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Friday 4-5-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Apr 05 '19, 7:05 PM in 9h
NBA | Hawks vs Magic
Play on: Hawks +8½ -105 at pinnacle
Play - Atlanta Hawks (Game 535).
Edges - Hawks: 13-3 ATS away when coming off a win this season, including 6-0 ATS the last six … Magic: 3-19 ATS as division home favorites … With the pressure in this game squarely on Orlando in their quest to land a playoff berth, we recommend a 1* play on the Atlanta. Thank you and good luck as always.
Trial • 330 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 84 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 8:42P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLD ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BREDS THAT WHERE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. WEIGHT, 124 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SHOULTS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
SHOULTS
3/1
4/5
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
SHOULTS
1
3/1
Average
70
63
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
GOIN HOG WILD
2
15/1
Slow/Trouble-prone
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
A HOPE AND A PRAYER
3
7/2
Average
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
PERSNICKETY FASHION
4
12/1
Slow
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
LIARLIAR HOCKSONFIRE
5
10/1
Slow
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Unknown Running Style: WON BIG BANG (5/1) [Jockey: Ramirez Esgar - Trainer: Crawford Clinton], A TRES OF SIGN (6/1) [Jockey: Esqueda Cristian R - Trainer: Olmstead Jason], OIL COMPANY BUM (4/1) [Jockey: Klaiber Justine - Trainer: Willis Eddie D].
Claiming $5,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 76 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 9:02P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MARCH 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS. (W V A RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Trailer. TAYLOR'S CORK is the Lone Trailer of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * SUPER ARTIST: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post posi tion and isn't a Trailer. BROCKTON GEORGE: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. SET'EM UP JOE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TARNISHED JUSTICE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance (sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. FULL OF MINE: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race.
2
SUPER ARTIST
9/5
DAYBREAK (GB) - Don't often see a profitable return on investment like +905. This jockey/conditioner duet has done well together over the last year. Ran a less than stellar race at Santa Anita in the last race. Racing with the benefit of a fast track puts this filly at the top of my contenders list. Running on the grass today, you should review a horse's class. This one has the top number in the bunch. BOLDEST VOW - This thoroughbred could be tough this time, especially since Figueroa rode last race out and now should be familiar with this one. Sub-par effort last time around the track at Santa Anita was due to the off-going (she finished fourth). Will do better in this field without the off-track conditions. ROSES AND CANDY - Sanchez was aboard this filly last time around the track and was impressed enough to take the animal right back. The 89 most recent race speed fig looks strong on paper. BEYOND PLEASURE - Forgive the off the board finish on the off track last time around the track. On a fast track, has a good shot right here in this race. Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (sixth). Should improve right here in this race, with some pretty good odds. Look at this pattern of improvement. 73/79/86 are the last 3 speed figs.
Vulnerable Contenders: #13 BREEZY BEE (ML=7/2), #3 LIL RESPECT (ML=6/1), #7 MORE SMORES (ML=6/1),
LIL RESPECT - This less than sharp equine ran a substandard speed fig last time out. She shouldn't run much better and will likely lose today running that figure. MORE SMORES - Didn't land in the money on Nov 23rd at Del Mar. Followed it up with another less than stellar effort. This filly recorded a speed figure in her last event which probably isn't good enough in today's event.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - DAYBREAK (GB) - This foreign steed has raced well at a major track overseas.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 DAYBREAK (GB) is the play if we get odds of 4/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,14]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
[6,14] with [1,4,6,14] with [1,4,6,14] with [1,4,6,7,12,14] with [1,4,6,7,12,14] Total Cost: $72
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - SO - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $29000 Class Rating: 97
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESSWHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING $25,000 AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS CLAIMING $25,000 AND . THREE YEAROLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 5 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 (RACES WHERE
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 HALITE 7/2
# 4 GLOBAL CITIZEN 8/5
# 7 TO BLAVE 8/1
HALITE is tough to overlook as the wager in here. Has very good Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. He should definitely be given a chance given the competitive speed figs. Trainers don't bring mounts back this soon just for exercise. GLOBAL CITIZEN - Exhibits the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 86 speed figure which is one of the most respectable in this group. Had one of the top Equibase Speed Figures of this field in his last race. TO BLAVE - Could provide positive profits based on solid recent Equibase Speed Figs with an average of 87. He has decent class ratings, averaging 92, and has to be carefully examined in this contest.
04/05/19, AQU, Race 1, 1.30 ET
1M [Dirt] 1.32.02 STARTER OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $60,000.
Claiming Price $75,000. (UP TO $10,440 NYSBFOA) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $75,000
Exacta, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (1-3) - Early Pick 5 (.50) Races (1-5), Double
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 860, Win Percent 30.35, $1 ROI 0.89, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race category and exclusive to AQU.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 6 Major Flirt 10-1 Franco M Pletcher Todd A. JFEC 7.20 1.01 35.71 120 336
099.9517 2 Direct Order 9/5 Ortiz. Jr. I Servis Jason
099.8602 4 Spectator Sport 6-1 Lezcano J Atras Rob T
098.9592 5 Family Biz 2-1 Davis D Barker Edward R. SW 140.60 1.60 19.49 23 118
098.6397 3 Bye Bye Man 3-1 Alvarado J Rice Linda 29.60 1.17 40.70 35 86
095.8702 1 Americano 10-1 Carmouche K Handal Raymond L 29.60 1.17 40.70 35 86
P# 6 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Best Jockey
P# 5 [Dirt NonMdn] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 3 [Dirt NonMdn] Last Race Claimed
P# 1 [Dirt NonMdn] Last Race Claimed
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $8100 Class Rating: 80
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MARCH 17, 2019 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 4, 2019 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 4, 2019 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 QUEEN FABIOLA 2/1
# 1 BRUJERIA 3/2
# 7 CHELSIE EXPRESS 4/1
I have to consider QUEEN FABIOLA here. She has a good opportunity in this race as handler, Velez, has strong win rate with horses going this distance. Diaz will probably be able to get this filly to break out sharply for this event. Had one of the top speed figures of this group in her last contest. BRUJERIA - She has garnered strong numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this group. Velez and Figueroa have won 24 percent of their races giving this racer a quite good chance. CHELSIE EXPRESS - Always good to invest in a conditioner with this kind of respectable win percentage - 23 percent - at this distance & surface. Has been consistently running well lately.
Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park
04/05/19, OP, Race 7, 4.14 CT
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.40.01 CLAIMING. Purse $50,000.
Claiming Price $50,000. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 605, Win Percent 23.47, $1 ROI 0.73, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by race category and exclusive to OP.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 9 Armament 9/2 Cohen D Broberg Karl JT 16.80 1.18 34.78 16 46
099.1512 5 Determinant 3-1 Elliott S Holthus Paul E. SE .20 1.01 50.00 4 8
098.9922 1 Pickford 10-1 Canchari A L DiVito James P. C .20 1.01 50.00 4 8
098.6889 3 Golden Bullet 6-1 Quinonez L S Milligan Allen FW 25.00 1.20 37.70 23 61
098.4576 4 Arrival 5-1 Bridgmohan J V Van Berg Thomas L. L .20 1.01 50.00 4 8
097.3427 10 P R Radio Star 15-1 Court J K Swearingen Thomas H.
096.0696 2 Eisenstaedt 5-1 Santana. Jr. R Moquett Ron .20 1.01 50.00 4 8
095.4952 6 Zeke 20-1 Eramia R E Lovell Michelle
094.3178 8 Home Run Trick 6-1 De La Cruz W Martin William N.
094.2703 7 Producer 20-1 Sanjur S Contreras Cipriano
P# 9 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Best Jockey and Trainer
P# 5 [Dirt NonMdn] Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
P# 1 [Dirt NonMdn] Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
P# 3 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Best Finish and Workouts
P# 4 [Dirt NonMdn] Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
P# 2 [Dirt NonMdn] Race Entries Not Greater Than 5
DIXIE PRINCESS - Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter distance should help. This thoroughbred has recorded the best recent turf speed figure at the dist-surf. SECRET O'LIFE - I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a pony coming back off a nice race within the last 30 days. This horse picks up a lot of money per race. I believe she can augment the lifetime bankroll right here in this race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #3 DUBAIAN (ML=7/2), #5 DIAMOND LOVE (ML=9/2),
DUBAIAN - Can't wager on this questionable contender in today's sprint of 7 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a sprint race lately. DIAMOND LOVE - This mount likes to be there at the wire, but doesn't usually win. Don't play in the top spot. The speed figures continue to decline, 79/73/70. Not a good sign. Earned a substandard speed rating last out in a $16,000 Claiming race on March 13th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that rating.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - DIXIE PRINCESS - Getting my cash. Tops in TM Power Rating and should go off at generous odds.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 DIXIE PRINCESS to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though
Marc Lawrence Friday Hoops SteamWashington: 9-1 $ as non-conference HD’s … Toronto: 7-1 OVER on Fridays, Charlotte: 6-1 OVER vs. the Raptors … Orlando: 3-16 $ as division HF’s … Houston 1-10 $ as HF’s vs. Atlantic Division … Indiana: 7-1 $ Fridays … LA Lakers: 1-6 $ Fridays.
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