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10:59 AM
It’ll be high-scoring, for sure, and both teams are trending Over big-time. Still, this total is about 10 points above the previous maximum all season for Texas Southern and ULM. The home-standing Warhawks have entered only two games with the number exceeding 160 (barely). The Tigers’ CIT opener did wind up 94-85, but only 162 points were on the board when overtime began.
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +575
UNDER 132 LMU @ SOUTH FLORIDA | 3/28 | 7:00 PM EDT
10:58 AM
Typically for lower-tier tournaments such as the CBI, the total has climbed. But a seven-point bump seems a bit much, particularly for Loyola and its ultra-patient offensive approach. The Lions have soared Over in just four of their previous 21 away games, and they yield just 62.7 points on average.
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +575
TENNESSEE -1.5
PURDUE VS TENNESSEE | 3/28 | 7:29 PM EDT
10:40 AM
At its best, as in the first half last weekend against Iowa, Tennessee is a threat to take the NCAA title. The Volunteers are subjected to more lapses than other contenders, so they must stay focused to cover. Purdue has played admirably, but let’s go with the more balanced offensive team than the one that leans heavily on a single player (Carsen Edwards).
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +575
6-2-1 IN LAST 9 PURDUE ATS PICKS | +383
2-1 IN LAST 3 TENN ATS PICKS | +90
MICHIGAN -1.5
TEXAS TECH VS MICHIGAN | 3/28 | 9:39 PM EDT
10:39 AM
Michigan has won 18 -- 18! -- NCAA Tournament games outright since 2013. Its ATS record on neutral floors -- meaning the Big Ten Conference and NCAA tourneys -- is just as remarkable at 42-19-4 in recent seasons. Texas Tech plays demonic defense, but so do the Wolverines, whose offense is superior to the Red Raiders’.
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +575
3-0 IN LAST 3 TXTECH ATS PICKS | +300
FLORIDA ST. +8
FLORIDA ST. VS GONZAGA | 3/28 | 7:09 PM EDT
10:38 AM
Gonzaga is big. Florida State might be bigger and, with the deepest squad in the Sweet Sixteen, can afford to give up fouls. This spread appears super-sized by the Bulldogs’ remarkable 24-plus points differential on average, but FSU presents unique challenges. Motivation is on the underdogs’ side after they were ousted by the Zags at this stage last year. Gonzaga has covered in only three of the last dozen NCAA outings.
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +575
2-1 IN LAST 3 GONZAG ATS PICKS | +85
OREGON +8
OREGON VS VIRGINIA | 3/28 | 9:57 PM EDT
MON 3/25
Oregon is on a 9-1 Under streak, while Virginia has been Under in four of the past five neutral-site games. Why is that relevant to the pick? Well, eight points is a sizable spread for a game carrying a total of 118. The Ducks are no fluky No. 12 seed to reach the Sweet 16. Their suddenly awakened defense and style of play can keep the Cavaliers within single digits.
9-3-1 IN LAST 13 CBB PICKS | +575
4-1-2 IN LAST 7 OREG ATS PICKS | +290
#911 4* Pittsburgh Pirates with Taillon ML +110 (4:10 edt)
Just don't see why the Reds are favored here since Taillon looks to be better than Castillo and the Pirates have been much better in divisional games than the Reds over the last few seasons. Now throw in the spring training injury to the star 2B for the Reds and this one looks to be a win for the Pirates. Take Pittsburgh here at this dog price to win with Jimmy. Thank you and good luck.
Bad capping by Mike Tierney. "Motivation is on the underdogs’ side after they were ousted by the Zags at this stage last year." Whether revenge is a contributor, I do not know, but FSU beat Gonzaga last year.
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