Friday 3-8-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358322

    #46
    Friday's Essentials
    Tony Mejia

    Game of the Night - Denver at Golden State (-9, 219), 10:35 ET, ESPN

    The Warriors are being doubted again.

    We’ll see if they actually care considering it is still the regular season, but squaring off against the team that remains their top competition for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference should bring out the best in them. Golden State opens the night one game up on the Nuggets for the best record in the West and all the spoils that come with that, so we’ll see whether it has the goods to buckle down and take a two-game lead on the team closest to them in the standings.

    By now, they’ve heard all the noise. Kevin Durant, who must decide whether to continue with the Warriors as they move to San Francisco or leave for another destination, has shot 5-for-24 from 3-point range over the last three games. The 18 points he scored in Tuesday’s blowout loss to Boston was his fourth-lowest scoring output of the season and lowest-scoring performance in a loss.

    He’ll have redemption in mind. DeMarcus Cousins’ defensive shortcomings have been another reason the Warriors have struggled, so his matchup with All-Star Nikola Jokic will be one all eyes will be fixated upon.

    Klay Thompson is returning from a two-game absence from knee soreness, so missing one of their five All-Star starters won’t be an excuse. While there are a lot of people tripping over themselves to pick someone else to come out of the West or anoint an East contender the favorite, there’s also a great chance Golden State is simply bored. The regular season still has over a month remaining and a team that has bent over backwards to get Cousins acclimated and ensure he’s in playing shape still has the best record in the league’s most loaded conference.

    To write off the Warriors as some sort of washed-up group that Is suddenly vulnerable is the stupidest thing I’ve seen this year. Mind you, we’re only in March, but I have a feeling that I’ll continue feeling this way come December whether Durant is playing in New York alongside Kyrie Irving or with the Warriors as the face of the franchise as the team moves to San Francisco. Golden State remains the heavy betting favorite to win the NBA title later this month and should continue in that role the rest of the way despite all the nonsense currently being spouted by people who should know better.

    No, Golden State hasn’t been sharp of late. Yes, they’re still the team that viewed the Nuggets as a viable threat on Jan. 15 and decided to send a message their way by posting a 142-111 rout in Denver. They ensured Nikola Jokic couldn’t feel comfortable by operating at 100 miles per hour and utilizing pace to ensure the Nuggets couldn’t slow the game and get comfortable in the halfcourt.

    There’s no question that the Warriors are in better position to pull off an upset this time around, so it will be even more telling if Golden State is able to prove once again that it has bigger fish to fry. For anyone looking to take the points with the Nuggets tonight, the desire to prove that point has to be the motivation. With Will Barton and Paul Millsap back and playing at high level, Isaiah Thomas slowly playing his way into shape with the second unit and a team that legitimately goes 10-deep taking aim at some revenge, there is reason to think they’ll be able to rebound.

    There’s also reason to think that the Warriors are simply a bad matchup for the Nuggets and should be avoided at all costs. We’ll see how the presence of Cousins affect things since he’ll be a larger part of the equation here, but Golden State utilized its team speed to blitz Denver in the most recent meeting between the teams and could employ the same approach.

    Golden State is 1-9 ATS over its last 10 games and is averaging just 105.4 points on Friday games, which may be another reason you may want to fade the defending champs. They’re last in the NBA with a 25-38-1 against the spread and are just 6-13 ATS after a loss and 11-20-1 ATS at Oracle.

    The Nuggets are just 13-18 ATS on the road and haven’t been great outside of Denver, so be wary of that as they face a Golden State that tops the NBA in scoring with 118.2 points per game. With Thompson, Shaun Livingston and Kevon Looney all available, it’s clear the Warriors are looking to send a message in this one. The Nugs are relatively healthy too, missing only power forward Trey Lyles.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358322

      #47
      Hoop Trends - Friday
      Vince Akins

      ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

      -- The Mavericks are 19-0 ATS (+8.39 ppg) as a dog with less than two days rest after playing as a road dog when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 20 fouls per game.

      ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

      -- The Pistons are 0-16 ATS (-13.94 ppg) on the road off a 10+ win as a home favorite when they are facing a team that is getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end of the floor.

      OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

      -- The Wizards are 14-0 OU (+18.86 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite in which they scored a least 18 fast break points.

      OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

      -- The Rockets are 0-17 OU (-17.38 ppg) at home off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is averaging more than five blocks per game.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358322

        #48
        NHL
        Long Sheet

        Friday, March 8


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (33-27-0-8, 74 pts.) at FLORIDA (28-27-0-12, 68 pts.) - 3/8/2019, 7:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MINNESOTA is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        MINNESOTA is 4-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.1 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW JERSEY (25-33-0-9, 59 pts.) at WASHINGTON (39-21-0-7, 85 pts.) - 3/8/2019, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        NEW JERSEY is 25-42 ATS (+74.4 Units) in all games this season.
        WASHINGTON is 105-69 ATS (+208.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+8.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 25-9 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
        WASHINGTON is 23-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WASHINGTON is 7-3 (+2.3 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
        WASHINGTON is 7-3-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
        7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.1 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WINNIPEG (39-23-0-4, 82 pts.) at CAROLINA (36-23-0-7, 79 pts.) - 3/8/2019, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CAROLINA is 20-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
        WINNIPEG is 100-66 ATS (+17.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        WINNIPEG is 13-4 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
        WINNIPEG is 19-12 ATS (+34.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        CAROLINA is 72-76 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        CAROLINA is 15-20 ATS (-8.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WINNIPEG is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        WINNIPEG is 4-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.2 Units)

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MONTREAL (36-25-0-7, 79 pts.) at ANAHEIM (26-33-0-9, 61 pts.) - 3/8/2019, 10:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MONTREAL is 3-2 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
        MONTREAL is 3-2-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358322

          #49
          NHL

          Friday, March 8


          Trend Report

          Minnesota Wild
          Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
          Minnesota is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 9 games
          Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
          Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Florida
          Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Florida
          Florida Panthers
          Florida is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
          Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida's last 8 games
          Florida is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
          Florida is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Minnesota

          New Jersey Devils
          New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          New Jersey is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games
          New Jersey is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Jersey's last 5 games on the road
          New Jersey is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Washington
          New Jersey is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing Washington
          New Jersey is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Washington
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
          Washington Capitals
          Washington is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games
          Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
          Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Jersey
          Washington is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing New Jersey
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing New Jersey
          Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against New Jersey
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey

          Winnipeg Jets
          Winnipeg is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games
          Winnipeg is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Winnipeg's last 8 games
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games on the road
          Winnipeg is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
          Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing Carolina
          Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Carolina
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 5 games when playing on the road against Carolina
          Carolina Hurricanes
          Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
          Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
          Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
          Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
          Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

          Montreal Canadiens
          Montreal is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
          Montreal is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
          Montreal is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
          Montreal is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
          Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Anaheim
          Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Anaheim
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
          Montreal is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
          Anaheim Ducks
          Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
          Anaheim is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Anaheim's last 9 games
          Anaheim is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          Anaheim is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
          Anaheim is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Montreal
          Anaheim is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Montreal
          Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing at home against Montreal
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358322

            #50
            NHL
            Dunkel

            Friday, March 8



            Montreal @ Anaheim

            Game 77-78
            March 8, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Montreal
            11.406
            Anaheim
            10.332
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Montreal
            by 1
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Anaheim
            -110
            5 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Montreal
            (-110); Over

            Winnipeg @ Carolina


            Game 75-76
            March 8, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Winnipeg
            12.446
            Carolina
            11.468
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Winnipeg
            by 1
            7
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Carolina
            -160
            6 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Winnipeg
            (+140); Over

            New Jersey @ Washington


            Game 73-74
            March 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            New Jersey
            9.491
            Washington
            12.891
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Washington
            by 3 1/2
            4
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Washington
            -325
            6
            Dunkel Pick:
            Washington
            (-325); Under

            Minnesota @ Florida


            Game 71-72
            March 8, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            12.138
            Florida
            10.539
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Minnesota
            by 1 1/2
            5
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Minnesota
            -115
            6 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Minnesota
            (-115); Under
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358322

              #51
              The streak continues!

              After a 5-4 shootout win over the Buffalo Sabers the Over is now 22-1-1 in the Hawks last 24 games.

              The last time the Hawks played in a game that went Under was Jan 22 vs the Islanders.

              Chicago's next game is Saturday in Dallas
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