Monday 4-8-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:40 AM

Preview: Texas Tech vs. Virginia

Two of the best defensive teams in the country vie for their first national championship when Texas Tech meets Virginia in the NCAA Tournament title game Monday night at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. Virginia has limited opponents to a national-best 55.5 points per game and 38.4 percent shooting while the Red Raiders advanced to the final by holding Michigan State to 31.9 percent from the field in Saturday’s 61-51 victory.

The Cavaliers, who became the first No. 1 seed in history to lose to a 16th seed in last season’s tournament, needed three free throws from junior guard Kyle Guy with less than one second left to beat Auburn 63-62 in the semifinals. “To think this time last year we were starting our spring workouts, and to still be playing at this point in the season. … with one other team in the whole country on the stage that you dreamed about since you were a little kid, it’s an unreal feeling,” Virginia junior guard Ty Jerome told reporters. “We’re going to do everything we can to finish the job.” Texas Tech lost five of its top six scorers from last season’s Elite Eight team, but leaned on its stifling defense (58.8 points, 36.8 percent shooting against) along with the emergence of Big 12 Player of the Year Jarrett Culver (18.6 points) and third-year coach Chris Beard molded the team into one capable of something special. “(Beard) said (last summer), we have enough in this gym, in this locker room right here to play on the final Monday night,” Red Raiders senior guard Matt Mooney told reporters after matching his season high with 22 points Saturday. “. … He might be psychic because here we are on the final Monday night. We just believed him and believed in each other all year long.”

TV: 9:20 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT TEXAS TECH (31-6): Mooney, who averages 11.3 points overall, drained 4-of-8 from 3-point range Saturday while Culver (10 points, 3-of-12 shooting) struggled, with Beard telling reporters: “Matt had the courage to step up and take those shots. He’s making plays on both ends. … He’s a special player.” Sophomore guard Davide Moretti (11.4 points) saw his streak of 11 straight double-figure games end with five in the semifinal, but senior guard Brandone Francis scored nine off the bench against Michigan State. Senior forward Tariq Owens (8.8 points, team-high 2.5 blocks) suffered an ankle injury in the second half Saturday, but was able to return to the floor.

ABOUT VIRGINIA (34-3): Guy struggled shooting in the first three games of the tournament (8-for-38 overall, 3-for-26 from 3-point range), but has warmed up the last two (13-for-30, 7-for-18) while averaging 20 points. Guy leads the team overall (15.2) while sophomore swingman De’Andre Hunter (14.9), who missed last year’s tournament with an injury, scored 14 on 7-of-11 shooting from the field in Saturday’s victory. Jerome (13.5 points, team-high 5.4 assists) scored 24 in the South Region final against Purdue and led the way with 21 points to go along with nine boards and six assists in the semifinals, draining four 3-pointers for the second straight game.

TIP-INS

1. Virginia junior F Mamadi Diakite is averaging 10.8 points in the NCAA Tournament - 3.4 above his season mark - and blocked five shots Saturday.

2. Texas Tech senior C Norense Odiase, who has started all 36 games, is averaging 7.3 rebounds (5.3 overall) in the last four contests after hauling in nine Saturday.

3. The Cavaliers and Red Raiders have never met ... The over-under betting total of 117.5, already down from the opening line of 119, marks the lowest number since Florida-UCLA (128) in 2006.

PREDICTION: Virginia 56, Texas Tech 53

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:41 AM

Texas Tech vs. Virginia
Kevin Rogers

Monday night’s National Championship game is very intriguing on many levels. We’re not seeing the likes of Duke, Kentucky, Kansas, North Carolina, Villanova, or Michigan State. Instead, it’s two schools that have never raised the championship plaque as Virginia and Texas Tech play for the 2019 title at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

The Cavaliers (34-3 SU, 25-12 ATS) are a top-seed for the second straight Big Dance, but suffered a mortifying defeat to 16th-seed UMBC last March by 20 points. Virginia avoided a second consecutive massive upset in the first round by erasing a six-point deficit to upstart Gardner-Webb in a 71-56 victory, although the Cavaliers failed to cash as hefty 22 ½-point favorites.

Tony Bennett’s squad cruised past Oklahoma in the second round, 63-51 to barely cover as 10 ½-point favorites, in spite of Kyle Guy’s 0-for-10 performance from three-point range. The Cavaliers squeezed out a 53-49 victory over Oregon as 8 ½-point favorites in the Sweet 16 in an ugly offensive performance by both clubs, as UVA shot 35% from the floor.

Virginia outlasted Purdue in the Elite Eight, 80-75 in overtime, while picking up a miracle cover as 4 ½-point favorites. The Cavaliers trailed by three points late after Ty Jerome was fouled with five seconds remaining. Jerome nailed the first free throw and missed the second one, but UVA tracked down the rebound and Mamadi Diakite’s short jumper beat the buzzer and forced overtime. Virginia led by three with five seconds left in overtime, but Purdue turned the ball over and the Cavs hit two free throws to grab the cover.

Now to the foul heard ‘round the world.

In Saturday’s Final Four matchup with an Auburn squad who eliminated Kansas, North Carolina, and Kentucky in three straight round, the Cavaliers trailed, 31-28 at halftime. Virginia rallied back to take a 57-47 advantage with 5:24 left to get in front of the -6 closing number. However, Auburn ran off 14 straight points to pull in front, 61-57 with 17 seconds remaining and creep closer towards its first ever National Championship appearance.

Guy knocked down a three-pointer to cut the deficit to one, while Auburn split a pair of free throws to take a 62-60 lead. The fun began in the final five seconds as the referees missed a double-dribble committed by Virginia, then Guy was fouled on a three-pointer in the left corner with five-tenths of a second remaining. Guy sank all three free throws to give Virginia the 63-62 victory, but Auburn backers had the last laugh as the Tigers cashed in the underdog role.

Texas Tech (31-6 SU, 20-16-1 ATS) was shocked by West Virginia in the Big 12 quarterfinals as 13-point favorites, but the Red Raiders have bounced back nicely with five straight wins in the NCAA tournament. It all started with a 72-57 triumph in the opening round over Northern Kentucky, followed by a 78-58 rout of a solid Buffalo team as 3 ½-point favorites in the second round.

The Red Raiders handled last year’s runner-up Michigan in the Sweet 16 with a 63-44 blowout as 1 ½-point underdogs. Jarrett Culver led Texas Tech with 22 points, as the Red Raiders held the Wolverines to 1-of-19 shooting from three-point range. Texas Tech knocked out top-seed Gonzaga in the Elite Eight one season after getting bounced in the same round by eventual national champion Villanova. The Red Raiders held off the Bulldogs, 75-69 as five-point underdogs to improve to 12-2 ATS the last 14 games.

After Michigan State escaped past Duke in the Elite Eight, it seemed like the Spartans were the team to beat in Minneapolis. However, Texas Tech completed its sweep of the Michigan powers in the tournament by bouncing the Spartans, 61-51 as two-point underdogs on Saturday. The Red Raiders limited MSU to 32% shooting from the floor, while senior Matt Mooney led Texas Tech with 22 points to help a Big 12 school advance to its first title game since Kansas lost to Kentucky in the 2012 championship.

Texas Tech began the season with a 2-3 ATS mark in the role of an underdog, which included losses to Duke in New York City and blowout defeats at Kansas State and Kansas. However, Chris Beard’s club owns a perfect 3-0 SU/ATS record in the last three opportunities in the ‘dog role, all over the last 10 days with the three victories over Michigan, Gonzaga, and Michigan State.

The miniscule total of 118 on Monday night tells us a lot about a potential grind-it-out affair with these two defensive-minded teams. The UNDER has cashed in seven of the last nine championships dating back to 2010, including in each of the last two years with Villanova blowing out Michigan, 79-62 on a 144 ½ total last season and North Carolina edging Gonzaga in 2017 on a 154 ½ total, 71-65.

If you believe in wacky trends, in the last two seasons ending in odd numbers, the ACC has captured the championship. In 2017, UNC took home the title and in 2015, Duke won the championship, and in both cases, those powers were number one seeds like Virginia. Meanwhile, besides Kansas winning three championships in its storied history, the only other current Big 12 school owning titles in college hoops is Oklahoma State, who won back-to-back in 1945 and 1946 when the Cowboys went by Oklahoma A&M.

Title Game History

-- The opening total of 119 is the lowest in National Championship Game history. This number shatters the previous record of 128.

-- Favorites are 24-10 straight up and 15-19 against the spread in National Championship game history

- The 'under' has gone 19-14 since 1985 and the low side is on a 7-2 run the past nine years.

-- Totals that closed at 135 or lower and their results

128 (Florida vs. UCLA in 2006) - Over
128 (Duke vs. Butler in 2010) - Under
131.5 (Connecticut vs. Butler in 2011) - Under
135 (Connecticut vs. Kentucky in 2014) - Under

-- Virginia (-1.5) is one of the shortest spreads in NCAA Tournament Championship History

-- Listed below are the four smallest spreads in the title game

2017: North Carolina (-1.5) vs. Gonzaga - Favorite
2006: Florida (-1) vs. UCLA - Favorite
1986: Duke (-1) vs. Louisville - Underdog
2015: Wisconsin (-1) vs. Duke - Underdog

Conference Trends in the NCAA Tournament Championship Game

-- ACC is 10-6 straight up and 10-6 against the spread, 4-10 over/under

-- Big 12/Big 8 is 2-4 straight up and 2-4 against the spread, 1-3 over/under

Seeds Trends in the NCAA Tournament Championship Game

-- #1 Seeds are 21-12 straight up and 17-16 against the spread, 10-18 Over/Under

-- #3 Seeds are 4-6 straight up and 4-6 against the spread, 4-3 Over/Under

-- #1 vs. #3 is 2-0 straight up and 1-0 against the spread, 1-0 Over/Under

2018 - Villanova 79 Michigan 62 (Favorite-Under)
1990 - UNLV 103 Duke 73 (No Line Posted due to Nevada Gaming)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:41 AM

Early bettors hammer Under odds for Texas Tech-Virginia title clash
Patrick Everson

A week into April, March Madness heads toward its conclusion with Monday night’s championship game. We check in on the opening odds and early action for the NCAA Tournament final, with insights from Eric Osterman, manager at The SuperBook at Westgate in Las Vegas, and Matt Chaprales, head of content for PointsBet USA in New Jersey.

No. 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. No. 1 Virginia Cavaliers – Open: -1; Move: -1.5; Move: -1

Virginia was the lone No. 1 seed to reach the Final Four and stayed on its feet for one last dance at the Big Dance – barely. The Cavaliers (34-3 SU, 25-12 ATS) had a 10-point lead with five minutes left against No. 5 seed Auburn, blew all that and more, but got a fortuitous noncall of a double dribble, followed by a final-second foul call on a missed 3-pointer.

Kyle Guy then made all three free throws, giving the Cavs a 63-62 victory as 6-point favorites Saturday.

Texas Tech has been the best bet of the NCAA Tourney, going 5-0 SU and ATS heading into Monday’s 9:20 p.m. ET championship clash. The Red Raiders (31-6 SU, 20-16-1 ATS) also let a double-digit advantage slip away in the semifinals, turning a 48-35 lead with 9:23 remaining into just a 52-51 edge with 2:35 left against No. 2 seed Michigan State.

However, Texas Tech closed with a 9-0 run to claim a 61-51 victory as a 1.5-point underdog Saturday, moving to 14-1 SU and 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games.

While there was a little jockeying with the opening pointspread, what proved more intriguing was the total. The SuperBook opened at 120, quickly went to 119.5 and ultimately dipped to 118.5 before bettors slowed down their fire. Still, The SuperBook made two trips to 118 before going back to 118.5 late Saturday night.

“It was a situation where we posted it before anyone else,” Osterman said. “The third bet we took was on the Under, and then a couple more decent-sized bets came in on the Under. And then more places started posting lower totals, so we had to go down too. It was a combination of money and the market. It looks like it’s calmed down a little bit since we went to 118.5.”

As for the spread, Cavaliers backers definitely liked the opener of -1.

“The first bet we took was a $5,000 limit bet on Virginia -1,” Osterman said. “We didn’t move off that, but then we went to -1.5 because it looked like the market was gonna stay there. Then the market came back down, and we took a Texas Tech moneyline bet from one of our house players. So we decided to go back to 1.”

PointsBet opened the total at 118.5 and also drew some early Under cash, dropping to 117.5 by late Saturday night.

“The first bets were all on the under,” Chaprales said.

On the spread, Virginia spent the late night bouncing between the opener of -1.5 and -1 at PointsBet.

“We’re anticipating another rock fight,” Chaprales said before describing out-of-the-gate pointspread action. “The line actually moved to 1 for about 90 seconds. Some immediate Virginia resistance at -1 pushed it back to -1.5. Then more Tech money, back to 1. These numbers are so tight, I could see a ping-pong scenario.”

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:41 AM

THREE REASONS WHY TEXAS TECH COVERS

NO. 1 DEFENSE!

Well, obviously, as Texas Tech and Virginia boast two of the best defenses in the country but there are a couple of things that the Red Raiders do particularily well that will frustrate the Cavaliers.

The first is 3-point defense. The Red Raiders rank 11th in the nation in allowing opponents to shoot just 29.3 percent from behind the arc on the season and have allowed opponents to hit on just 31-of-117 attempts (26.5 percent) so far in the tournament. Virginia relies on the 3-ball for 35.4 percent of its total offense and that’s going to dry up on Monday night.

The second is that the Red Raiders just don’t allow teams to move the ball around. Texas Tech is one of the best teams in the nation at limiting team assists, allowing just 9.6 per game, the fourth-fewest in the nation. Heading into the Final Four, Michigan State was third in the nation with 18.7 assists per game and then managed just six against the Red Raiders. Virginia has been scoring in the tournament with solid ball movement and is averaging 14.3 assists per game in its last three.

This is going to be a defensive slugfest with a total that has already ticked down to 118 but the Red Raiders have the defensive edge in a couple of key categories which should help them to their first national title in school history.

NO. 2 JARRETT CULVER

Texas Tech needs a better overall performance from Jarrett Culver on Monday. The future NBA lottery prospect was clutch late in the game on Saturday, hitting a key 3-pointer 58 seconds remaining, but he finished the game with just 10 points on 3-of-12 shooting while also adding five boards and five assists. The Big 12 Player of the Year came into the tournament hot, however, averaging 21.5 points, 6.8 rebounds, and 4.5 assists in four NCAA Tournament games prior to Minneapolis.

Virginia only lost three times all season and in two of those, it was because Zion Williamson dominated from inside the arc, hitting on 15-of-22 two-point attempts. Culver is not Williamson but he is at his best when he’s driving to the basket and not settling for outside shots. His ability to get to the rim should be a key factor that Texas Tech will look to exploit against the Cavaliers. Culver is by far the Red Raiders’ best player and expect him to bounce back with a big performance on Monday night.

NO. 3 LUCK RUNS OUT

Alright, someone has to say it: Virginia is downright lucky to be playing for the national championship on Monday night. That last sequence on Saturday was just silly, first with Ty Jerome getting away with a double-dribble before getting fouled and then the Cavaliers getting bailed out by Auburn’s Samir Doughty as he fouled Kyle Guy on his 3-point attempt with less than a second remaining (and yes, it was a foul). And don’t forget about how Virginia got to Minneapolis, needing a miraculous buzzer-beater from Mamadi Diakite to force overtime against Purdue in the Elite Eight.

Virginia’s luck runs out on Monday. Texas Tech is a runaway train at the moment that is destroying anything and everything in its path. The Red Raiders are 5-0 against the spread so far in the tournament and will get to 6-0 when they cover — and likely win outright — in the National Championship game on Monday night.

THREE REASONS WHY VIRGINIA COVERS

NO. 1 VIRGINIA KNOWS HOW TO WIN CLOSE GAMES

You have to be good to be lucky, as any sports bettor knows. A cynic might look at Virginia's last couple of results and see luck, but it takes more more than luck to win close games against quality teams like Purdue and Aubun.

Virginia has proved that when the chips are down they can win close battles. They have the tenacity to fight back from behind as they did against Purdue after trailing 25-16, and they had the mettle to close out a tight finish against an Auburn team that was out for blood in the final five minutes.

Most people think this championship game is going to be close and if it is, Virginia has the resiliency to win. With a spread this small, I'm more than comfortable taking them to cover as well.

NO. 2 DISIPLINE

Texas Tech aren't turnover machines by any stretch of the imagination, but they can't compare to the discipline of Virginia on either side of the ball. Virginia simply refuses to beat itself.

The Cavaliers commit just 14.3 fouls per game, the sixth fewest in the country, while Texas Tech sits near the middle of the pack with 17.3 which ranks 142nd.

UVA also rarely turns the ball over, ranking 11th in the nation in turnovers per possession, while TTU ranks 138nd. In a game that should be very close, a foul here and a turnover there will make all the difference.

NO. 3 REBOUNDING

During the tournament Texas Tech has played exceptionally well in almost every aspect of the game, except on the boards. The Raiders' rebounding rate of 50.9 percent ranks a modest 125th in the country and over their last three games that number has plummeted to 45.5 percent. Tech's second-leading rebounder Tariq Owens had what looked to be a nasty ankle injury against Michigan State but returned to the floor. It looks like nothing is going to keep Owens out of the lineup in the championship game, but ankle injuries are difficult to play on and could affect his rebounding ability.

Virginia ranks 18th in the country in rebounding rate at 53.9 percent, and should be able to limit TTU's chances on the offensive end.

Rebounding, turnovers, and clutch play, these are the things that win championships and Virginia's got the edge which should help them win and cover in Minneapolis.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:42 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, April 8

Texas Tech @ Virginia

Game 811-812
April 8, 2019 @ 9:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Tech
80.697
Virginia
78.493
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Tech
by 2
114
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia
by 1 1/2
118
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+1 1/2); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:42 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 8

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (31 - 6) vs. VIRGINIA (34 - 3) - 4/8/2019, 9:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 141-185 ATS (-62.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
TEXAS TECH is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
VIRGINIA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games this season.
VIRGINIA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
VIRGINIA is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
VIRGINIA is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
VIRGINIA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
TEXAS TECH is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less this season.
TEXAS TECH is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS TECH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:42 AM

NCAAB

Monday, April 8

Virginia won its last three games by total of 10 points, using near-miraculous finishes to win last two games. Cavaliers played two subs a total of 19:00 Saturday; Auburn shot 50% inside arc, but only 9-31 on arc against them. Only Cavalier senior who plays is their 7th man. Virginia is 17-0 outside ACC this year. Texas Tech is 16-1 outside the Big X, with only loss by 11 to Duke on neutral floor. Four of Red Raiders’ five NCAA tourney wins were by 10+ points. Tech starts three seniors; they held Michigan State to 31.9% from floor Saturday.

— Favorites won/covered five of last eight national title games.
— Since 2000, #1-seeds are 8-1 in final vs non-#1-seeds (7-2 vs spread).
— #1-seed won last four national titles; since 1990, #3-seeds are 3-5 in title games, 0-2 vs #1-seeds.
— Last time a Big X school won national title was Kansas in 2008.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:42 AM

811Texas Tech -812 Virginia
VIRGINIA is 11-0 ATS (11 Units) in road games off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:43 AM

NCAAB

Monday, April 8

Trend Report

Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games
Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Virginia's last 5 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:44 AM

MLB
Weather Report

Monday, April 8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:44 AM

MLB
Dunkel

Monday, April 8

Tampa Bay @ Chicago White Sox

Game 961-962
April 8, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 16.118
Chicago White Sox
(Rodon) 14.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-155); Over

Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs

Game 951-952
April 8, 2019 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 16.119
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 14.640
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-120
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+100); N/A

Oakland @ Baltimore

Game 963-964
April 8, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Estrada) 15.022
Baltimore
(Cashner) 12.584
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-130); Over

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 953-954
April 8, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Sanchez) 15.959
Philadelphia
(Velasquez) 17.057
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-130
9
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-130); Over

NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 965-966
April 8, 2019 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Tanaka) 16.007
Houston
(Verlnder) 17.142
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-155); Under

LA Dodgers @ St. Louis

Game 955-956
April 8, 2019 @ 7:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Ryu) 17.775
St. Louis
(Mikolas) 15.305
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-120); Under

Seattle @ Kansas City

Game 967-968
April 8, 2019 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Hernandez) 18.023
Kansas City
(Bailey) 13.859
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 4
14
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-120); Over

Atlanta @ Colorado

Game 957-958
April 8, 2019 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 14.368
Colorado
(Freeland) 15.323
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-125
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-125); Over

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 959-960
April 8, 2019 @ 9:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Lauer) 14.632
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 15.945
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-125
7
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-125); Under

Milwaukee @ LA Angels

Game 969-970
April 8, 2019 @ 10:07 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Chacin) 16.759
LA Angels
(Cahill) 15.157
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-110); Under

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:45 AM

MLB

Monday, April 8

National League
Pirates (5-3) @ Cubs (2-7)
Taillon is 0-1, 3.46 in his first two starts; he is 4-3, 3.88 in 8 starts vs Chicago, 2-1, 2.50 in three starts at Wrigley. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

Lester is 1-0, 3.00 in his first two starts; he is 9-6, 3.18 in 18 starts vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0

Pittsburgh won its last four games; over is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-6

Cubs lost seven of their first nine games (over 6-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 6-3

Nationals (4-4) @ Phillies (6-2)
Sanchez allowed four runs in four IP in his first ’19 start; he is 5-9, 4.66 in 21 starts vs Philly, 2-6, 5.60 in 12 starts here. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 0-1

Velasquez was 9-12, 4.85 in 30 starts LY; he is 2-2, 4.76 in 8 games (7 starts) vs Washington. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

Nationals won three of their last four games; six of their last seven games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-4

Philly won six of its first eight games; over is 3-1-1 in last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-4-1

Dodgers (8-2) @ Cardinals (4-5)
Ryu is 2-0, 2.08 in his first two starts; he is 1-2, 2.25 in 5 games (4 starts) vs St Louis. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-0 Over/under: 2-0

Mikolas is 0-1, 7.20 in his first two starts; he allowed two runs in 3.1 IP in three relief stints vs LA. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 2-0

Dodgers won their last five games (over 4-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 7-3

St Louis lost five of its first nine games (over 6-3). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 in last five

Braves (5-4) @ Rockies (3-7)
Teheran is 0-1, 3.60 in his first two starts (over 2-0); he is 5-1, 2.25 in 10 starts vs Colorado, 1-1, 2.96 in four starts in Denver. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0

Freeland is 1-1, 3.09 in his first two starts; he is 1-1, 4.13 in four starts vs Atlanta. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1

Braves won five of their last six games; under is 5-2 in their last seven. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-1-2 in last six

Colorado lost seven of their last eight games; under is 5-2 in his last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 5-2 in last seven

Padres (6-4) @ Giants (3-7)
Lauer is 1-1, 3.27 in his first two starts; he is 1-0, 2.86 in four starts against the Giants. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

Bumgarner is 0-2, 4.85 in his first two starts; he allowed five unearned runs in his last start. Bumgarner is 11-10, 3.29 in 32 starts vs San Diego. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

Padres won three of their last four games; four of their last six games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-5-3

San Francisco lost four of its last five games (over 3-1-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-5-3

American League
Rays (7-3) @ White Sox (3-5)
Snell is 1-1, 3.46 in his first two starts; he is 2-0, 0.93 in four starts against the White Sox. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2

Rodon is 1-1, 3.09 in his last two starts; he is 0-0, 3.07 in three starts vs Tampa Bay. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 1-1

Tampa Bay won seven of its last nine games (under 7-1-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 1-8-1

White Sox lost five of their first eight games; their last seven games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-0 last four

A’s (6-7) @ Orioles (4-5)
Estrada is 0-0, 3.31 in three starts; the bullpen lost all three games. He is 9-3, 3.43 in 19 games (17 starts) vs Baltimore, 3-3, 3.83 in 10 games (9 starts) at Camden Yards. Team in his starts: 0-3
5-inning record: 1-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3 Over/under: 1-2

Cashner is 1-1, 5.40 in his first two starts; he is 1-1, 6.84 in six games (5 starts) vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 0-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 0-1-1

A’s are 0-5 away from Oakland this season. Under is 9-3 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: Over 3-1 in last four.

Orioles lost their last four games, allowing 34 runs; their last three games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 6-3

New York (5-4) @ Astros (5-5)
Tanaka is 1-0, 2.19 in his last two starts; he is 0-2, 8.87 in five starts vs Houston, 0-1, 7.31 in three starts here. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 2-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-1-1

Verlander is 1-0, 4.09 in his first two starts; he is 7-7, 3.49 in 20 starts vs New York. Team in his starts: 1-1
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0

New York won its last three games, scoring 29 runs (over 3-0). Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-2 in last six

Astros won their last three games (under 8-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 3-5-2

Mariners (9-2) @ Royals (2-6)
Hernandez allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in his first ’19 start; he is 7-6, 3.26 in 16 starts vs KC. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

Bailey allowed three runs in five IP in his first ’19 start; he’s never pitched against Seattle. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-1 Over/under: 1-0

Mariners won nine of their first 11 games (over 9-2). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 9-2

Kansas City lost its last six games; over is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 2-6

Interleague
Brewers (8-2) @ Angels (4-6)
Chacin is 2-0, 4.22 in his last two starts; he allowed five runs (2 earned) in six IP in his only start against the Angels. Team in his starts: 2-0
5-inning record: 1-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 1-1

Cahill is 0-1, 3.75 in his last two starts; he is 1-0, 2.29 in 13 games (1 start) vs Milwaukee, giving up five runs in 19.2 IP. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2 Over/under: 0-2

Milwaukee won seven of its last eight games; under is 4-2 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: 7-3

Angels won their last three games (under 7-2-1). Over/under 1st 5 innings: 4-6

______________________________

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total)
Team (road-home-total)- thru 4/7
Ariz 2-7……0-3………2-10
Atl 1-3……3-6………4-9
Cubs 1-9……0-0………1-9
Reds 0-4……0-5……..0-9
Colo 0-7……0-3……..0-10
LA 0-3……4-7………4-10
Mia 0-3……2-7……..2-10
Milw 1-3…….5-7……..6-10
Mets 3-6……0-3……..3-9
Philly 1-2…….2-6……..3-8
Pitt 1-2…….3-6……..4-8
StL 1-6…….0-3……..1-9
SD 1-3…….1-7……..2-10
SF 0-7…….0-3…….0-10
Wash 0-3…….2-5……..2-8

Orioles 2-6…….2-3………3-9
Boston 2-11…..0-0……..2-11
W Sox 1-5…….1-3……….2-8
Clev 0-3…….3-6………1-9
Det 0-7…….1-3………1-10
Astros 3-7…….1-3……..3-10
KC 2-3…….2-5……….4-8
Angels 0-6……0-3………0-9
Twins 1-5……0-3………1-8
NYY 1-3……1-6……….2-9
A’s 2-5…….1-8………3-13
Sea 2-5…….3-6………5-11
TB 3-3…….3-7……….6-10
Texas 0-3…….1-6………1-9
Toronto 0-4…….1-7………1-11

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:46 AM

MLB

Monday, April 8

Trend Report

Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
Tampa Bay is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 10 games
Tampa Bay is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Tampa Bay is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi White Sox
Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 20 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chicago White Sox
Chi White Sox is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games
Chi White Sox is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Chi White Sox is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games at home
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Chi White Sox is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Chi White Sox's last 20 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Chi Cubs is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
Chi Cubs is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Chi Cubs's last 15 games at home
Chi Cubs is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

Oakland Athletics
Oakland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oakland's last 12 games
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland's last 12 games on the road
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Oakland is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Baltimore is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland

Washington Nationals
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Philadelphia is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Washington
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of NY Yankees's last 20 games
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of NY Yankees's last 11 games on the road
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
NY Yankees is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston Astros
Houston is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Houston is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing St. Louis
LA Dodgers is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
LA Dodgers is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of LA Dodgers's last 23 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
St. Louis is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
St. Louis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games at home
St. Louis is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of St. Louis's last 23 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games
Seattle is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Seattle's last 12 games when playing Kansas City
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Kansas City is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Kansas City is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games when playing Seattle
Kansas City is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Atlanta is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 15 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games
Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games at home
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
Colorado is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Colorado is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 15 games when playing at home against Atlanta

San Diego Padres
San Diego is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego's last 6 games
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco is 4-13 ATS in its last 17 games
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Francisco's last 23 games at home
San Francisco is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Diego
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing San Diego
San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against San Diego

Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
Milwaukee is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games on the road
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing LA Angels
Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Los Angeles Angels
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games at home
LA Angels is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
LA Angels is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-08-2019, 10:47 AM

Ballpark Figures - Week 3
Joe Williams

Motorin'
The Detroit Tigers weren't expected to do much, but after 10 games they find themselves perched atop the American League Central Division by a half-game over the Cleveland Indians. The two sides will square off at Comerica in the Motor City on Tuesday afternoon to kick off a three-game set. If the Tigers are going to have any success they'll need to figure out a way to solve their nemesis, the Indians.

The Indians will roll out Corey Kluber, and the Tribe are 27-9 in his past 36 starts against American League Central Division foes. A big reason Cleveland has been success is their dominance inside the division, going 82-37 in their past 119 games against AL Central foes. However, the Tribe is 1-5 in the past six starts by Kluber on the road dating back to last summer. Cleveland is also a poor 1-5 in the past six road outings against right-handed starting pitchers. The Tigers are 5-0 in their past five vs. RHP, although they're a dismal 6-15 in Jordan Zimmermann's past 21 home starts and 1-7 in his past eight tries at home against teams with a winning overall mark.

In this series, the Indians are 11-4 in the past 15 trips to Motown, while going 43-17 in the past 60 meetings overall. They have won five straight starts by Kluber against the Tigers, and they're 5-1 in his past six road outings at Comerica. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 0-6 in Zimmermann's past six tries against Cleveland, and 0-4 in his past four home starts by Zimmermann against their division rivals. The over is 3-0-1 in the past four meetings between these two sides, too.

Looking Ahead

Monday, April 8
Cubs LHP Jon Lester host the surprising Bucs, who are 5-3 out of the gate, two games off the pace behind the first-place Milwaukee Brewers. Melky Cabrera knows him well, going 14-for-51 (.275) with two doubles, a homer and four RBI in their history against each other. Francisco Cervelli has also had some limited success against the southpaw, going 10-for-38 (.263) with a double, two homers and 10 RBI. The rest of the current roster combined has just 13 RBI against Lester in 174 at-bats.

The Bucs have won four straight inside the NL Central, and they're 10-4 in the past 14 starts on the road by Jameson Taillon. They're also 7-3 in his past 10 starts, and 8-3 in the past 11 starts by Taillon against divisional foes. The Cubbies have won 38 of Lester's past 52 home starts, and they're 18-8 in his past 26 at Wrigley Field against teams with a winning record. Chicago has also won 38 of his past 56 starts against NL Central opponents.

The Padres and Giants square off at AT&T Park in San Francisco to kick off a new series on Monday. San Francisco hopes to have a little more offense than they did in their four-game set to open the season in San Diego when they lost three of the first four games while totaling just five runs of support for their pitchers. The good news is that the Giants yielded just 11 runs in the four-game set, showing off solid pitching.

LHP Eric Lauer takes the ball, and the Padres are 5-2 in his past seven starts. He'll be up against LHP Madison Bumgarner. The Giants are 1-4 in MadBum's past five starts against NL West foes, while going 1-5 in his past six against teams with a winning record. The Giants have really struggled inside the NL West, too, going just 2-9 in the past 11 inside the division. They're also 2-6 in the past eight vs. LHP, too. The 'under' has cashed in five straight meetings, and is 4-1 in the past five meetings in San Francisco, too. There are a lot of batters who have some ugly numbers against MadBum. Austin Hedges and Eric Hosmer are each 0-for-10 against the southpaw, while Manny Machado is 2-for-11 (.182) in their limited dealings. The player with the most history against Bumgarner, Wil Myers, is 7-for-40 (.175) with two doubles, two homers and 11 strikeouts. The only batter with any measure of success against the San Francisco southpaw is Hunter Renfroe, who is 5-for-13 (.385) with two doubles, two homers and four RBI.

Weather Report
The weather looks good across the board, with the exception of San Francisco. The precipitation chances are 40 percent or less until 8 p.m. PDT local time before picking up to around 50 percent. It wouldn't be surprising to see the tarpaulin come out for the Padres-Giants battle.

Tuesday, April 9
Toronto and Boston kick off a set at Fenway Park on Tuesday evening. Blue Jays RHP Matt Shoemaker will make his first start in Fenway Park in a Jays uniform. Red Sox LHP Chris Sale knows the Jays well, though, and Boston is 6-1 in his past seven against AL East foes, and 5-2 in his past seven tries against Toronto. The Blue Jays are 9-27 in their past 36 against the Red Sox, and 1-10 in their past 11 trips to Fenway Park. Perhaps this will snap Sale into form, as he is an uncharacteristic 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP through two outings.

The middle game of the Nationals-Phillies seres is a tasty pitching matchup with RHP Stephen Strasburg and RHP Aaron Nola dueling. For what it's worth, the Nationals are 9-0 in Strasburg's past nine outings on a Tuesday. More importantly, they're 39-12 in his past 51 starts on the road. The Phillies are 22-9 in Nola's past 31 starts, and 13-5 in his past 18 inside the National League East. In this series, it has been Strasburg dominating the Phils, so it will be interesting to see if Bryce Harper can tip the scales. The Nats are 17-4 in his past 21 aginst the Phillies, and 7-1 in his past eight starts at Citizens Bank Park. The Phils are 5-11 in Nola's past 16 tries vs. Washington, and 2-6 in his past eight at home. The under is also 6-0 in Strasburg's past six road starts against the Phils, while going 7-2 in Nola's past nine against the Nats.

Weather Report
The wind will be blowing out at Great American Ball Park for the Miami Marlins-Cincinnati Reds game, with a jetstream blowing 10-13 mph to the right-center power alley. It will be the opposite for the Oakland-Baltimore gaem blowing into the faces of the batters from the left-center field power alley at a 11-14 mph clip. The wind will be howling in the Golden State, too, with the wind blowing out to McCovey Cove at 17-21 mph for the game between the Padres-Giants. The winds will be gusting 15-18 mph for the Brewers-Angels interleague contest, but it will be blowing more from third base to third base, favoring left-handed batters.

As far as rain, watch Queens for the interleague battle between the Twins and Mets. The forecast calls for a 40 percent chance of rain, tapering off by 10 p.m. EDT, so they should be able to get it in.

Monday 4-8-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Monday 4-8-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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