Wednesday 3-13-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ACC tournament Round 2 odds, predictions and NCAA basketball best bets
Andrew Caley

The ACC tournament rolls into the Second Round with four games on tap Wednesday at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, which includes a pair of bubble teams doing battle and some blue bloods getting into the mix. We deliver you the must-read betting notes to help you crack the odds for the ACC tourney.

Clemson Tigers vs North Carolina State Wolfpack

Odds: NC State +1.5, 140.5 O/U @ Points Bet
Start Time: 12:00 p.m. ET Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Season Series: NCST 1-0 SU, CLEM 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U

The opening game of the second round of the ACC tournament might serve as a play-in game to the Big Dance when eighth-seeded North Carolina State takes on No. 9 seed Clemson in a battle of bubble teams.

The Wolfpack and Tigers both figure to be among the teams the selection committee is debating down to the wire Sunday, so a victory could make the difference in who makes the cut. The head-to-head meeting might carry extra weight for the Tigers, who suffered a terrible 69-67 road loss, but covered as 4.5-point pups to the Wolfpack on Jan. 26. A game in which they led 67-61 with 26 seconds to go, but Tigers’ senior and guard and leading scorer missed four straight free throws to aide the Wolfpack’s stunning comeback.

In that matchup, NC State got out to an early 30-24 lead and that should come as no surprise to Wolfpack backers. North Carolina State is one of the best first half scoring teams in the country, ranking 14th with an average of 39 per contest and a still impressive 38 away from home. Clemson on the other hand, is more of a second half team. They rank 202nd at 33.2 first half points per game.

NC State is a high scoring squad (3rd in the ACC at 81 ppg) but its true shooting percentage is more middle of the pack (no pun intended) and can make them an iffy full game wager. So, ride the Wolfpack’s early game edge and take them on the first half moneyline at +100.

Miami Hurricanes vs Virginia Tech Hokies

Odds: Virgina Tech -7.5, 137.5 O/U @ Points Bet
Start Time: 2:00 p.m. ET Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Season Series: VT 2-0 SU/ATS, 2-0 O/U

Virginia Tech matched the program record with 23 regular-season victories and the fifth-seeded Hokies hope there are more milestones to come as they start play in the second round of ACC tournament against No. 12 seed Miami on Wednesday.

Virginia Tech won six of 10 and five of the past seven without injured senior point guard Justin Robinson (foot), capped by an 84-70 triumph against Miami on Friday to finish with a team-record 12 ACC wins. Robinson returns for this matchup and rejoins a Hokies’ starting lineup that features four players averaging 13-plus points per game. They also shoot nearly 40 percent from 3-point range as a team, seventh best in the nation.

That could spell trouble for, Miami which went just 4-10-1 ATS away from its home court. The Hurricanes are a streaky shooting team and are one of the worst perimeter defending teams in not just the ACC, but the country, allowing opponents to shoot 34.5 percent from deep.

Virginia Tech swept the season series against Miami SU and ATS, shooting 50.6 percent from downtown while limiting Miami to 28.6 percent. There’s no reason to think anything will change this time around. Back the Hokies to make it a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS after tomorrow.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs Louisville Cardinals

Odds: Louisville -7.5, 134 O/U @ Points Bet
Start Time: 7:00 p.m. ET Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Season Series: LOU 1-0 SU/ATS, 0-1 O/U

Notre Dame snapped a seven-game losing streak Tuesday by shooting the lights out in the first half against Georgia Tech, to advance to the second round of the ACC tournament, where they'll face Louisville Wednesday.

The Irish shot an incredible 58 percent from the field in opening up a 52-32 lead at the break and managed to hold off a late surge by the Yellow Jackets to secure the date with the Cardinals. Louisville and Notre Dame will be playing for the second time this season and the second time in 11 days. The Cardinals easily won the previous matchup 75-61 at home March 3 as Jordan Nwora recorded 20 points and 11 rebounds.

Louisville held Notre Dame to 34.6 percent shooting in that game, which is its calling card this season. The Cardinals rank 37th in the country and seventh in the ACC in opponents field goal percentage at 20.8 percent. Yesterday’s crazy outburst aside, Notre Dame ranks second to last in shooting percentage in the ACC at 39.8.

Look for Louisville to jump out to an early lead as it averages 34.4 first half points per game away from home, while Notre Dame sits at 29.4 in the same category. The Irish’s scoring outburst was very out of character and it will be very difficult for them to repeat that performance on back-to-back days against a superior Cardinals team. Look hard to Louisville on the first half spread at -4.

Pitt Panthers vs Syracuse Orange

Odds: Syracuse -7, 132.5 O/U @ Points Bet
Start Time: 9:00 p.m. ET Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Season Series: CUSE 2-0 SU/ATS, 1-1 O/U

No. 14 Pitt snapped a 13-game losing streak Saturday with a win over Notre Dame and made it two straight Tuesday evening by jumping out to a 15-point halftime lead and holding on for an 80-70 victory over BC. It's reward? A date with a sixth-seeded Syracuse team that won and covered two previous meetings this season.

Wednesday’s contest will be the third meeting of the season with Syracuse winning 74-63 as 7.5-point favorites at home Jan. 19 and 65-56 at Pitt as 3.5-point road faves on Feb. 2. Pitt's freshmen guards Trey McGowens and Xavier Johnson were the big reason for the win over the Eagles, leading the Panthers in scoring against the Eagles with 26 and 23 points, respectively. However, the young Panthers struggled with the Orange’s 2-3 zone defense, shooting 33.8 percent and 31.6 percent from the field while turning the ball over a combined 28 times in the two previous meetings.

You need to be able to hit shots to defeat the Syracuse zone, and Pitt is just too inconsistent in that regard. Fatigue will set in for Pitt and Cuse will pull away late. Lay the points with favorite in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pac-12 tournament Round 1 odds, predictions and NCAA basketball best bets
Patrick Everson

Colorado has been a red-hot Under bet the past 24 games, with the total going low in 17 of those games. The Under is also 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Buffaloes and Arizona State.

Las Vegas is again host to the Pac-12 tournament, with eight of those dozen teams taking the floor in Wednesday’s first round at T-Mobile Arena. Perhaps the most intriguing game features a regular NCAA Tournament team that might not even get a sniff from the National Invitation Tournament this year. We have that angle covered and more, with must-read betting notes on each of the Pac-12 openers.

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TROJANS VS. ARIZONA WILDCATS

Odds: Arizona -1.5, 138 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Start Time: 3 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Season Series: USC 1-0, USC 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U

The Pac-12 was, to put it kindly, not good at all this year, and yet normally solid Arizona couldn’t take advantage, going just 17-14 SU and 13-17-1 ATS. Further, it sounds as if coach Sean Miller might be exiting the program once this season ends. Perhaps that’s motivation for the No. 8 seed Wildcats to get it going against No. 9 Southern California (15-16 SU, 13-18 ATS).

The problem with that suggestion? The Wildcats finished the year on a 3-9 SU and ATS freefall. And coincidentally, that stretch began when they were 1-point road underdogs in an 80-57 beatdown by Southern Cal. Though the Trojans are also struggling, they’re worth considering in this game.

CALIFORNIA GOLDEN BEARS VS. COLORADO BUFFALOES

Odds: Colorado -10, 137 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Start Time: 5:30 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas
Season Series: COLO 1-0, COLO 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U

No. 12 seed California sports a few Under trends, including 4-1 in its last five games overall and 4-1 in its last five at neutral sites. Fifth-seeded Colorado has a much larger body of Under work, at 17-7 in its last 24 games.

And when these two teams get together, the Under is often the order of the day. In the last 10 Cal-Colorado clashes, the total has gone low eight times, including this season’s lone meeting – a 68-59 Buffaloes road win that fell well short of the 146.5 total. Tonight’s total is much lower, but with those stats in mind, take a hard look at the Under in this contest.

STANFORD CARDINAL VS. UCLA BRUINS

Odds: Pick, 151.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Start Time: 9 p.m. ET
Season Series: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U

Neither 10th-seeded Stanford nor seventh-seeded UCLA lit it up late in the regular season, with the Cardinal losing four of their last five SU, and the Bruins going 4-6 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10. But from a pointspread perspective, Stanford has proven to be the better bounceback team.

The Cardinal are 6-1 ATS in their last seven outings following a pointspread loss. On the flip side, the Bruins are on a 4-10 ATS purge when coming off an ATS setback. UCLA ended the regular season with double-digit losses at Colorado and Utah, failing to cash in either game. Consider the Cardinal in a pick ‘em game.

WASHINGTON STATE COUGARS VS. OREGON DUCKS

Odds: Oregon -11.5, 138.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Start Time: 11:30 p.m. ET
Season Series: ORE 2-0, ORE 2-0 ATS, 0-2 O/U

Sixth-seeded Oregon and 11th seeded Washington State, who meet in the first-round nightcap, were polar opposites down the stretch. The Ducks went 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games, while the Cougars (11-20 SU, 13-18 ATS) lost their last five SU and ATS.

Further, one of those Oregon victories came at Washington State just last week, 72-61 as 6.5-point chalk. And the Ducks (19-12 SU, 16-15 ATS) followed with an impressive 55-47 road win over first-place Washington as 5.5-point ‘dogs Sunday. Oregon could make a surprise run in the Pac-12 tourney and certainly merits a look against the number here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 13


Detroit @ Miami

Game 547-548
March 13, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.654
Miami
116.407
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+1 1/2); Over

Orlando @ Washington

Game 549-550
March 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
122.329
Washington
119.866
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 2 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+2 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Atlanta

Game 551-552
March 13, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
115.955
Atlanta
121.935
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 6
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 1
221
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-1); Under

Brooklyn @ Oklahoma City

Game 553-554
March 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
114.818
Oklahoma City
124.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 10
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7 1/2
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-7 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Houston

Game 555-556
March 13, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
116.387
Houston
123.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7 1/2
237
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 3
232 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-3); Over

Utah @ Phoenix

Game 557-558
March 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
122.940
Phoenix
113.117
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 10
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

549Orlando -550 Washington
ORLANDO is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

553Brooklyn -554 Oklahoma City
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside the Paint - Wednesday
Chris David

All things usually balance out in the long run and daily followers of the NBA are starting to see that trend take place at the betting counter recently. After watching the underdogs own the first three weeks after the All-Star break, favorites have started to flex in a big week. Since Monday, the ‘chalk’ has gone 11-2 straight up and 9-4 against the spread and that includes last night’s results of 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS. For total players, the ‘under’ still holds a slight edge (79-68) in the second-half but I expect a big night of ‘over’ tickets to dominate the slate in the near future.

Game of the Night (ESPN, 9:35 p.m. ET)

Golden State (45-21 SU, 26-39-1 ATS) at Houston (42-25 SU, 31-34-2 ATS)

A possible preview of the Western Conference Finals will take place on Wednesday as the Warriors will meet the Rockets from the Toyota Center. Houston will be seeking an improbable sweep of the four-game season series and by doing so, the Rockets would only be three games behind the Warriors in the latest race for the top seed in the West.

Houston has been installed as a 3 ½-point home favorite and NBA expert Tony Mejia weighed in on the fourth showdown between the pair.

He said, “Steph Curry is calling this an opportunity to send a statement, but the fact Kevin Durant is coming off an ankle contusion means it doesn’t really mean all that much from that standpoint. The exception to that would be if Golden State were to win without him, but considering they fell apart against the lowly Suns without the reigning two-time MVP, it’s the Rockets that who are more likely to send a message in putting a little doubt in the Warriors on the heels of a stretch where they’ve gone 4-6.”

“Getting DeMarcus Cousins was always going to be taxing and he could be exposed as a liability due to his pick-and-roll defense against a team that boasts James Harden and Chris Paul, but injuries have further compounded things. Klay Thompson missed a couple of games, Draymond Green seems stuck in a place with no confidence to shoot the ball and key reserves Shaun Livingston and Kevon Looney have had their knocks. All that in addition to Durant’s unfortunate ankle tweak at home against Phoenix makes this a tough game for the Warriors and a prime opportunity for the Rockets to finish off a season sweep of the defending champs.”

As Mejia mentioned, the Warriors have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games and more importantly they’re 2-8 ATS during this span and that includes the embarrassing 115-11 loss at home to Phoenix on Sunday as 17-point home favorites. If you go back 20 games, Golden State is 6-14 ATS and its been favored in all of those games.

Catching points this season has been a rarity for Golden State but it has happened five teams and Steve Kerr’s team has gone 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS. Kevin Durant (ankle) is ‘out’ Wednesday and the Warriors are 0-1 this season without him, a 103-96 decision at Orlando on Feb. 28.

While Golden State has struggled, Houston has been on fire with a 9-1 record in its last 10 games. The Rockets have gone 5-4-1 ATS during this run and the team is finally healthy. After starting the season with an 11-14 record, Mike D’Antoni and company have gone 31-11. A lot of that success has come at home with Houston going 24-9 SU and 18-14-1 ATS. That record also comes after the team started 0-4 at the Toyota Center.

From a head-to-head perspective, Mejia argues that a fully-active Rockets squad has an edge over the Warriors.

He explained, “Paul has missed one of this year’s victories, but it’s worth noting that the Rockets have defeated Golden State five of the last six times he’s taken the court for them and are 7-3 overall with him in the lineup since he came on board last season. With Kenneth Faried back, the Rockets are the healthiest they’ve been all season and have really dominated games on the defensive end during their nine-game winning streak, giving up 106 or fewer points in five consecutive contests.”

The total on this game is hovering between 230 and 231 points. Despite the offensive firepower on both sides, this series has been a great ‘under’ bet with the low side cashing in eight of the last 10 meetings. They did play to a 135-134 shootout on Jan. 3 from the Bay Area and the ‘over’ (232) in the recent meeting at Oracle Arena on Feb. 23 had a chance to go high but the Warriors were stifled late in a 118-112 loss to the Rockets.

Including four games from last year’s Western Conference Finals, the ‘under’ has gone 4-1 in the last five games between the pair from Houston. The Warriors have been a better ‘over’ (19-13) team on the road but they’re only averaging 101 points per game in their last five visits to Houston.

Eastern Test

Two teams fighting for playoff spots in the Eastern Conference will meet on Wednesday when Detroit (34-32 SU, 33-31-2 ATS) and Miami (31-35 SU, 35-31) meet at the American Airlines Arena. This will be the final meeting between the two teams and the Pistons have gone 2-1 both SU and ATS versus the Heat and that includes a 119-96 blowout win on Feb. 23 as 3 ½-point road underdogs. For the fairly quick rematch, Miami opened as a 1 ½-point favorite and some of the adjustment can be based on form.

Even though the Pistons were embarrassed 103-75 this past Monday as two-point road underdogs, the club still owns an 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS mark in the second-half of the season. Miami was also lit up in its last game, a 125-104 decision to Toronto as a two-point home favorite. Prior to that win, the Heat had won five of their last six games both SU and ATS with four of the victories coming at home.

The Pistons hold a three-game lead over the Heat for the seventh spot in the East so the sense or urgency should be much higher for Miami. Especially with the Bucks and Hornets visiting the American Airlines Arena later this week.

Roll the Ball Out

Meaningless matchups late in the NBA regular season happen often and I usually lean to the ‘over’ in those games knowing that the defense tends to be a tad looser. Wednesday’s game between Memphis and Atlanta fits perfectly and bettors are looking at a total of 221, which doesn’t seem high for Atlanta but it out of the norm for Memphis.

The Grizzlies have only had five totals listed in the 220s this season and not surprisingly, the ‘under’ has gone 5-0 in those games. The Memphis team we’ve seen lately has been running more and even though lack offensive consistency, point guard Mike Conley has been on a roll. Plus, the Hawks defense (118.7 PPG) is ranked last in scoring and they give up plenty of extra possessions due to turnovers, also ranked last in the league with 17.7 per game.

The pair met early in the season on Oct. 19 from Memphis and the Grizzlies notched a 131-117 win over the Hawks and the ‘over’ (216) was never in doubt. All signs point to another back-and-forth game in the second meeting.

Desert Heat

The Suns (16-52 SU, 31-37 ATS) have been on fire recently, going 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games and that includes the largest upset of the NBA season on Sunday when the club stunned Golden State 115-111 as 17-point road underdogs. During this hot run, Phoenix has gone 3-1 at home and it’s been listed as an underdog in three of those games.

Fast forward to Wednesday and Phoenix (+7) is receiving points again to Utah (37-29 SU, 33-31-2 ATS) at home. Knowing the Jazz have dropped two straight and three of their last four games, the obvious lean would be to the underdog in this spot if you’re handicapping on current form.

However, this will be the first encounter between the pair this season and this series has been very lopsided. The Jazz have won four straight and 11 of the last 12 meetings against the Suns and they’ve gone 8-4 versus the number in those games. Also, Utah hasn’t lost three straight games since late November and it’s gone 4-2 both SU and ATS in its last six games as a road favorite.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 13


NY Rangers @ Vancouver

Game 69-70
March 13, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Rangers
11.151
Vancouver
10.083
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vancouver
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(+105); Over

New Jersey @ Edmonton

Game 67-68
March 13, 2019 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Jersey
8.897
Edmonton
11.250
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
-240
6
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-240); Under

Chicago @ Toronto

Game 65-66
March 13, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
9.997
Toronto
12.190
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-240
7
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-240); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

65Chicago -66 Toronto
CHICAGO is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) in road games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

67New Jersey -68 Edmonton
NEW JERSEY is 14-34 ATS (-20 Units) against poor defensive teams - >=29 shots on goal, convert >=17% pp in the current season.

69Ny Rangers -70 Vancouver
NY RANGERS are 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Frank Sawyer

Mar 13 '19, 7:00 PM in 21m
NCAA-B | Florida Atlantic vs Louisiana Tech
Play on: Louisiana Tech -4½ -109 at GTBets

Take Under the Total in the game between the FAU Owls and the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs. FAU (17-14) has lost their last two games after their 70-61 loss at Marshall as a 6.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Owls have failed to cover the point spread in 25 of their last 35 games against teams with a winning record. FAU has also failed to cover the point spread in 8 of their last 10 games when playing on a neutral court. Louisiana Tech (19-12) snapped their two-game losing streak last Wednesday when they defeated these Owls on the road by a 72-69 score. The Bulldogs have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games after a straight-up win. Louisiana Tech is also 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record. Lay the points with Louisiana Tech. Best of luck — Frank.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Mar 13 '19, 9:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | DePaul vs St. John's
Play on: St. John's -4½ -107 at pinnacle

Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on St. John’s -4.5
The Key: The St. John’s Red Storm were in the NCAA Tournament a couple weeks ago. But now they’ve played themselves onto the bubble by losing 3 straight to fall to 20-11 on the season. If they lose to DePaul today, they’ll certainly be out. They need a win, and they’ll be extra hungry having already lost to DePaul twice this season. They probably took them lightly, but they won’t be taking them lightly tonight. This is a home game for St. John’s playing inside Madison Square Garden. The Blue Demons are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games. Take St. John’s.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doug Upstone

Mar 13 '19, 9:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Vanderbilt vs Texas A&M
Play on: UNDER 133½ -112

On Wednesday in college basketball, Play Under on neutral court teams when the total is between 130 and 139.5 points like TEXAS A&M, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half of last game, against opponent after scoring 65 points or less in four straight games. This rare situation is 30-5 UNDER, 85.7%, since 1997.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alex Smart

Mar 13 '19, 9:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Vanderbilt vs Texas A&M
Play on: Vanderbilt +3½ -105 at Bovada

SEC Tournament - First Round - Nashville, TN
Vandy lost 64-57 at Texas A&M on March 2nd and now in what is virtually a home game against a team that they are in revenge mode against gives us a viable edge here getting points with a my UGLY BETTY pick of the SEC tourney. . Yes, I know Im backing a team that has been unable to garner wins and that is having a historically inept campaign , but from a head to head perspective the Commodores actually matchup decently vs a Aggies team that travels poorly losing 9 of 13 road tilts.
VANDERBILT is 7-0 ATS in road games revenging a same season loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CBB Neutral court teams as an underdog (VANDERBILT) - revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points, off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival are 103-53 ATS L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
Play on Vanderbilt to cover

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ASA

Mar 13 '19, 9:35 PM in 2h
NHL | Devils vs Oilers
Play on: Oilers -1½ +110 at Mirage

ASA PLAY ON Free Pick: Edmonton Oilers Puck Line -1.5 goals over New Jersey Devils, Wednesday @ 9:35 PM ET

The Devils are in a back to back spot and have lost 7 straight games. New Jersey's last 8 losses have come by an average margin of 2.4 goals per game. Edmonton has won 5 of its last 6 games and a big win is likely based on the Devils situation here and the fact that they're struggling badly. The Oilers are playing with purpose here late in the season and there is line value by laying the 1.5 goals on the puck line. No juice required and some books have Edmonton at plus money on the puck line. Grab the value with the rested home favorite. Free Pick: Edmonton Oilers Puck Line in evening action Wednesday

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Pro Computer Gambler

Mar 13 '19, 9:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Warriors vs Rockets
Play on: Warriors +3½ -100 at pinnacle

In database history (since 1995), the road teamaveraging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Mar 13 '19, 9:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Warriors vs Rockets
Play on: Rockets -3½ -105 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Houston Rockets -3.5
The Houston Rockets are playing as well as they have all season now that they are basically fully healthy. They have won nine straight games coming in and have had the Warriors’ number this season. They are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS against the Warriors this season and would love nothing more to cap off the season sweep for the perfect revenge after losing in seven games to the Warriors in the Western Conference Finals last year. Golden State is scuffling right now and can’t seem to get out of its own way. They have gone just 4-6 SU in their last 10 games, which is unheard of for a team that talented. And they are burning bettors’ money by going 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games overall. Give me the Rockets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc's Sports

Mar 13 '19, 9:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Warriors vs Rockets
Play on: Warriors +3½ -105 at Bovada

It’s not often you see the Warriors installed as a betting dog, but here we are tonight. They will be without Durant tonight. But this team will be fine without him. They have not been playing well lately. But this team doesn’t care much about the regular season, and they definitely haven’t been giving full effort lately. This seems like a spot where they will probably put their best foot forward. They are coming off their worst loss of the season, at home to Phoenix. They have had two nights off since that game, and we think they will come out fresh and determined tonight. Houston has won three straight in this series, so there is probably a sense of urgency to play well in this matchup tonight.