in conference play, but could just as easily be undefeated, as all 3 defeats have come by 5-points or less. They just lost back-to-back home games each by a mere 2-points.
Marist is 2-4 in league play, but both wins have common against bottom feeder Manhattan. I just think there's a much bigger talent gap here than the line suggests. I think the Bobcats win here going away.
Wouldn't be the first time the books have undervalued Quinnipiac on the road. The Bobcats are 13-5 ATS in road games over the last 2 seasons. What really stands out is they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 on the road when playing a team with a losing record and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 on the road when playing only their 2nd game in a 8 day stretch. Take Quinnipiac!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Jan 25 '19, 7:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Brown vs Yale
Play on: Yale -7 -109 at GTBets

Free Pick on Yale

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Jan 25 '19, 7:35 PM in 3h
NBA | Knicks vs Nets
Play on: Knicks +10 -109 at GTBets

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: New York Knicks +10
It’s time to ‘buy low’ on the Knicks and ’sell high’ on the Nets tonight. The Knicks have gone just 2-20 SU in their last 22 games overall, so the betting public wants nothing to do with them. But they’ve stayed competitive and continue to show up every night.
Indeed, the Knicks have gone 6-3 ATS in their last nine games overall. Only three times have they lost by more than 10 points during this stretch. And they are a rested team as this will be just their 4th game in 12 days today. They’ll show up for their crosstown rivals in the Nets tonight.
The betting public is starting to fall in love with the Nets, who have gone 18-5 SU in their last 23 games overall. It’s starting to show up in their spreads as the Nets are now laying double-digits for the first time all season. I’ll gladly fade them in this price range tonight.
Plays against favorites of 10 or more points (Brooklyn) - after beating the spread by 54 or more points total in their last 10 games, with a winning record on the season are 70-37 (65.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. New York is 10-1 ATS off a home cover where they lost straight up as an underdog over the last three seasons. Bet the Knicks Friday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

Jan 25 '19, 8:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Raptors vs Rockets
Play on: Raptors -2 -110 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Raptors -2 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Jan 25 '19, 8:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Kings vs Grizzlies
Play on: Kings +2 -105 at pinnacle

10* FREE NBA PICK (Kings +2)
I'll take my chances here with Sacramento. Not only do I like this Kings team, but I just feel Memphis is a instant fade right now. The Grizzlies are a complete mess right now. They have lost 7 straight and 13 of their last 14 overall. Last time out they lost by 11 at home to a Hornets team that isn't very good on the road. They also lost by 20 at home the game before to the Pelicans, who were playing without their best player in Anthony Davis.
Head J.B. Bickerstaff has came out and said the trade rumors around Conley and Gasol are having a negative impact on this team. I'm not quite sure why people are expecting this team to turn it on against the Kings. Sacramento is improved, but are simply not a team you get excited about playing.
I think Kings will be motivated here. They need this one to have a shot at a potential split on their current 6-game road trip. Give me Sacramento +2!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Jan 25 '19, 8:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Raptors vs Rockets
Play on: Rockets +1 -115 at betonline

1* Free Play on the Houston Rockets (8:05 EST).
James Harden and the Rockets seem unstoppable right now and I think they’ll keep that streak going against one of the top teams in the East.
The Raptors come in off a 110-106 road loss in Indiana on Wednesday, while the Rockets left Madison Square Garden with a 114-110 win on Wednesday (Harden had 61 points and 15 boards in the victory for Houston).
Houston will also be playing with the added motivation of “revenge” this evening after Toronto took both meetings between the clubs last year.
Note that despite all of their success this season, their play on the road has still been the Raptors “achilles heel” (just 9-14-1 ATS on the road thus far this year.)
The Rockets started the 2018/19 campaign terribly, but they’ve been one of the best teams in the league over the last month, thanks in large part to the incredible play of Harden.
Note as well that Houston has routinely been at its best in front of the home town crowd this season by going 14-9-1 ATS.
Additionally note that the Rockets are 6-2 ATS in their last eight vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600, while Toronto is just 1-5 ATS in its last six following a SU loss.
Consider Houston in this one.
Good luck…Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mark Franco

Jan 25 '19, 8:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Pistons vs Mavs
Play on: Mavs -4½ -109 at GTBets

Mavs
Point guard Dennis Smith Jr. returned to the Dallas Mavericks after an unhappy sabbatical and will again be in the lineup for Friday's game against the visiting Detroit Pistons. Smith missed six straight games due to friction over his role but shared the ball-handling duties with star rookie Luka Doncic in Tuesday's 106-98 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers.
The Pistons won for just the eighth time in their past 27 games as power forward Blake Griffin scored 37 points in Wednesday's 98-94 road win over the New Orleans Pelicans. Detroit standout center Andre Drummond (concussion) is likely to miss his fourth straight game.
Dallas SF Harrison Barnes scored 20 points against the Clippers to reach at least 20 for the fourth time in the past six games.
Pistons are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win. Mavericks are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 home games.
Mavs get this cover at home.