Service Plays Saturday 3/16/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

3* Washington / Memphis over 225.5

[B*mb07]

Marco D
PLAY: (611) TENNESSEE +1.5
RATING: 3% PLAY

Wrong team is favored here. Don’t get me wrong Kentucky is good but this year Tennessee is better. Kentucky is favored because of the name Kentucky and they had an easy win over Alabama while Tennessee only won by 6 against a Good Mississippi St. team yesterday. Note after scoring 75 points or more in back to back games Tennessee is 6-0 ATS this year. Tennessee has only had one bad game all year and that was at Kentucky and everything favored Kentucky in that spot. Tennessee was able to get revenge a few weeks later winning in Tennessee 71-52. My numbers have Tennessee winning by 3-5 points.


TAKE TENNESSEE as MARCO’S 3% COLLEGE PLAY
PLAY: (611) TENNESSEE +1.5
RATING: 3% PLAY

Wrong team is favored here. Don’t get me wrong Kentucky is good but this year Tennessee is better. Kentucky is favored because of the name Kentucky and they had an easy win over Alabama while Tennessee only won by 6 against a Good Mississippi St. team yesterday. Note after scoring 75 points or more in back to back games Tennessee is 6-0 ATS this year. Tennessee has only had one bad game all year and that was at Kentucky and everything favored Kentucky in that spot. Tennessee was able to get revenge a few weeks later winning in Tennessee 71-52. My numbers have Tennessee winning by 3-5 points.


TAKE TENNESSEE as MARCO’S 3% COLLEGE PLAY

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

3*TOM

Texas-Arlington / Ga.Southn under 146.5

Georgia Southern vs. Texas-Arlington, 03/16/2019 18:30 EDT,
Total: -110/+146½ Under
Sportsbook: PinnacleSports
If you're going to get involved playing an Under in the Sun Belt Conference this is the game to do it.

Georgia Southern and Texas Arlington rank among the three best defensive teams in the league.

The Under has cashed the past six times in the series. The two games this season averaged 140 points. Georgia Southern has gone Under in seven of its last eight games. The Mavericks have gone Under 23 times in their last 133 games.

Note, too, this game is played at neutral site Lakefront Arena in New Orleans, which has a reputation of being a tough place to shoot because of the backdrop.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Aj Hoffman

2* seton hall +4.5
2* mich state -5
1* st Bonnie -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

World's worst picker plays
Old dominion,Minnesota, Kentucky, Davidson,kansas,fsu, Washington.
Play opposite

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts


UC IRVINE -9


CSFULLERTON VS UC IRVINE | 3/16 | 11:59 PM EDT
12:26 PM
UC Irvine has won 15 straight games but they've been a little bit sluggish in their first two games of the Big West Tournament. At the same time, Cal-State Fullerton might have just played their best two games back-to-back of the season. They met twice this season with UCI winning and covering both and their last six meetings have stayed Under. UCI allows its opponents to shoot only 38 percent. UCI plays it best tonight, gets the cover here.

8-4 IN LAST 12 CBB ATS PICKS | +357
2-1 IN LAST 3 UCIRV ATS PICKS | +95

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cal sports

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5* Jazz UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3 Play. #511. Take Cleveland Cavaliers +7.5 over Dallas Mavericks (Saturday @ 8:30pm est)

[Tmo82]

Chuck O’Brien 100 dime Kentucky

[dawggy]

TONY FINN


TONY FINNBASKETBALL PLAYS

• FINN MWC CHAMPIONSHIP PRIVATE PLAY
  Game: (627) San Diego State at (628) Utah State
  Date/Time: Mar 16 2019 6:00 PM EDT
  Betting Line Provider: William Hill
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: Utah State -6.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  PLAY: Utah State -6 (good to -9)
  4% game rating
  
  (627) San Diego State at (628) Utah State
  While the MWC Finals tonight at Thomas and Mack reads that No. 4 seed San Diego State is squaring off against No. 2 seed Utah State the bookmakers are spot on making this game a near touchdown handicap.
  Throw out the Aggies struggles in its first game in the Mountain West Conference Tournament and remember only what the upstart Utah State squad did to earn a 85-60 victory over Fresno State on Friday night.
  
  The Aggies, who improved to 27-6 on the season, didn't sleep walk into the arena and were sharp from the start to finish of their easy win over a good Fresno squad.
  
  The Ags will play San Diego State in Saturday’s championship game at 6 p.m. ET...
  
  The Aztecs knocked off No. 1 seed and nationally ranked Nevada 65-56 on Friday night, the team's second victory over the Wolf Pack this season. The game will be televised on the CBS Sports Network.
  
  The Aggies may not have any future NBA'ers on their team but they have been the best team in the conference since January. A pair of non-conference losses actually drove this focused group to understanding what it takes to not just win but do so with 40-minutes of focus regardless of the score.
  
  Sam Merrill, who was named MWC Player of the Year, is absolutely relentless, and will be a handful for the Aztecs backcourt tonight. The Aggies have won 15 of their last 16 games. And while they don't need a win tonight to find their way to the "Dance" like SDSU does, it doesn't matter to this team. They will come out of T&M tunnel and will execute with relentless and methodical play and make the Aztecs one dimensional and eventually getting away from their scheme in an attempt to recover from a double-digit deficit.
  
  Head coach Craig Smith doesn't pull any punches with this group of blue collar players.
  
  It is noteworthy to mention that this team expects to win each time they take the floor. They are not intimidated and in their home win over the Nevada Wolf Pack the smaller group of players were attacking during and after the game -- standing tall against a Nevada group that has three sure fire NBA'ers on the roster.
  
  At the beginning of the season, the Utah State men’s basketball team was picked ninth in the Mountain West Conference preseason poll.
  
  What was underestimated by college basketball pundits is how disciplined and studied Smith is as a coach. And that his group of players are not overly gifted, physically, but their basketball IQ is over-the-top. They have been, all things being equal, at times "too smart for their own good."
  
  This is a group of players that many not beat the North Carolina and Duke's of the world of hoops but pit them against a team that won't out jump or run the group and they will brainiac their way to a win. This Utah State troupe is situational savvy. They think the game to an extent that slows down their reactions and prevents them from just playing basketball, but executing a plan.
  
  The Aztecs will be outcoached, outplayed, out "thinked" and in the end outscored by margin
  
  UTAH STATE AGGIES -6

[dawggy]

TONY FINN


FINN SAT CBB TOURNEY BIG TICKET (9-1)
Game:(637) Oregon at (638) Washington
Date/Time: Mar 16 2019 10:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Oregon -116

View Analysis

PLAY: Oregon Ducks (money-line play) -116 (if your shop doesn't have money-line offerings for college basketball the concensus pointspread is -1.5 point for Coach Altman and his Oregon squad.
5% GAME RATING
(637) Oregon at (638) Washington
This Pac-12 late tip event at T-Mobile Arena offers the Oregon Ducks and automatic bid into this year’s "Dance". This Dana A coached crew was the preseason favorite to win the Pac-12 but a post conference schedule injury to Bol Bol prevented the team from being at their best until the final month, late February and early March, when they dominated the league events.
Note that last night's victory over the Arizona State Sun Devils found Oregon winning despite not having their best game offensively, and most notably, the Devils shooting far above their pay grade from beyond the arc.

Washington, which won the regular-season Pac-12 championship by three games -- by default -- due to the league's lack of quality depth. This Washington squad is an offensively challenged group that relies on defense and the three-point shot to succeed.

Oregon, all things being equal, wouldn't finish in the top four of any of the other Power 6 conferences. The Huskies would find the going difficult, as well.

The 2-3 zone that Washington plays will be an issued in the tournament for teams not versed against the zone. The Ducks are well versed against the Huskies defense and have the outside shooters to eventually stretch their offensive side of the court -- get easy looks inside and out... and score 16-plus points in second chance points... this due to a number of offensive rebounds against the U of W zone. The Ducks took down the Huskies to close Washington's home court slate... a 55-47 win on the Huskies Senior Night.

The sixth-seeded Ducks have won seven straight game-- and because of the low seed their third and in three nights.

Washington was outplayed on Friday night, in the first half of their win over the Colorado Buffaloes. The Huskies, found their shooting touch in the second half, opening the second stanza on a 25-5 run and held Colorado to 20 percent shooting, to eventually take down the Buffs in a 66-61...

This Ducks team is the best defense in the Pac-12 and one of the best in all of Division I.

Washington had 13 steals in the win over Colorado, two off the Pac-12 tournament record.

Despite suffering a key injury to Bol Bol this season this Ducks squad has a deep bench which allows them to keep fresh legs despite this being the fourth game in four nights.

In addition you will read, hear and there will be those that will manipulate stat-sheets and attempt to tell you that Washington is the best defense in the Pac-12... the truth is... any team that plays a zone, primarily, is eliminated from being graded defensively. The Ducks, versatile due to their ability to man and zone-up to defend their rim are head and shoulders more capable on the stop side of the hardwood than Washington and the best in the conference.

In Thursday night's Oregon victory over the best offensive efficiency team in the Pac-12, Utah, Oregon held the Utes to 34 percent shooting, including 2-of-23 from 3-point land. In regulation play on Friday night the Devils scored 67 points, and were as good from beyond the arc as they have during league play.

Since allowing UCLA to score 62 points in the second half of a 90-83 loss on Feb. 23, Oregon hasn't allowed a team to score 62 points in a game, period. save the 67 that ASU notched on Friday night. and that trend continues tonight with a Ducks victory over an overrated Washington squad that is, to write the least, offensively challenged.

Yes, the Ducks went into OT last night but played nine players double-digit minutes, with the understanding that win or lose on Friday night they would have to be dressed and ready-set-go for a Saturday night finale on the Strip.

While the Huskies have played fewer consecutive games to get to the championship event they pushed all-in on Friday night in their comeback victory against the Buffs playing seven players the majority of the minutes. This in an exhausting second half of basketball that the group will feel tonight.

OREGON DUCKS -116 (money-line) or -1.5 if the ML is not available at your shop

[Tmo82]

Sean michaels 200 dime Utah state -6.5

[Tmo82]

Jack brayman 100 dime Utah state

[Tmo82]

Al demarco 20 dime Utah state

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Executive

300% Nova -4