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Monday 2-25-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Big Monday Tip Sheet
David Schwab
Big Monday on ESPN gets things started with an ACC clash between Notre Dame and the No. 16 Florida Seminoles in Tallahassee. In the biggest matchup on the board, the No. 23 Kansas State Wildcats will go for the season sweep against the rival No. 12 Kansas Jayhawks at Allen Fieldhouse.
As a bonus betting preview in the Big 12, Oklahoma will be on the road against No. 19 Iowa State as a featured matchup on ESPN2.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish at No. 16 Florida State Seminoles (ESPN , 7 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Florida State -12 ½, Total 138 ½
Betting Matchup
Notre Dame’s current straight-up losing streak reached three games with Saturday’s 67-59 loss to Virginia Tech as a four-point underdog at home. The Fighting Irish are now 2-9 SU in their last 11 games with a 4-7 record against the spread. The total stayed UNDER 133 points in Saturday’s loss and it has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 contests. Notre Dame is averaging 70.3 points per game, but that number has dropped to 59.4 points over its last five outings.
Saturday’s 77-59 loss to North Carolina as a seven-point road underdog snapped Florida State’s SU eight-game winning streak and it was the first time it failed to cover in its last six games. The total stayed UNDER the 160 ½-point closing line in that loss after going OVER or ending as a PUSH in seven of the Seminoles’ last nine games. They are now 9-5 SU in ACC play as part of an overall record of 21-6. Florida State is averaging 76.5 PPG against a points-allowed average of 67.9.
Betting Trends
-- The Fighting Irish have gone 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games played on the road.
-- The Seminoles are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in nine of their last 11 games at home.
-- Notre Dame as covered the closing number in the last four meetings and the total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in all four of those games.
No. 23 Kansas State Wildcats at No. 12 Kansas Jayhawks (ESPN, 9 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Kansas -5, Total 133
Betting Matchup
Kansas State has won six of its last seven games both SU and ATS including a 74-67 victory against Kansas on Feb. 5 as a three-point home favorite. With Saturday’s 85-46 romp against Oklahoma State as 9 ½-point favorites at home on a closing line of 123 points, the total has gone OVER in six of the Wildcats’ last seven outings. They are 11-3 SU in Big 12 play with a two game lead over the Jayhawks at the top of the standings. Senior guard Barry Brown Jr. leads the team in scoring with 15.7 PPG and Kansas State is ranked fourth in the nation in points allowed (59.3).
The Jayhawks fell to 9-5 SU in conference play with Saturday’s lopsided 91-62 road loss to Texas Tech as 4 ½-point underdogs. The total went OVER 134 points in that loss and it has gone OVER in five of their last six games. Kansas is 20-7 SU overall with a losing 12-15 record ATS. It is 7-8 ATS on its home court this season. Junior forward Dedric Lawson is putting up a team-high 19.0 PPG, but he has failed to reach that scoring average in four of his last five starts.
Betting Trends
-- The Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win with the total staying UNDER in six of their last eight Monday games.
-- The Jayhawks have failed to cover in six of their last eight games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has gone OVER or ended as a PUSH in 21 of their last 28 home games.
-- The home team has posted a 18-7-2 record ATS over the last 27 meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings at Kansas.
Oklahoma Sooners at No. 19 Iowa State Cyclones (ESPN2, 8 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Iowa State -9 ½, Total 143 ½
Betting Matchup
The Sooners are coming off back-to-back SU victories against TCU as road underdogs and Texas as favorites at home. They failed to cover the four points in Saturday’s tight 69-67 win against the Longhorns with the total going OVER 130 ½ points. Oklahoma is 5-9 SU in conference play with a spotty 2-4-1 record ATS in its last seven games. It is 6-1-3 ATS on the road this season. Christian James posted 19 points in Saturday’s win and the senior guard continues to lead the Sooners in scoring with 15.5 PPG.
Iowa State’s national ranking could be in jeopardy with losses to Baylor at home and TCU on the road closing as a favorite in each game. The Cyclones are 1-3 both SU and ATS in their last four games coming off Saturday’s 75-72 loss to TCU as slight 1 ½-point favorite. The total stayed UNDER 151 points in that game after going OVER in their previous four outings. Iowa State has been able to average 78.3 PPG this season with senior guard Marial Shayok leading the way with 18.5 PPG. He was held to just four points his last time out while going 2-for-5 from the floor.
Betting Trends
-- The Sooners have gone 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games coming off a SU win with the total staying UNDER in five of their last seven road games.
-- The Cyclones are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a SU loss and the total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games coming off a loss SU.
-- Iowa State won the first meeting 75-74, but Oklahoma covered as a three-point home underdog. The Cyclones still have a 8-2 edge ATS over the last 10 meetings with the total staying UNDER in five of their last six home games against Oklahoma.Comment
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NCAAB
Dunkel
Monday, February 25
Northern Colorado @ Montana
Game 867-868
February 25, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Northern Colorado
54.049
Montana
57.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montana
by 3
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montana
by 7
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Colorado
(+7); Over
Kansas State @ Kansas
Game 865-866
February 25, 2019 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
73.499
Kansas
69.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas State
by 4
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas
by 3 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas State
(+3 1/2); Over
Oklahoma @ Iowa State
Game 863-864
February 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
60.676
Iowa State
81.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 21
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 9
143 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa State
(-9); Over
Notre Dame @ Florida State
Game 861-862
February 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
59.005
Florida State
73.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida State
by 14
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida State
by 12 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
Florida State
(-12 1/2); UnderComment
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NCAAB
Long Sheet
Monday, February 25
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NOTRE DAME (13 - 14) at FLORIDA ST (21 - 6) - 2/25/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 4-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 3-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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OKLAHOMA (17 - 10) at IOWA ST (19 - 8) - 2/25/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA ST is 262-210 ATS (+31.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
IOWA ST is 77-50 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
OKLAHOMA is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA ST is 4-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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KANSAS ST (21 - 6) at KANSAS (20 - 7) - 2/25/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 60-33 ATS (+23.7 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KANSAS ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
KANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
KANSAS ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KANSAS ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS is 3-3 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 5-1 straight up against KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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N COLORADO (17 - 9) at MONTANA (20 - 6) - 2/25/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N COLORADO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N COLORADO is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MONTANA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA is 4-1 against the spread versus N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
MONTANA is 5-0 straight up against N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonsComment
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NCAAB
Monday, February 25
Notre Dame lost its last three games, is 3-11 in ACC, 1-5 on road, with only win at BC; Irish are shooting only 44.6% inside arc in ACC games, 29% on arc. Florida State won eight of last nine games; they’re 9-5 in ACC, winning last four home tilts, by 9-10-5-22 points. Notre Dame won its last three games with FSU, by 12-5-15 points; home side won all six ACC meetings. Fighting Irish lost their three visits to Tallahassee, by 2-21-3 points. Irish are 11-7-1 in last 19 games as a road underdog, 3-2 this year; FSU is 15-6-1 in last 22 games as a home favorite, 3-2 this year.
Iowa State held on to win 75-74 at Oklahoma three weeks ago; Cyclones won four of last five series games. Sooners lost their last seven visits to Ames. Oklahoma won its last two games, is 5-9 in Big X, 2-5 on road, winning at OSU/TCU. Sooners are shooting 31.2% on arc in league. Cyclones lost three of last four games, losing last two home games, to TCU/Baylor; ISU is the worst rebounding team in the league. Oklahoma is 12-9-2 in its last 23 games as a road underdog, 3-1-1 this year; under Prohm, ISU is 10-11-1 as a home favorite, 1-4-1 this year.
Kansas State forced 23 TO’s (+11), made 10-24 on arc in 74-67 home win over Kansas Feb 5th; Jayhawks are 31-5 in last 36 series games- they haven’t been swept by K-State in last 15 years. Wildcats lost their last 12 visits to Lawrence, losing last two years here by 1-2 points. KSU won 11 of its last 13 games; they’re 11-3 in Big X, with one-game lead over Texas Tech. Kansas lost by 29 in Lubbock Saturday; they’re 5-5 in last 10 games. K-State 13-7 in its last 20 games as a road underdog, 5-0 this year; Jayhawks are 8-16-1 in last 25 games as a home favorite, 3-3 this year.
Montana won its last ten games, first of which was an 88-64 win at Northern Colorado Jan 12; Bobcats won last five series games, winning last two meetings here, by 6-21 points. Montana is is 13-2 in Big Sky, winning last five home games, three by 7 or fewer points. Grizzlies are shooting 40.1% on arc in Big Sky. NCU won six of its last eight games; they’re 11-4 in Big Sky, and have been off for last nine days. Bears are 12-10 in last 22 games as a Big Sky road underdog, 0-1 this year; Montana is 9-6 in its last 15 games as a home favorite, 3-3 this year.Comment
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NCAAB
Monday, February 25
Trend Report
Notre Dame @ Florida State
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games on the road
Florida State
Florida State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Florida State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Oklahoma @ Iowa State
Oklahoma
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 6 games when playing on the road against Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 7 games on the road
Iowa State
Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Iowa State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Kansas State @ Kansas
Kansas State
Kansas State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Kansas
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas State
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Northern Colorado @ Montana
Northern Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Northern Colorado's last 5 games when playing Montana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Northern Colorado's last 11 games on the road
Montana
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Montana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern ColoradoComment
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Top 25 Betting Recap
Joe Williams
Each week until March Madness we'll take a look at how the Top 25 fared from college basketball, but straight up and against the number, while also taking a look at their upcoming schedule.
It's going to be a topsy-turvy week in the Top 25. We had Shoe-gate in Durham, with Zion Williamson's Nike blowing out and the likely first-round pick in the NBA going down with an injury. As such, Duke (24-3 SU, 16-11 ATS) was routed at home by North Carolina (22-5 SU, 17-8-2 ATS) in the first installment in 'Battle of the Blues' at Cameron Indoor Stadium. For those Blue Devils fans in attendance, it wasn't $2,500-4,000 well spent, eh? Carolina has won and covered three in a row since their loss to Virginia (24-2 SU, 19-7 ATS) on Feb. 11. The 'under' has cashed in four straight for the Tar Heels, too.
Tennessee (24-3 SU, 13-12-1 ATS) still has just three losses overall on the season, but they have suffered two losses in the past three. LSU (22-5 SU, 15-11-1 ATS) got them 82-80 in overtime on Baton Rouge on Saturday, as it was party time at The Chimes after the game. The Volunteers failed to cover for a fourth consecutive game, while the 'over' is 3-1 during the same span. After playing great defense for most of the season, Tennessee has been dinged for 82 or more in two of the past three. They're allowing just 68.0 PPG on the season.
Speaking of the Tigers, if you bet their games, hopefully you have a strong heart. Three of the past six have resulted in overtime, and four of the past nine were not decided in regulation. Hopefully you like 'over' results, too, as the total has gone over in three straight for LSU, and 12 of the past 15.
It was a rough week for Nevada (25-2 SU, 16-9-1 ATS), as they lost to old nemesis San Diego State (18-9 SU, 15-11 ATS) in Southern California, scoring a season-low 57 points. Their previous low mark was 67, and they had scored 72 or more in 24 of their 27 games. They failed to cover against Fresno State (19-8 SU, 16-9-1 ATS), but they did at least scratch out a win. The 'under' has connected in four straight for the Wolf Pack. They'll have another big test at Utah State (22-6 SU, 14-13 ATS) later this week.
Kansas (20-7 SU, 12-15 ATS) hasn't been the same since going down with a season-ending wrist injury which required surgery. This team is looking more and more like a one-and-done, or possible Round of 32 team, but not much else. Texas Tech (22-5 SU, 12-14-1 ATS) emasculated the Jayhawks by a 91-62 score on Saturday, the worst conference loss under Bill Self, largest since 2006. Now, the third-place Jayhawks face Kansas State (21-6 SU, 16-11 ATS) in a key battle this week in Lawrence.
Villanova (20-8 SU, 17-11 ATS), Louisville (18-10 SU, 14-12-2 ATS) and Iowa State (19-8 SU, 14-11-2 ATS) each had 0-2 SU weeks, and are likely to take a tumble in the rankings, perhaps out of the Top 25. The Cardinals have lost four of the past five straight-up, and they have failed to cover three straight and they're 1-4 ATS over the past five. The 'under' is also 4-0 in the past four, and 7-2 in the past nine. I-State is trending in the wrong direction, too, losing three of the past four, while going 1-5 ATS across the past six. The 'over' has connected in seven of the past nine for the Cyclones.
On the outside of the Top 25 looking in, Cincinnati (23-4 SU, 12-15 ATS) scratched out two more victories, but they have failed to cover in four straight/ The 'under' is 4-1 in the past five for the Bearcats. Wofford (24-4 SU, 14-11 ATS) was technically ranked No. 27 last week, and they could climb into the Top 25 after another strong week. The Terriers have covered six of the past seven, and they're a team no one is going to want to see in the postseason.
Comment
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Monday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers
Game of the Night: Kings at Timberwolves – 8:05 PM EST
As February comes to a close, Sacramento (31-28 SU, 36-23 ATS) is still in the playoff mix in the Western Conference. Following the Clippers’ loss at Denver on Sunday, the Kings moved to within a game of the final playoff spot in the West. The Kings close out a tough four-game road trip that started in Denver prior to the All-Star break, as Sacramento lost a pair of close games to the Nuggets and Warriors by two points each.
Sacramento broke through on Saturday night by edging Oklahoma City, 119-116 as six-point underdogs. In spite of the high-scoring result, the game remained UNDER the total of 240. The Thunder were coming off an overtime triumph over the Jazz the previous night, as the Kings jumped out to a 14-point lead before holding off a late OKC rally. Buddy Hield continued his breakout season for Sacramento by scoring 34 points, while the Kings improved to 7-1 ATS in February.
The Timberwolves (28-31 SU, 31-28 ATS) are riding a five-game ATS hot streak after covering as 13-point underdogs in Saturday’s 140-128 setback at Milwaukee. The loss ended a three-game winning streak, while Minnesota couldn’t hold onto a two-point lead heading into the final quarter. Karl-Anthony Towns missed his second straight game with concussion symptoms, as Derrick Rose paced Minnesota with 23 points off the bench in the Wolves’ 17th road loss of the season.
The home team has captured each of the first three matchups this season. Sacramento took the first two meetings at Golden 1 Center in the role of a home underdog, including a 141-130 shootout victory on December 12. However, the Wolves broke through against the Kings five days later at Target Center in a 132-105 blowout as eight-point favorites, as Minnesota built a 30-point halftime lead.
Turning Point?
It’s obviously a difficult and awkward situation in New Orleans regarding the Anthony Davis situation the rest of the season. The Pelicans (27-34 SU, 29-31-1 ATS) rebounded from blowing a double-digit halftime lead in Friday’s loss at Indiana to cruise past the Lakers the next night, 128-115 as 6 ½-point underdogs. Not only was it the second straight home underdog win for New Orleans, but they knocked off L.A. without Davis in the lineup as Jrue Holiday and Julius Randle combined for 51 points in the victory.
The Pelicans welcome in the 76ers (38-22 SU, 28-32 ATS), who were steamrolled by the Blazers on Saturday afternoon, 130-115. Joel Embiid remains sidelined for Philadelphia, as the 76ers lost for only the eighth time in 32 home contests. Now, the Sixers look to improve on a 14-14 road mark, as Philadelphia owns a 4-2 ATS record in its last six opportunities in the underdog role.
In the first matchup this season, the 76ers held off the Pelicans, 121-120 as 3 ½-point favorites in November. Davis was limited to 4-of-13 shooting for 12 points, while Embiid scored 31 points and 19 rebounds in the victory. New Orleans has failed to cover in its last three opportunities as a home favorite, while losing five of its past eight home contests against Eastern Conference opponents.
Thirtysomething?
The drama continues for the Lakers (29-30 SU, 25-32-2 ATS), who are coming off a 13-point setback at New Orleans on Saturday as 6 ½-point favorites. LeBron James posted 27 points and 12 assists, but the Lakers lost for the fifth time in the last six games away from Staples Center with the only victory in this stretch coming at Boston on a buzzer-beater. The Lakers are seeking their second consecutive season with at least 30 victories following a four-year stretch not eclipsing the 30-win mark. L.A. will reach the 30-win plateau eventually, but the Lakers remain three games behind the Clippers for the eighth playoff spot in the Western Conference.
The Lakers head to Memphis to face a Grizzlies’ (23-38 SU, 26-35 ATS) coming off four consecutive defeats. The latest setback occurred on Saturday night at Cleveland, 112-107, as the Grizzlies have drilled the OVER in each of the past four contests. Memphis has cashed in four of the previous five opportunities as a home underdog, while the road team has won each of the first two meetings between the Lakers and Grizzlies this season.
Eastern Travels
The Warriors (42-17 SU, 24-34-1 ATS) play eight of the next 11 games away from the Bay Area with a pair of four-game road trips. The first three contests take place against Southeast division opponents, starting with Charlotte. Golden State suffered its sixth straight ATS defeat in Saturday’s 118-112 setback to Houston as 12-point favorites on Saturday. The Warriors lost to the Rockets for the third time this season, while falling behind by 15 points after one quarter as Houston played without James Harden.
Golden State rode an 11-game road winning streak from December 29 through February 8, but the Warriors were tripped up at Portland prior to the All-Star break to end that run. During this current 0-6 ATS run, Steve Kerr’s team was listed as a nine-point favorite or higher five times, as the Warriors have compiled a 4-2 SU mark since February 8.
The Hornets (28-31 SU, 29-30 ATS) face the Warriors for the first time this season as Charlotte has lost four straight home meetings with Golden State. Charlotte erased an 18-point deficit on Saturday against Brooklyn to take an eight-point lead with three minutes remaining in regulation. The Nets outscored the Hornets, 14-4 down the stretch to stun Charlotte, 117-115 and fall to 2-5 SU/ATS the last seven games.
Alamo No
It’s been a Rodeo Trip from hell for the Spurs (33-28 SU, 32-28-1 ATS), who fell to 1-6 on their eight-game swing. To make matters worse, San Antonio was the first visiting team to lose at Madison Square Garden since December 1 as the Knicks snapped an 18-game home skid in Sunday’s 130-118 triumph as nine-point underdogs. The Spurs struggled from three-point range by hitting only 6-of-24 three-point attempts, while allowing at least 120 points in a road loss for the eighth straight time.
The Spurs remain in New York City on Monday to face the Nets (31-30 SU, 34-27 ATS), who have lost three of their past four games at Barclays Center. Brooklyn rebounded from a 14-point home defeat to Portland by winning at Charlotte on Saturday behind D’Angelo Russell’s 40 points. Since a six-game hot streak in January, the Nets have lost four consecutive games off a win, while looking to avenge a 117-114 defeat at San Antonio on January 31 as eight-point underdogs.Comment
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NBA
Dunkel
Monday, February 25
Portland @ Cleveland
Game 561-562
February 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Portland
126.284
Cleveland
109.489
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 17
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 9
223
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-9); Under
Indiana @ Detroit
Game 563-564
February 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
119.194
Detroit
124.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 5
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-2); Under
Golden State @ Charlotte
Game 565-566
February 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
122.409
Charlotte
123.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 1 1/2
238
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8
233 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+8); Over
Phoenix @ Miami
Game 567-568
February 25, 2019 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
105.563
Miami
111.829
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 6 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 9 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+9 1/2); Over
San Antonio @ Brooklyn
Game 569-570
February 25, 2019 @ 7:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
115.127
Brooklyn
121.898
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 7
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 1
231
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(-1); Under
Milwaukee @ Chicago
Game 571-572
February 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
129.114
Chicago
116.780
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 12 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 10
228
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-10); Under
Atlanta @ Houston
Game 573-574
February 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
111.506
Houston
120.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 9 1/2
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
231
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+11 1/2); Over
Philadelphia @ New Orleans
Game 575-576
February 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
120.427
New Orleans
116.004
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
243
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
238
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+1 1/2); Over
Sacramento @ Minnesota
Game 577-578
February 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
120.351
Minnesota
119.070
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1 1/2
241
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 3
236 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+3); Over
LA Lakers @ Memphis
Game 579-580
February 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
112.036
Memphis
111.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 1
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 5
220
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+5); Over
Dallas @ LA Clippers
Game 581-582
February 25, 2019 @ 10:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
110.478
LA Clippers
118.057
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 7 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 5 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-5 1/2); UnderComment
-
NBA
Long Sheet
Monday, February 25
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PORTLAND (36 - 23) at CLEVELAND (14 - 46) - 2/25/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 78-60 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
PORTLAND is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 68-93 ATS (-34.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (40 - 20) at DETROIT (28 - 30) - 2/25/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 83-64 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GOLDEN STATE (42 - 17) at CHARLOTTE (28 - 31) - 2/25/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 61-75 ATS (-21.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 184-232 ATS (-71.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 2-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHOENIX (11 - 50) at MIAMI (26 - 32) - 2/25/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 25-36 ATS (-14.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 24-33 ATS (-12.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHOENIX is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MIAMI is 151-115 ATS (+24.5 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 27-41 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (33 - 28) at BROOKLYN (31 - 30) - 2/25/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 80-62 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
BROOKLYN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 44-29 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1079-947 ATS (+37.3 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 363-282 ATS (+52.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 358-294 ATS (+34.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 224-155 ATS (+53.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MILWAUKEE (45 - 14) at CHICAGO (16 - 44) - 2/25/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 384-464 ATS (-126.4 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 63-109 ATS (-56.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
MILWAUKEE is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 73-104 ATS (-41.4 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
CHICAGO is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 7-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 8-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ATLANTA (20 - 40) at HOUSTON (34 - 25) - 2/25/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHILADELPHIA (38 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (27 - 34) - 2/25/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 130-103 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-17 ATS (+16.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-15 ATS (+18.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SACRAMENTO (31 - 28) at MINNESOTA (28 - 31) - 2/25/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SACRAMENTO is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SACRAMENTO is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 379-442 ATS (-107.2 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 68-98 ATS (-39.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 5-5 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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LA LAKERS (29 - 30) at MEMPHIS (23 - 38) - 2/25/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MEMPHIS is 61-78 ATS (-24.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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DALLAS (26 - 33) at LA CLIPPERS (33 - 28) - 2/25/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 55-40 ATS (+11.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 518-438 ATS (+36.2 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
DALLAS is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 169-214 ATS (-66.4 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 232-285 ATS (-81.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasonsComment
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