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Wednesday 2-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Villanova vs. Georgetown University, 02/20/2019 18:30 EDT
Point Spread: -5½/-108 Villanova
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Nova has dominated the nog east going 8-2 ats in 10 contest and a perfect 4-0 ats last 4 vs George town ! If it ain’t broke don’t fix it take Villanova to win and cover for my ncaa free play
Villanova vs. Georgetown University, 02/20/2019 18:30 EDT
Point Spread: +6/-110 Georgetown University
Sportsbook:
Bodog
I've lost some money fading the Villanova Wildcats but last game versus St.Johns we hit our big 10* investment so I am coming back to the well as I love home dogs and Georgetown who has lost 2 straight has their backs to the wall in a must win home game that would be great for their resume. Georgetown just 9-15-1 ATS and Villanova 17-9 ATS. Look for them to lose this game ATS as we go with the sharp money tonight.
Chip's FREE NCAA Winner
Utah at Washington 11:00 ET
Huskies (-) over Utes- These two played January 10 in Salt Lake and the Huskies rolled over the Utes 69-53 breaking Utah's six games series win streak. Washington is 12-0 at home including 5-0 ATS in their last five and are 7-4-1 ATS as hosts overall and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 overall. Utah struggles against winning clubs posting a 3-10 ATS record. The Beat goes on...as Chip continues to WIN big in NCAA action. (8-2 80% last 10) Get on board and oh yeah...take WASHINGTON!
I will back the La Salle Explorers plus what I feel is a generous spot in their game at St. Bonaventure.
The Explorers enter this game in Olean with 5 wins over their last 7 games - all in Atlantic Ten action - and while they have failed in each of their last 3 games against the spread, they do own a winning 7-5-1 spread mark in their away games for the year.
The Bonnies are also catching some wind in their sails, as they have won their last pair of games and have also picked up the straight up win in 5 of their last 7 games.
St. Bonaventure has been nothing spectacular on their home court this year, as they are just 6-5 both straight up and against the spread in Olean this year. The Bonnies also average about a point less per game than the Explorers which makes laying close to double-digits seem a little improbable.
Series history has the Bonnies on top in the last 2 meetings both straight up and against the spread, but overall it is the Explorers holding the 6-4 straight up edge the last 10 times the teams have played one another.
With the Bonnies playing just a little better at this writing, I will look for them to pick up their 3rd win in a row, but I don't see 8 points separating the teams tonight at all.
My free play for Wednesday night is on Southern Illinois at a pick against Valparaiso.
The Salukis get the nod here, as Valpo is playing like trash of late, having lost three straight and seven of eight. And during this skid, the Crusaders have averaged a paltry 62.5 points per game. And in the losses, they're averaging 61.5 points per contest.
During the eight-game stretch, Valpo has scored 59 or less in five of those games.
So I'm going to bank on the better overall team to win its fifth in seven games, with a balanced effort at both ends of the court.
Southern Illinois, which is on a 9-3 ATS road streak, has been mighty consistent offensively, scoring 68.6 points this season and 68.1 on the road, but over its last five, it's averaged 71.4 points.
The late-season surge is happening for Southern Illinois, while Valpo can't find any rhythm.
My comp play winner for Wednesday goes out on the first of two regular season meetings between North Carolina and Duke to hold Under the total from Cameron Indoor.
Knee-jerk reaction is to look for an Over between these high-scoring attacks, but the oddsmakers are no dummies, and the total for this game is just a little bit too tall.
North Carolina averages 87.5 points per game, but the Tar Heels have played Under the total in their last pair of games, and have been low in 11 of their last 15 games overall this season.
Duke comes into this game averaging 86.4 points per game, but the Blue Devils have played Under the total in 6 of their last 8 games this season, and the Under now since last year at Cameron is 20-8-1 the past 29 times they have been the host.
So that's the deal for both teams and what they have done recently, but how about when they face one another?
Glad you asked!
Last year the teams met 3 times - conference tournament included - and all 3 of those meetings held Under the posted price. Those totals by the way were 167 1/2, 159, and 155 1/2, just to give you some perspective.
Overall, the Under is on a 5-2-1 run the last 8 series meetings dating back to February of 2106.
These teams are going to score, but in the end I like another Under to punch the ticket when this one is in the books.
We apologize for the inconvenience, but due to technical difficulty on Jack's end may not be available today. He is attempting to get you analysis on the 9 pm eastern tip by 6:30 pm eastern.
My free play for Wednesday night is on Fresno State laying the points to Air Force in Mountain West play.
While everyone is so excited to give Reno love, because it is the best team in the league, keep one thing in mind: Fresno State is the only Mountain West team to win at least 10 Mountain West games in each of the last five seasons, including this season.
And this season, Fresno State has outscored four Power Five conference schools (TCU, Northwestern, Miami and Cal) by a combined score of 318-287 (+31).
The offense will be the catalyst tonight, as Fresno State is 44-3 in its last 47 games when shooting at least 50 percent from the field (6-0 this season and nine consecutive games). Air Force, meanwhile, is one of the weakest teams in the league and won't be able to defend the Bulldogs' effective scheme that can go inside, or hit from the perimeter.
The Bulldogs are 28-5 in their last 33 games with at least 10 made 3-point field goals. And since Fresno State leads the Mountain West in 3-point field goal percentage (37.9), 3-point field goal percentage defense (29.4) and 3-pointers made (10.1 per game), I'm guessing the Bulldogs will run that number up.
At the other end, the Bulldogs limit the long ball, as they rank ninth in the nation in 3-point field goal defense (29.4).
Fresno State has won the last three meetings and 10 of the last 11 games in its all-time series with Air Force.
Wednesday night comp play comes on the ice where playing the Over in games involving the Chicago Blackhawks has been paying dividends lately.
Chicago just played on Monday night in a game they ended up an 8-7 home win over Ottawa. That game featured 9 combined first period goals, and yes, the teams did have goalies in the nets!!!
The Blackhawks head to this meeting with their Original Six brethren the Detroit Red Wings having played Over the total in 9 games in a row now, as they have scored 3 goals or more in 8 of those 9 games.
The Red Wings are not as prolific with their offense, as they are on a 3-1 Under run over their last 4 games, but they did play Over the total in their most recent meeting with the Blackhawks, as they lost a 5-2 contest in the Windy City back on the 10th of this month.
That marked the second Over in as many games between the teams in this year's season series, and also the 9th time in the last 10 meetings between the teams that the Over has cashed.
Right now Chicago's offense is humming, and their goalies are basically just giving them enough for their offense to do the heavy lifting.
Chicago-Detroit Over the total here on Wednesday night.
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