Wednesday 3-27-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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Roz Wins

Roz's Wednesday, March 27, 2019, Free Pick

3/27 07:35 PM NBA (583) LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS (584) UTAH JAZZ

Take : Jazz

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Sharp Bettor

SharpBettor FREE Play for Wednesday, March 27, 2019

3/27 05:05 PM NBA (575) INDIANA PACERS VS (576) OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER

Take : Pacers

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Arthur Ralph

FREE play WED Libscomb + 3 1/2

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Tony Brown

Tonys *5 NBA Free Play

Indiana vs. Oklahoma City, 03/27/2019 20:00 EDT

Point Spread: -6/-105 Oklahoma City

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Fp: Thunder need to make up some ground in the west and this is the time first game of a 5 game homestand i think pg13 has a big game vs his former squad getting the win and cover for my nba free play.

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Wednesday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab

Wednesday night’s college basketball slate features a pair of quarterfinal pairings in the NIT starting with No. 4 Colorado squaring off against No. 2 Texas in a 8:00 p.m. ET tip in Austin. The other matchup at 9:00 p.m. pits No. 5 Lipscomb on the road against North Carolina State on the other side of the bracket in Raleigh.

National Invitation Tournament (NIT)

No. 4 Colorado Buffaloes at No. 2 Texas Longhorns (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Texas -6 ½, Total 139

Betting Matchup

The Buffaloes will be on short rest for Wednesday’s contest coming off Monday night’s 76-60 victory against Norfolk State as heavy 14-point favorites. They started this tournament with a 78-73 victory against Dayton as 4 ½-point home favorites. Colorado has been able to cover in six of its last eight games, but it slides to 3-6 against the spread in its last nine road games. The total stayed UNDER 146 ½ points in Monday night’s win and it has stayed UNDER in seven of the Buffaloes’ last nine games.

Forward Evan Battey picked the prefect time to record his first career double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds against Norfolk State. Sophomore guard Tyler Bey has been Colorado’s leading scorer all season long with 13.4 points a game and he added 17 points and nine rebounds to the winning cause.

Texas made a quick exit in this year’s Big 12 Tournament with a 65-57 loss to Kansas as a 3 ½-point underdog. This capped off a SU 1-5 slide in its previous six games. With new life in the NIT, the Longhorns beat South Dakota State 79-73 last Tuesday before squeezing past Xavier 78-76 in overtime on Sunday. They failed to cover as home favorites in both games as part of a 0-5 record ATS in their last five games. The total went OVER 139 ½ points in Sunday’s victory after staying UNDER in their previous four outings.

Kerwin Roach II had the hot hand for Texas against Xavier with 21 points along with eight rebounds and six assists. The senior guard leads the Longhorns in scoring this season with 14.8 points a game. Dylan Osetkowski put up career-high 26 points in the NIT opener against South Dakota State.

Betting Trends

-- The Buffaloes are 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the Big 12 and they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in 19 of their last 26 road games.

-- The Longhorns have failed to cover in four of their last five nonconference games and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four games coming off an ATS loss. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 14 games against the Pac-12.

-- Colorado is a perfect 6-0 ATS in its last six games against the Longhorns and it is 4-1 ATS in its last five road games against Texas.


No. 5 Lipscomb Bison at No. 2 North Carolina State Wolfpack (ESPNU, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: NC State -3 ½, 163

Betting Matchup

The Bison have won six of their last seven games SU with the only loss coming against Liberty 74-68 as 6 ½-point favorites in the Atlantic Sun Tournament. They knocked off Davidson 89-81 as 2 ½-point road underdogs in the opening round of the NIT ahead of a 86-69 romp over UNC Greensboro on Saturday as slight 1 ½-point road underdogs. Lipscomb has been able to cover the closing spread in three of its last four games after failing to cover in its previous seven contests.

Rob Marberry has made his presence known in this tournament with 17 points against Davidson followed by a 24-point effort in Saturday’s win. Senior guard Garrison Mathews is the team’s leading scorer this season with 20.0 points and he added 23 points to Saturday’s winning cause.

NC State was left home for the Big Dance after going an even 9-9 SU in ACC play. It bowed out of the conference tournament with a 76-56 loss to Virginia as an 11 ½-point underdog. The Wolfpack are making the most of their time in the NIT with SU victories against Hofstra and Harvard at home. They failed to cover as nine-point favorites for each contest as part of a 2-4 record ATS in their last six games. The total went OVER 152 ½-points in Sunday’s 78-77 win against Harvard after it had stayed UNDER in NC State’s previous six contests.

Senior guard Torin Dorn has led the Wolfpack in scoring this season with 13.4 PPG and he opened this tournament with 19 points against Hofstra. Guard CJ Bryce had the hot hand on Sunday with 16 points while going 6-for-12 from the field.

Betting Trends

-- The Bison have gone 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 nonconference games, but they fall to 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 road games.

-- The Wolfpack are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games coming off a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games at home and in four of their last five games played on a Wednesday.

-- In one previous meeting in 2008, NC State came out on top 78-58 with no posted betting lines.

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NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 27


Coastal Carolina @ DePaul

Game 635-636
March 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coastal Carolina
54.579
DePaul
64.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
DePaul
by 10 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
DePaul
by 7 1/2
163
Dunkel Pick:
DePaul
(-7 1/2); Under

Lipscomb @ NC State

Game 625-626
March 27, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Lipscomb
63.164
NC State
65.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 2
167
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 3 1/2
163
Dunkel Pick:
Lipscomb
(+3 1/2); Over

Colorado @ Texas

Game 627-628
March 27, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
64.726
Texas
66.125
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 1 1/2
130
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 5 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+5 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 27

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LIPSCOMB (27 - 7) at NC STATE (24 - 11) - 3/27/2019, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC STATE is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
LIPSCOMB is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
LIPSCOMB is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
LIPSCOMB is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
LIPSCOMB is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
LIPSCOMB is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games this season.
LIPSCOMB is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
LIPSCOMB is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
LIPSCOMB is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LIPSCOMB is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LIPSCOMB is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
NC STATE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (23 - 12) at TEXAS (18 - 16) - 3/27/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
COLORADO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
TEXAS is 46-71 ATS (-32.1 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COASTAL CAROLINA (17 - 16) at DEPAUL (17 - 15) - 3/27/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.
DEPAUL is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB

Wednesday, March 27

Wednesday’s other tournament games
Lipscomb lost by 4 at Louisville, 17 at Clemson in December; they’re 11-4 outside A-Sun, with best non-conference win at TCU. Bisons won their last two games at Davidson, NC-Greensboro; this would be three in row in the Tar Heel State. Lipscomb is experience team #48 with #20 eFG% in country. NC State won our of its last five games, with couple wins by one point; they’re 14-1 outside the ACC. Wolfpack is experience team #156 that forces turnovers 21.8% of the time. State won five of its last six home games.

Colorado won 12 of its last 15 games; this is Buffs’ first true road game since Feb 23, but no one has been going to Texas’ NIT games. Colorado is 11-3 outside Pac-12; they’re experience team #319 that is 3-7 in its last ten true road games. Texas won its first two NIT games by total of 8 points, after finishing regular season 2-6; Longhorns are 10-4 outside Big X, they’re experience team #281 that plays pace #322. These schools were Big 12 rivals until 2011.

Coastal Carolina won 109-91 in West Virginia Monday, making 13-28 on arc; they scored 1.43 ppp, a really high number. Chanticleers are 5-3 in their last eight games; they’re 7-6 outside Sun Belt, 2-5 on road, winning at Campbell/WVU. Coastal is experience team #197 whose bench plays minutes #37. DePaul scored 100-97 points in winning its last two games; they’re 10-3 outside Big East, 9-14 vs teams ranked in top 200. Blue Demons played two guys 38/39:00 in their win over Longwood Monday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

625Lipscomb -626 Nc State
LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games vs. winning teams in the current season.

625Lipscomb -626 Nc State
LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the current season.

627Colorado -628 Texas
COLORADO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

635Coastal Carolina -636 Depaul
DEPAUL is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games in the current season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 27

Trend Report

Coastal Carolina @ DePaul
Coastal Carolina
No trends to report
DePaul
The total has gone OVER in 5 of DePaul's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of DePaul's last 6 games at home

Lipscomb @ North Carolina State
Lipscomb
No trends to report
North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Carolina State's last 7 games

Colorado @ Texas
Colorado
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Texas
Texas is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Colorado
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting favorites won every single game straight up in the Round of 32 (11-5 ATS).

Updated NCAA Tournament betting stats through Day 4:
Favorites: 37-11 Straight Up & 23-25 Against The Spread
Over/Under: 24-23-1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet
Kevin Rogers

Game of the Night: Pacers at Thunder (-6, 216) – 8:05 PM EST

Two teams not playing their best basketball of late hook up in Oklahoma City in a critical game for playoff seeding. Indiana (45-29 SU, 37-37 ATS) snapped a four-game skid in Sunday’s 124-88 home blowout of Denver as 1 ½-point underdogs, aided by 35 points from Bojan Bogdanovic, as the swingman drilled five three-pointers. The Pacers improved to 10-2 the last 12 home contests, but Indiana has dropped eight consecutive games away from Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Oklahoma City (43-31 SU, 37-37 ATS) is skidding out of control at the wrong time as the Thunder are riding a 1-5 stretch since rallying past Brooklyn on March 13. The Thunder dropped three consecutive home games to the Warriors, Heat, and Raptors before beating Toronto on the second of a home-and-home last Friday, 116-109. The most recent defeat came at Memphis on Monday in a 115-103 setback as Russell Westbrook and Paul George combined to shoot 16-of-49 from the floor.

The Thunder have not been able to cash consistently at Chesapeake Energy Arena by posting a 1-7 ATS record the last eight opportunities at home. Oklahoma City is looking to avenge a 108-106 defeat at Indiana on March 14 as the Thunder squandered an 18-point third quarter lead. Wesley Matthews tipped in a miss at the buzzer to give Indiana its first win against Oklahoma City since February 2017, while the UNDER hit for the fourth straight time in the series.

Warriors at Grizzlies – 8:05 PM EST

For the sixth consecutive season, Golden State (50-23 SU, 30-42-1 ATS) has reached the 50-win plateau. The two-time defending champions rebounded from their worst loss of the season in a 35-point blowout to the Mavericks by beating Detroit on Sunday, 121-114. The Warriors failed to cash as 10-point favorites, but Stephen Curry returned to the lineup after a one-game absence to score 26 points, while Golden State shot a scorching 62% from the floor.

Golden State is making its first trip to Memphis since October 2017 as the last four matchups in this series have come at Oracle Arena. The Warriors captured the first two meetings with the Grizzlies (30-44 SU, 35-39 ATS) in Oakland by 16 and 17 points, while cashing each time as double-digit favorites. The last time Golden State invaded FedEx Forum 17 months ago, both Curry and Kevin Durant were ejected late in a 111-101 loss as 8 ½-point favorites.

The Grizzlies knocked off Durant’s former team in blowout fashion in Monday’s 115-103 triumph as 7 ½-point underdogs. Memphis improved to 5-1 the last six games at FedEx Forum, which includes victories over Western Conference heavyweights Houston, Utah, and Portland. The Grizzlies haven’t backed down in the role of an underdog by covering in nine of their last 10 opportunities, while going 10-1 ATS the last 11 as a home ‘dog.

Blazers at Bulls – 8:05 PM EST

Three teams embark on cross-country road trips late in the season as Portland (46-27 SU, 40-32-1 ATS) hits the road for four games, starting in Chicago. The Blazers have won seven of their last eight games, while sweeping a four-game homestand, capped off by a double-overtime victory over the Nets on Monday. Portland outlasted Brooklyn, 148-144, but lost big man Jusuf Nurkic to a gruesome leg injury which will sideline him for the rest of the season.

The Bulls (21-53 SU, 33-40-1 ATS) own a dreadful 9-28 record at United Center, which includes a 31-point drubbing at the hands of the Jazz on Saturday. Utah built a 70-36 halftime edge and never looked back as the Bulls played without leading scorer Zach LaVine, as he is sidelined with a thigh injury. Since the Bulls shocked the Thunder in early December, Chicago has lost six of its past seven home games against Western Conference opponents.

Portland has captured the past four matchups with Chicago dating back to December 2016, including a 124-112 home victory in January. All four of those games sailed OVER the total, as the Blazers scored exactly 124 points in each of the previous three meetings.

Wizards at Suns – 10:05 PM EST

Phoenix (17-58 SU, 34-41 ATS) begin a five-game homestand with the first three opponents all owning losing records. The Suns were rolled by the Jazz on Monday, 125-92 as 14-point underdogs, in spite of Devin Booker posting a 59-point performance. Booker finished 19-of-34 from the floor, including hitting five three-pointers and converting 16 free throws. In all three losses to Utah this season, the Suns were limited to 97 points or less and each game was decided by double-digits.

The Wizards (30-45 SU, 35-40 ATS) head to the Valley with no rest following Tuesday’s loss to the Lakers. Washington has performed well on the second end of a back-to-back this season by compiling a 9-5 SU and 11-3 ATS record, while going 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in the last three opportunities on the road.

Six of the last seven meetings in the series have been claimed by the Wizards, including a 149-146 home triumph in three overtimes back in late December. Bradley Beal paced Washington with 40 points, while Thomas Bryant knocked down all 14 of his field goal attempts for 31 points. The Wizards have won three straight matchups in Phoenix, including a 109-99 victory in December 2017.

Lakers at Jazz – 10:35 PM EST

Utah (44-30 SU, 40-32-2 ATS) is taking advantage of a soft schedule down the stretch by winning seven of eight, while beating only one team owning a winning record (Brooklyn). The latest victory for the Jazz came in Monday’s 33-point rout of the Suns, marking the second straight win for Utah by at least 30 points. In each of the past eight wins for the Jazz, Utah has managed covers, including six ATS victories in this stretch as a favorite of eight points or more.

The Lakers (33-41 SU, 29-43-2 ATS) have dropped 20 of their last 27 games to fall out of playoff contention in the Western Conference. Los Angeles is 0-15 ATS in its past 15 losses as its last cover in a defeat came at Golden State in early February as a 14 ½-point underdog. The Lakers have been nearly an automatic UNDER play on no rest this season by cashing the UNDER in nine of 10 opportunities on the second of a back-to-back following Tuesday’s victory against Washington.

The home team has won each of the first two meetings as the Jazz cruised past the Lakers in Salt Lake City back in January, 113-95 as 8 ½-point favorites. Utah owns an 8-1 record in the last nine games against L.A. since the start of the 2016-17 season, while capturing the past seven matchups at Vivint Smart Home Arena.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 27

Portland @ Chicago

Game 579-580
March 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
122.060
Chicago
111.593
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 10 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 5
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-5); Under

Golden State @ Memphis

Game 577-578
March 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
116.420
Memphis
116.868
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
Even
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 11 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+11 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Oklahoma City

Game 575-576
March 27, 2019 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.641
Oklahoma City
115.753
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 5
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 6
215
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+6); Under

Washington @ Phoenix

Game 581-582
March 27, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
112.099
Phoenix
107.153
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 5
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
231
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-1 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Utah

Game 583-584
March 27, 2019 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
117.262
Utah
122.709
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 5 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 13
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+13); N/A