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Game: (847) Delaware at (848) William & Mary Date/Time: Mar 10 2019 2:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Heritage Play Rating: 4% Play: William & Mary -4.5 (-108)
#848 4* William & Mary -4.5 Delaware 1:30 PM
Play is based on current form. William & Mary sat at 7-14 with a backcourt made up of two freshman. They split their next 4 games then finished the season winning 5 straight. The Tribe hit 48% while allowing 41.8% the last 5 while Delaware made 42.7% and allowed 47.5%.
Game: (843) Wisconsin at (844) Ohio State Date/Time: Mar 10 2019 4:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle Play Rating: 5% Play: Wisconsin -2.0 (-108)
#843 5% Wisconsin -2 Ohio St 3:30 PM
5% play up to -4, 4% up to -5.5, 3% play at -6+
We have already faded Ohio St without Kaleb Wesson who will miss again with a suspension. He is not only their leading scorer but their leading rebounder as well and in the first two games of is suspension the Buckeyes have lost 86-61 at Purdue and 68-50 at Northwestern (a team that was on a 10 game losing streak). Ohio St has shot 38.0% their last 5 games while Wisconsin’s D is rounding into March for allowing 37.0% their last 5 games. Team are plying for only the second time in two season and Wisconsin remembers LY;s meeting an 83-58 game at home.
Game: (863) Monmouth at (864) Canisius Date/Time: Mar 10 2019 8:30 PM EDT Betting Line Provider: Westgate Play Rating: 3% Play: Monmouth 0.0 (-110)
#863 3* Monmouth pk Canisius 7:30 PM EspnU
Monmouth has the top D in the MAAC and down the stretch they allowed 36.9% their last 5 games!! Despite having to play a third game in this tourney compared to only the second for Canisius the Hawks did play their opener Thursday with Friday off. Canisius had to fight back yesterday from a DD deficit and won in OT on Friday and then has an off day. Despite the schedule disparity I don’t; mind taking the far superior D that uses 8 men their rotation with no player playing more than 31 minutes in yesterday’s win.
UNDER 64.5 1ST HALF MONMOUTH VS CANISIUS | 3/10 | 8:30 PM EDT
11:11 AM
I don't know what it is about the Times Union Center, but 1st Half Unders have always done well for me in this building during MAAC tournament games. With these teams playing on consecutive days, I'm hoping tired legs help me too.
UNDER 66.5 1ST HALF SIENA VS IONA | 3/10 | 6:00 PM EDT
11:10 AM
I don't know what it is about the Times Union Center, but 1st Half Unders have always done well for me in this building during MAAC tournament games. With these teams playing on consecutive days, I'm hoping tired legs help me too.
SMU +2
SMU @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 3/10 | 4:00 PM EDT
11:08 AM
SMU enters this game on a four-game losing streak but I believe there's value on the Mustangs in this matchup. The Bulls are much better defensively, but on offense, South Florida can be atrocious at times. It turns the ball over too much, and while it does a good job getting to the free throw line, it only makes 63.5% of them. SMU's offense will be enough to get the cover and possibly win outright.
UNDER 138 LIBERTY @ LIPSCOMB | 3/10 | 3:00 PM EDT
11:05 AM
This goes in line with a few of my other picks. I just like taking Unders in conference championship games. The combination of nerves playing for both a conference title and NCAA bid along with tired legs from playing games on consecutive days usually leads to sloppy offense, and that leads to Unders at a profitable rate.
UNDER 55.5 1ST HALF
NORTHERN IOWA VS BRADLEY | 3/10 | 2:05 PM EDT
11:04 AM
Over my years of degeneracy I've noticed a trend in certain buildings during conference tournaments. Teams playing at these neutral sites tend to struggle shooting early, and it leads to first-half Unders more often than not. The Enterprise Center is one such building. Plus, both of these teams are playing their third game in three days, which should only help.
UNDER 120 NORTHERN IOWA VS BRADLEY | 3/10 | 2:05 PM EDT
11:01 AM
I've always liked taking Unders in conference finals. It's a combination of nerves and tired legs after playing so many days in a row that tends to lead to lower scores in games like this. And in a one-bid league like this one, the stakes are even higher, so nerves will be higher.
ILLINOIS +7.5
ILLINOIS @ PENN ST. | 3/10 | 12:00 PM EDT
10:59 AM
Penn State beat Illinois by seven in Champaign earlier this season, so logic would dictate that they'd beat Illinois by more at home. Well, I've never been known for being logical. The difference in that game was at the free throw line. A Penn State team that's shot only 69.4% from the free throw line this season made 26 of 32 that night. I don't expect Penn State to shoot as well from the line in this game, nor do I expect it'll get so many attempts. That alone might keep it from covering.
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