Saturday 4-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 08:18 AM

71Carolina -72 Washington
WASHINGTON is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

75Winnipeg -76 St Louis
ST LOUIS are 18-4 ATS (14.3 Units) against good passing teams - averaging 5 or more assists per game in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.

77Dallas -78 Nashville
DALLAS are 8-3 ATS (4.7 Units) in road games after allowing 1 goal or less in their previous game in the current season.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 08:22 AM

NHL
Long Sheet

Saturday, April 20

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CAROLINA (48-30-0-8, 104 pts.) at WASHINGTON (50-28-0-8, 108 pts.) - 4/20/2019, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 25-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 16-46 ATS (+76.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 116-77 ATS (+197.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 46-26 ATS (+8.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 46-25 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 24-9 ATS (+11.8 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-44 ATS (+1.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 39-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 32-16 ATS (+10.5 Units) second half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 21-10 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a division game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 11-5 (+4.4 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 11-5-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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WINNIPEG (49-33-0-5, 103 pts.) at ST LOUIS (48-29-0-10, 106 pts.) - 4/20/2019, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 33-17 ATS (+6.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 27-18 ATS (+3.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ST LOUIS is 15-6 ATS (+21.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
WINNIPEG is 19-8 ATS (+28.5 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
WINNIPEG is 17-11 ATS (+31.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 12-6 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 12-6-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.1 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

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DALLAS (45-33-0-8, 98 pts.) at NASHVILLE (49-31-0-6, 104 pts.) - 4/20/2019, 3:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 26-42 ATS (-25.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 31-45 ATS (-23.4 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 287-222 ATS (+576.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 217-182 ATS (+400.3 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 61-35 ATS (+11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 11-7 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 11-7-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 08:22 AM

NHL

Saturday, April 20

Trend Report

Dallas Stars
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Nashville
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Nashville
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Nashville is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 16 games
Nashville is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Nashville is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games
Winnipeg is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games on the road
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Winnipeg is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing St. Louis
Winnipeg is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of St. Louis's last 19 games at home
St. Louis is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
St. Louis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
St. Louis is 6-13 SU in its last 19 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Winnipeg
St. Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Winnipeg

Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Carolina's last 12 games
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Carolina is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Carolina's last 7 games when playing Washington
Carolina is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Capitals
Washington is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Washington is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Carolina
Washington is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing at home against Carolina

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 08:22 AM

Saturday's Early Tips
Chris David

Eastern Conference First Round – Game 4 (76ers lead 2-1)

Philadelphia at Brooklyn (TNT, 3:05 p.m. ET)

The 76ers were humbled 111-102 in Game 1 to the Nets as 7 ½-point home favorites last Saturday and the frustration carried over to Game 2 this past Monday as Brooklyn was in striking distance again, trailing 65-64 after the first two quarters.

Philadelphia head coach Brett Brown reportedly gave a very motivated speech at halftime and whatever he said worked. The 76ers outscored the Nets 80-59 in the second-half and cruised to a 145-123 win in Game 2 to even the series. That spirited talk by Brown apparently carried over in Game 3 on Thursday as Philadelphia built a 32-24 lead over Brooklyn after the first quarter before leading 65-59 at halftime.

The club topped their first-half total with 66 points and ended with a 131-115 win over the Nets in Game 3 as 1 ½-point favorites. Philadelphia shot 48 percent from the field and finished 11-of-27 (41%) from 3-point land and it also filled it up from the free-throw line with a blistering 30-of-35 mark (86%).

They did all the damage without All-Star Joel Embiid, who rested his sore knee. His status was downgraded from ‘questionable’ to ‘doubtful’ for Game 4 on Friday evening. Including Thursday’s result, the team is now 9-10 this season without the big man in the lineup.

With or without Embiid, it's become apparent that Nets only chance of winning a game yet alone the series comes down to how poorly Philadelphia shoots from the field. Outside of All-Star D’Angelo Russell, Brooklyn doesn’t have the depth or defense to compete with the Sixers roster of stars.

Oddsmakers had Philadelphia as a two-point favorite but the number dropped to -1 ½ after the Embiid alert was sent out. The total was slightly moved from 233 to 232.

Despite dominating Game 3, Kevin Rogers is still hesitant to lay the points with Philadelphia based on trends that we’ve seen from the club this season. However, he noted that Brooklyn’s recent tendencies haven’t been great either.

He explained, “The 76ers improved to 3-11 ATS this season as a favorite of less than 3 ½ points with Thursday’s blowout of the Nets. Obviously the better team now leads the series, 2-1, but Philadelphia owns a 3-8 ATS mark as a road favorite off a win this season, which includes the Game 3 victory. Since early February, the Nets have not been a reliable home underdog at 1-4 SU/ATS, with all four losses coming by double-digits.”

For what it’s worth, the Nets did trip up the 76ers in the early afternoon matchup last Saturday. Will history repeat itself at the Barclays Center? I delved into results for both clubs in day games (5:30 p.m. ET or earlier) and Brooklyn has gone 6-3 SU and 7-2 ATS, which includes its Game 1 win in this series. Philadelphia hasn’t been shabby either, going 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS.

Even though the ‘under’ started out strong in the NBA Playoffs last weekend, we’re starting to see the offensive units come together. The ‘over’ has cashed easily in the last two games in this series and the high side is now 5-1 in the last six meetings between the pair. Without Embiid, the 76ers defense is vulnerable in the paint and the offense doesn’t suffer as much because his absence puts more shooters on the floor. I expect another back and forth contest and my lean would be to Brooklyn’s Team Total Over (115 ½).

Bettors still believing in Brooklyn to rally and win the series can receive 11/2 odds (Bet $100 to win $550) while the 76ers (-750) remain heavy favorites to advance.

Game 5 is scheduled for Tuesday at the Wells Fargo Center from Philadelphia.

Western Conference First Round – Game 4 (Spurs lead 2-1)

Denver at San Antonio (TNT, 5:35 p.m. ET)

The only underdog to show up so far in this year’s playoffs has been San Antonio, who was listed at 9/4 odds (Bet $100 to win $225) to defeat Denver in this best-of-seven series. The short price on the Spurs certainly said a lot considering this was a 2-7 matchup but after watching three games, the oddsmakers lack of respect for the Nuggets has been provden.

As of Friday, San Antonio is now listed as high as a minus-185 favorite (Bet $100 to win $54) to advance while Denver is 8/5 (Bet $100 to win $60) to rebound. NBA expert Tony Mejia provides his thoughts on the series, which could easily be a 3-0 lead for the Spurs.

He said, “The Nuggets have largely been dominated for the better part of three games in this series, so head coach Mike Malone will have to find a way to change things up. The Spurs have seen Derrick White factor heavily in both wins and also have DeMar DeRozan plugged in after a slow start. Nikola Jokic had a game where he looked most like his usual self and Denver still couldn’t get a handle on a solid rhythm.”

Including the 118-108 loss in Game 3 at San Antonio on Thursday, Denver has gone 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS in its last seven road games. All of those contests came against playoff teams and the defense has been lit up for 115.4 points per game in that span. During the season, the Nuggets were ranked sixth in scoring defense with 106.8 PPG surrendered.

Knowing the club has been troubled on that side of the court, Denver needs to find more offensive firepower and Mejia has singled out a couple Nuggets to step up on Saturday.

“Outside of that Game 2 fourth quarter where Jamal Murray went nuts and San Antonio’s offense looked unsettled and sloppy, Denver has been outclassed and will need to play its most complete game of the series to get back home even by snapping a 14-game losing streak at AT&T Center. That will require big games from Paul Millsap and Murray, x-factors who have come up empty too often thus far. He dominated down the stretch for a perfectly-timed flurry on Tuesday but has otherwise struggled. Take away his 8-for-9 fourth-quarter showing and he’s shooting 27 percent (10-for-37) for the series, which simply isn’t going to cut it with White shooting nearly 70 percent for the series and coming off a 36-point night. To bounce back, Murray will have to overcome the fact that he’s been decidedly more consistent at home than on the road, where he shot just 40 percent from the field and 33 percent from 3-point range, significantly below his averages,” Mejia said.

Even if Denver receives those contributions, are you willing to bet against one of the hottest home teams in the NBA. Mejia has been strong on San Antonio and he believes another win is very probable. “Denver is a sub-.500 team on the road, while San Antonio has won more home games than every other team besides the Bucks, Nuggets and Trail Blazers, who it would match by avoiding an upset here. I picked the Spurs in the series outright and expect them to be up 3-1 heading back to Colorado,” he added.

San Antonio opened as a 3 ½-point home favorite and the overnight line has held steady but the total was bet down and that’s been the theme in the first three games of this series. Even though the ‘over’ has cashed in the last two games, the number dropped from 211 to 208 for Saturday’s matchup.

Due to their aforementioned defensive lapses, Denver has watched the ‘over’ go 4-1 in its last five away games. During its current 14-game home winning streak over the Nuggets, San Antonio is averaging 112.6 PPG but the total results are a stalemate (7-7) during this span.

The pair will meet in Game 5 from the Pepsi Center in Denver on Tuesday.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 01:24 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 7

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double

Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 83 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 8:52P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 20. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * WHATSTHEQUESTION: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ONLY THE TRU TH: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. AL DO GREAT: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
3
WHATSTHEQUESTION
6/5

3/1
1
ONLY THE TRUTH
5/2

5/1
5
AL DO GREAT
12/1

6/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
ONLY THE TRUTH
1

5/2
Alternator/Stalker
85

63

70.8

69.6

64.6
3
WHATSTHEQUESTION
3

6/5
Trailer
90

77

47.6

78.6

76.6
5
AL DO GREAT
5

12/1
Alternator/Trailer
87

76

54.2

70.4

63.4
6
BLUEGRASS POSSE
6

5/2
Alternator/Non-contender
74

63

59.4

62.2

53.7
4
RUN DIXIE RUN
4

10/1
Alternator/Non-contender
93

89

42.6

60.0

51.0
2
KOVARRO
2

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
78

63

38.2

57.2

47.2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 01:24 PM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Cross Country Pick Four

Cross Country Pick Four - Race 4

Leg D of the Cross Country Pick 5

Stakes • 1 1/8 Miles • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 110 • Purse: $1,000,000 • Post: 5:37P
CHARLES TOWN CLASSIC S. - GRADE 2 FOR FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * RALLY CRY: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming o ff a layoff is at least 25. MONGOLIAN GROOM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. WAR STORY: Horse racing off a layoff of 90+ days and trainer's win percentage with horses coming off a layoff is at least 25. UNBRIDLED JUA N: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
4
RALLY CRY
9/2

6/1
1
MONGOLIAN GROOM
6/1

6/1
6
DISCREET LOVER
5/1

7/1
9
WAR STORY
7/2

7/1
10
UNBRIDLED JUAN
15/1

9/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
RALLY CRY
4

9/2
Front-runner
120

121

96.7

106.2

95.2
2
NANOOSH
2

10/1
Front-runner
109

105

91.3

99.5

84.0
8
RUNNIN'TOLUVYA
8

12/1
Front-runner
104

109

74.5

101.4

87.9
9
WAR STORY
9

7/2
Alternator/Front-runner
115

109

112.6

103.6

94.6
3
DIAMOND KING
3

4/1
Stalker
106

108

91.8

101.6

91.1
1
MONGOLIAN GROOM
1

6/1
Alternator/Stalker
111

113

80.2

108.4

100.4
6
DISCREET LOVER
6

5/1
Trailer
118

114

91.8

106.8

96.8
7
SOMETHING AWESOME
7

12/1
Trailer
109

112

91.3

93.3

82.3
10
UNBRIDLED JUAN
10

15/1
Trailer
111

104

89.0

105.0

96.0
11
BOBBY G
11

30/1
Trailer
96

91

66.2

83.4

63.9
5
IMPERATIVE
5

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
110

106

76.8

76.8

64.8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 01:25 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:52pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 UH OH SEVEN (ML=5/2)

UH OH SEVEN - This filly's last speed fig is good enough to win here, I'll play her right back this time out. Leon rode this entrant for the initial time last out and comes right back in this race. Last time, was entered in a race at Turf Paradise in a race with a class number of 74. Dropping considerably in Equibase class figure this time out puts her in a solid position in this race. Trying to win for the 1st time moving from a race on the turf to the dirt. I think Campo will have her fit for today's race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 GLOA JEAN (ML=6/5), #5 DEEP 'N' IT (ML=9/2), #3 PERKY BRUNETTE (ML=5/1),

GLOA JEAN - Don't feel this entrant will make an impact in today's race. That last speed fig was mediocre when compared with today's class rating. DEEP 'N' IT - If she goes off anywhere close to the M/L odds of 9/2, I'll have to pass. PERKY BRUNETTE - Doesn't appear to have enough good aspects to bear out the price.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - UH OH SEVEN - I always check out the equine that is number one in earnings per start. If she meets my qualifications I make a bet.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #1 UH OH SEVEN on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with 2

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 01:25 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Stakes - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $68000 Class Rating: 95

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, MR MASTER BUG S. - FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS. NO NOMINATION FEE. $250 TO ENTER, STARTERS TO PAY AN ADDITIONAL $250. OKLAHOMA BRED MONEY TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD , 6% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT 124 LBS. HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST LIFETIME EARNINGS ACORDING TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS PROVIDED BY EQUIBASE WILL

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 LITTLE KOOL BELLE 8/1

# 1 JESS LET IT B 12/1

# 8 AMERICAS DYNASTY 5/2

LITTLE KOOL BELLE looks to be a quite good contender and is a very strong value bet given the line at 8/1. Has been racing well and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. Ought to be considered here on the basis of the figures in the speed department alone. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group of horses in her last contest. JESS LET IT B - Willis has this filly racing well and is a solid pick based on the decent speed figures recorded in short races recently. Can't overlook the connections here, a 17 winning percentage, one of the best at getting into the winner's circle. AMERICAS DYNASTY - Put up a strong speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this affair. Has performed admirably lately in short races, posting a nifty 84 avg Equibase Speed Fig.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 01:25 PM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Hawthorne - Race #6 - Post: 5:30pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,600 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 LADY WARRIOR (ML=3/1)

LADY WARRIOR - Utilizing this jockey/handler combination is a good choice. Reavis brings her right back. I suggest you stay with this strong filly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 MORETA (ML=7/5), #5 LAUNCH AWAY (ML=9/2), #7 WADDLE (ML=8/1),

MORETA - Didn't meet expectations when the favorite twice in a row. This pony just hasn't been winning as the favorite. LAUNCH AWAY - Awfully hard to bet on this racer when she hasn't been showing any signs of readiness lately. Most of the time I need a sprinter to have some success lately in short distance races in order to play her. WADDLE - Can't play this pony in today's sprint of 6 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race lately.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - LADY WARRIOR - Racing pattern would suggest this thoroughbred is fit for today's race. I'd calculate a good performance.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #6 LADY WARRIOR on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with 2

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 01:26 PM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $100000 Class Rating: 102

PRIMONETTA S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEARS-OLD AND UPWARD. BY FREE SUBSCRIPTION, $500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX, $500 ADDITIONAL TO START, WITH $100,000 GUARANTEED MONTHS WILL HAVE THEIR ENTRY AND START FEES WAIVED IF THEY START.), 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND. 10% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, 3% TO FIFTH AND 1% TO SIXTH. ENTRY FEE WILL

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 CAIRENN 4/1

# 8 D J'S FAVORITE 12/1

# 2 MS LOCUST POINT 2/1

CAIRENN looks quite good to best this field. D J'S FAVORITE - Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Rice have shown strong results recently. Ought to be given a chance in this race if only for the quite good speed figure garnered in the last competition. MS LOCUST POINT - Must be carefully examined here on the basis of the figs in the speed realm alone. Must be considered given the class of races run as of late.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 01:27 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Keeneland

04/20/19, KEE, Race 7, 4.24 ET
5 1/2F [Turf] 1.01.03 ALLOWANCE. Purse $83,000.
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $7,500 TWICE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Double-Exacta ($1 min)-Trifecta-Pick 3-Pick 4($300,000 Guaranteed)($.50 - min)-Superfecta ($.10 min)-Super High Five ($1 min)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 84, Win Percent 20.24, $1 ROI 0.92, For Race Category [Turf Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to KEE.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 7 Flame Mingo 12-1 Mojica. Jr. R Cowans William D. TE 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
099.8003 8 Really Proud 4-1 Saez L Clement Christophe 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
099.6478 3 Riverside Walk (GB) 3-1 Beschizza A Walsh Brendan P. F 53.00 2.89 28.57 4 14
098.5227 5 Oh So Terrible 8-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Ross Bradley S. W 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
097.4281 6 Pastime 6-1 Rosario J Oliver Victoria H. JSC 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
096.9937 4 Juju's Specialgirl 8-1 Graham J Shirer Matt A. 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
096.3448 1 Closer Still (IRE) 8-1 Mena M Fernandez Jose L 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
096.1851 2 Mominou 5/2 Gaffalione T Toner James J. 42.20 1.66 40.63 13 32
P# 7 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 8 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 3 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
And [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Horse Best Finish
P# 5 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 6 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 4 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 1 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 2 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse. If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 171, Win Percent 29.24, $1 ROI 0.88, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to KEE.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 8 Really Proud 4-1 Saez L Clement Christophe 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
098.9679 7 Flame Mingo 12-1 Mojica. Jr. R Cowans William D. TE 82.00 1.76 16.67 9 54
097.6933 5 Oh So Terrible 8-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Ross Bradley S. W 82.00 1.76 16.67 9 54
097.4907 3 Riverside Walk (GB) 3-1 Beschizza A Walsh Brendan P. F 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
097.0932 2 Mominou 5/2 Gaffalione T Toner James J. 52.60 1.71 40.54 15 37
097.0295 4 Juju's Specialgirl 8-1 Graham J Shirer Matt A. 108.20 2.13 18.75 9 48
095.7477 1 Closer Still (IRE) 8-1 Mena M Fernandez Jose L 82.00 1.76 16.67 9 54
094.9679 6 Pastime 6-1 Rosario J Oliver Victoria H. JSC 52.60 1.71 40.54 15 37
P# 8 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 7 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 5 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 3 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 2 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 1 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 5f Workout Since
P# 6 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Surface Not fst/wf or fm/hd
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 04-20-2019, 01:32 PM

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

04/20/19, GP, Race 10, 5.34 ET
7 1/2F [Turf About] 1.27.00 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000.
Claiming Price $12,500 (Races where entered for $10,000 or less not considered in allowances). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
$1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 10-11-12) / $2 HRR - (RED 1,4,11: 4/5. BLK 3,9,10,12,13,16: 6/5. GRN 2,5,6,7,8,14,15: 12/1.)
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 322, Win Percent 25.78, $1 ROI 0.84, For Race Category [Turf Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPS.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 12 Fulgencio 15-1 Juarez N Russo Frank T 10.00 1.17 31.03 9 29
099.2290 3 Codeseventyseven 7/2 Vasquez M A Maragh Aubrey A. F 27.60 1.12 11.67 14 120
098.4500 4 Thorpe d'Oro 2-1 Zayas E J Sano Antonio E 27.60 1.12 11.67 14 120
096.3662 13 Big Possible 15-1 Lopez P Barboza. Jr. Victor JS 28.20 1.17 34.57 28 81
096.1842 10 America's Simmard 8-1 Reyes L Rodriguez Juan Andres 18.00 1.25 19.44 7 36
095.7328 16 Alien Invasion 15-1 Vasquez M A Maker Michael J. .40 1.01 27.78 5 18
094.7279 11 Put the Hat Back 6-1 Gonzales J J Nagle Sarah 27.60 1.12 11.67 14 120
094.6825 1 Lucky Fast 8-1 Panici L Maragh Shamir C 18.00 1.25 19.44 7 36
093.5601 9 Graydar's Resolve 15-1 Hernandez O Broome Edwin T.
092.8562 6 Didnt Do It 15-1 Hernandez J H Minguet Ramon 21.80 1.13 30.12 25 83
092.5108 7 Soldat War 20-1 Berrios H I Machado Antonio 27.60 1.12 11.67 14 120
092.4263 15 Jegos Fire 20-1 Zayas E J Lerman Michael 1.80 1.03 38.46 10 26
091.6223 14 Spinos 30-1 Suarez K Collazo Henry W 9.20 1.06 30.77 24 78
091.1344 2 Brag Dude 20-1 Rios J M Rodriguez Juan Andres L
089.7542 8 Osvaldo 30-1 Gomez D F Munoz Carlos 10.20 1.20 28.00 7 25
088.2758 5 Moonstricking 50-1 Zapico S Mejia Jaime 21.80 1.13 30.12 25 83
P# 12 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Claimed
P# 3 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 4 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 13 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Horse Best Jockey
P# 10 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
P# 16 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] *Horse Actual Post Greater Than 9
P# 11 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 1 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Horse Morning Line Odds Greater Than or Equal to 1
P# 6 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 1st Race After 45 Days Off
P# 7 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Same Jockey
P# 15 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 3rd Race After 45 Days Off
P# 14 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Distance Less Than Today
P# 8 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Not Same Track As Today
P# 5 [Turf Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 1st Race After 45 Days Off
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse. If Race Is Off Turf
Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 477, Win Percent 28.72, $1 ROI 0.81, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPS.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
100.0000 12 Fulgencio 15-1 Juarez N Russo Frank T 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
097.5820 4 Thorpe d'Oro 2-1 Zayas E J Sano Antonio E
097.2070 16 Alien Invasion 15-1 Vasquez M A Maker Michael J. W 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
097.0808 3 Codeseventyseven 7/2 Vasquez M A Maragh Aubrey A. F
096.0466 10 America's Simmard 8-1 Reyes L Rodriguez Juan Andres 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
095.9641 13 Big Possible 15-1 Lopez P Barboza. Jr. Victor JS 7.00 1.07 29.79 14 47
094.1100 9 Graydar's Resolve 15-1 Hernandez O Broome Edwin T. 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
092.8264 1 Lucky Fast 8-1 Panici L Maragh Shamir C 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
092.6688 2 Brag Dude 20-1 Rios J M Rodriguez Juan Andres L 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
092.5940 6 Didnt Do It 15-1 Hernandez J H Minguet Ramon 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
092.5193 14 Spinos 30-1 Suarez K Collazo Henry 7.00 1.07 29.79 14 47
092.4404 11 Put the Hat Back 6-1 Gonzales J J Nagle Sarah 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
091.4503 15 Jegos Fire 20-1 Zayas E J Lerman Michael 23.80 2.08 45.45 5 11
091.1471 7 Soldat War 20-1 Berrios H I Machado Antonio 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
090.1359 8 Osvaldo 30-1 Gomez D F Munoz Carlos
087.5189 5 Moonstricking 50-1 Zapico S Mejia Jaime 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
P# 12 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 16 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 10 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 13 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
P# 9 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 1 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 2 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 6 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 14 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] *Race Entries Greater Than 9
P# 11 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 15 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Blinkers Off From On
And [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 3rd Race After 45 Days Off
P# 7 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
P# 5 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
* Dynamic condition may change before the race. Confirm before using stats for top horse.

Saturday 4-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Saturday 4-20-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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