Thursday 4-18-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358485

    #61
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Evangeline Downs - Race #3 - Post: 6:46pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 54

    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

    #4 DREWTEMPO (ML=5/2)
    #2 MY CLASSIC BOWTIE (ML=4/1)


    DREWTEMPO - It looks like Rosier had to 'know' this colt on February 21st when riding him for the initial time. Back aloft again today. When this jock and conditioner join forces you have to take a look. Rosier and Briley have been wonderful together. A repeat of that latest performance on Feb 21st where he notched a fig of 49 looks good enough to score in this race. MY CLASSIC BOWTIE - Like the way this gelding's finish positions keep getting better. That's a sure sign of improving form. Bankston brings him back again. I advise you stay with this live gelding.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 HISTORY EARNED (ML=8/5), #6 KRISYNSARASBOY (ML=6/1), #3 SON OF PATRIOT (ML=8/1),

    HISTORY EARNED - This colt notched a speed rating in his last event which probably isn't good enough today. KRISYNSARASBOY - This gelding hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. SON OF PATRIOT - 8/1 is just too low of a value to take on most any thoroughbred that has run poorly in back to back races around the track. Quite unimpressive speed fig last out at Evangeline Downs at 1 mile. Don't feel this steed will improve too much today.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #4 DREWTEMPO to win at post-time odds of 7/5 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [2,4]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358485

      #62
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      Bar

      Oaklawn Park - Race #3 - Post: 2:25pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 81

      Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

      #11 DREAM BABY DREAM (ML=8/1)
      #4 JERSEY'S HEAT (ML=4/1)


      DREAM BABY DREAM - The Mar 23rd race at Oaklawn Park was at a class level of (91). Dropping down the ladder based on class considerably, so he should be in a good position. Ranked number one in earnings per race. Another indication that this horse is classy. JERSEY'S HEAT - Good return on investment for this rider and handler duet. Each one of this gelding's recent finish positions has been progressively better. I like that most recent race on Mar 29th at Oaklawn Park where he ran second.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #1 EVERADO (ML=3/1), #6 INTIMIDATING (ML=9/2), #3 KNIGHT ERRANT (ML=6/1),

      EVERADO - It's a major jump to win in a Maiden Claiming event and then step up and beat winners. The speed rating last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this mount as a possibly overvalued equine. INTIMIDATING - The speed fig last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a questionable contender. KNIGHT ERRANT - Hard to put your cash on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as regularly as this one does. This gelding recorded a speed fig in his last contest which likely isn't good enough in today's race.

      Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - JERSEY'S HEAT - This gelding has the top last speed figure at Oaklawn Park. Must be considered in your gambling.





      STRAIGHT WAGERS:
      #11 DREAM BABY DREAM to win at post-time odds of 5/2 or better

      EXACTA WAGERS:
      Box [4,11]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Skip

      SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
      Pass
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358485

        #63
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 5 - Allowance - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $81000 Class Rating: 85

        FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $22,800 AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE FEBRUARY 18 ALLOWED 3 LBS. $21,600 AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE THEN ALLOWED 5 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $35,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN


        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        The Walker Group Picks

        # 6 BE NIMBLE 9/2

        # 1 UNAPOLOGETIC ME 9/2

        # 1A DIVA DAY 9/2

        BE NIMBLE figures to be the bet in here. With a strong 83 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's race. With a strong jock who has won at a strong 15 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top choices. With Ortiz on top her, this filly should be able to break out early for this event. UNAPOLOGETIC ME - Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of formidable win percentage - 16 percent - at this distance & surface. Maker and Gaffalione have a good win percent together. DIVA DAY - Drury has one of the most favorable winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. Earning some nice money in turf route races.
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358485

          #64
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park

          04/18/19, OP, Race 9, 5.10 CT
          6F [Dirt] 1.07.04 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $90,000.
          FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
          Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta
          Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 279, Win Percent 25.09, $1 ROI 0.78, For Race Category [Dirt MdnMClm]
          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
          Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to OP.
          Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
          100.0000 3 Slick Silver 6-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. JW 10.40 1.10 11.32 6 53
          098.5558 10 Nifty 7/2 Borel C H Jones J. Larry TFEC 13.00 1.19 32.35 11 34
          097.8894 1 Loopallu 5-1 Elliott S Hartman Chris A. S 25.20 1.13 35.35 35 99
          097.0074 8 Tut's Revenge 9/2 De La Cruz W Stuart Shea
          096.8505 11 Lea Ridge 12-1 Vazquez R A Van Meter William B. 13.00 1.19 32.35 11 34
          096.2821 9 Firecrow 6-1 Baze T Moquett Ron L
          095.2091 2 J M White Lighting 20-1 Morales E Deatherage Corey
          094.7515 6 Runaway Wind 10-1 Loveberry J Robertson McLean
          094.3047 5 Wild Popit 6-1 Canchari A L Morse Randy L. 25.20 1.13 35.35 35 99
          094.1933 4 Curlin's On Fire 20-1 Eramia R E Duke Steven
          091.2017 7 Kansas City Zip 15-1 Lara E Williamson Brian 25.20 1.13 35.35 35 99
          P# 3 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race 5f Workout Since
          P# 10 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Horse Actual Post Greater Than 9
          P# 1 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
          P# 11 [Dirt MdnMClm] *Horse Actual Post Greater Than 9
          P# 5 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
          P# 7 [Dirt MdnMClm] Last Race Weight Equal To Today
          * Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358485

            #65
            DONNY ACTION

            MLB LOS ANGELES DODGERS ‑115
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358485

              #66
              Vegas Pro Insiders Daily

              NHL WINNIPEG JETS ‑120
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358485

                #67
                Pure Lock

                MLB MINNESOTA TWINS ‑170
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358485

                  #68
                  Tommy King Wins

                  MLB SEATTLE MARINERS +110
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358485

                    #69
                    Valley Sports

                    MLB SAN DIEGO PADRES ‑165
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358485

                      #70
                      Assassin Sports Betting

                      NBA PHILADELPHIA 76ERS ‑1 ‑145
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358485

                        #71
                        Golden Lock Sports

                        MLB SEATTLE MARINERS +110
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358485

                          #72
                          Tys Terrific Tips

                          NBA SAN ANTONIO SPURS ‑4.5
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358485

                            #73
                            R and R Totals

                            MLB SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS/WASHINGTON NATIONALS ‑105 u8
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358485

                              #74
                              Tony Brown

                              Tonys *5 Star MLB Free Pick

                              Philadelphia vs. Colorado, 04/18/2019 20:40 EDT

                              Total: -110/+11 Over

                              Sportsbook:
                              Bodog

                              Fp: bad pitching for Colorado, plus great hitting in Philadelphia and the most run friendly ball park in the mlb . I expect the scoring to come early and often making the over my mlb free pick
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358485

                                #75
                                Free play from Jim Feist

                                Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, April 18, 2019



                                4/18 06:05 PM PT / 9:05 PM ET

                                NBA (545) DENVER NUGGETS VS (546) SAN ANTONIO SPURS

                                Take: (545) DENVER NUGGETS

                                Reason: Your free play for Thursday, April 18, 2019 is in the NBA Playoff scheduled contest between the Denver Nuggets and San Antonio Spurs. Your free play is on the Nuggets.
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