Service Plays Thursday 3/28/19

[Can'tPickAWinner]

King creole

2* Denver Nuggets / Houston Rockets under 218

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Fezzik

2* St.louis -100


3* Season Wins

Cubs UNDER 88 wins, 3 stars best bet (fine to play UNDER 87.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

3* GOM

Toronto -143

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

3* Gonzaga / Florida St. Under 147

2* Washington -127

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Oh

UNDER 232.5 L.A. CLIPPERS @ MILWAUKEE | 3/28 | 8:00 PM EDT


YESTERDAY 8:42 PM
My data sees the Bucks and Clippers combining for approximately 224 points Thursday, providing value on the Under against the hefty total. The Bucks are on a 4-1 run to the Under, while the Clippers have played Under in right of their past 10 road games against opponents with winning records.

86-64 IN LAST 150 NBA PICKS | +1621
2-1 IN LAST 3 LAC O/U PICKS | +90


OVER 218 DENVER @ HOUSTON | 3/28 | 8:00 PM EDT


YESTERDAY 8:38 PM
My projections see the Rockets and Nuggets putting up at least 223 combined points Thursday, clearing the Over with room to spare. The Over is on a 4-1 run in this series and the Nuggets have played Over in four straight following a straight-up defeat. Houston is on a 4-1 Over spurt against winning opponents.

86-64 IN LAST 150 NBA PICKS | +1621
4-0 IN LAST 4 DEN O/U PICKS | +400


L.A. DODGERS -155


ARIZONA @ L.A. DODGERS | 3/28 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 3:18 PM
No Clayton Kershaw (shoulder) on the hill for Los Angeles, but Hyun-Jin Ryu is a more than adequate replacement as he comes off a career-best 2018 campaign that included an ERA of 1.97. With Paul Goldschmidt now in St. Louis and Steven Souza Jr. (knee) out for the year for the D'Backs, that lineup isn't very potent. My simulations like the Dodgers to win this one 70 percent of the time, making them a great value on the money line in this opener.

19-12 IN LAST 31 ARI ML PICKS | +815

19-12 IN LAST 31 LAD ML PICKS | +434


GONZAGA -7


FLORIDA ST. VS GONZAGA | 3/28 | 7:09 PM EDT
SUN 3/24
I'm projecting a double-digit win for the Zags in the Sweet 16, despite FSU's impressive seven-game win streak. Gonzaga averages just under 89 points per game, most in the nation, and has put up 87 and 83 in the NCAA Tournament thus far. Look for the Zags to get to 80 again and cover.

5-3 IN LAST 8 CBB ATS PICKS | +161

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Thompson

BALTIMORE +285


BALTIMORE @ N.Y. YANKEES | 3/28 | 1:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:57 PM
The powerful Yankees, the World Series favorites, against the downtrodden and destined for futility Orioles. And yet … Andrew Cashner wasn’t good last year, but he was decent against the Yankees, including a one-run, six-inning effort in his second start. He was successful against New York’s top sluggers, too. Masahiro Tanaka is 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA in three career Opening Day starts, and last year was much better away from Yankee Stadium. The Orioles’ starting lineup has hit as many homers off Tanaka in 64 career at-bats than the Yankees’ one has against Cashner in 164. Baltimore won 53 fewer games than New York in 2018, but went 5-4 at Yankee Stadium. If you’re going to take a crazy flyer on Opening Day, this isn’t a bad one.

11-0 IN LAST 11 BAL ML PICKS | +1120

14-9 IN LAST 23 NYY ML PICKS | +385


WASHINGTON -141


N.Y. METS @ WASHINGTON | 3/28 | 1:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 1:01 PM
Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer is about as good as it gets on the hill. They cancel each other out. So now you shift focus to the bullpen, and the Nationals are deeper and stronger there. They’re also projected to have the stronger Opening Day lineup. And they’re at home. Remember, deGrom had one of the best individual pitching seasons in MLB history last year, and finished with a 10-9 record, including 10 no-decisions when he allowed one run or less. Even if the Mets’ batting is better this year, it’s not likely to show on Thursday against Scherzer. New York’s lineup is .195 against him lifetime.

6-1 IN LAST 7 WAS ML PICKS | +545

9-3 IN LAST 12 NYM ML PICKS | +506

[Can'tPickAWinner]

baseball33

Los Angeles Dodgers - Arizona Diamondbacks

Los Angeles Dodgers -1

[WeWantMoehr]

Alan Harris - MLB

4 Unit Play. Take #910 Philadelphia Phillies -180 over Atlanta Braves (3:05 PM, Thursday, March 28)
Despite going 80-82 last season and finishing third in the division, the Phillies are now the team to beat in the NL East because of their off-season additions. Andrew McCutchen, Jean Segura, J.T. Realmuto and Bryce Harper will all be in the starting lineup when the Phillies take on the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA on Thursday afternoon. Aaron Nola (17-6, 2.37 ERA, 0.98 WHIP in 2018) will get the start for the Phillies and he will be opposed by Julio Teheran (9-9, 3.94 ERA, 1.17 WHIP in 2018), who is scheduled to get the start for the Braves. The Phillies closed out their 2018 season by going 4-1 in their last five home games and they were a lights out 22-6 in Nola's last 28 home starts. The Braves, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they went 1-4 in their last five games versus a team from the NL East and they have lost five of their last six versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. Throw in the fact that the Phillies are 13-6 in their last nineteen home games against the Braves and we're laying the price with them here to get the home win in Philly on Thursday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #917 Colorado Rockies -140 over Miami Marlins (4:10 PM, Thursday, March 28)
The Colorado Rockies are going to be a team to reckon with in the NL West this season. They have a lineup that can score runs on anyone and they have an under the radar starting rotation that can shut teams down. The Marlins closed out their 2018 season by going 5-15 in their last 20 Game #1's of a series and they were an awful 17-37 in their last 54 games overall. They also proved that they couldn't hit lefty starters, going 16-36 in their last 52 games versus a left-hander. The Rockies, on the other hand, were good in the spot they are in here today as they are 20-8 in their last 28 games versus a team from the NL East. Throw in the fact that the Rockies are a lights out 22-6 in Kyle Freeland's last 28 starts and we're laying the price with them here on the road to get the win over Jose Urena and the Marlins on Thursday afternoon.
3 Unit Play. Take #920 New York Yankees -1.5 -170 over Baltimore Orioles (1:05 PM, Thursday, March 28, ESPN)
The New York Yankees will look to open their 2019 season with a win over the Baltimore Orioles when the two teams meet at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx, NY on Thursday afternoon. Masahiro Tanaka (12-6, 3.75 ERA, 1.13 WHIP in 2018) will get the start for the Yankees and he will be opposed by Andrew Cashner (4-15, 5.29 ERA, 1.58 WHIP in 2018), who is scheduled to get the call on the hill for the Orioles. The Yankees have gone 48-21 in their last 69 home games where they faced a right-handed starter and they are 73-33 in their last 106 home games overall. The Orioles, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 14-41 their last 55 versus an AL East Division rival and they have lost 58 of their last 74 road games. Throw in the fact that the Yanks are 46-22 in Tanaka's last 68 home starts while the O's are 7-19 in Cashner's last 26 starts overall and we're laying the 1.5 runs here with New York to get the blowout home win on Thursday afternoon.
2 Unit Play. Take #924 Tampa Bay Rays +115 over Houston Astros (4:05 PM, Thursday, March 28)
The Rays closed out their 2018 season by going an impressive 11-1 in their last twelve games versus a team from the AL West and they were an excellent 26-9 in their last 35 games versus a right-handed starter. They also won 16 of Blake Snell's last 21 home starts and they are 22-7 in his last 29 starts overall. The Astros, on the other hand, struggled a bit in the spot they are in here today as they have gone just 2-5 in Verlander's last seven starts where he faced a team from the AL East and they were 0-4 in their last four against the same division overall. Throw in the fact that the Rays are 14-5 in their last nineteen home games against the Astros and we're taking them at the small underdog price to get the home win in St Pete on Thursday afternoon.
2 Unit Play. Take #928 Minnesota Twins +105 over Cleveland Indians (4:10 PM, Thursday, March 28)
The Twins closed out their 2018 season by winning six of their last seven at home where they faced a right-handed starter and they were an excellent 10-1 in their last eleven games versus an AL Central Division rival. The Indians, on the other hand, struggled a bit to end their 2018 campaign in the spot they are in here as they went just 2-5 in their last seven Game #1's of a series and they lost five of their last six on the road where they faced a right-handed starter. Throw in the fact that the Twins were 30-12 in their last 42 home games and we're going to take them at the underdog price to get the win at Target Field on Thursday afternoon.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tom Fornelli


SAN FRANCISCO +105


SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO | 3/28 | 4:10 PM EDT
9:13 AM
Madison Bumgarner is not quite Madison Bumgarner anymore. His K-rate has fallen each of the last two seasons, from a peak of 27.5% in 2016 to only 19.8% last season. That's not a good trend. One thing that hasn't fallen off for MadBum, though, is his dominance over the Padres. In 32 career starts (a full season's worth) he has a 3.23 ERA against the Pads, and has held current San Diego hitters to an OPS of .595 and a wOBA of .260 in 128 plate appearances. There's value on the Giants moneyline here.

3-1 IN LAST 4 SF ML PICKS | +224

5-2 IN LAST 7 SD ML PICKS | +214


L.A. DODGERS -160


ARIZONA @ L.A. DODGERS | 3/28 | 4:10 PM EDT
9:02 AM
As division rivals, these two teams see one another quite often, and that hasn't always been good news for Arizona starter Zack Greinke. Current Dodgers hitters have 221 career plate appearances against Greinke, and they've tagged him pretty good, posting an OPS of .883 and a wOBA of .371. Greinke also has a home run rate of 5.9% against these Dodgers hitters, which is more than twice his career HR% of 2.5%.

5-3 IN LAST 8 ARI ML PICKS | +163

2-1 IN LAST 3 LAD ML PICKS | +100


TEXAS TECH +1.5


TEXAS TECH VS MICHIGAN | 3/28 | 9:39 PM EDT
8:58 AM
According to KenPom, these are the two best defensive teams in the country. That seems to make the Under an enticing play, but I think this total is a little too accurate, and I don't see much value on either side of it. I do like the Raiders to cover this small spread, however, because they're somewhat similar to the Michigan State team that's handed Michigan three losses this year. I think Tech wins this game just under half the time, so I like the value I get with the 1.5 points.

22-11-2 IN LAST 35 CBB O/U PICKS | +957
2-1 IN LAST 3 TXTECH ATS PICKS | +85


LSU +6


LSU VS MICHIGAN ST. | 3/29 | 7:09 PM EDT
TUE 3/26
Michigan State has been one of the best teams in the country all season long, and it's currently ranked No. 3 by KenPom, ahead of even Duke. Still, as good as it's been, it's overly dependent on Cassius Winston offensively at time, particularly as a ball-handler. LSU has been good at forcing turnovers on defense this season, and I think it will have some success pressuring Winston and forcing him to give up the ball, and forcing MSU into turning the ball over more than it wants to. That will help keep the Tigers in this game, and within this number.

22-11-2 IN LAST 35 CBB O/U PICKS | +957
2-1 IN LAST 3 LSU ATS PICKS | +84

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Action Network

Braves/Phils Over 8

Yankees/Orioles Over 9

Angels ML F5

Twins/Indians Under 7 1/2 and Under 4 F5

Astros -135

Padres -109

Cardinals -110

Royals -110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Paul Leiner

2500* Michigan -1.5
500* Tennessee -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc CBB

7-unit pick Thursday

Texas tech +1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Rocky Atkinson

2* nba
Philly -7.5
tor -10.5

3* Det -3.5

All Nba

[Can'tPickAWinner]

11th: MLB, 7u: 921 DET+129 1st 5. DET+134gm. 934 TEX+105. 916 SD-.5 1st 5+115. SD-1.5+170gm. 918 MIA+130.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SEABASS

MLB
ALL 200
Cards, Tigers & Rangers

FP Yanks Over