Monday 3-25-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tonys *5 NBA Free Play

Philadelphia vs. Orlando, 03/25/2019 19:00 EDT

Point Spread: -2½/-110 Philadelphia

Sportsbook:
Bodog

Fp:philly has too much talent too keep losing games in the 4th qtr only a few games left before the playoffs i tjink they get it right vs orlando and steal one on the road for my nba free play

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Chase Diamond

Chase’s 8* NBA Diamond Dog

Oklahoma City vs. Memphis, 03/25/2019 20:00 EDT

Point Spread: +6/-105 Memphis

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

This game features the 43-30 Thunder and the 29-44 Grizzlies. Grizzlies have been improved in the second half as. Their younger players get better and actually have a winning record at home. Take the Grizzlies plus the points for an 8* Winner here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - Brooklyn at Portland (-6, 225), 10:05 ET, NBA TV

If D’Angelo Russell hadn’t delivered one of the 2018-19 NBA season’s most memorable single-quarter performances last Tuesday night, one of the league’s best feel-good stories might be headed for a grim ending. If the Brooklyn Nets hadn’t rallied from a 25-point fourth-quarter deficit in Sacramento, riding a 45-18 explosion over the final 12 minutes to a remarkable 123-121 upset, they would enter this week at .500 instead of two games up.

Brooklyn’s grip on its first playoff appearance since 2015 would be slipping given its remaining schedule and the fact Miami, Orlando and Charlotte have all had excellent stretches over the past week-plus to close the gap in the race for the final available spots in the Eastern Conference. Instead, Russell scored 27 points in the fourth quarter to help fuel a ridiculous comeback, outscoring the Kings by nine points by himself. Sacramento was obviously complicit in aiding the cause since leads of that magnitude don’t get blown without both teams doing their part, but Russell scoring 44 points not only reminded everyone that the Lakers gave up on him prematurely, it also served to provide a cushion between them and a suddenly surging pack of Southeast Division squad that now look like it might come in handy.

The Nets open the week in the No. 7 spot in the East, one game up on the Heat and two up on the Magic, whose four-game winning streak is currently the longest in the conference. Rescuing a game that they were certain to lose six days ago may wind up making the difference between watching the playoffs from home and participating.

Brooklyn takes the floor in Portland on Monday night with only one team currently under .500 remaining on its incredibly difficult schedule going forward. The lone team without a winning record, Miami, may indeed have one by the time it visits Barclays Center on April 10 regular-season finale that could be among that night’s most important contests or might wind up utterly meaningless. It remains to be seen how things play out, but the Heat, Magic and Hornets going on a run since mid-March has turned up the pressure for the Nets, who have visits to Philadelphia, Milwaukee and Indiana following their final game against a Western Conference opponent tonight. Their home games will come against the Celtics, Bucks, Raptors and Heat.

It’s possible that the “Load Management” fairy winds up being kind to Brooklyn by removing a Joel Embiid or Giannis Antetokounmpo from the equation for a night, but if Russell hadn’t hit 10 of 15 shots in the fourth quarter in Sacramento, things would look bleak as a season-long seven-game road trip winds down with games in Portland tonight and Philly on Thursday. The Nets will head back east after their game against the Trail Blazers and are playing with house money at this point, knowing they’ll be bringing at least one win that should’ve eluded them back with them on the long flight home. They beat the Lakers on Friday night as Russell followed up his dominance in Sacramento by finishing with 21 points and 13 assists in a 111-106 victory, helping Brooklyn climb back above .500 for the first time since early this month.

The Nets own tie-breakers over the Magic and Hornets but have gone 1-2 against the Heat, which spells trouble if they haven’t wrapped up a playoff bid by the time the regular-season’s final night rolls around. They can really take a lot of pressure off themselves by stealing this game in Portland, which is possible since this is just their third game in six days and they should have fresh legs.

The Blazers have won six of seven and currently reside in the fourth spot in the Western Conference, one game behind Houston and two games up on the Clippers, their surprise first-round opponent if the season ended today. While they can’t control who they play, Terry Stotts’ team is in control of their ability to open the postseason at home and can still move up past the Rockets, who they own the tie-breaker over due to a 2-1 head-to-head edge. The Nets are one of only three teams with winning records that Portland has to face in a very manageable slate over the next two weeks, though it will have to navigate a couple of back-to-backs and faces a home-and-home with the Nuggets that could help it close the gap in the Northwest Division.

It’s very likely that the Blazers will finish top-four and not out of the question that they can finish as high as No. 2, although that will take a near-perfect run. Following this one, they’ll leave for a four-game road trip that begins Wednesday in Chicago and features stops in Atlanta, Detroit and Minnesota.

C.J. McCollum, who suffered a scary-looking knee strain on March 16, will remain sidelined for this game but is working towards a return and should be in the mix come in April. Rodney Hood, Jake Layman and Seth Curry have been filling in, showing off a level of depth that Portland hasn’t enjoyed in a while. It will be looking to close out a 4-0 homestand after victories over the Pacers, Mavs and Pistons without McCollum as Damian Lillard has averaged 30.3 points and 12 assists to fuel the results. The Trail Blazers are 11-4 since the All-Star break.

Portland defeated Brooklyn 113-99 on Feb. 21 in the only meeting between the teams this season. It out-rebounded the Nets 60-49 and got 27 points and 12 rebounds from Jusuf Nurkic, who has teamed with Enes Kanter to give the Blazers a formidable center combination that has helped wear down defenses over the past few weeks. Over his past seven games, Lillard has shot nearly 47 percent (28-for-60) from 3-point range and has made six from beyond the arc in each of the last two.

His duel with Russell highlights a light four-game night in the NBA but figures to be worth staying up for. The Nets will be without shooting guard Allen Crabbe (knee) but are otherwise at full strength. The ‘under’ has prevailed in eight of the last 10 games involving Brooklyn. Portland has won six of seven in the series, scoring at least 112 points in each of its victories. The lone Nets’ win did come at the Moda Center on Nov. 10 of last season as Russell scored a team-high 21 points in a 101-97 upset.

Best of the Rest

Philadelphia at Orlando, 7:05 p.m. ET, NBA TV: The Magic put their four-game winning streak on the line against the visiting 76ers, hoping to even the season series in order to keep the pressure on Miami in the race for the Southeast Division and the final playoff spot in the East. Orlando visits the Heat on Tuesday night to open a crucial four-game road trip, so securing a victory in its 39th home game of the season carries increased importance. Philadelphia will be the last team with a winning record to come through Amway Center this regular-season, so pulling off an upset as a two-point underdog would go a long way in keeping them in the postseason mix.

The Sixers are the first team with a winning record Orlando has seen since it lost a Philadelphia on March 5. J.J. Redick shot 8-for-9 from 3-point range to help take down the team that drafted him despite the absence of Joel Embiid. The Magic has gone 5-2 against their sub-.500 competition and has won five straight home games, last losing on Feb. 22. Philly lost in Atlanta 127-125 on Saturday night and will be looking to avoid consecutive losses for the first time since March 6 and only the fourth time in 2019. Orlando has been among the NBA’s top defensive teams since the All-Star break, so it will be interesting to see how they hold up against a playoff team that’s at full strength after saving its season with an overtime win over the Grizzlies on Saturday, rallying from a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit.

Oklahoma City at Memphis, 8:05 p.m. ET: The Thunder are even with Utah for the No. 6 seed, a half-game behind the Clippers for the fifth spot and a half-game up on the Spurs, who are currently eighth. The Western Conference’s playoff teams are all set, but OKC will want no part of a first-round series with the Warriors and will have to win in order to ensure it stays out of the final two spots since Golden State figures to finish first or second. Defeating the Raptors in Toronto on Friday night snapped a four-game skid and puts the Thunder on track to finish strong since six of their final eight games will come at home in Oklahoma City. Winning in Memphis should be made easier by the fact guard Avery Bradley (shin) is sidelined and Joakim Noah (knee soreness) isn’t likely to play. Dennis Schroder is expected to participate despite rolling his ankle against the Raps.

Phoenix at Utah, 9:05 p.m. ET: The Jazz rolled past Phoenix 114-97 when the teams played less than two weeks ago on March 13, getting 26 points on Donovan Mitchell. Rudy Gobert grabbed 20 boards as Utah won the battle of the boards 57-35. The line is hovering around 15 points here as Utah opens a four-game homestand as it looks to chase down Portland and Houston in the race for homecourt advantage out West. Utah is at full strength outside of the absence of backup point guard Dante Exum, while the Suns list Josh Jackson as questionable and have declared Kelly Oubre (thumb) out for the season. Forward T.J. Warren and guard Tyler Johnson remain out, so look for rookies De’Anthony Melton and Mikal Bridges to play major minutes. Utah has beaten Phoenix by a combined 45 points this season, getting averages of 17 points and 16 rebounds from Gobert, who has made life difficult for No. 1 pick Deandre Ayton.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 25


Coastal Carolina @ West Virginia

Game 605-606
March 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
48.656
West Virginia
65.273
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 16 1/2
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 9
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-9); Over

Utah Valley @ South Florida

Game 607-608
March 25, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah Valley
58.090
South Florida
63.021
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 5
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 2 1/2
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Florida
(-2 1/2); Under

Longwood @ DePaul

Game 609-610
March 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Longwood
52.248
DePaul
64.892
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
DePaul
by 12 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
DePaul
by 15
156
Dunkel Pick:
Longwood
(+15); Under

Texas Southern @ TX-Rio Grande

Game 613-614
March 25, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Southern
47.806
TX-Rio Grande
51.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TX-Rio Grande
by 3 1/2
166
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TX-Rio Grande
by 5 1/2
160
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Southern
(+5 1/2); Over

CS-Bakersfield @ Southern Utah

Game 615-616
March 25, 2019 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
CS-Bakersfield
51.002
Southern Utah
49.628
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
CS-Bakersfield
by 1 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern Utah
by 1 1/2
145
Dunkel Pick:
CS-Bakersfield
(+1 1/2); Under

Norfolk State @ Colorado

Game 601-602
March 25, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Norfolk State
48.590
Colorado
65.644
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 17
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 14
147
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-14); Over

Brown @ Loyola Marymount

Game 611-612
March 25, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brown
55.522
Loyola Marymount
57.162
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 1 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola Marymount
by 5
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(+5); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting favorites won every single game straight up in the Round of 32 (11-5 ATS).

Updated NCAA Tournament betting stats through Day 4:
Favorites: 37-11 Straight Up & 23-25 Against The Spread
Over/Under: 24-23-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cole Faxon

Mar 25 '19, 10:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Brown vs Loyola Marymount
Play on: Loyola Marymount -5 -109 at GTBets

FREE PLAY on Loyola Marymount -5 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Info Plays

Mar 25 '19, 10:00 PM in 10h
NCAA-B | Brown vs Loyola Marymount
Play on: Loyola Marymount -5 -109 at GTBets

1* FREE INFO PLAY on Loyola Marymount -5 -109

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 28

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PURDUE (25 - 9) vs. TENNESSEE (31 - 5) - 3/28/2019, 7:29 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TENNESSEE is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as a neutral court favorite of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (25 - 12) vs. VIRGINIA (31 - 3) - 3/28/2019, 9:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
VIRGINIA is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VIRGINIA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 62-45 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
OREGON is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in March games this season.
OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
OREGON is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
OREGON is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
OREGON is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FLORIDA ST (29 - 7) at GONZAGA (32 - 3) - 3/28/2019, 7:09 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
GONZAGA is 21-13 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
GONZAGA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games this season.
GONZAGA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
GONZAGA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
GONZAGA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 1-0 straight up against GONZAGA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS TECH (28 - 6) at MICHIGAN (30 - 6) - 3/28/2019, 9:39 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 138-185 ATS (-65.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 99-131 ATS (-45.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 38-60 ATS (-28.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, March 29

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LSU (28 - 6) vs. MICHIGAN ST (30 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 7:09 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 100-65 ATS (+28.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA TECH (26 - 8) vs. DUKE (31 - 5) - 3/29/2019, 9:39 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 136-104 ATS (+21.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 66-93 ATS (-36.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUKE is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 3-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (33 - 3) vs. KENTUCKY (29 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 9:59 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 94-65 ATS (+22.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
KENTUCKY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
HOUSTON is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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AUBURN (28 - 9) vs. N CAROLINA (29 - 6) - 3/29/2019, 7:29 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
N CAROLINA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
N CAROLINA is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
N CAROLINA is 182-142 ATS (+25.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 181-142 ATS (+24.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 88-56 ATS (+26.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
N CAROLINA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
N CAROLINA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

651Purdue -652 Tennessee
TENNESSEE is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.

653Oregon -654 Virginia
OREGON is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in March games in the current season.

655Florida St -656 Gonzaga
GONZAGA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

657Texas Tech -658 Michigan
TEXAS TECH is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.

667Lsu -668 Michigan St
MICHIGAN ST is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) vs. excellent teams (Win Pct: 80%+) in the current season.

669Virginia Tech -670 Duke
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

671Houston -672 Kentucky
KENTUCKY is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.

673Auburn -674 N Carolina
N CAROLINA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Jazz are 15-0 ATS (+12.93 ppg) with less than two days rest after a game as a road favorite in which their opponent shot under 40% from the field.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-14 ATS (-9.04 ppg) at home off a 10+ loss in a home game facing an opponent averaging more than 27 points from threes.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The 76ers are 12-0 OU (+17.25 ppg) as a road favorite after a game in which they had at least 15 fewer shots than their opponent.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-14 OU (-13.68 ppg) with less than two days rest off a loss as a dog when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 62 ppg from 2-point range.