Wednesday 3-6-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's Top Action
Tom Wilkinson

NBA Game Preview - 76ers at Bulls

The Philadelphia 76ers are road favorites on Wednesday night, as they visit the Chicago Bulls in a game that can be seen on ESPN. The 76ers are battling for third place in the Eastern Conference with Indiana, while the Bulls are out of playoff contention.

Even though Chicago is not going to make the playoffs they have been playing pretty well. Both teams will be playing with no rest on Wednesday, as the 76ers were home against Orlando on Tuesday, while the Bulls were at Indiana. Let’s look at Wednesday’s game on ESPN and NBA picks.

Philadelphia 76ers at Chicago Bulls
Date and Time: Wednesday, March 6, 2019, 8:00 p.m. ET
Location: United Center, Chicago, IL
NBA Odds: 76ers -5, O/U 227
76ers vs. Bulls TV Coverage: ESPN

The 76ers played pretty well last week without Joel Embiid and they will not have him for this game on Wednesday night. Embiid missed Tuesday’s game against Orlando, but he did practice on Monday. Head coach Brett Brown didn’t give an indication on whether Embiid would play, but Embiid said on Saturday that he expects to return this week. Embiid leads the 76ers at 27.3 points per game, so his presence is critical. The most likely scenario is that the 76ers hold Embiid out until Friday’s game against Houston, but noting is set in stone.

One player who has stepped up with Embiid out of the lineup is Ben Simmons. He was names Eastern Conference Player of the Week. In the last five games, Simmons is averaging 20 points, 10.8 rebounds and 7.6 assists. He had back-to-back triple-doubles against the Pelicans and Warriors.

Philadelphia is 13-17 ATS on the road, with 15 games going over and 15 going under. They are averaging about 115 points per game and giving up about 112 per contest.

The Bulls have not been a good home team this season, as they are just 12-20 ATS, with 13 games going over, 18 going under, with one push. They are averaging 105 points per game and giving up just over 112 per contest.

Chicago has actually played pretty well of late, as they had won six of their last ten before Tuesday’s game at Indiana. The Bulls have been much better with Otto Porter Jr. in the lineup. They were 6-2 in the first eight games he played. Keep in mind that before the All-Star break the Bulls had the worst offensive rating in the league. Since getting Porter they have been greatly improved.

Chicago is not going to make the playoffs, but they will have an impact, as 11 of their last 17 games are against teams either in the playoffs or contending for the playoffs.

Key Stats

The 76ers are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Chicago. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Central. The Bulls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Atlantic. The Bulls are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games. The Over is 11-2 in the 76ers last 13 games playing with no rest. The Over is 4-0 in the Bulls last 4 vs. the Atlantic. The Over is 5-2 in the Bulls last 7 home games. The Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Game Preview - Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers
Kyle Markus

The Los Angeles Lakers’ playoff chances are slip-sliding away. Everyone expected this team to turn it on after the All-Star Break, but the struggles have continued even with a healthy LeBron James leading the way. Los Angeles will need to be nearly perfect down the stretch to have a shot at the postseason, which will begin with a must-win game at home next time out against the Denver Nuggets.

Denver has been much better than expected this season and currently sits as the No. 2 seed in the West. The Nuggets may not have the same star power as Los Angeles but it has consistently been the better team this season.

This could be a competitive showdown as Denver is the superior team while the Lakers have the home court advantage in NBA betting lines.

This NBA basketball game between the Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers will be held at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, California at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 6th, 2019. The game will be nationally televised on ESPN.

Odds Analysis

The Nuggets are 42-21 on the season. They have lost three in a row, and while catching the Warriors won’t be easy, Denver is in good shape to finish with the second-best record in the conference.

The Lakers are 30-34 on the season. They have now dropped three straight games and seven of their past 10 to sink out of playoff contention. Los Angeles is 18-14 at home this year and badly needs to break out of its funk and capture the win.

Injury Report

Brandon Ingram -- The Lakers forward missed Monday’s game against the Clippers with a shoulder injury. The 21-year-old plays a big role for this Los Angeles team so any time away is costly, especially as the Lakers try to make an unlikely push for the playoffs.

Ingram is coming off a really strong performance in February where he averaged 21.3 points and 5.8 rebounds. The severity of the injury is not yet known, but keep an eye on his availability for this one. James remains one of the most dominant players in the NBA but the supporting cast is lacking, especially with Lonzo Ball and now Ingram battling injuries. Kyle Kuzma left the team’s game on Monday with an ankle injury, so his status is also one to watch.

Key Stat

3. That’s the number of games the Nuggets are ahead of the Thunder and Blazers in the Western Conference standings. Few expected this team to be in contention in the West this year but Denver has completely surpassed expectations.

Denver doesn’t have the players with the same cachet as some of the others near the top of the heap, and in a star-driven league, it will be interesting to see how this team performs in the postseason. For now, everything is going well, and the Nuggets would like to pick up this key road win to hold off some of the other West powers aiming to track them down in the standings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA's Top ATS Teams:

1. Bucks 37-24-3 ATS
2. Kings 37-26 ATS
3. Blazers 37-27 ATS
4. Clippers 38-28 ATS
5. Mavs 35-27-1 ATS
6. Nets 36-30 ATS
7. Nuggets 34-29 ATS
8. Magic 35-30-1 ATS


NBA's Worst ATS Teams:

30. Warriors 25-38-1 ATS
29. Lakers 26-36-2 ATS
28. Raptors 27-38 ATS
27. Knicks 27-36-1 ATS
26. Suns 28-37 ATS
25. Wizards 28-35 ATS
24. Bulls 29-35-1 ATS
23. Grizzlies 30-36 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA's Top OVER Teams (sorted by Over %):

1. Wizards 40-23
2. Spurs 38-26-1
3. Hawks 37-28
4. Timberwolves 36-28
5. Hornets30 35-27-1
t6. Raptors 35-30
t6. Celtics 35-30
t8. Nets 35-31
t8. Pelicans 35-31


NBA's Top UNDER Teams (based on Under %):

1. Lakers 38-25-1
2. Grizzlies 39-26-1
3. Magic 37-29
4. Mavs 35-27-1
t5. Suns 36-29
t5. Pacers 36-29
7. Bulls 34-29-2
8. Nuggets 34-28-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Monique Vág



Forcing perimeter shots

The Heat have been one of the best teams at defending opposing centers allowing only 19.8 points, 14.1 rebounds, and 3.1 assists per game. The Heat also rank third in the Association in opponent points in the paint, surrendering only 42.8 a game, and are coming off a three-game stretch allowing only 38.

That could mean trouble for the Hornets’ center Cody Zeller in tonight’s matchup. Look for him to be held in check and take Under his points, rebounds, assists total of 21.5.


Lighting up the scoreboard

The Mavericks have lost eight of their last 10 games, and head out on the road to Washington to take on a Wizards team who have also been struggling, losing seven of their most recent 10. The Mavs have owned the head-to-head meetings, winning nine of the most recent 10 matchups, and five straight on the road.

The Wizards are tied for third in points per game at home averaging 118.2 and give up almost as many defensively with the Wizards ranking 29th in opponent points per game. Look for a high scoring shootout today and take the game total Over 233.5.


Clipping wings

After last night’s big win versus the Thunder, the Timberwolves travel to Detroit to take on a Pistons team who are winners of eight of their last 10.

The Pistons have allowed the lowest points per game to opposing small forwards allowing 17.6 points on 43 percent shooting. Although Minnesota’s Andrew Wiggins is averaging right around that number in the regular season, his field goal percentage is way down from his career numbers, and almost four percent lower than last year. Back Under his point total today of 17.5.


Getting a much-needed road “W”

The Spurs have struggled on the road this season and have lost six of the most recent eight away from home. Today, they take on a Hawks team who own a 3-20 record over their most recent 23 versus the Spurs.

The Hawks will once again be short handed with Omari Spellman and Miles Plumlee out, and Dewayne Dedmon listed as doubtful. Look for San Antonio to take care of business and improve on their playoff positioning today as only three wins separate eighth from third in the Western Conference. Back San Antonio to cover as 6-point road favorites.


Bouncing back in a big way

Utah get a quick opportunity at redemption against the Pelicans after losing at home Monday night 115-112. Utah have won eight of the last 10 versus New Orleans and five straight road contests.

Last time these two teams met, the Jazz gave up 62 points in the paint, which is very uncharacteristic as they only surrender an average of 47.2. Look for the Jazz to guard the painted area better this time around, and force tough perimeter shots, as the Pelicans are not a good team from beyond the arc. Take Utah to cover the spread as 4-point road favorites.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 6

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WASHINGTON (38-21-0-7, 83 pts.) at PHILADELPHIA (32-26-0-8, 72 pts.) - 3/6/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-11 ATS (+2.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 104-69 ATS (+5.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-20 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-18 ATS (+28.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 259-278 ATS (-29.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-4 (+0.2 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-4-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

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TORONTO (41-21-0-4, 86 pts.) at VANCOUVER (27-30-0-9, 63 pts.) - 3/6/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 404-411 ATS (-121.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
TORONTO is 195-213 ATS (-71.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
TORONTO is 10-2 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
VANCOUVER is 246-253 ATS (-128.5 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 13-37 ATS (+62.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 106-132 ATS (-50.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.1 Units)

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ST LOUIS (34-25-0-6, 74 pts.) at ANAHEIM (26-32-0-9, 61 pts.) - 3/6/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 564-464 ATS (-113.2 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 285-220 ATS (+52.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 276-252 ATS (+570.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ST LOUIS is 19-9 ATS (+8.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 128-86 ATS (+23.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 5-14 ATS (+24.6 Units) after a division game this season.
ANAHEIM is 2-13 ATS (-11.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 4-4 (+0.5 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 4-4-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)

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CALGARY (41-18-0-7, 89 pts.) at VEGAS (36-26-0-5, 77 pts.) - 3/6/2019, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 4-12 ATS (-10.8 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 8-21 ATS (+31.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 101-69 ATS (+177.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VEGAS is 41-18 ATS (+17.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-9 ATS (+7.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
CALGARY is 20-12 ATS (+33.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 18-10 ATS (+29.6 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 122-120 ATS (+272.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
CALGARY is 17-10 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 4-2 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 4-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.8 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, March 6

Trend Report

Washington Capitals
Washington is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Philadelphia is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Washington

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver
Toronto is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Vancouver
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vancouver
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Vancouver is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vancouver's last 7 games
Vancouver is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Vancouver is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Vancouver is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing Toronto
Vancouver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Vancouver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Vancouver's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
St. Louis is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
St. Louis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
St. Louis is 5-19-1 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Anaheim is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 8 games
Anaheim is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Anaheim is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games at home
Anaheim is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Anaheim is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis
Anaheim is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Calgary Flames
Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Calgary is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games on the road
Calgary is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
Calgary is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing Vegas
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games
Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 7 games
Vegas is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas's last 9 games at home
Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
Vegas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing Calgary

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 6


Calgary @ Vegas

Game 47-48
March 6, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
12.165
Vegas
10.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vegas
-150
6
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(+130); Over

St. Louis @ Anaheim

Game 45-46
March 6, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
10.724
Anaheim
11.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-170
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
(+150); Under

Toronto @ Vancouver

Game 43-44
March 6, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
12.650
Vancouver
10.712
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-190
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-190); Over

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 41-42
March 6, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
12.721
Philadelphia
11.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Under