Saturday 3-16-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 07:56 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct

Aqueduct - Race 2

Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double Wagers

Maiden Special • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 86 • Purse: $68,000 • Post: 2:03P
(UP TO $11,832 NYSBFOA) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Dominant Stalker. ENJOYITWHILEWECAN is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ENJOYITWHILEWECAN: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
6
ENJOYITWHILEWECAN
3/1

2/1
5
WEEKEND MADNESS
3/1

5/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
7
CANARSIE GIRL
7

5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
82

59

60.7

60.7

54.7
4
JASMINESQUE
4

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
81

72

50.2

56.9

51.9
5
WEEKEND MADNESS
5

3/1
Stalker
0

0

66.3

76.9

70.9
6
ENJOYITWHILEWECAN
6

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
83

82

77.8

77.8

74.8
3
STAY SMART
3

8/1
Alternator/Trailer
73

60

30.3

56.9

45.4
2
G. T. SONIA
2

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

50.5

50.5

41.0

Unknown Running Style: DISTORTED NEWS (5/1) [Jockey: Lezcano Jose - Trainer: Rodriguez Rudy R].

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 07:56 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse) - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta $1 Superfecta (.10 cent mimimum wager $1 Pick Four

Claiming $5,000 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 7:52P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JANUARY 16 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (MAIDEN RACES AND RACES FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * FOXY FRESH: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. BELLIGERENT: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in t he top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HOLIDAYINCAMBODIA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2
FOXY FRESH
8/5

5/2
3
BELLIGERENT
5/2

6/1
5
HOLIDAYINCAMBODIA
4/1

10/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
3
BELLIGERENT
3

5/2
Front-runner
81

73

75.8

69.8

62.3
4
RON'S ANSWER
4

6/1
Front-runner
72

69

0.0

63.8

51.8
2
FOXY FRESH
2

8/5
Stalker
88

97

72.0

82.0

80.0
6
IRISH AND LUCKY
6

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
78

72

74.5

73.4

65.4
5
HOLIDAYINCAMBODIA
5

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
80

75

72.3

76.6

71.6
1
TIGER MOM
1

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
82

76

76.0

66.0

59.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 07:57 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden - 250y on the Dirt. Purse: $18100 Class Rating: 70

QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDEN, TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 9 A TRES OF POP 10/1

# 8 DYNASTY CARTEL 10/1

# 5 LOTA LAICO BIRD 20/1

A TRES OF POP looks to be the bet in here particularly if the morning line of 10/1 holds. Wood has been tough as nails with two year olds, winning at a 21 percent rate. DYNASTY CARTEL - Cannot be overlooked - Valdivia is a solid trainer with the babies, winning 20 of his races. Has to be given a shot against this field based solely on pedigree numbers. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of respectable win percentage - 19 percent - at this distance & surface. LOTA LAICO BIRD - Bettors should note that this racer runs on Lasix today. Charettehill has one of the most favorable winning percentages in this field with entries running at this distance and surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 07:57 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turfway Park - Race #3 - Post: 7:13pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,100 Class Rating: 63

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 SYRISONG (ML=15/1)
#7 ADORABLE EYES (ML=10/1)
#4 LUCY E. (ML=20/1)

SYRISONG - Bermudez and Cahill partnered together are a horseplayer's friend. Trainer Cahill moves this thoroughbred down the class ladder to face much lower class horses. Look for a nice performance given this drop. ADORABLE EYES - Calderon drops her down to this class. You don't need too much more from the horse's history to believe this horse has a good chance at this level. Caisamo and Calderon perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +22 ROI for a jockey and conditioner. I like the piece of information that this mare's last speed figure, 59, is tops in this bunch. LUCY E. - Good return on investment for this jock and trainer twosome. Taking a trip down in the class scale; has the ability to make her presence felt.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 ALITTLEBOURBON (ML=6/5), #8 CRISIS AVERTED (ML=7/2), #9 ROCKPORT DANCER (ML=6/1),

ALITTLEBOURBON - Not probable that the speed figure she notched on Mar 1st will be enough in this event. CRISIS AVERTED - This mount ran a quite unimpressive speed rating last time around the track. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably get beat in today's event running that fig. ROCKPORT DANCER - This animal hasn't been around in either of her last couple of outings. The Brain cautions me to keep my distance from ponies in short distance affairs that haven't finished in the money in short distance races recently. If you keep selecting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disillusioned most of the time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #2 SYRISONG on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 07:58 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mahoning Valley Race Course

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $31300 Class Rating: 63

FOR ACCREDITED OHIO BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 BIRDACIOUS 8/5

# 5 SEEKING A JEWEL 5/1

# 2 MANDY'S CANDY 5/2

I think BIRDACIOUS is a quite good choice. She has been running solidly and the speed figures are among the strongest in this group of horses in this race. Garnered a quite good speed figure last time out. With a nice Equibase class figure average of 73, has one of the top class advantages in this group. SEEKING A JEWEL - Had one of the strongest speed figures of this group of horses in her last race. MANDY'S CANDY - Looks decent versus this field and will most likely be one of the early speedsters. Put up a very good Equibase speed fig last time out.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 07:58 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

03/16/19, GP, Race 8, 4.07 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $21,000.
Claiming Price $12,500. FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 8-9-10) / $.20 Rainbow 6 (Races 8-9-10-11-12-13) / $2 HRR - (RED 1,2,4: 1/1. BLK 3,5,10,11: 7/5. GRN 6,7,8,9: 15/1.)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 314, Win Percent 32.48, $1 ROI 0.81, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are exclusive to GP.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Condition
100.0000 4 Ogre's Cat 10-1 Lopez P Kenneally Eddie TSW 31.60 1.45 48.57 17 35 COM_Horse Best_Trainer and_Workouts
097.5767 10 Littleroughjustice 10-1 Diaz. Jr. J Gonzalez Nicholas J
097.4383 11 El Playon 7/2 Batista J A Sano Antonio FEC
097.4193 2 Father Joe 5-1 Jaramillo E Kobiskie Dane
096.9119 5 All Star Seiler 20-1 Hernandez R M Hurtak Donna Green
096.3723 1 King Kingo 3-1 Jimenez A McDonald Michael K.
095.6659 9 Byron Bay 20-1 Hernandez. Jr. B J Tomlinson Michael A.
094.0282 3 Darby Dart 4-1 Panici L Walsh Ryan D. .20 1.02 50.00 3 6 Horse No_Lasix Today
093.2838 7 Valid Exchange 20-1 Gomez D F Rakoff David L 8.40 1.06 46.67 35 75 Horse Best_LeadPack
092.1052 6 Zaman 30-1 Lopez C C Belsoeur Yvon
090.2779 8 Karamchand(b+) 20-1 Hernandez J H Negrete Javier

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 07:59 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #2 - Post: 6:31pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 FROSTY GIRL (ML=10/1)
#1A BLUE HEN MADNESS (ML=8/5)

FROSTY GIRL - You'll be generating profits right and left by turning your gambling cash onto this jockey/conditioner combination. Dropping down in class rating points from her November 21st race at Penn National. Based on that info, I will give this horse the edge. BLUE HEN MADNESS - Ran last time out against much better horses at Penn National. The move down the ladder based on class rating points should suit her well. Atop this horse on February 22nd and Hernandez is right back in the irons today. Have to give this mare a good shot. Ran a sharp race in the last race within the last thirty days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 ASIAN'S WAY (ML=8/5), #2 MY FAVORITE CITY (ML=7/2), #2B ALWAYS THIRSTY (ML=7/2),

ASIAN'S WAY - Didn't come through as the public's choice the last two times. Probably won't gain a top finish today either. MY FAVORITE CITY - There's early zip, early speed, and more early speed in this contest. Doesn't look good for this animal. Don't feel this runner will make an impact in today's event. That last speed rating was substandard when compared with today's Equibase class figure. ALWAYS THIRSTY - I'd like to see more hospitable recent outings with morning line of 7/2. Pace is so critical, and this early speedball is going to have an early battle on her hands.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #7 FROSTY GIRL on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 07:59 AM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

03/16/19, OP, Race 2, 1.38 CT
1 1/2M [Dirt] 2.31.03 STARTER ALLOWANCE. Purse $47,000.
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS IN 2018-2019
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 529, Win Percent 24.20, $1 ROI 0.78, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are exclusive to OP.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Condition
100.0000 1 Baires Boy 10-1 Ulloa C J Dison Phillip Mark FW 44.00 1.44 42.00 21 50 COM_Horse Best_Finish and_Workouts
099.8778 9 Yeowzer 5/2 Cohen D Broberg Karl TC
098.4662 3 Kela Brew 6-1 Canchari A L Robertson McLean
098.0280 10 Tonedaddy 9/2 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M.
096.8370 6 Tales of War 4-1 Morales E Lauer Michael E. E
096.6322 4 Bigshot Lacewell 8-1 Quinonez L S Frazee Larry SL 3.00 1.01 31.07 32 103 Horse Best_LeadPack
095.2253 5 The Rouge Diesel 20-1 Vazquez R A Cox John E. J 27.00 1.11 29.17 35 120 Horse Best_Jockey
095.1597 7 Dynabeaver 12-1 Eramia R E Martin Timothy E.
095.1304 2 Ucanthankmelater 20-1 Lara E Matthews Randy 16.80 2.20 57.14 4 7 Horse Carries Apprentice_Weight
095.1188 8 Ship Stalker 12-1 Johnson J M Hartlage Gary G.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 09:21 AM

Big 12 Trends and Angles

Venue: Sprint Center - Kansas City, Missouri

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS
Over/Under: 5-3

Saturday, March 16

No. 5 Iowa State
Overall: 22-11 SU, 17-14-2 ATS
Totals: 16-16 O/U

No. 3 Kansas
Overall: 25-8 SU, 16-17 ATS
Totals: 20-12-1 O/U

No. 5 Iowa State vs. No. 3 Kansas (CBS, 6:00 p.m. ET)
The top two seeds in the Big 12 tournament won't be playing for the automatic bid to the Big Dance as Kansas State and Texas Tech have been bounced. Much was made about Big 12 king Kansas not winning the regular season conference title for the first time since 2004, but it's the Jayhawks who have an opportunity to grab the crown with a win over Iowa State. Kansas knocked out 10th-seed West Virginia in Friday's semifinals to reach the title game for the third time in four seasons, while hooking up with Iowa State in the tournament championship for the first time since 2015.

The Cyclones held off top-seed Kansas State in the semifinals, 63-59 to pick up their second victory over the Wildcats this season. Iowa State split the season series with Kansas as the home team won each time. The Cyclones crushed the Jayhawks in Ames, 77-60 as 2.5-point favorites in early January, while KU grabbed revenge in Lawrence less than three weeks later, 80-76. ISU will look to keep up an incredible 12-0-1 ATS mark in the last 13 conference tournament matchups.

Big East Trends and Angles

Venue: Madison Square Garden - New York City

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS
Over/Under: 4-4

Saturday, March 16

No. 3 Seton Hall
Overall: 20-12 SU, 16-16 ATS
Totals: 13-18 O/U

No. 1 Villanova
Overall: 24-9 SU, 20-13 ATS
Totals: 11-19-2 O/U

No. 3 Seton Hall vs. No. 1 Villanova (FS1, 6:30 p.m. ET)
For the second time in seven days, the Wildcats and Pirates hook up as they battle for the automatic bid to the NCAA tournament. Villanova is in regardless of what happens tonight, while Seton Hall has helped its tournament chances over the last 10 days by winning four straight games. The most recent victory came against Marquette on Friday, 81-79 as 4.5-point underdogs in the semifinals as the Pirates picked up their second crucial win over the Golden Eagles this month.

Villanova rallied to stun Xavier in overtime, 71-67, although the Wildcats failed to cash as six-point favorites on Friday. The Wildcats trailed for most of the game before forcing overtime to reach their fifth consecutive Big East title game. In the previous matchup between these squads last Saturday in Newark, Seton Hall downed Villanova, 79-75, as the Pirates avenged a 28-point loss to the Wildcats earlier in the season. The last team other than Villanova to capture the Big East tournament title was Seton Hall, who edged the Wildcats, 69-67 in 2016.

SEC Trends and Angles

Venue: Bridgestone Arena - Nashville

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 10-2 SU, 10-2 ATS
Over/Under: 6-6

Saturday, March 16

No. 8 Florida
Overall: 19-14 SU, 15-18 ATS
Totals: 11-22 O/U

No. 5 Auburn
Overall: 24-9 SU, 17-15-1 ATS
Totals: 17-15-1 O/U

No. 8 Florida vs. No. 5 Auburn (ESPN, 1 p.m. ET)
The Gators looked like they were headed for a nervous Selection Sunday when a six-point possession ensued late in the second half as LSU interim head coach Tony Benford picked up an ill-timed technical foul to compound the Tigers' issues. Eventually, freshman point guard Andrew Nembhard secured the Florida upset with an immense 3-pointer wiht just over a second remaining. Freshman Keyontae Johnson continued his tourney coming-out party by delivering the winning assist to finish off a strong final few minutes. Nembhard stole the show with a career-high 20 points, six assists and no turnovers, but will now have to deal with Auburn's pesky senior floor general, Jared Harper, who helped the Tigers post a 76-62 home win on Feb. 5. This will be the Gators' first SEC Tournament semifinal appearance in five years, the furthest head coach Mike White has taken them since replacing Billy Donovan

The Tigers faced a little adversity against the Gamecocks, trailing early before gaining some separation in the second half and ultimately covering by knocking down the majority of their free-throws down the stretch. Chuma Okeke again looked bothered by a foot injury and didn't score his first field goal until he finished off an alley oop in the closing minutes. Harper recovered from a shaky quarterfinal effort by scoring 19 of his 27 points in the second half to help the Tigers improve to 6-0 this month. Senior backcourt make Bryce Brown added 19 points and has been excellent in Nashville. 7-foot center Austin Wiley, who has been sidelined since Feb. 23 with a slower leg injury, provided limited minutes against the Gamecocks in his return to the lineup and is expected to be available for this one This is Auburn's first SEC Tourney semifinal since 2015.

No. 3 Tennessee
Overall: 28-4 SU, 16-14-1 ATS
Totals: 17-14 O/U

No. 2 Kentucky
Overall: 27-5 SU, 16-15-1 ATS
Totals: 11-21 O/U

No. 3 Tennessee vs. No. 2 Kentucky (ESPN, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Vols took care of business against Mississippi State, getting a ridiculous dunk from Admiral Schofield to punctuate an impressive win over the NCAA-bound Bulldogs. Afterward, he was trending on Twitter over the jam and the fact he went on SEC Network and said the Vols don't feel like Kentucky respects them as an opponent. The rubber match will present an opportunity to move on to the championship game and likely lock up a No. 1 seed in the NCAAs. Tennessee is playing extremely well after Schofield, Kyle Alexander, Jordan Bone and Lamonte Turner all stepped up in support of SEC Player of the Year Grant Williams to pull away and gain separation in a contest that was tied in the second half. The Vols routed Kentucky in Knoxville 71-52 to open March after being blown out in Lexington in February.

An active 'Cats defense made quick work of the Crimson Tide, helping dominate the action and setting up easy offense. Although this game will be played in Nashville, Kentucky fans have again taken over the SEC Tournament, creating an interesting dynamic for this one. The Wildcats held the Vols to 40 percent shooting in their win and were stifled in the loss, shooting just 31.8 percent. They held Alabama to a shooting clip of just over 30 percent in Friday's rout. Reid Travis had eight points, seven boards and three blocks in his return to the lineup, so we'll see how his knee is feeling playing on consecutive days after putting in 23 minutes. P.J. Washington has been the leader of this young UK group and has held his own against Williams and the highly touted Tennessee frontcourt. He must against be at his best if the Wildcats are to suit up on Sunday.

ACC Trends and Angles

Venue: Spectrum Center - Charlotte, North Carolina

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS
Over/Under: 8-5

Saturday, March 16

No. 4 Florida State
Overall: 27-6 SU, 16-16-1 ATS
Totals: 14-17-2 O/U

No. 3 Duke
Overall: 28-5 SU, 17-15-1 ATS
Totals: 9-22-2 O/U

No. 4 Florida State vs. No. 3 Duke (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET)
One of the hottest teams in the country is a squad that was one victory away from the Final Four last March. Florida State overcame a pair of ugly road losses at Pittsburgh and Boston College to win 13 of their past 14 games, including an overtime triumph over Virginia Tech in the ACC quarterfinal and a 10-point victory to bounce top-seed Virginia in the semifinal. FSU has allowed 64 points or less in five of the past six contests, while improving to 5-1 ATS in the last six opportunities in the underdog role.

Duke held off rival North Carolina in the semifinal, 74-73 to beat the Tar Heels for the first time in three tries this season. The Blue Devils failed to cash as 4.5-point favorites to fall to 2-8 ATS the last 10 games. In the first matchup this season in Tallahassee, the Blue Devils edged the Seminoles with a last-second three-pointer, 80-78 to pick up their seventh win in the last eight matchups since 2013. Duke is seeking its second ACC tournament championship since 2012, while Florida State won its only ACC title in 2012 by beating North Carolina, 85-82.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 09:22 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, March 16

Big 14 tournament, Chicago
Michigan State won eight of its last nine games; only one of their guys played more than 27:00 in their win yesterday. Spartans have best eFG% in Big 14, on both offense/defense. Wisconsin won six of its last seven games; no one played more than 31:00 yesterday. Ethan Happ had four points and seven turnovers. MSU won 67-59 at Wisconsin Feb 12, their 6th win in a row over the Badgers. Spartans won this tournament three of last seven years, but lost second tourney game the last two years. Last seven years, Wisconsin is 3-3 in its second tourney game.

SEC tournament, Nashville
Kentucky/Tennessee traded home wins this season; Vols are 5-3 in last eight series games. Over last five years, Tennessee is 3-2 in its second tourney game- they haven’t won SEC tournament since 1979. Kentucky won 16 of its last 18 games; they played two guys more than 29:00 in their stress-free win yesterday. Tennessee played three guys 31:00 in its 83-76 win over Miss State last night; Vols are #53 experience team in country, Kentucky #351. Wildcats won last 13 SEC tourney games. Tennessee is 5-3 in its last eight games after starting SEC play 11-0.

AAC tournament, Memphis
Houston is 30-2, winning its last three games; they crushed UConn by 39 Friday, so their guys shouldn’t be tired. Cougars beat Memphis 90-77 at home Jan 6 in only meeting this season, holding Memphis star Martin to 16 points; teams split last eight meetings. Houston won its last eight true road games, and this is a road game. Memphis won three in row, six of last seven games; they shot 60% inside arc in its 79-55 rout of UCF yesterday. Only two Tigers played more than 24:00 Friday. Memphis allowed only 62 ppg in its last three games.

Cincinnati beat Wichita State twice this year, by 11-10 points; Bearcats won three of four series games since Wichita joined AAC. Cincy is 26-6, 15-4 in AAC; they used four starters 30:00+ in yesterday’s 82-74 win over SMU. Bearcats play slowest tempo games in AAC; they’re shooting 44.3% inside arc. Wichita won six in row, 11 of last 13 games; Shockers played their two stars 38:00 each last night- they had 18 offensive boards. Marhsall has done excellent job with team that is #346 in minutes continuity this year- they beat Temple up physically last night.

Big X tournament, Kansas City
Iowa State/Kansas won last six Big X titles, so this’ll be #7. Kansas split pair of games with ISU this season- they’re 7-5 in last dozen series games, losing last two times they played Cyclones in this event. Jayhawks won eight of last ten games overall; they lucked out in that West Virginia upset Texas Tech, so Kansas played #10-seed yesterday. Kansas played one guy more than 30:00 Friday. Iowa State allowed 66-59 points in winning last two days, after finishing regular season on a 2-6 skid. Cyclones played four starters 30:00+ yesterday.

Mountain West tournament, Las Vegas (Thomas & Mack)
San Diego State won this event LY, after losing in finals the four years before that; they upset Nevada last night, playing three guys 30:00+- emotional win; how do they bounce back? PG Watson played 38-37 minutes last two nights. Aztecs split two games with Utah State this year; they’re 11-1 against the Aggies in Mountain West play. Utah State last won a conference tourney in 2011, but that was the WAC; Aggies are 16-1 in their last 17 games- they hammered Fresno last night, making 13-31 on arc. USU is #282 experience team, but they have some older guys, because of Mormon missions.

Big East tournament, NYC
Villanova won Big East tourney three of last four years; Seton Hall won it the other year. Seton Hall won its last four games, with three of them over Villanova/Marquette (2); Pirates won foulfest last night- both teams took 40+ FT’s. Hall played played two guys 36:00+ Friday. Seton Hall lost by 28 at Villanova in January, then upset the Wildcats by 4 last week; Pirates lost eight of last ten series games. Wildcats needed OT to win last night; they played three guys 41:00- their bench has been unproductive. Villanova won four of its last five games overall.

MAC tournament, Cleveland
Buffalo won its last 11 games since losing 92-88 at Bowling Green Feb 1, when Falcons went 24-36 on foul line (Buffalo was 14-19). Bulls won rematch 84-73 at home last week. Buffalo won 10 of last 11 series games. Bulls used four guys 31:00+ in its tough 85-81 win over Central Michigan Friday; they were down 8 in second half. BG held on to beat Northern Illinois by 4 last night, after leading by 23 at the half; no Falcon played more than 30:00. BG allowed 82+ points in its last four losses; they won last five games when allowing fewer than 80 points.

ACC tournament, Charlotte
Jones/Barrett played whole 40:00 for Duke last night; Williamson played 35:00 after playing 36:00 Thursday. How do Blue Devils bounce back after a tough game with their arch-rival? Duke won by hoop in Tallahassee Jan 12, when Williamson sat out 2nd half. Blue Devils are 5-3 in their last eight games. FSU won its last six games after upsetting Virginia last night. Since 2003, Duke is 7-2 in ACC tourney finals, but this is only their third final in last eight years. Seminoles’ bench plays #30 minutes in country; is that an advantage in this game?

Conference USA tournament, Frisco, TX
Old Dominion beat Western Kentucky twice this season, by 3-4 points; Monarchs are 8-4 vs WKU in C-USA games- they lost by 8 to Hilltoppers in LY’s conference tourney. ODU won the last two days by total of three points; they used three starters 37:00+ in their win yesterday. Senior PG Caver played whole 40:00 both nights. ODU won nine of its last 11 games; they’re rebounding 33.6% of their misses. Hilltoppers won last two days by 16-11 points; they’re #318 experience team whose bench plays #315 minutes- they used four guys 35:00+ Friday.

Pac-12 tournament, Las Vegas (T-Mobile Arena)
Oregon won its last seven games, beating ASU in OT Friday; three Ducks played 37:00+. Oregon split pair of low-scoring games with Washington, with road team winning both- they beat the Huskies in Seattle last Saturday. Oregon won seven of its last eight games with Washington. Ducks are experience team #304 that is playing slowest tempo games in Pac-12. Washington won regular season; they’ve won four of last five games. Huskies are forcing turnovers 26.1% of time in conference games; they’re #41 in country in experience, #1 in minutes continuity.

Big West tournament, Anaheim
Fullerton beat Irvine 71-55 in finals of this event LY; they lost twice to the Anteaters this season, by 17-7 points. Teams split last six meetings overall. Titans played their two stars 39-40 minutes in their 64-58 win over UCSB last night; Fullerton are #40 experience team, #2 in MC, but they are only 16-16 overall, 12-6 in Big West games- their subs play minutes #253, which could be an issue playing third night in row. Irvine won its last 15 games; they played three starters 31:00+ in their 75-67 win over Long Beach Friday. UCI is experience team #44 in country.

Big Sky tournament, Boise
Montana is 15-2 since losing 78-71 at Eastern Washington Jan 10; they avenged that loss at home Feb 9, winning 75-74. EWU is 3-2 in last five series games, but lost to Montana by 17 in LY’s Big Sky tourney. Eagles won this tourney in 2015; Montana won it four of last nine years. Montana crushed Weber St last nite; they played four guys 30:00+ stress-free minutes. EWU played three guys 33:00+ in its win Friday; they’ve won last five games- their bench plays #6 minutes in country. Montana is #6 experience team in country- their bench plays minutes #259.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 09:22 AM

NCAAB

Saturday, March 16

Trend Report

Pennsylvania @ Harvard
Pennsylvania

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pennsylvania's last 6 games when playing Harvard

Harvard

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Harvard's last 6 games when playing Pennsylvania
Harvard is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pennsylvania

Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure
Rhode Island

Rhode Island is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Rhode Island is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

St. Bonaventure

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Bonaventure's last 5 games
St. Bonaventure is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Florida @ Auburn
Florida

Florida is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Auburn
Florida is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Auburn

Auburn

Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Auburn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Wisconsin @ Michigan State
Wisconsin

Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Wisconsin's last 16 games

Michigan State

Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
Michigan State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State
North Carolina Central

No trends to report

Norfolk State

No trends to report

Princeton @ Yale
Princeton

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Princeton's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Princeton's last 15 games when playing on the road against Yale

Yale

Yale is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Yale is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Princeton

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Houston

Houston is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis

Saint Louis @ Davidson
Saint Louis

Saint Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Saint Louis's last 11 games

Davidson

Davidson is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Davidson is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Saint Louis

Tennessee @ Kentucky
Tennessee

Tennessee is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Kentucky

Kentucky

Kentucky is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kentucky's last 7 games

Minnesota @ Michigan
Minnesota

Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Michigan

Michigan is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Minnesota
Michigan is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games

Texas State @ Georgia State
Texas State

Texas State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 9 games when playing Georgia State

Georgia State

Georgia State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Georgia State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Wichita State @ Cincinnati
Wichita State

Wichita State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Wichita State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Cincinnati

Cincinnati is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games

Iowa State @ Kansas
Iowa State

Iowa State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games

Kansas

Kansas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games

Texas Southern @ Prairie View A&M
Texas Southern

No trends to report

Prairie View A&M

No trends to report

San Diego State @ Utah State
San Diego State

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego State's last 5 games when playing Utah State
San Diego State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Utah State

Utah State

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing San Diego State
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Georgia Southern @ Texas-Arlington
Georgia Southern

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 5 games when playing Texas-Arlington
Georgia Southern is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Texas-Arlington

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-Arlington's last 5 games when playing Georgia Southern
Texas-Arlington is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games

Seton Hall @ Villanova
Seton Hall

Seton Hall is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Seton Hall is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Villanova

Villanova is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seton Hall
Villanova is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Bowling Green @ Buffalo
Bowling Green

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Bowling Green's last 14 games when playing Buffalo
Bowling Green is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games

Buffalo

Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Bowling Green

Eastern Washington @ Montana
Eastern Washington

Eastern Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Eastern Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Montana

Montana is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Montana's last 23 games

Western Kentucky @ Old Dominion
Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Old Dominion
Western Kentucky is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Old Dominion

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Old Dominion's last 5 games
Old Dominion is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

Florida State @ Duke
Florida State

Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Florida State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Duke

Duke

Duke is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida State
Duke is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games

New Orleans @ Abilene Christian
New Orleans

No trends to report

Abilene Christian

No trends to report

Grand Canyon @ New Mexico State
Grand Canyon

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Grand Canyon's last 5 games
Grand Canyon is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

New Mexico State

New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Grand Canyon

Oregon @ Washington
Oregon

No trends to report

Washington

No trends to report

Cal State-Fullerton @ UC Irvine
Cal State-Fullerton

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cal State-Fullerton's last 5 games when playing UC Irvine
Cal State-Fullerton is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

UC Irvine

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UC Irvine's last 5 games when playing Cal State-Fullerton
UC Irvine is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 09:23 AM

Saturday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Warriors at Thunder – 8:30 PM EST

There is no shortage of intrigue when these two Western Conference rivals get together. Golden State (46-21 SU, 27-39-1 ATS) has split the first two meetings with Oklahoma City (42-27 SU, 36-33 ATS) at Oracle Arena, while the two teams are even at 3-3 in six matchups since the start of the 2017-18 season.

Obviously, the storyline when these teams hook up is Kevin Durant facing his former team, but the Warriors’ All-Star is back in Oklahoma City for the first time since last April when Golden State left Chesapeake Energy Arena with a 111-107 victory. Fast-forward to this season where the Warriors hoisted another championship banner in the opener and held off the Thunder, 108-100 as 12 ½-point favorites. OKC played without Durant’s frenemy Russell Westbrook, who sat out the first two games of the season following offseason knee surgery.

The Thunder grabbed revenge in the next matchup in Oakland on November 21 in a 123-95 blowout of the two-time defending champions. Golden State was without its star Stephen Curry, as OKC jumped out to a 14-point halftime lead and outscored the Warriors, 36-16 in the fourth quarter. Westbrook struggled from the floor (5-for-15), but compiled a triple-double, while Dennis Schroder provided a huge spark off the bench with 32 points.

Golden State continues a tough four-game road swing against Western Conference foes as the Warriors avoided a season sweep by beating Houston on Wednesday, 106-104 as four-point underdogs. The Warriors have alternated wins and losses in the past six games, while managing the victory with Durant sidelined. The duo of Curry and Klay Thompson combined to score 54 points, while DeMarcus Cousins posted 27 points as the trio was the only three Warriors to register double-figure scoring.

Oklahoma City squandered an 18-point lead in Thursday’s 108-106 defeat at Indiana. Paul George torched his former team for 36 points, but the Thunder was limited to 18 points in the fourth quarter to fall to 2-6 in the past eight road contests. OKC has seen the UNDER in cash in four consecutive games, while not topping the 110-point mark during this stretch.

Both these Western powers have struggled to cover numbers recently as the Warriors own a 4-13 ATS record in the past 17 games, while the Thunder have compiled a 3-10 ATS mark the last 13 contests.

Blazers at Spurs – 8:35 PM EST

Portland (41-26 SU, 38-29 ATS) concludes a difficult three-game road trip on Saturday looking for a perfect 3-0 mark. After pulling away from the Clippers on Tuesday in a 21-point rout at Staples Center, the Blazers outscored the Pelicans on Friday, 66-53 in the second half of a 122-110 triumph. Portland grabbed the cover as hefty nine-point favorites, while receiving 47 points from the backcourt duo of C.J. McCollum and Damian Lillard.

The toughest task for the Blazers will be to knock off the Spurs (39-29 SU, 37-30-1 ATS), who have lost only seven times in 33 tries at AT&T Center. San Antonio will also be playing with no rest after routing New York, 109-83 to avenge a road defeat to the Knicks last month. The Spurs rebounded nicely from the disastrous Rodeo Trip which saw them go 1-7 as San Antonio has run off seven straight victories.

This is the final regular season meeting between these Western squads as the home team has captured the first three contests. The OVER cashed all three times as the Blazers won the most recent matchup at the Moda Center, 127-118 last month. San Antonio dropped 131 points on Portland in the past hookup at AT&T Center in December, led by DeMar DeRozan’s 36 points, while LaMarcus Aldridge added 29 points.

Pacers at Nuggets – 9:05 PM EST

No team will endure a tougher eight-game stretch this season than Indiana (44-25 SU, 35-34 ATS) is currently in the midst of. The Pacers rallied to shock the Thunder on Thursday, 108-106 on a tip-in by Wesley Matthews in the final seconds to improve to 27-9 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. Now, Indiana starts a four-game road trip that begins in Denver, followed by a back-to-back set against the Blazers and Clippers, then closes out at Golden State. In case you’re wondering, the next three games after this brutal trip are against the Nuggets at home and visits to Oklahoma City and Boston.

The Nuggets (45-22 SU, 36-31 ATS) bounced back from a 17-point defeat at Golden State to knock off Minnesota and Dallas at home. Although they failed to cover as 11 ½-point favorites on Thursday, the Nuggets still managed their 29th home win of the season on a Nikola Jokic buzzer-beater to edge the Mavericks, 100-99. The Nuggets remain one game behind the Warriors for the top seed in the Western Conference and home-court advantage throughout the first three rounds.

Denver is riding an incredible 9-1 UNDER run since the All-Star break, including five UNDERS at Pepsi Center. The Pacers have dropped eight consecutive visits to Pepsi Center since 2009, but each of the past three losses in Denver have come by three points each. Indiana will be looking to snap a four-game road skid, while suffering double-digits defeats most recently at Milwaukee and Philadelphia.

Nets at Jazz – 9:05 PM EST

Both these squads enter Saturday’s action as the seventh seed in their respective conferences with less than a month remaining in the regular season. Brooklyn (36-34 SU, 37-33 ATS) saw its four-game winning streak come to an abrupt halt on Wednesday at Oklahoma City in a 108-96 setback. The Nets built a 10-point halftime lead, but were outscored, 66-44 in the second half as Brooklyn failed to cash seven-point underdogs.

The Jazz (39-29 SU, 35-31-2 ATS) are on their way to their fourth consecutive season with at least 40 wins, as Utah hasn’t reached this milestone since 2007-10. Utah cruised past Minnesota on Friday, 120-100 to cash as nine-point home favorites, led by Donovan Mitchell’s 24 points. The Jazz have won nine of 12 home games against Eastern Conference foes, including eight of the past 10 games overall against teams from the East.

Utah won at Barclays Center in late November, 101-91 as 3 ½-point favorites to grab its fourth win in the past five matchups. The Nets have cashed in six of their last nine games in the role of a road underdog, while riding a six-game UNDER streak in the past six games overall.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 09:23 AM

501Atlanta -502 Boston
BOSTON is 42-21 ATS (18.9 Units) in home games versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game in the last 3 seasons.

503Memphis -504 Washington
MEMPHIS are 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

505Phoenix -506 New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS are 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) off a home loss in the current season.

507Golden State -508 Oklahoma City
OKLAHOMA CITY is 55-74 ATS (-26.4 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

509Portland -510 San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) in home games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points in the current season.

511Cleveland -512 Dallas
CLEVELAND is 16-5 ATS (10.5 Units) in road games as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

513Indiana -514 Denver
DENVER is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

515Brooklyn -516 Utah
BROOKLYN is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 03-16-2019, 09:24 AM

NBA

Saturday, March 16

Hawks split their last ten games; they’re 10-1 vs spread in last 11, covering last five road games. Six of their last eight games went over. Boston won four of its last five games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Last three Celtic games went over. Celtics won six of last seven games with Atlanta, covering five of last six, Hawks are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Boston. Six of last eight series games went over.

Grizzlies won four of last six games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six road games. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Wizards are 5-6 since All-Star break; they covered four of last five home games. Four of their last five games stayed under. Home side won six of last seven Memphis-Washington games; Grizzlies are 2-4 vs spread in last six visits to Washington. Last four series games stayed under the total.

Suns are 5-4 in their last nine games, covering six of last seven; they covered their last four road games. Six of their last seven games stayed under. New Orleans lost its last five game (0-5 vs spread); they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five home games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Pelicans won their last eight games with Phoenix, covered last six; Suns are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Bourbon Street. Three of last four series games went over.

Golden State solid its last dozen games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Thunder split their last eight games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Nine of their last 11 games stayed under. Warriors won seven of last ten games with Oklahoma City, but Thunder covered four of last six meetings. Nine of last ten series games stayed under the total.

Trailblazers won nine of their last 12 games; they’re 8-1 vs spread in last nine road games. Three of their last four road games stayed under. Spurs won/covered their last seven games; they covered their last five home games. Seven of their last eight games stayed under. Home side won last five Portland-San Antonio games; Blazers covered once in their last four visits to the Alamo. Eight of last nine series games went over.

Cleveland lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-8 vs spread in last dozen road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Dallas lost its last seven games; they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six home games. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Cavaliers won six of last eight games with the Mavericks; they’re 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Dallas. Last four series games stayed under the total.

Pacers are 4-3 in their last seven games; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 home games. Last five Indiana games stayed under. Denver won three of last four games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 11-1-1 in their last 13 games. Nuggets won six of last eight games with Indiana (5-2-1 vs spread); Pacers are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Five of last six series games went over.

Nets won four of their last five games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three road games. last six Brooklyn games stayed under. Utah won seven of its last eight games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Jazz won seven of last nine games with Brooklyn; three of last four series games went over total. Nets are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to the Beehive State.

Saturday 3-16-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 3-16-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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