Sunday 4-14-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369801

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Gulfstream Park - Race #5 - Post: 3:22pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,000 Class Rating: 104

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #7 TAKE CHARGE DUDE (ML=10/1)
    #2 FLORIDA COTTON (ML=9/2)
    #5 WHO'S OUT (ML=6/1)


    TAKE CHARGE DUDE - Last workout was the second fastest of the day. Unquestionably on edge for a good one today. Gelding looks like the lone speed here. He may turn the race into a procession. FLORIDA COTTON - I like to invest in this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice effort within the last month. I like a racer that manages to hit the board as often as this gelding. Almost always in the money so don't leave him out of your exotic bets. Just view his recent speed rating, 100. That one fits in this field. WHO'S OUT - I can't ignore the fact that this gelding is working extremely well. Look for this one to go all the way home at some decent odds right here. Ran fourth in last race, but not more than 5 from the lead at the finish. This one has increased his speed ratings from a fig of 73 to 86 to 89 in succession.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 CAUTIOUS GIANT (ML=3/5),

    CAUTIOUS GIANT - Tough to like the downward spiraling flow (107/104/93) of speed figs. Finished third in his most recent performance with a mediocre fig. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to prove victorious after that in this group.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Put your money on #7 TAKE CHARGE DUDE on the nose if you can get odds of 7/2 or more

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,5,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,5,7] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
    None
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369801

      #17
      Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Tampa Bay Downs

      04/14/19, TAM, Race 5, 3.08 ET
      5F [Turf] 00.54.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $23,500.
      Claiming Price $32,000 (Races Where Entered For $25,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances) (Condition Eligibility). FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR STATE BRED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $32,000
      Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) - Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 5 ($.50 minimum) (Races 5-9) - Super High 5
      Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 318, Win Percent 29.87, $1 ROI 1.10, For Race Category Non-Maiden Turf
      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
      Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to TAM.
      Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
      100.0000 7 Royal Jewely 7/2 Gallardo A A Bennett Gerald S. JT 98.60 1.22 30.22 68 225
      098.4838 4 Mamma White Socks 15-1 Morales P Pimental John I. EL 98.60 1.22 30.22 68 225
      097.6485 2 Mast Cove 3-1 Spieth S Rigattieri John 88.60 1.20 28.89 65 225
      097.5938 8 J's Indian Charm 6-1 Allen. Jr. R D Bowersock Maria 98.60 1.22 30.22 68 225
      097.0911 6 Dorothyfromdublin 20-1 Uske S Ward Dennis FW 98.60 1.22 30.22 68 225
      097.0698 1 Clearwater 9/5 Lebron V Hamm Timothy E. S 88.60 1.20 28.89 65 225
      095.9566 3 Lil Rum Tum 5-1 Ferrer J C Boyce Michele C 89.80 1.21 33.03 72 218
      092.8297 5 Quickluckycoco 30-1 Santos A Cordero-Lopez Alexis 89.80 1.21 33.03 72 218
      P# 7 [Turf NonMdn] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
      P# 4 [Turf NonMdn] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
      P# 2 [Turf NonMdn] Last Race Not Favorite(not entry)
      P# 8 [Turf NonMdn] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
      P# 6 [Turf NonMdn] Last Race Distance Not Equal To Today
      P# 1 [Turf NonMdn] Last Race Not Favorite(not entry)
      P# 3 [Turf NonMdn] Last Race Weight Not Equal To Today
      P# 5 [Turf NonMdn] Last Race Weight Not Equal To Today
      If Race Is Off Turf
      Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 677, Win Percent 28.95, $1 ROI 0.77, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
      Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
      After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
      Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to TAM.
      Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
      100.0000 7 Royal Jewely 7/2 Gallardo A A Bennett Gerald S. JT
      096.6617 2 Mast Cove 3-1 Spieth S Rigattieri John
      096.6283 4 Mamma White Socks 15-1 Morales P Pimental John I. EL 1.80 1.13 42.86 3 7
      095.7021 8 J's Indian Charm 6-1 Allen. Jr. R D Bowersock Maria
      095.1944 1 Clearwater 9/5 Lebron V Hamm Timothy E. SF
      095.1490 3 Lil Rum Tum 5-1 Ferrer J C Boyce Michele C
      094.3750 6 Dorothyfromdublin 20-1 Uske S Ward Dennis W
      092.1787 5 Quickluckycoco 30-1 Santos A Cordero-Lopez Alexis
      P# 4 [Dirt NonMdn] Last Race OddsOn Favorite(not entry) And Not Greater Than 5 Horses Today
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369801

        #18
        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

        Bar

        Parx Racing - Race #4 - Post: 2:16pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 50

        Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

        #8 JUSTENUFF HOPE (ML=6/5)


        JUSTENUFF HOPE - It looks like Esquivel had to 'know' this mare on April 2nd when riding her for the initial time. Back on board again today.

        Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MISS RAGE (ML=2/1), #4 COWGIRL UP (ML=9/2),

        MISS RAGE - This filly is always hitting the board, but just doesn't win. Difficult to wager on her on the top end. COWGIRL UP - Morning line of 9/2 make this horse a pass by my examination.



        STRAIGHT WAGERS:
        Putting our cash on #8 JUSTENUFF HOPE to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

        EXACTA WAGERS:
        Pass

        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
        None

        SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
        Pass
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369801

          #19
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.

          Race 9 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 91

          FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          The Walker Group Picks

          # 6 EASY GAME 8/5

          # 3 WHOA BUDDY 10/1

          # 4 DIXIE PULPIT 3/1

          EASY GAME has a competitive shot to take this race. Could provide positive profits based on very good recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 84. Is a definite contender - given the 83 Equibase speed fig from his most recent race. Has performed quite well lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 84 avg Equibase Speed Figure. WHOA BUDDY - Has performed solidly as of late in sprint races, posting a nifty 83 avg speed figure. DIXIE PULPIT - Looks competitive versus this group of horses in this race and will most likely be one of the leaders. Could best this group of horses in this race based on the speed fig - 80 - of his last race.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369801

            #20
            Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

            04/14/19, OP, Race 2, 1.57 CT
            6F [Dirt] 1.07.04 CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
            Claiming Price $12,500, if for $10,000, allowed 3 lbs. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
            Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
            Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 634, Win Percent 23.97, $1 ROI 0.76, For Race Category Non-Maiden Dirt
            Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
            After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
            Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to OP.
            Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
            100.0000 2 Pop Culture 9/2 Cohen D Diodoro Robertino JT 88.40 2.34 21.21 7 33
            099.5237 6 Ramblingrudyrags 5/2 Eramia R E Broberg Karl 88.40 2.34 21.21 7 33
            096.8424 4 Purrfectpersuasion 15-1 Morales E Martin Timothy E. SFWC 24.00 1.18 36.92 24 65
            095.8223 3 Lucky Britches(b-) 4-1 Birzer A Richard Chris 88.40 2.34 21.21 7 33
            095.7342 7 Lifesbeengoodsofar 3-1 Vazquez R A Villafranco Federico 88.40 2.34 21.21 7 33
            095.5974 8 I'm River 15-1 Canchari A L Martin Timothy E. EL
            095.5726 9 R H Smoakem 10-1 Santana. Jr. R Hartman Chris A. 2.00 1.02 27.08 13 48
            094.8386 1 Ludlum 8-1 Mojica O Leonard. III George 88.40 2.34 21.21 7 33
            093.5213 5 Air Power 15-1 Quinonez L S Frazee Larry
            P# 2 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
            P# 6 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
            P# 4 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Best Finish and Workouts
            P# 3 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
            P# 7 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
            P# 9 [Dirt NonMdn] Last Race Same Purse As Today
            P# 1 [Dirt NonMdn] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 2
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369801

              #21
              MLB
              Dunkel

              Sunday, April 14



              Baltimore @ Boston

              Game 967-968
              April 14, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Baltimore
              (Means) 14.501
              Boston
              (Price) 13.075
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Baltimore
              by 1 1/2
              13
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Boston
              -270
              10
              Dunkel Pick:
              Baltimore
              (+230); Over

              Chicago White Sox @ NY Yankees


              Game 965-966
              April 14, 2019 @ 1:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Chicago White Sox
              (Rodon) 13.799
              NY Yankees
              (Tanaka) 15.038
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              NY Yankees
              by 1
              7
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              NY Yankees
              -180
              8 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              NY Yankees
              (-180); Under

              Tampa Bay @ Toronto


              Game 969-970
              April 14, 2019 @ 1:07 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Tampa Bay
              (Morton) 16.619
              Toronto
              (Stroman) 14.666
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Tampa Bay
              by 2
              6
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Tampa Bay
              -140
              8
              Dunkel Pick:
              Tampa Bay
              (-140); Under

              Philadelphia @ Miami


              Game 951-952
              April 14, 2019 @ 1:10 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Philadelphia
              (Velasquez) 13.453
              Miami
              (Urena) 14.481
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Miami
              by 1
              7
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Philadelphia
              -185
              8 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Miami
              (+165); Under

              Pittsburgh @ Washington


              Game 953-954
              April 14, 2019 @ 1:35 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Pittsburgh
              (Taillon) 15.623
              Washington
              (Scherzer) 16.902
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Washington
              by 1 1/2
              11
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Washington
              -180
              7
              Dunkel Pick:
              Washington
              (-180); Over

              Detroit @ Minnesota


              Game 971-972
              April 14, 2019 @ 2:10 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Detroit
              (Zmmrmnn) 14.229
              Minnesota
              (Berrios) 15.926
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Minnesota
              by 1 1/2
              11
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Minnesota
              -210
              8
              Dunkel Pick:
              Minnesota
              (-210); Over

              Cleveland @ Kansas City


              Game 973-974
              April 14, 2019 @ 2:15 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Cleveland
              (Kluber) 14.212
              Kansas City
              (Junis) 15.685
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Kansas City
              by 1 1/2
              7
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Cleveland
              -140
              8
              Dunkel Pick:
              Kansas City
              (+120); Under

              LA Angels @ Chicago Cubs


              Game 979-980
              April 14, 2019 @ 2:20 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              LA Angels
              (Cahill) 16.836
              Chicago Cubs
              (Chtwood) 15.780
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              LA Angels
              by 1
              9
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Chicago Cubs
              -140
              No Total
              Dunkel Pick:
              LA Angels
              (+120); N/A

              Oakland @ Texas


              Game 975-976
              April 14, 2019 @ 3:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Oakland
              (Andrson) 14.981
              Texas
              (Sampson) 15.973
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Texas
              by 1
              9
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Oakland
              -135
              11
              Dunkel Pick:
              Texas
              (+115); Under

              Colorado @ San Francisco


              Game 957-958
              April 14, 2019 @ 4:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Colorado
              (Marquez) 13.535
              San Francisco
              (Holland) 14.968
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              San Francisco
              by 1 1/2
              5
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Colorado
              -120
              7
              Dunkel Pick:
              San Francisco
              (+100); Under

              St. Louis @ Cincinnati


              Game 955-956
              April 14, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              St. Louis
              (Mikolas) 17.840
              Cincinnati
              (DeSclfni) 16.464
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              St. Louis
              by 1 1/2
              11
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              St. Louis
              -120
              10
              Dunkel Pick:
              St. Louis
              (-120); Over

              Milwaukee @ LA Dodgers


              Game 961-962
              April 14, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Milwaukee
              (Chacin) 15.672
              LA Dodgers
              (Strpling) 14.827
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Milwaukee
              by 1
              11
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              LA Dodgers
              -145
              9
              Dunkel Pick:
              Milwaukee
              (+125); Over

              San Diego @ Arizona


              Game 959-960
              April 14, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              San Diego
              (Lauer) 14.637
              Arizona
              (Greinke) 16.151
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Arizona
              by 1 1/2
              7
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Arizona
              -140
              8 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Arizona
              (-140); Under

              Houston @ Seattle


              Game 977-978
              April 14, 2019 @ 4:10 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Houston
              (Cole) 17.556
              Seattle
              (Gonzales) 16.609
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Houston
              by 1
              9
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Houston
              -165
              8
              Dunkel Pick:
              Houston
              (-165); Over

              NY Mets @ Atlanta


              Game 963-964
              April 14, 2019 @ 7:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              NY Mets
              (deGrom) 15.570
              Atlanta
              (Teheran) 16.680
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Atlanta
              by 1
              11
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              NY Mets
              -155
              8 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Atlanta
              (+135); Over
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369801

                #22
                NHL
                Dunkel

                Sunday, April 14



                NY Islanders @ Pittsburgh

                Game 21-22
                April 14, 2019 @ 12:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                NY Islanders
                10.843
                Pittsburgh
                12.637
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Pittsburgh
                by 2
                4
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Pittsburgh
                -190
                5 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                Pittsburgh
                (-190); Under

                Tampa Bay @ Columbus


                Game 23-24
                April 14, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Tampa Bay
                11.409
                Columbus
                13.019
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                Columbus
                by 1 1/2
                7
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Tampa Bay
                -140
                6
                Dunkel Pick:
                Columbus
                (+120); Over

                Winnipeg @ St. Louis


                Game 25-26
                April 14, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                Winnipeg
                10.512
                St. Louis
                11.364
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                St. Louis
                by 1
                5
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                St. Louis
                -155
                5 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                St. Louis
                (-155); Under

                San Jose @ Vegas


                Game 27-28
                April 14, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

                Dunkel Rating:
                San Jose
                11.290
                Vegas
                9.710
                Dunkel Team:
                Dunkel Line:
                Dunkel Total:
                San Jose
                by 1 1/2
                7
                Vegas Team:
                Vegas Line:
                Vegas Total:
                Vegas
                -150
                6 1/2
                Dunkel Pick:
                San Jose
                (+130); Over
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369801

                  #23
                  NHL Stanley Cup playoffs best bets and prop predictions: Stunned Lightning looking for road reprieve
                  Monty Andrews

                  Three teams are on the verge of taking insurmountable 3-0 lead in their respective first-round Stanley Cup playoff series as the quest for the NHL championship continues Sunday. Both the Columbus Blue Jackets and St. Louis Blues pulled off major coups by taking 2-0 leads on the road against favored opponents, while the New York Islanders head to Pittsburgh up 2-0 in their best-of-seven set. Here are the top betting trends and tips to monitor for Sunday's four-game slate:

                  NEW YORK ISLANDERS AT PITTSBURGH PENGUINS

                  Moneyline Odds: New York +170/Pittsburgh -200
                  Over/Under: 5.5 goals
                  Start Time: 12 p.m. ET, PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh, Penn.

                  While the Penguins are considered a great bet to make good on home ice in Game 3, there are plenty of reasons why bettors might want to go with the under in this one. Pittsburgh comes in having gone 8-2-1 to the under in its past 11 home games, while the Islanders are 12-3-2 to the under in their last 17 as a road underdog. And for those of you looking for reason to go with New York, consider that Pittsburgh had the worst home penalty kill rate in the NHL during the regular season (73.6 percent).

                  TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING AT COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS

                  Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay -135/Columbus +115
                  Over/Under: 6 goals
                  Start Time: 7 p.m. ET, Nationwide Arena, Columbus, Ohio

                  This series has stunned fans and bettors alike, with the Blue Jackets having outscored the 62-win Lightning by a 9-1 margin since the end of the first period of Game 1. But despite getting punched in the mouth by Columbus in Game 2 – and losing Nikita Kucherov to a Game 3 suspension – Tampa Bay has plenty going for it from a trends perspective. It has won eight straight games following a loss of three or more goals, and has prevailed in six of its previous seven visits to Nationwide Arena.

                  WINNIPEG JETS AT ST. LOUIS BLUES

                  Moneyline Odds: Winnipeg +140/St. Louis -155
                  Over/Under: 5.5 goals
                  Start Time: 7:30 p.m. ET, Enterprise Center, St. Louis, Mo.

                  If the Jets are going to get back into this series, they'll need to extend a trend that has seen them win seven of their previous eight visits to St. Louis. And getting the first goal will be critical to their success; the only problem is, they've struggled to do that of late against the Blues, who have opened the scoring in four of the previous five meetings. And with St. Louis boasting a +25 first-period goal differential during the regular season, we like their chances of breaking out to a 1-0 lead Sunday.

                  SAN JOSE SHARKS AT VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS

                  Moneyline Odds: San Jose +130/Vegas -150
                  Over/Under: 6.5 goals
                  Start Time: 10 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nev.

                  Look for more early fireworks on the Strip this Sunday as the Golden Knights and Sharks do battle to see which team can seize a 2-1 lead in their best-of-seven set. The Golden Knights evened the series with a 5-3 victory in an entertaining Game 2 that saw six total first-period goals. Early scoring has been a trademark of these teams in recent encounters, as they're averaging three first-period goals in their last six games. Bettors should take a long look at the over on the first-period total in Game 3.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369801

                    #24
                    Bob Valentino

                    Can the Thunder step up this postseason and erase the memories of getting ousted in the first round last season as the higher-seed when the Utah Jazz eliminated them in 6 games? That is the question. This time around OKC enters the playoffs as the lower seed when they visit the Portland Trail Blazers to open the postseason, and I am going to put my eggs for this first game in Oklahoma City's basket as I grab the points with the Thunder.

                    Oklahoma City rattled off wins in their last 5 regular season games, including a thrilling 112-111 win at home over Houston on Tuesday that helped them avoid ending the season in the dreaded # 8 spot and thus avoiding Golden State in the opening round. This is a dangerous Thunder team that has also figured out how to beat this Portland team that they are matched up against in this first round.

                    These teams played their 4 games during the regular season all after the new calendar year, and all 4 were Thunder straight up and against the spread wins, the average margin of victory being by 7-points! That after the Blazers had swept the Thunder in all 4 both straight up and against the spread the season before.

                    Portland enters this playoff series having won 14 of their final 17 games since the last time they faced Oklahoma City back on March 7th. The Blazers are in the midst of an 8 game home winning streak since that loss to the Thunder, and they have one of their star players in CJ McCollum back in the lineup after missing 10 games late in the year with a knee injury. McCollum only played a pair of games before being rested in the season finale, and he while he is back, he didn't look anywhere near his usual self in limited duty.

                    The fact McCollum is not at 100%, and the fact center Jusuf Nurkic is out with that broken leg and Enes Kanter will be called on to matchup in the paint against former teammate Steven Adams is certainly not in Portland's favor.

                    It's hard to go against the home team this time of year, but based on the season series sweep by the Thunder, and based on the what I am seeing out of Oklahoma City right now leads me to believe the Thunder can steal this first game of the series.

                    Go with Oklahoma City.

                    3* OKLAHOMA CITY
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369801

                      #25
                      Playoffs Betting Stats -Sunday, April 14, 2019

                      Favorites Moneyline: 6-9 SU
                      Favorites Puckline: 4-11 ATS
                      Home Teams: 8-8 SU

                      Over/Under: 7-8-1
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