Service Plays Thursday 3/7/19

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 06:05 AM

Stats Analytics Sports

College Basketball
3* South Alabama/Coastal Carolina Under 147
3* UC Santa Barbara/CS Northridge Under 147
2* Southern Utah +5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 06:24 AM

PicksTennis
ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA)
Giron - Chardy
Under 22.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 06:24 AM

Spartan

3* Portland -3.5

Analysis:
The Blazers are finally back home after a very strong east coast swing. Long seven game road trip but they held up well. Now they are back in the friendly confines and welcome a Thunder team that has looked pretty vulnerable of late. The Thunder are a maddening team and one that has been breaking the bankrolls of backers for awhile now. They have failed to cover in four of the last five trips into Portland as well as their last four games on the road. That is why it might turn some heads to see them getting the fairly generous points in a game many consider a coin toss. But over the long term the stubborn fact is the Blazers have been by and large a pure money proposition on their home court. I like the Thunder, actually do and I really respect the way Westbrook plays at 100% night after night. That is kind of rare in this era quite frankly. But the weak link with this team, again my own view, is their vulnerability down in the post. I thought that was evident last game out when Towns lit them up. Bottom line is I will lay the points here with Portland at home.

Now, have cashed on 10 of my last 12 games involving Portland. But, that is strong but not 12 of 12. Same stance as always. Locks and sure things are for fools. I don't play that nonsense. Please wager this like any triple, nothing more or less. It's one game fellas. One game in our journey. Many sincere thanks as always and best of luck to each one of us. Enjoy the game.

Pick Made: Mar 6 2019 7:35PM PST

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 06:26 AM

Stephen Nover

3* LA KINGS +125

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 06:26 AM

JR ODONNELL

3* UC Santa Barbara -2.5

**dawggy** · 03-07-2019, 07:03 AM

A. Ralph

Super PK Coastal Carolina - 6 1/2

GOLD Key

UConn - 1 1/2, Central FLA -2, Ark Little Rock -1

FREE play : THURS Indiana ST -2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 07:12 AM

Ken Thomson

2* Indiana St. -2

2* Illinois St. -4

2* Illinois -2

2* Central Florida -2.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 07:13 AM

Sleepyj

3* Stanford / California over 140

Analysis:
Don't look now, but Cal is on a hot streak. yes the Golden Bears have now won two in a row and you know they are gunning for another win here. Well that's good news and they won't be able to rely on the defense for this game. Stanford on offense has been much better for the most part. They are scoring big point totals on poor defensive teams. Cal would rate as a very bad defensive team and Stanford being at home will set the pace. Stanford would like to run the score up here on Cal I would assume. Now these teams played this season already and scored a total of 165 points in the 1st meeting. So well over this total.

Season PPG suggests this total should be 146...So I feel we are getting some value in that alone. Now Cal who has won two games in a row has been getting it done with offense. In back to back games the Golden Bears have score 76 in each game. That's about 7.5 points above the season average. Now Stanford isn't a great defense by any means...They are decent, but I don't think they'll care much to try to slow the game down to lock down Cal in this game. Stanford will want to score and showboat beating Cal in this game. The line suggests Stanford will have an easy time with Cal. I'm not so sure though. Cal has won two games and beat both the Washington teams. My feeling is they are doing something on offense that makes them more competitive from what they were doing the entire season. Maybe it's just the simple fact that they have nothing to lose.

I like the fact that this is Stanford final home game. The crowd will want a win, but they will also want all the bells and whistles to go along with a win tonight. I think they get that fast paced game filled with 3's and dunks.

Stanford shot 24 3's against Wazzu and cal shot 26 3's against Wazzu. My thinking is both teams on defense play a similar style to each other. Therefore they both might feel comfortable shooting up the 3 ball again at an alarming rate. Cal 3pt defense is brutal...They rank #348 in the nation out of 353 schools...It's that bad...Stanford ranks #160, which is average, but if Cal don't give a care lol....Well they will shoot em up anyway. Another thing that puts me on the over is the turnovers. Both teams are bad with turning the ball over. That creates fast break points and baskets...Plus they also run the risk of fouls...free throw line won't be a bad area for us tonight I don't think being Stanford is worse of the two teams, but they are at home. You know Cal wants to win 3 in a row and they want to beat their rival. Stanford wants this game bad as well...I don't see some 65-50 type score...I see more of a 83-75 type score.

Pick Made: Mar 6 2019 11:56PM PST

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 08:24 AM

Stephen Oh

UNDER 233.5

OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND | 3/07 | 10:30 PM EST

YESTERDAY 10:14 PM
My data suggests a maximum of 228 points will hit the scoreboard Thursday between the Thunder and Blazers, opening up a value position on the Under against this sky-high total. The Under is on a 4-1 run in this series and Portland has played Under in five straight following a road trip of a week or longer.

68-42 IN LAST 110 NBA PICKS | +2245
3-0 IN LAST 3 OKC O/U PICKS | +300

INDIANA +10.5

INDIANA @ MILWAUKEE | 3/07 | 8:00 PM EST

YESTERDAY 10:10 PM
My numbers see a tight game Thursday between the Pacers and Bucks. I've got Indiana staying within five points or fewer and covering this spread in more than 60 percent of simulations. Milwaukee has been covering at a rapid pace of late, so there's been an adjustment and we should take advantage with a solid road underdog getting double figures.

68-42 IN LAST 110 NBA PICKS | +2245
4-1 IN LAST 5 IND ATS PICKS | +289

8-5 IN LAST 13 MIL ATS PICKS | +266

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 08:25 AM

King creole

2* Portland -3.5

Analysis: double-dime bet
March 7th
10:35pm ET (7:35pm PT)
TNT TV
#549-550
Oklahoma City Thunder @ Portland Trailblazers
3*** Play on: PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS minus the points

We jumped on the home FAVORITE in this Thursday late-night game as soon as the opening line of Portland -3.5 came out. I think bettors will agree with us when they read some of the mind-blowing numbers that apply to this key Northwest Division game. One thing is for sure. The Ok City Thunder is currently in their worst funk of the 2018/2019 season. They’re the ONLY Team that has failed to cover the pointspread in ANY game since the resumption of play after the All-Star break. So with that said, let’s look at the applicable TEAM trends for this game…

OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER:
*A perfect 0-8 ATS in their last eight games, including 0-7 ATS after the All-Star break…
*A piss-poor team in DIVISION play over the last three years. That includes 10-25-1 ATS versus all Northwest Division opponents… including 2-15 ATS when playing off a LOSS in their last game (lost to Minnesota 130-121 on Tuesday). That includes a perfect 0-8 ATS when playing in the division road.
*10-26-1 ATS since 2015 as short ROAD underdogs of 6 or less points when playing off a SU loss.
*A very poor team on this particular Day of the Week. The Thunder have gone 4-18 ATS in their last 22 THURSDAY road games.
*The 2nd WORST team in terms of Offensive Efficiency over their last four games. Their average of only 103.7 points per 100 possessions is #29 in the league (right behind the Dallas Mavericks at 99.0).

PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS:
*Already tied for the 2nd BEST home team in the entire league this season. Denver is #1 at 22-1 ATS. Portland is right behind (tied with Dallas at 21-11 ATS).
*The league’s BEST home team over the last two seasons. Since December of the 2017 season, Portland has gone 41-16-1 ATS in their last 58 home games. That includes 18-6 ATS when playing off a loss in their last game… and 11-1 ATS versus any opponent off a DOUBLE-DIGIT loss (like the Thunder).
*A great team as home ‘chalk’ in division play. Portland has gone 14-2 ATS in the last four seasons as division home favorites when playing with REVENGE.
*A GREAT team on this particular Day of the Week. In the last 3 seasons, Portland has gone a PERFECT 15-0 ATS on THURSDAYS in regular season play! That (naturally) includes a perfect 8-0 ATS already THIS season.

Portland also has the ultimate in motivation in regards to this game. they had lost each of the last three meetings versus the Thunder. That includes two losses in January AT Oklahoma City. So REVENGE comes into play.
In the last three years, NBA same-DIVISION home favorites playing with TRIPLE Revenge (TRAILBLAZERS) have gone 19-5 ATS when playing of fa loss in their last game. That includes 8-1 ATS already this season.

The Blazers were mid-to-larger road favorites against the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. They lost OUTRIGHT to Memphis by nine points (120 to 111)… 17-2 ATS last 20 years / 12-1 ATS last 10 years: All NBA home teams off a SU non-division road FAV loss of 8 or more points (TRAILBLAZERS) versus any .600 > opponent (Thunder), when the OU line is 209 or more points.

The Thunder is basically in an identical situation. They were road favorites versus the Timberwolves two nights ago. They were SHOCKED in that one, and ending losing by 11 points (131-120)… 2-11 ATS last 6 years / 1-8 ATS last four years: All NBA same-DIVISION road underdogs of > 2 points off a SU division road FAV loss of Double Digits (Thunder).

We also ran a query for teams like Oklahoma City who are on extended multi-game ATS losing streaks… 0-8-1 ATS last three years: All DIVISION road underdogs off 5 or more ATS losses in a row (Thunder).

Pick Made: Mar 6 2019 2:54PM PST

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 08:25 AM

Ben Burns

3* Coastal Carolina -6

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 10:33 AM

Adam Thompson

PORTLAND -3.5

OKLAHOMA CITY @ PORTLAND | 3/07 | 10:30 PM EST
9:26 AM
The Thunder are in a big funk right now. They've lost five of six, the only victory being a four-pointer against the Grizzlies (without Mike Conley). They're also on a stunning 0-8 ATS streak, and now head to Portland, one of the tougher places to get a win, to face a Blazers team that's found a rhythm. They've won six of eight, a streak that includes a home win over the Warriors and road wins over the Sixers and Celtics. The Thunder handled the Blazers in OKC roughly a month ago, but momentum has shifted on both sides since then.

60-41-1 IN LAST 102 NBA ATS PICKS | +1469
6-1 IN LAST 7 POR ATS PICKS | +489

5-2 IN LAST 7 OKC ATS PICKS | +273

**golden contender** · 03-07-2019, 11:00 AM

GC: NCAAB

Thursday card has the Executive level NCAAB Tier 1 Play and the NBA Central Division Game of the Year headlining a powerful hoops card. PAC 12 Comp play below.

The PAC Play is on Stanford at 11:00 eastern. The Cardinal should coast in this game as they have covered 5 of 6 off a loss, 12 of 15 at home vs teams that are less than .400 on the road and 4 of 5 covers vs teams who allow 75 or more points per game. California is off a pair of home dog wins which sets them up in play against system that pertains to road dogs off the 2 upset wins. The Bears have failed to cover 4 of 5 off a win and 9 of 12 on Thursdays. With the home team covering 8 of 9 in this series. We side with Stanford. On Thursday the NBA Central Division Game of the Year is up along with a late 5* Total. In NCAB Action we have our Exclusive TIER 1 Side and the NCAAB Total of the Month and more. See us on Facebook to jump on. For the PAC 12 Free Pick. Play on Stanford. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-07-2019, 11:38 AM

Fezzik

2* Colorado -5.5

Service Plays Thursday 3/7/19

Service Plays Thursday 3/7/19

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