Thursday 2-7-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd

Feb 07 '19, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Cincinnati vs Memphis
Play on: Memphis +4½ -115 at Bovada

1* Free NCAAB Pick on Memphis Tigers +4.5
This is just too good a price to pass up on Memphis at home. The Tigers are 11-1 on their home floor this season and that lone home loss came back in non-conference play against Tennessee, who is now the No. 1 team in the country.
The big reason that Memphis is being undervalued is they come into this game having lost their last 2 and are just 1-3 in their last 4. As I'm sure most of you could have figured out, all 3 of those losses were on the road. The one game at home was a 77-57 blowout win over a good UCF team as a mere 1-point favorite.
The Tigers are also a dog here because of the fact that Cincinnati comes in having won 7 straight. They are however, just 3-4 ATS during this stretch and I think this is a bit of a trap game for the Bearcats. Next up for Cincinnati is a huge road game against Houston on Sunday, who they are currently tied with atop the AAC at 8-1.
One thing is for sure, we can expect a max effort here from Memphis. Tigers are 35-18 ATS in their last 53 when coming off 2 straight losses and 28-10 ATS last 38 when off back-to-back conference losses. Take Memphis!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Matt Josephs

Feb 07 '19, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Elon vs Hofstra
Play on: OVER 146½ -110

Hofstra is steamrolling teams in the CAA right now. In conference, they are outscoring opponents 82.5 to 70.2 and at home they are winning by an average of almost 20 points per contest. These two played at Elon back on January 12th with Hofstra winning 74-71 after being down eight at half. They have gone over in 21 of their last 30 home games including seven of 10 this season. On the road, Elon has allowed 82 at UNCW, 71 at William and Mary, 77 at Delaware and 79 at Drexel in conference. Hofstra at home has scored 86, 87, 75, 89 and 91 in CAA play. I think this total is a bit low on Thursday night.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Janus

Feb 07 '19, 7:00 PM in 5h
NCAA-B | Houston vs UCF
Play on: Houston -2 -104 at YouWager

1* Free Sharp Play on Houston -2 -104

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Feb 07 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Clippers vs Pacers
Play on: Clippers +5 -100 at pinnacle

1* Free Play on Clippers +5 -100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

Feb 07 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
NHL | Avalanche vs Capitals
Play on: OVER 6½ -118

ASA PLAY ON Free Pick OVER: Colorado at Washington, Thursday @ 7:05 PM ET

The Avalanche lost their final two games before the All Star break and have proceeded to lose their two games after the All Star break. What is the problem for Colorado? They have allowed an average of 5 goals per game during this 4-game losing streak. Now the Avs are at Washington and that should mean plenty of pucks finding the back of the net. The Capitals were shutout by Boston recently but, other than that their other 5 games out of their last 6, the Caps have scored an average of 4.2 goals per game! Washington has allowed an average of 4.4 goals per game their last 9 games. Colorado is known for their scoring prowess and, even though they've been a little quieter of late, the Avalanche have scored an average of 3.7 goals per game their last 3 games. The over is 14-7 in Colorado's road games with a total set at 6 or more goals this season. The over is 14-7 in Capitals non-conference games this season. Free Pick: OVER at Washington in early evening action Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Feb 07 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Clippers vs Pacers
Play on: Pacers -6 -109 at GTBets

10* FREE NBA PICK (Pacers -6)
I'll take my chances here with the Pacers covering the 6-point spread at home against the Clippers. After losing 4 straight following the injury to Victor Oladipo, Indiana has rebounded to win 3 straight, including a shocking 42-point win at home against the Lakers with LeBron last time out. While the Pacers are surging, I have to think the life was sucked out of this Clippers team when management decided to trade arguably their best player in Tobias Harris, as well as reserves Boban Marjanovic and Mike Scott. For a team that is currently sitting in the playoff picture in 8th place out West, I can't imagine the players are happy about making a move for the future and not the present. Add in this being the Clippers 4th straight game on the road and their 6th game in the last 9 days and I would be surprised if LA showed up for this one. Give me the Pacers -6!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

Feb 07 '19, 7:05 PM in 5h
NBA | Wolves vs Magic
Play on: Magic -1½ -110 at sportsbook

Minnesota is an extremely poor road team at 8-18 on the season. Orlando is a bad team but they play their best at home and tonight is a very winnable game for them. We think that they will put their best foot forward here tonight in this matchup. The Magic have a strong history ATS in this series as they have covered in 15 of the last 20 matchups. They are 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings in Orlando. Minnesota has failed to cover in four straight games and we think they are overvalued again tonight as we had this line around 4.5-5 points tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Feb 07 '19, 7:35 PM in 6h
NBA | Raptors vs Hawks
Play on: Hawks +10 -110 at sportsbook

1* on Hawks +10 -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hunter Price

Feb 07 '19, 7:35 PM in 6h
NCAA-B | Tennessee State vs Morehead State
Play on: Morehead State -5 -108 at YouWager

1* Free Pick on Morehead State -5 -108

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Feb 07 '19, 7:35 PM in 6h
NBA | Raptors vs Hawks
Play on: Hawks +9 -107 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Atlanta Hawks +9
The Atlanta Hawks are coming off a very impressive seven-game road trip in which they went 4-3 with four upset victories over the Bulls, Clippers, Suns and Wizards. And now they’ve had some time to recover as they come in on two days’ rest and should be fresh and ready to go against the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors are coming off a huge road win over the 76ers on Tuesday and this is clearly a letdown spot for them. Asking them to go on the road and win by double-digits to beat us is asking too much. That’s especially the case when the Hawks only lost 101-104 as 13.5-point road dogs in their last meeting with the Raptors.
A big reason the Hawks are playing so well right now is because they have finally gotten fully healthy. They don’t have anyone on the injury report who will not play tonight. Leading scorer John Collins (16 games), third-leading scorer Taurean Prince (21 games) and fourth-leading scorer Kent Bazemore (14 games) have all missed significant time this season, but all three are healthy now. That trio averages nearly 47 combined points per game.
The Raptors are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games, including 0-4 ATS in their last four road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Bet the Hawks Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Feb 07 '19, 8:35 PM in 7h
NHL | Canucks vs Blackhawks
Play on: Canucks +120 at pinnacle

#NHL FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
I like the price we get on the Vancouver Canucks as a dog at Chicago Thursday night.
Sure, it's not a great scheduling spot for the Nucks who will play their third road game in four nights, but they've picked up 12 wins away from home this season already and won five straight meetings with Chicago.
The set up is just a little bit too perfect for a Blackhawks team that is due for a let down game after five straight victories, and it is still just 10-10-6 home at United Center on the season.
Canucks goaltender Jacob Markstrom has won his last four against the Blackhawks while holding them to just eight goals. Expect that dominance to continue tonight.
Free pick on Vancouver Canucks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

Feb 07 '19, 9:00 PM in 7h
NCAA-B | Eastern Washington vs Montana State
Play on: Montana State -5 -109 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Montana State -5 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Feb 07 '19, 10:35 PM in 9h
NBA | Spurs vs Blazers
Play on: Blazers -5½ -105 at pinnacle

My 1* free play is on the Blazers (10:00 EST)
The Spurs have lost back-to-back games to the Kings and Warriors. They were blown out by Golden State in their last game, but that was in fact to be expected with both DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge sitting out.
Even if both of San Antonio’s top players suit up for this one, I think the hungry Blazers, who enter off a 118-108 home loss to Miami in Dwayne Wade’s final trip to the Pacific Northwest, will bounce back big here. Keep your eyes on CJ McCollum tonight, as he had 33 points and five boards in a losing cause for the Blazers vs. Miami.
For the most part these are two evenly matched sides, but note that the Blazers are 36-16 ATS in their last 52 home games, while the Spurs are just 1-4 ATS in their last five vs. the Western Conference and only 7-15-1 ATS in the last 23 in this series.
Lay the points and expect these strong trends to carry over.
Good luck…Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 7

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MINNESOTA (25 - 28) at ORLANDO (22 - 32) - 2/7/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (30 - 25) at INDIANA (35 - 19) - 2/7/2019, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 4-0 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 4-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (39 - 16) at ATLANTA (18 - 35) - 2/7/2019, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (22 - 33) at OKLAHOMA CITY (34 - 19) - 2/7/2019, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (27 - 27) at BOSTON (35 - 19) - 2/7/2019, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (32 - 24) at PORTLAND (32 - 21) - 2/7/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 74-58 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1078-943 ATS (+40.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 149-115 ATS (+22.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-4 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, February 7

Today is the trade deadline so any deals made during the day could affect these games:

Timberwolves lost four of their last five games, last two by total of 3 points; they’re 4-2 vs spread on road since the coaching change. Over is 8-5 in their last 13 games. Magic lost eight of their last 11 games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Four of their last six games went under. Minnesota won four of last five games with Orlando; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last three visits to central Florida. Four of last five series games went over.

Clippers split their last six games; they’re 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road games. Under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 games. Indiana won/covered its last three games; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten home games. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Pacers won/covered last four games with the Clippers; under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Clippers are 2-3 vs spread in their last five trips to Indiana.

Raptors won 11 of last 14 games; they’re 2-10 vs spread in last dozen road games. Toronto’s last three games stayed under. Atlanta split its last 12 games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in their last six home games. 10 of their last 12 games went over. Toronto won its last six games with the Hawks (5-1 vs spread); Raptors are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Atlanta. Five of last six series games stayed under.

Grizzlies split their last six games (5-0-1 vs spread); they’re 4-2-1 vs spread in last seven road games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Thunder won eight of its last nine games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. 12 of their last 14 games went over. Oklahoma City won its last seven games with Memphis (5-2 vs spread); over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Grizzlies covered once in their last five visits to Oklahoma.

Lakers lost six of their last eight games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Boston won five in row, 10 of last 11 games; they’re 10-4 vs spread in last 14 home games. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Lakers lost four of their last five games with the Celtics; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Boston. Four of last five series games stayed under.

San Antonio lost its last two games after a 5-0 run; they’re 3-4-1 vs spread if they played night before, 7-4 vs spread in last 11 road games. Seven of their last eight games went over. Blazers won six of their last eight games, covered five of last seven home games. Seven of their last eight games went over. Spurs are 6-4 in their last ten games with Portland; they’re 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Eight of last ten series games went over.