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Friday 4-19-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Apr 19 '19, 7:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Giants vs Pirates
Play on: Pirates -107 at YouWager
1* Free MLB Pick on Pittsburgh Pirates -107
Really like the value here with Pittsburgh at basically a pick'em at home against the Giants. Pirates were an afterthought in the NL Central with all the attention falling on the Cubs, Cardinals and Brewers, but this is a team that exceeded expectations last year and is off to a strong 10-6 start to 2019.
The simple fact that Madison Bumgarner is starting for the Giants has SF overvalued. Bumgarner has given up 5 runs in 2 of his 4 starts and has allowed 4 homers in his last 19 innings of work. The better starter is going for the home team. Jordan Lyles has looked fantastic in his first two outings, giving up just 1 run on 6 hits with 12 strikeouts in 11 innings.
Giants are just 2-8 in Bumgarner's last 10 starts vs a NL team that is scoring 4 or less runs/game, while the Pirates are 16-1 in their last 17 vs a team that draws 3 or fewer walks/game and 12-2 in their last 14 vs a horrible power teams (avg. 0.75 or less HRs/game). Take Pittsburgh!
Apr 19 '19, 8:15 PM in 4h
MLB | Mets vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -149 at betonline
The New York Mets (10-8 Overall, 8-5 Away) are losers of two in a row. They look to bounce back on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals (10-8 Overall, 5-2 Home).
The New York Mets pitching has been struggling lately. So has today's starting pitcher for the Mets, Jason Vargas (1-0, 14.21 ERA).
Vargas has not faced the Cardinals this year. He is 0-1 with a 11.57 ERA in his last start against the Cardinals. St. Louis hit .400 against him in that start.
St. Louis had the day off yesterday, and will turn to Adam Wainwright (1-1, 3.94 ERA). Wainwright is familiar with the Mets over his career. He is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his last four starts against them.
Mets lineups have hit .310 against him in those starts.
Hopefully he will pitch better than he did in his last outing. He pitched six innings, allowing three hits, two home runs and two walks against the Reds in a loss.
I like him to pitch better today at home.
Take the Cardinals for the win.
Apr 19 '19, 8:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Celtics vs Pacers
Play on: Pacers -2½ -110 at sportsbook
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Indiana Pacers -2.5
The Pacers played well enough to win Game 2. But they blew a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter and were outscored by 19 in the final period. They just haven’t been a good road team all season, but it has been a different story for them at home. The Pacers are 29-12 at home this season and have some of the best fans in the league. In what is a must-win game, look for them to get the job done at home tonight in Game 3. The Pacers are 6-0 in their last six home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Give me the Pacers.
Apr 19 '19, 10:07 PM in 6h
MLB | Blue Jays vs A's
Play on: A's -125 at Mirage
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Oakland A’s -125
The Oakland A’s had yesterday off following their 2-1 victory over the Astros at home on Wednesday. They will be fresh and ready to go tonight. The Toronto Blue Jays finished up a four-game series in Minnesota yesterday and had to travel overnight to Oakland. They certainly will not be fresh.
I like what I’ve seen from Oakland starter Aaron Brooks this season. He has gone 2-1 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in three starts, and two of those were against Houston and Boston. His job gets much easier tonight against a Blue Jays lineup that is hitting just .217 and scoring 3.7 runs per game this season.
Marcus Stroman has pitched pretty well this season, but he still doesn’t have a win as he is 0-3, which can be attributed to Toronto’s poor offense. But Stroman has never beaten the A’s, going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.874 WHIP in four career starts against them.
Stroman is 1-12 in road games vs. AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game in his career. The A’s are 41-14 in their last 55 home games as a favorite of -110 or higher. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in Stroman’s last six starts. Oakland is 7-0 in the last seven meetings. Bet the A’s Friday.
Series shift from Canada to Florida tonight, as Toronto and Orlando have split the first 2 games in their opening round series, with BOTH series meetings landing Under the total.
While it is hard to overlook the 5-1 Under mark these teams have posted in their 6 season series between the teams this year, I am going to tell you to do just that.
Playoff basketball tends to see a little more defense being played, but Orlando's paltry 82 points score on Tuesday night is not going to happen again tonight, especially back at home where they will be closer to their 107 points per game average for the season.
Remember, Orlando closed out the regular season by playing Over the total in each of their last 7 games. They did so by averaging a whopping 118.4 points per game. Orlando also happened to play Over the total in 3 of their last 4 home games on the year.
Toronto comes into this game with a healthy 114.2 points per game average for the season, but they have not gotten there yet in the pair of games contested in this series - 101 in Game One, and a little closer with 111 in Game Two. Kyle Lowry did not score a point in the first game, but rebounded with 22 big points in the second game. His continued scoring should help add to this point total in Orlando tonight.
For the Magic, Nikola Vucevic is going to need to step up and get back to his normal self. Vucevic has averaged just 8.5 points per game through the first pair of games. I would hope that being back at home will help him get back on track for a bigger night tonight.
After a pair of Unders in TO, look for the Over in Orlando to be the way to go here on Friday.
Friday comp play is to look for the Dodgers pitching staff to continue their mastery of their opponents bats, as this Los Angeles-Milwaukee game holds Under the posted total.
L.A. pitching has allowed just 8 runs total over their last 5 games played, with all 5 of those games holding Under the posted price. Overall, the Dodgers have played Under the total in each of their last 6 games - that includes each of the last 3 played against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Milwaukee has held Under the total in their last pair of games, and in 5 of their last 8 overall - that stretch includes 3 of their 4 dates played against the Dodgers this year.
Ross Stripling takes the mound for the visiting Dodgers, and his team is on a 9-3-1 Under run his last 13 road starts. Stripling enters this start with a 1-1 mark and a 2.92 season ERA. Included is his first win of the year last Sunday against the same Brewers he will be facing tonight, as he allowed just one run on 4 hits over the 8 innings he pitched. That work lowered his career ERA versus the Brewers to 0.69 - 2 starts, and 2 relief appearances.
Jhoulys Chacin will once again oppose Stripling as he did on Sunday, and Chacin is due for a better showing this time around, as he allowed 6 runs on 6 hits in just 2 1/3 innings of work against the Dodgers in that start. Chacin sports a season ERA over 7, but it should be noted that all 3 of his starts this year have all held Under the posted price.
With the Dodgers pitching staff currently dealing on the hill, I am going to look for L.A. to be involved in their 7th straight Under.
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