Sunday 3-17-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park

Gulfstream Park - Race 2

$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $.50 Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 2-3-4-5) $2 HRR (RED 1,3: 1/1. BLK 5,6: 1/1. GRN 2,4: 6/1.)


Claiming $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 74 • Purse: $25,000 • Post: 1:39P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 17 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Front-runner. JOHNNY TICKETS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JOHNNY TICKETS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within ha lf a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). SAINT MICHAEL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SMOOTH AS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start w as within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. ORGANIC JENNY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and th is is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
6
JOHNNY TICKETS
7/2

5/1
5
SAINT MICHAEL
3/1

6/1
2
SMOOTH AS
8/1

8/1
3
ORGANIC JENNY
4/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
6
JOHNNY TICKETS
6

7/2
Front-runner
71

78

60.1

55.8

48.3
2
SMOOTH AS
2

8/1
Stalker
73

67

60.4

55.8

47.3
5
SAINT MICHAEL
5

3/1
Alternator/Stalker
72

71

74.0

63.0

61.0
1
WHY TRUST
1

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
71

62

42.8

55.0

45.5
3
ORGANIC JENNY
3

4/1
Trailer
74

70

39.8

58.5

52.0
4
FLAT OUT FLYING
4

6/1
Trailer
66

68

27.4

64.9

57.9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 3

Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) (.50 Cent Minimum)


Maiden • 250 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 70 • Purse: $18,100 • Post: 2:22P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR MAIDEN, TWO YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * VF SLEDGE HAMMER: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. THE FOOSE GOOSE: Horse is a first time starter and its mare's win percentage with first timers is at lea st 50. MR JESS JENKINS: Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
2
VF SLEDGE HAMMER
15/1

6/1
8
MR JESS JENKINS
5/1

7/1
5
THE FOOSE GOOSE
20/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure








Unknown Running Style: JESSE D (12/1) [Jockey: Brooks Jimmy Dean - Trainer: Willis Eddie D], VF SLEDGE HAMMER (15/1) [Jockey: Pulido Juan - Trainer: Valdivia Samuel E], AJESSTER (10/1) [Jockey: Meraz Jr Roberto - Trainer: Rojas Ebelyn], ZOOM KISS (2/

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fonner Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $3500 Class Rating: 42

FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 STYLISH SAILOR 6/1

# 7 REIGN ON 4/1

# 3 SMOKIN INDY WIND 8/1

STYLISH SAILOR looks very good to best this field. SMOKIN INDY WIND - Martinez and Martinez have won 15 percent of their races giving this equine a very good chance.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1 - Post: 12:56pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,700 Class Rating: 84

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 UNBRIDLED PIPER (ML=6/1)


UNBRIDLED PIPER - Gelding's last prep was second fastest of the day for the distance. Another way to evaluate class is EPS (earnings per start). This horse has the highest in the field. I think he'll be close at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 JUMPN' JAMES (ML=5/2), #7 THE GREAT LOUDINI (ML=3/1), #1 CALL ME HANDSOME (ML=4/1),

JUMPN' JAMES - 5/2 is just too low of a reward to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back races. THE GREAT LOUDINI - This gelding hasn't had any recent good results in short distance contests. I find it hard to play him in this race. CALL ME HANDSOME - That was simply not a very good display in the last event. Will be hard for this horse to beat this field off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class figure, so put him on the likely underlays list.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - UNBRIDLED PIPER - Finished a disappointing fifth at Tampa Bay Downs on February 13th. But that was on a sloppy track. Expect much better in today's event.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 UNBRIDLED PIPER to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $6000 Class Rating: 82

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MARCH 16, 2018 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 INTERDICTION 3/1

# 4 GRIT 10/1

# 8 TA BUENO 2/1

INTERDICTION looks solid to best this field. Looks decent for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races lately. With a reliable jockey who has won at a very good 18 percent clip over the last month. This has to be one of the top picks. He has been running very well and the Equibase speed figs are among the strongest in this field. GRIT - Recorded a sound Equibase speed fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Recent figs for the jock - 24 win percent - make this gelding stand out in this field. TA BUENO - Garnered a solid speed fig in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. Formidable rider and conditioner combo winning 25 percent of their races working together.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #9 - Post: 4:52pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 105

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 ALGENON (ML=8/1)
#5 SPOKANE EAGLE (ML=2/1)
#2 MALIBU ALEX (ML=9/2)


ALGENON - Alvarado and Offield perform well when they are put together. It's hard to beat a +110 ROI for a rider and trainer. Stalking speed. My peers and I like this animal. SPOKANE EAGLE - I think this gelding is ready to run a good one. He's had enough efforts since the layoff and should be fit. 'Blinkers On' is a time-honored positive angle in handicapping the races. MALIBU ALEX - Using this jock/trainer combination is a good decision. Look for this one to go straight to the winner's circle at some pretty good odds right here. Ran fifth in last race, but not more than five from the lead at the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 DON'T STALK ME (ML=3/1), #1 MAL VERDE (ML=4/1),

DON'T STALK ME - Thoroughbred ran a great speed rating last time out, but that was in the slop. MAL VERDE - Improbable that the speed fig he recorded on February 3rd will hold up in this clash.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - ALGENON - When a thoroughbred has a big edge over the rest of the field in TM Power Rating, I make a bet.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 ALGENON is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5] Box [2,3]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,3,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,3,5] with [2,3,5] with [1,2,3,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] Total Cost: $36

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

03/17/19, OP, Race 8, 4.42 CT
5 1/2F [Dirt] 1.02.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $92,000.
Claiming Price $50,000 (Allowance Condition Preferred). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $50,000
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 529, Win Percent 24.20, $1 ROI 0.78, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are exclusive to OP.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Condition
100.0000 4 Good Move 9/2 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. T 5.20 1.14 21.05 4 19 Last Race Clm by Trainer With Better WPC
099.3756 1 Create a Star 5-1 Eramia R E Trout C. R. E
099.3580 8 Always Enuff 2-1 Elliott S Forster Grant T. SF
098.7062 5 Georgia's Reward 12-1 Cabrera D Moquett Ron WC 9.20 1.21 22.73 5 22 COM Horse Best Workouts and Closer
098.1944 7 Ascot Day 4-1 Vazquez R A Peitz Daniel C. J 27.00 1.11 29.17 35 120 Horse Best Jockey
097.4483 2 Fairwayngreen 10-1 Bridgmohan J V Loy F. Dewaine
095.0685 6 Jackson Hill 8-1 Birzer A Smith Kenny P. L 3.00 1.01 31.07 32 103 Horse Best LeadPack
094.5428 3 Barbary Hall 8-1 Hill C Milligan Allen

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

03/17/19, TAM, Race 7, 4.00 ET
1M [Turf] 1.33.04 ALLOWANCE. Purse $22,500.
FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 7-8-9) / Super High 5
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 281, Win Percent 30.60, $1 ROI 1.14, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are exclusive to TAM.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Condition
100.0000 9 Regal Image 5-1 Castanon J L Stidham Michael SFE 103.60 1.34 33.12 51 154 Race Age 4Up
098.3962 4 Dundalk 7/2 Camacho S O'Connell Kathleen 103.60 1.34 33.12 51 154 Race Age 4Up
097.7970 3 Pirate Beach 9/2 Lynch F Sienkewicz William M. W 103.60 1.34 33.12 51 154 Race Age 4Up
095.7164 7 Siggie 6-1 Marin A A Lerman Roy S. L 107.80 1.28 31.63 62 196 Last Race Distance Not EQ To Today
095.3998 10 Soul of the Hero 15-1 Cannon D Bennett Gerald S. T 114.00 1.48 31.67 38 120 Race Entries GT 9
095.3300 6 Love Your Buttons 6-1 Martinez W Tomlinson Michael A. C 107.80 1.28 31.63 62 196 Last Race Distance Not EQ To Today
094.4293 2 Spectacular Plum 15-1 Gallardo A A Carvajal. Jr. Luis J 107.80 1.28 31.63 62 196 Last Race Distance Not EQ To Today
094.4253 5 Cheyenne's Colonel 3-1 Wales G Brooks Marcy 103.60 1.34 33.12 51 154 Race Age 4Up
094.2767 12 Biloxi Bay 6-1 Martinez W Tomlinson Michael A. 114.00 1.48 31.67 38 120 Race Entries GT 9
093.5545 11 Blessed At Mass 8-1 Frates D J McKanas Leon J. 114.00 1.48 31.67 38 120 Race Entries GT 9
092.8672 8 Tony 20-1 Bracho J A Wilson Tony 107.80 1.28 31.63 62 196 Last Race Distance Not EQ To Today
089.5899 1 Talon 30-1 Uske S Creel Rick 107.80 1.28 31.63 62 196 Last Race Distance Not EQ To Today
If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 616, Win Percent 29.87, $1 ROI 0.78, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are exclusive to TAM.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ Condition
100.0000 9 Regal Image 5-1 Castanon J L Stidham Michael SE 8.00 1.29 57.14 8 14 Horse 3rd Start
099.1034 4 Dundalk 7/2 Camacho S O'Connell Kathleen J
098.6194 3 Pirate Beach 9/2 Lynch F Sienkewicz William M. W
097.0088 7 Siggie 6-1 Marin A A Lerman Roy S. L
096.9075 2 Spectacular Plum 15-1 Gallardo A A Carvajal. Jr. Luis
096.4279 5 Cheyenne's Colonel 3-1 Wales G Brooks Marcy
095.9834 12 Biloxi Bay 6-1 Martinez W Tomlinson Michael A.
095.5610 6 Love Your Buttons 6-1 Martinez W Tomlinson Michael A. C
094.9161 10 Soul of the Hero 15-1 Cannon D Bennett Gerald S. T
093.4759 11 Blessed At Mass 8-1 Frates D J McKanas Leon J.
092.4106 8 Tony 20-1 Bracho J A Wilson Tony F
090.5451 1 Talon 30-1 Uske S Creel Rick

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SEC Trends and Angles

Venue: Bridgestone Arena - Nashville

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 11-3 SU, 10-4 ATS
Over/Under: 7-7

Sunday, March 17

No. 5 Auburn
Overall: 25-9 SU, 17-16-1 ATS
Totals: 17-16-1 O/U

No. 3 Tennessee
Overall: 29-4 SU, 17-14-1 ATS
Totals: 18-14 O/U

No. 5 Auburn vs. No. 3 Tennessee (ESPN, 1 p.m. ET)
Bruce Pearl has the Tigers back in an SEC Tournament title game for the first time since 2000. Auburn hasn't won since 1985. Chuck Person, now embroiled in scandal, led the way as a player. Charles Barkley had just left for the NBA the year prior. This is a rarity for folks on the Plains, so expect the Tigers to receiver that message and come out ready to play. Pearl himself lost at Tennessee in '09, so running into them a decade later after all that's happened is wild. As far as his team goes, they defeated Tennessee 84-80 just last weekend, getting 22 points from Chuma Okeke and 16 points and eight assists from point guard Jared Harper. Both will have to be at their best for the Tigers to pull off this upset and become a historic team. Senior Bryce Brown knocked down four 3-pointers in the win over Tennessee and will have the green light, so count on him being aggressive. Auburn attacked a sound Tennessee defense that ranked top-10 in field-goal percentage defense most of the season. The Tigers wanted no part of bogging down by being complacent. Expect that to remain their strategy

The Vols are playing to put themselves in position for a No. 1 seed, though the NCAA Tournament selection committee typically likes to have their decisions made overnight. It's very possible they're already locked in as a No. 2 seed, but you can expect they'll go out there to try and claim an SEC title anyway. It will be interesting to see if Vols fans can get tickets off of dejected Kentucky fans ready to leave Nashville in order to bolster Tennessee's advantage. Admiral Schofield has been spectacular down the stretch, stepping up to help keep defenses from completely locking in on Grant Williams, whose excellence in the clutch has become a driving force for this group. Point guard Jordan Bone was given a lot of credit for keeping Tennessee poised during its comeback against Kentucky and finished with 17 points, seven assists and just one turnover in the 84-80 March 9 loss that saw the teams combine for 62 3-point attempts. The Vols have won five of six outright since back-to-back road losses to Kentucky and LSU. Auburn has won seven straight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Big Ten Trends and Angles

Venue: United Center - Chicago

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 8-6 SU, 8-6 ATS
Over/Under: 7-7

Sunday, March 17

No. 3 Michigan
Overall: 28-5 SU, 19-14 ATS
Totals: 13-20 O/U

No. 1 Michigan State
Overall: 27-6 SU, 23-10 ATS
Totals: 14-19 O/U

No. 3 Michigan vs. No. 1 Michigan State (CBS, 3:30 p.m. ET)
The Wolverines look for revenge after being denied the Big Ten regular-season championship in East Lansing last weekend. Winning a third straight tournament title would ease a lot of the sting. Michigan has won 10 consecutive conference tourney games, posting 75.8 points and winning by an average margin of nearly 14. John Beilein is the common denominator, finding ways to mold different types of teams into juggernauts by the time this juncture of the season rolls around. The head coach got wing Charles Matthews, his lone senior, back from an ankle injury to add depth. He makes a difference even though he hasn't looked 100 percent. Point guard Zavier Simpson has had a tremendous tournament getting everyone involved and controlling pace. Freshman Iggy Brazdeikis was voted the conference's top newcomer, but he fouled out in last weekend's loss after scoring 20 points and will be targeted for mismatches.

Cassius Winston has been nursing numerous injuries but playing through them, so he'll look to hold up physically in order to make the difference against the Spartans' arch rival for the second straight week. The Wolverines held him to 1-for-8 shooting before he made five straight buckets to open a 25-4 run and take control of the game. He's averaging 25 points and 7.5 assists in two games against Michigan. Center Nick Ward missed last week's win but has been effective in his return from a hand injury, giving Tom Izzo a post threat to consistently work through who is more consistent than Xavier Tillman, who had 17 points and five blocks last weekend. Stretch-four Kenny Goins has shot 6-for-15 from 3-point range while grabbing 27 rebounds against Michigan, so he'll be relied upon heavily again. The Spartans were eliminated from last year's Big Ten Tournament by Michigan (75-64) after losing in the regular-season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

645Yale -646 Harvard
YALE is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) vs. good teams (Win Pct: 60% to 80%) in the current season.

645Yale -646 Harvard
HARVARD is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) as a dog in the current season.

647Saint Louis -648 St Bonaventure
ST BONAVENTURE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% in the current season.

649Auburn -650 Tennessee
TENNESSEE is 71-43 ATS (23.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

651Tx Arlington -652 Georgia St
TX-ARLINGTON is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games in the current season.

653Cincinnati -654 Houston
HOUSTON is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game in the current season.

655Michigan -656 Michigan St
MICHIGAN ST is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) vs. excellent teams (Win Pct: 80%+) in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 17

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YALE (21 - 7) vs. HARVARD (18 - 10) - 3/17/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
HARVARD is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HARVARD is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
HARVARD is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
HARVARD is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
YALE is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
YALE is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
HARVARD is 6-1 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
HARVARD is 6-1 straight up against YALE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAINT LOUIS (22 - 12) vs. ST BONAVENTURE (18 - 15) - 3/17/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST BONAVENTURE is 4-1 against the spread versus SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST BONAVENTURE is 5-0 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AUBURN (25 - 9) vs. TENNESSEE (29 - 4) - 3/17/2019, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 77-51 ATS (+20.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 71-43 ATS (+23.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
TENNESSEE is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 2-1 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 2-1 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TX-ARLINGTON (17 - 15) vs. GEORGIA ST (23 - 9) - 3/17/2019, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 63-33 ATS (+26.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TX-ARLINGTON is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TX-ARLINGTON is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
TX-ARLINGTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 3-3 against the spread versus TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA ST is 4-2 straight up against TX-ARLINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CINCINNATI (27 - 6) vs. HOUSTON (31 - 2) - 3/17/2019, 3:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) in March games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
CINCINNATI is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
CINCINNATI is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
CINCINNATI is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
HOUSTON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (28 - 5) vs. MICHIGAN ST (27 - 6) - 3/17/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
MICHIGAN is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 134.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
MICHIGAN is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in conference tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 3-3 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 3-3 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 17

Ivy League tournament, New Haven
Harvard beat Yale twice this season, by 16-2 points; they’ve won six of last seven series games, but lost 73-71 to Yale in Ivy tournament two years ago. Crimson won five of its last six games; only one of their guys played more than 29:00 in their 66-58 win over Penn yesterday- three of their last eight wins came in OT. Harvard turn ball over 21.8% of time in Ivy games, worst in league. Yale split its last six games after starting season 8-1 in Ivy; Bulldogs played three guys 31:00+ yesterday- they’re #33 experience team in country.

Atlantic 14 tournament, Brooklyn
Saint Louis is playing for 4th day in row; they played four starters 36:00+ yesterday- their subs play minutes #340, but so far this week, they’ve allowed 55.7 ppg in three wins. St Bonaventure outscored Saint Louis 20-10 on foul line in 66-57 home win over the Billikens eight days ago. Bonnies won last nine series games. Bonnies won nine of last ten games; they’re playing for third day in row. Bonnies’ subs played total of 6:00 yesterday in stress-free win over URI. St Bonaventure plays 2nd-slowest tempo games in conference; they’re shooting 30.8% on arc.

SEC tournament, Nashville
Bruce Pearl against his old team here. Auburn is playing for 4th day in row; they played nine guys 11:00+ yesterday- two guys played 33:00+. Tennessee has to bounce back from emotional win over Kentucky; is a #1 seed on line here? Vols won five of last six games, scoring 83-82 points last two days. Auburn scored 1.27 ppp in its 84-80 home win over Tennessee eight days ago, after trailing by 11 late in first half. Teams split last six series games, with Auburn winning last two. Vols are looking for first SEC tourney title since 1979.

Sun Belt tournament, New Orleans
Georgia State beat Texas-Arlington twice this year, by 5-6 points; Panthers won four of last five series games- they beat UTA by 13 in LY’s Sun Belt tourney. State won four in row, seven of last eight games; they’re experience team #29 that forces turnovers 20.2% of time, but is also worst rebounding team in league. Arlington is experience team #260 that has five new starters from LY; Mavericks won their last five games; they played nine guys 15:00+ in their win yesterday. State played four guys 31:00+ in their win yesterday.

AAC tournament, Memphis
Houston beat Cincinnati twice this year, by 7-16 points; they won by 16 at Cincinnati last Sunday- teams split last eight series games. Bearcats beat Houston 56-55 in LY’s AAC tourney. Cougars are 31-2, winning last four games; they allowed 45-58 points last two days. Houston is making 38.1% of its 3’s in AAC games, best in league- they get 38% of their points behind arc, most in AAC. Cincinnati won seven of its last nine games; they played Scott/Jenifer 39/37 minutes in 66-63 win over Wichita yesterday. Both teams are playing third day in a row.

Big 14 tournament, Chicago
Michigan State beat Michigan twice in last three weeks, by 7-12 points; Spartans are 7-3 in last ten series games. Wolverines beat State by 11 in LY’s Big 14 tourney. Michigan crushed its first two opponents this week, by 21-27 points, allowing 51 ppg. Wolverines won four of last five games; they’re using a 7-man rotation- one guy played more than 27:00 yesterday. Spartans won nine of their last ten games; they played three starters 30:00 yesterday, in 12-point win over Wisconsin. Michigan allowed 74+ points in its last four losses.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Sunday, March 17

Trend Report

Yale @ Harvard
Yale
Yale is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
Yale is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Harvard
Harvard is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Harvard is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Yale

Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure
Saint Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Louis's last 5 games when playing St. Bonaventure
Saint Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
St. Bonaventure
St. Bonaventure is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saint Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Bonaventure's last 5 games when playing Saint Louis

Auburn @ Tennessee
Auburn
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Auburn's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Tennessee
Tennessee is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing Auburn

Texas-Arlington @ Georgia State
Texas-Arlington
Texas-Arlington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas-Arlington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia State
Georgia State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Georgia State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Cincinnati @ Houston
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 11 games when playing Houston
Houston
Houston is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games when playing Cincinnati

Michigan @ Michigan State
Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Michigan State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Michigan
Michigan State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games