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Tuesday, March 19
Tuesday’s play-in games
Prairie View was 1-11 in its pre-conference schedule, then went 20-1 in its league, which tells me their league sucks. Since 2003, SWAC teams are 2-15 in NCAA’s, winning play-in games LY and in 2010- they’re 2-7 overall in play-in games. Panthers are experience team #10 that forces turnovers 24.2% of time; they lost at Baylor/Ga Tech, both by 11 points. FDU won 14 of its last 16 games after starting season 6-11; they’re shooting 40.8% on arc this year- they’re experience team #152. NEC teams are 3-3 in play-in games, with last win three years ago.
Belmont won 14 of its last 15 games; they’re experience team #250 that starts two freshmen- they make 59.5% of their shots inside arc. Byrd is 0-7 in NCAA tourney games; this is first time he isn’t the lesser seed in a tourney game. Last six years, OVC teams are 0-6 in NCAA’s; this is tied for best seed they’ve had in last 15 years. Temple won six of last eight games, are 4-0 in OT this year; outgoing coach Dunphy is 2-11 in his last 13 NCAA tourney games. Owls’ subs play minutes #279. AAC teams are 8-7 SU in play-in/first round games, losing only play-in game in 2015.
Tuesday’s other tournament games
Motivation is the main variable in these “other” tournaments; I’ll give you some stats and some knowledge, but these games are really tough to decipher from the outside.
NC State played the worst non-conference schedule in country, which is why they’re here; Wolfpack started season 13-1, is 9-10 since then- they’re 16-2 vs teams ranked #90 ow lower. Hofstra was #1 seed in CAA but got beat in tourney; Pride is 5-3 in their last eight games- they are experience team #8 whose bench plays minutes #325. Hofstra is shooting 39.1% on arc.
South Dakota State has big guy (Daum) who scored 3,000+ career points; Jackrabbits were #1 seed in Summit but lost first tourney game. State lost by 8 at Memphis, by 4 at Nevada- they also lost at Tulane. Jackrabbits shoot 41.5% on the arc. Texas is 6-12 in its last 18 games after a 10-4 start; they’re experience team #280 that plays slow (#327) tempo games. Longhorns got PG Roach (suspension) back in their last game.
Indiana won four of its last five games after a 1-11 skid that ended their NCAA hopes; Hoosiers are experience team #285 that is shooting only 31.4% on arc this year. St Francis PA lost NEC final at home; Red Flash is experience team #58 that went 4-7 in its pre-conference schedule. St Francis lost by 25 at North Carolina, 38 at Va Tech, 37 at UCLA.
Campbell has a 5-9 guard who has scored 3,000+ points; they lost by 6 to Citadel in their only game this year vs a SoCon opponent. Camels won seven of their last nine games, are experience team #128- they score 38.3% of their points on the arc. NC-Greensboro is 28-6, losing finals of SoCon tourney to Wofford; Spartans beat Radford by 7, their one Big South opponent.
Lipscomb is 25-7, losing A-Sun tourney final at home; Bisons did win at TCU- they lost twice to Belmont, by 2-4 points, lost by 17 at Clemson, by 4 at Louisville. Lipscomb is experience team #48. Davidson won four of last five games but lost in A-14 semis; Wildcats are experience team #327 that plays slow (#319) pace. Davidson are 4-4 vs top 100 teams this weekend.
San Diego is experience team #15 that was disappointing 7-9 in WCC but won three games in WCC tourney; Toreros start four seniors, play only seven guys- they beat Colorado, lost by 3 at Washington, by 7 at Ole Miss. Memphis won eight of its last 11 games; they started five seniors in last game- three of their four subs were freshmen. Tigers play #6 pace in country.
Arkansas C Gafford quit to get ready for NBA Draft, won’t play here. Razorbacks won three of last four games, losing in first round of SEC tourney. Arkansas is experience team #341 that didn’t play any seniors in last game; they’re 9-3 outside the SEC. Providence is 5-8 in its last 13 games; they beat South Carolina by 11 in November. Friars are experience team #261.
Loyola is 6-6 outside MVC; they play slow (#348) tempo, are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2 to Furman, 14 to Nevada, 14 at Maryland. Ramblers are #198 experience team. Creighton won five of last six games, lost by hoop to Xavier in Big East tourney; Bluejays are experience team #282 that shoot ball well (38.5% behind arc) but they don’t know anything else that well.
Dayton won five of last seven games; they’re 8-5 outside A-14 this year. Flyers are experience team #278 that plays slow (#321) pace. Dayton lost six of eight games vs top 100 teams, with wins over Butler/Davidson. Colorado won 10 of its last 13 games; Buffaloes are 9-3 outside the Pac-12- they’re experience team #318 that played the #299 non-conference schedule.
Cal-Northridge is experience team #340 in Gottfried’s first year as HC; Matadors went 5-10 in pre-conference games, then 7-10 in Big West games- they’re 6-7 freshman Diane is very good, but CSUN doesn’t have much depth (bench minutes #327). Utah Valley won eight of its last nine games; they beat Long Beach by 15 in only Big West game. Wolverines are experience team #89.
IUPUI lost seven of last nine games after starting out 6-4 in Horizon; Jaguars are 6-5 outside Horizon games- they’re #69 experience team play fairly fast pace (#120). Marshall won five of its last six games, went 12-8 in C-USA games; Thundering Herd plays chuck/duck (#7 tempo) and gets 37.6% of its points behind arc. Teams shoot 37.4% (#320) on arc vs IUPUI.
Cornell lost five of its last seven games; they’re 6-8 outside Ivy League. Big Red is experience team #46 that lost its last four road games, all by 9+ points. Robert Morris won four of its last six games but is 3-8 outside NEC; they’re experience team #134 that turns ball over 21.5% of time (#321). Cornell won its last two games, went 7-7 in Ivy but missed 4-team tournament.
Tuesday, March 19
Tuesday’s play-in games
Prairie View was 1-11 in its pre-conference schedule, then went 20-1 in its league, which tells me their league sucks. Since 2003, SWAC teams are 2-15 in NCAA’s, winning play-in games LY and in 2010- they’re 2-7 overall in play-in games. Panthers are experience team #10 that forces turnovers 24.2% of time; they lost at Baylor/Ga Tech, both by 11 points. FDU won 14 of its last 16 games after starting season 6-11; they’re shooting 40.8% on arc this year- they’re experience team #152. NEC teams are 3-3 in play-in games, with last win three years ago.
Belmont won 14 of its last 15 games; they’re experience team #250 that starts two freshmen- they make 59.5% of their shots inside arc. Byrd is 0-7 in NCAA tourney games; this is first time he isn’t the lesser seed in a tourney game. Last six years, OVC teams are 0-6 in NCAA’s; this is tied for best seed they’ve had in last 15 years. Temple won six of last eight games, are 4-0 in OT this year; outgoing coach Dunphy is 2-11 in his last 13 NCAA tourney games. Owls’ subs play minutes #279. AAC teams are 8-7 SU in play-in/first round games, losing only play-in game in 2015.
Tuesday’s other tournament games
Motivation is the main variable in these “other” tournaments; I’ll give you some stats and some knowledge, but these games are really tough to decipher from the outside.
NC State played the worst non-conference schedule in country, which is why they’re here; Wolfpack started season 13-1, is 9-10 since then- they’re 16-2 vs teams ranked #90 ow lower. Hofstra was #1 seed in CAA but got beat in tourney; Pride is 5-3 in their last eight games- they are experience team #8 whose bench plays minutes #325. Hofstra is shooting 39.1% on arc.
South Dakota State has big guy (Daum) who scored 3,000+ career points; Jackrabbits were #1 seed in Summit but lost first tourney game. State lost by 8 at Memphis, by 4 at Nevada- they also lost at Tulane. Jackrabbits shoot 41.5% on the arc. Texas is 6-12 in its last 18 games after a 10-4 start; they’re experience team #280 that plays slow (#327) tempo games. Longhorns got PG Roach (suspension) back in their last game.
Indiana won four of its last five games after a 1-11 skid that ended their NCAA hopes; Hoosiers are experience team #285 that is shooting only 31.4% on arc this year. St Francis PA lost NEC final at home; Red Flash is experience team #58 that went 4-7 in its pre-conference schedule. St Francis lost by 25 at North Carolina, 38 at Va Tech, 37 at UCLA.
Campbell has a 5-9 guard who has scored 3,000+ points; they lost by 6 to Citadel in their only game this year vs a SoCon opponent. Camels won seven of their last nine games, are experience team #128- they score 38.3% of their points on the arc. NC-Greensboro is 28-6, losing finals of SoCon tourney to Wofford; Spartans beat Radford by 7, their one Big South opponent.
Lipscomb is 25-7, losing A-Sun tourney final at home; Bisons did win at TCU- they lost twice to Belmont, by 2-4 points, lost by 17 at Clemson, by 4 at Louisville. Lipscomb is experience team #48. Davidson won four of last five games but lost in A-14 semis; Wildcats are experience team #327 that plays slow (#319) pace. Davidson are 4-4 vs top 100 teams this weekend.
San Diego is experience team #15 that was disappointing 7-9 in WCC but won three games in WCC tourney; Toreros start four seniors, play only seven guys- they beat Colorado, lost by 3 at Washington, by 7 at Ole Miss. Memphis won eight of its last 11 games; they started five seniors in last game- three of their four subs were freshmen. Tigers play #6 pace in country.
Arkansas C Gafford quit to get ready for NBA Draft, won’t play here. Razorbacks won three of last four games, losing in first round of SEC tourney. Arkansas is experience team #341 that didn’t play any seniors in last game; they’re 9-3 outside the SEC. Providence is 5-8 in its last 13 games; they beat South Carolina by 11 in November. Friars are experience team #261.
Loyola is 6-6 outside MVC; they play slow (#348) tempo, are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 2 to Furman, 14 to Nevada, 14 at Maryland. Ramblers are #198 experience team. Creighton won five of last six games, lost by hoop to Xavier in Big East tourney; Bluejays are experience team #282 that shoot ball well (38.5% behind arc) but they don’t know anything else that well.
Dayton won five of last seven games; they’re 8-5 outside A-14 this year. Flyers are experience team #278 that plays slow (#321) pace. Dayton lost six of eight games vs top 100 teams, with wins over Butler/Davidson. Colorado won 10 of its last 13 games; Buffaloes are 9-3 outside the Pac-12- they’re experience team #318 that played the #299 non-conference schedule.
Cal-Northridge is experience team #340 in Gottfried’s first year as HC; Matadors went 5-10 in pre-conference games, then 7-10 in Big West games- they’re 6-7 freshman Diane is very good, but CSUN doesn’t have much depth (bench minutes #327). Utah Valley won eight of its last nine games; they beat Long Beach by 15 in only Big West game. Wolverines are experience team #89.
IUPUI lost seven of last nine games after starting out 6-4 in Horizon; Jaguars are 6-5 outside Horizon games- they’re #69 experience team play fairly fast pace (#120). Marshall won five of its last six games, went 12-8 in C-USA games; Thundering Herd plays chuck/duck (#7 tempo) and gets 37.6% of its points behind arc. Teams shoot 37.4% (#320) on arc vs IUPUI.
Cornell lost five of its last seven games; they’re 6-8 outside Ivy League. Big Red is experience team #46 that lost its last four road games, all by 9+ points. Robert Morris won four of its last six games but is 3-8 outside NEC; they’re experience team #134 that turns ball over 21.5% of time (#321). Cornell won its last two games, went 7-7 in Ivy but missed 4-team tournament.
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