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TEXAS @ L.A. ANGELS | 4/04 | 10:07 PM EDT
11:27 AM
Matt Harvey was solid in his first start for the Halos, allowing two runs over six innings with a fastball that had zip to it. He matches up with the Rangers' Edinson Volquez, who allowed four runs in four innings in his opener. The Angels' offense has been an embarrassment in 2019, but in the past they've have connected against Volquez -- he's 1-4 with a 10.71 ERA in six games all-time (four starts), and the current lineup is hitting .413 against him. The Angels also have the far-better bullpen and are at home for the first time this season. Look for L.A. to get back on track here.
14-5 IN LAST 19 TEX ML PICKS | +816
TORONTO +160
TORONTO @ CLEVELAND | 4/04 | 6:10 PM EDT
11:19 AM
The banged-up Indians batting order has been terrible, hitting .160 all season with 58 strikeouts and just 18 runs, only once managing more than three runs. The one player that's been getting it done for them, Hanley Ramirez, is 2-for-18 with eight K's against Jays starter Aaron Sanchez. Toronto's offense isn't ripping it up either, but it's scored more runs and hit more homers than Cleveland, and Indians starter Trevor Bauer owns a career 6.07 ERA against the Jays.
10-3 IN LAST 13 CLE ML PICKS | +688
3-0 IN LAST 3 TOR ML PICKS | +300
BOSTON -102
BOSTON @ OAKLAND | 4/04 | 3:37 PM EDT
11:10 AM
Oakland has relied exclusively on the long ball to produce against left-handed pitching. The A’s overall are hitting .227 against them with 12 runs, 11 of which courtesy of the longball. Boston LHP Eduardo Rodriguez was shelled in his opening game at Seattle, but he doesn’t give up many homers, fewer than one per game on average in 2018 and just one against the Mariners. Brett Anderson has been shut-down at home for the A’s, but Boston has been among the better-batting teams against lefties, and all-time against Anderson the lineup is hitting .428. Eventually Boston is going to score runs. At near even-money Thursday, that’s a fair price for the defending champ.
23-11 IN LAST 34 BOS ML PICKS | +854
BALTIMORE +180
N.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 4/04 | 3:05 PM EDT
11:02 AM
Sure the Yankees are the better team, but it isn’t showing yet. Each team has very similar offensive statistics so far, and the O’s took two of three at New York to open the year. James Paxton was solid against Baltimore in his one start, but he still took the loss. Baltimore should benefit from facing him for the second time in a week. Meanwhile, Alex Cobb was solid against a more-potent Yankees lineup last year, allowing three runs over 12 innings with 12 strikeouts in two starts last year. This is his first start this year. Also, as bad as Baltimore has been lately, the O's have won seven of eight home openers. It’s worth a flyer to back such a big underdog in this position.
The Pirates and Reds open up a four-game series in the Steel City. Both teams are off a frustrating start to the week, failing to win thus far. The starting pitcher matchup of Jordan Lyles for Pittsburgh vs. Taylor Mahle of Cincinnati favors the Pirates, based on results, not ERA.
Mahle and the Reds have never beaten the Bucs in four starts and he has a 5.90 ERA against them. Lyles' 5.10 ERA is hardly impressive, but he's 4-1 against Cincy and 5-2 for the different teams he's pitched for. Once again and this will probably be true all year, Cincinnati is 7-23 in April most recently which means an uphill battle. Pittsburgh's stronger offense will pick up the rest of the difference for a winner.
GOLDEN ST. @ L.A. LAKERS | 4/04 | 10:30 PM EDT
12:49 PM
The Warriors don't want to run up the score on Luke Walton, their former assistant, who is fighting for his job. They'll be happy to get out of L.A. with a 10-point win. Look for the Lakers' youngsters, who have keyed the team's current 4-2 straight-up and 5-1 ATS run, to have a big fourth quarter and get the cover.
76-56-1 IN LAST 133 NBA ATS PICKS | +1436
9-5-1 IN LAST 15 LAL ATS PICKS | +348
PHILADELPHIA +5
MILWAUKEE @ PHILADELPHIA | 4/04 | 8:00 PM EDT
12:43 PM
The home team has covered five of the past six in this series, the exception being Philly's win at Milwaukee on March 17. The Bucks are looking for payback, but should they be laying this many points given Joel Embiid is coming back? He had 39 points and 13 rebounds the last time he suited up, and he had 40 points and 15 rebounds three weeks ago versus the Bucks. Philly is 30-9 at home, including six straight wins. Grab the points.
76-56-1 IN LAST 133 NBA ATS PICKS | +1436
41-32 IN LAST 73 PHI ATS PICKS | +648
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