Sunday 4-21-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358442

    #16
    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, April 21

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (52 - 33) at INDIANA (48 - 37) - 4/21/2019, 1:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
    INDIANA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 101-79 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 77-58 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 19-3 ATS (+15.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 53-39 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 71-54 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 9-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 11-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    GOLDEN STATE (59 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (49 - 36) - 4/21/2019, 3:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GOLDEN STATE is 37-47 ATS (-14.7 Units) in all games this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 33-44 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 46-38 ATS (+4.2 Units) in all games this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 61-46 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 138-101 ATS (+26.9 Units) in April games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 70-45 ATS (+20.5 Units) in all playoff games since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 88-59 ATS (+23.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in April games over the last 2 seasons.
    LA CLIPPERS are 176-221 ATS (-67.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 235-288 ATS (-81.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    LA CLIPPERS are 230-292 ATS (-91.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-6 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
    11 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TORONTO (60 - 25) at ORLANDO (43 - 42) - 4/21/2019, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TORONTO is 207-263 ATS (-82.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    ORLANDO is 46-36 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
    ORLANDO is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
    ORLANDO is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
    ORLANDO is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    ORLANDO is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ORLANDO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    ORLANDO is 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 38-27 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    ORLANDO is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ORLANDO is 8-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 9-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PORTLAND (55 - 30) at OKLAHOMA CITY (50 - 35) - 4/21/2019, 9:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PORTLAND is 47-38 ATS (+5.2 Units) in all games this season.
    PORTLAND is 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    PORTLAND is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 57-76 ATS (-26.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) on Sunday games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a division game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PORTLAND is 9-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    PORTLAND is 9-6 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358442

      #17
      NBA

      Sunday, April 21

      Celtics are up 3-0 in series; they’ve been outscored by 7 points in first half of games, but in 2nd half, they outscored Indiana by 33 points. Boston won its last six games overall vs Indiana. Pacers scored 29-41-35 points in 2nd half, as absence of Oladipo becomes glaring. Pacers lost 11 of last 16 games overall, four of last five at home. Celtics won nine of their last 11 games overall; they won/covered five of last six road games. Five of their last seven games stayed under. All three games in this series stayed under total.

      Golden State led first three games in this series by 13-23-21 points at halftime; they scored 121-131-132 points, and led by 31 in only series game they’ve lost. Warriors won eight of their last ten games overall. Golden State won ten of last 13 games with the Clippers, but LA covered five of last nine. Warriors shot 55% from floor in Game 3; Durant scored 38 points in 30:00. Clippers lost five of last seven games overall; over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games. LA covered only three of its last ten games at Staples. Golden State turned ball over 43 times in Games 1-2, only 12 times in Game 3.

      Orlando took 44 3-pointers, 36 2-point shots in 98-93 home loss in Game 3; Magic shot 37/36% in last two games; they shot 40% (14-29 on arc) in their one win. Orlando won 12 of its last 16 games, eight of last nine at home. Toronto won nine of its last 11 games overall; they covered five of last seven road games. Toronto won eight of its last 11 games with the Magic; eight of last ten series games stayed under. Lowry was +8 in Game 3, is +49 in series. All three games in this series stayed under the total.

      Oklahoma City made 15-29 on arc in Game 3, after going 10-61 on arc in losing Games 1-2 in Portland; Westbrook was 11-22 in Game 3, 4-6 on arc. Thunder also was 31-39 on foul line Friday, outscored Trailblazers by 13 points there. OKC won/covered their last four home games. Nine of last 13 OKC games stayed under. Blazers won 17 of their last 21 games overall; they’re 3-5 vs spread in last eight road games. Blazers are 7-5 in last 12 series games; they’re 3-3 vs spread in last six visits to Oklahoma. Six of last nine series games stayed under.
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358442

        #18
        Sunday's Late Tips
        Tony Mejia

        Eastern Conference First Round – Game 4

        No. 2 Toronto at No. 7 Orlando (TNT, 7:05 p.m. ET) -- Raptors lead 2-1

        April 13 - Magic (+9.5) 104 at Raptors 101 (Under 212.5)
        April 16 – Raptors (-11) 111 vs. Magic 82 (Under 212.5)
        April 19 – Raptors (-5.5) 98 at Magic 93 (Under 211)

        The Magic lost its first home playoff game since 2012 but were able to generate some confidence through a late run that helped them flirt with an epic comeback. Kyle Lowry saved the Raptors by getting to a loose ball faster than a pair of Orlando players, helping produce a pair of free-throws that put the game away and set the table for Sunday night’s fourth installment.

        Toronto forwards Kawhi Leonard and Pascal Siakam have each had excellent showings in the series, while Magic All-Star center Nikola Vucevic has been bottled up and forwards Aaron Gordon and Jonathan Isaac have put both their brilliant potential and inconsistency on display.

        Orlando was able to steal the series opener as D.J. Augustin put together one of the best games of his career as Lowry struggled mightily, finishing scoreless in 34 minutes after missing all seven of his shots. Augustin has shot 4-for-13 since his 25-point Game 1 outburst, averaging just eight points over the last two contests. All five starters and top reserves Terrence Ross and Michael Carter-Williams scored in double-figures in the opener, but only Gordon and Ross have been able to score in double-figures in every game of the series. The Raptors have demonstrated an ability to clamp down more than the Magic have been able to despite Orlando being the nation’s top defensive team since the All-Star break.

        Leonard comes off his worst game in the series, shooting 5-for-19 after shooting 60 percent (25-for-40) in the first two games in Toronto. He’s just as likely to play decoy so that Siakam and Marc Gasol can do damage inside, especially since Isaac’s length has been a major factor in the paint and getting into passing lanes.

        The Magic finally got Nikola Vucevic to settle in and deliver his usual production in Game 3, which is something head coach Steve Clifford was thrilled to see considering there was little he could say to help the All-Star settle down and be sharper in dealing with the various coverage looks and double-teams he’s seen. Gasol and Serge Ibaka each got four fouls whistled against them throughout the course of Game 3, so their ability to avoid early trouble will be a key here. Another point of contention will be the play of Ross off the Magic’s bench since he’s the player most capable of delivering a scoring flurry. After shooting 2-for-11 in the win, he’s averaged 19.5 points over the last two contests, shooting 8-for-20 (40 percent) from 3-point range. Keeping him from getting going will be important for the Raptors to pull off another road win.

        After watching the ‘under’ go 3-0 in the first three games of this series, oddsmakers sent out a total of 207 for Game 4 and Chris David believes the number could be lower but the better investment on Sunday night is on a Team Total.

        He explained, “the Raptors and Magic have proven themselves as very solid defensive teams and their size and athleticism have taken away plenty of easy baskets in this series. Fortunately for Toronto, it has more offensive firepower and that’s been the difference. Rather than mess around with the game total, I’m going to ride a solid playoff trend on Toronto. Since the NBA’s club from Canada has returned to the postseason in 2014, they’ve played 25 road games and they’ve been held to less than 100 in 19 of them. When you add in new names like Leonard and Gasol who come from teams (Spurs, Grizzlies) that grinded out wins in the playoffs with defense, I certainly believe that their footprints have carried over to this squad. I’m going to lean Toronto’s Team Total (106) Under and stick with the probabilities.”


        Western Conference First Round – Game 4

        No. 3 Portland at No. 6 Oklahoma City (TNT, 9:35 p.m. ET) -- Blazers lead 2-1

        April 14 – Blazers (+3) 104 vs. Thunder 99 (Under 224.5)
        April 16 – Blazers (-1) 114 vs. Thunder 94 (Under 224.5)
        April 19 – Thunder (-7.5) 120 vs. Blazers 108 (Over 221.5)

        This series has been a wild ride so far.

        Center Enes Kanter dominated Game 1 and ended up being the reason the Trail Blazers were able to survive blowing a massive first-half lead. Guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum combined for 62 points in a Game 2 blowout, but the overwhelming takeaway from the first two games of this series was that the Thunder’s season-long Achilles’ heel was ultimately going to spell their downfall. Oklahoma City shot 10-for-61 from 3-point range in the first two games. The main issue that had kept them from a top-four finish in the Western Conference had kept them from gaining a split in Portland.

        The buzzards were circling on Friday, having descended on Oklahoma’s capital city to pick at the carcass of Russell Westbrook if the Thunder would’ve fallen behind 3-0 to place themselves one loss from a third straight first-round exit.

        The predatory bird posse is still in town since Portland can still head home with a vice grip on the series, but the Thunder have to be encouraged after shooting 15-for-29 from 3-point range in holding serve in Game 3. Although Paul George continued to struggle in shooting 2-for-7 from beyond the arc, teammates Westbrook, Jerami Grant, Terrance Ferguson and Dennis Schroder combined to knock down 13 of 18 (72.2 percent). That same foursome shot 3-for-33 over the course of the first two games.

        Although Westbrook’s matchup with Lillard is getting the most attention, this series is going to boil down to whether the Thunder can knock down enough shots to impose their will. This definitely has the potential to be one of those series where the home team wins every matchup, but the Thunder opened the series as the betting favorite despite being the higher seed and actually closed as road chalk in Game 1, not to mention laying multiple possessions at home.

        Portland has had wild fluctuations in its offensive efficiency, getting stifled in two of three second-quarters as OKC has been able to lock in defensively. The Trail Blazers own a 39-point first quarter in Game 1 and scored 37 in the third in Game 2 and 43 in Game 3, so they’ve been able to find a rhythm and knock the Thunder off their heels enough to invest in taking the points given what we’ve seen thus far. The Blazers offense finished only behind the Warriors, Rockets and Bucks during the regular season in efficiency and is facing a statistical peer on the boards in OKC, but they have to be encouraged that they’ve been able to maintain without center Jusuf Nurkic, who they lost late in the season. It now remains to be seen if they have the stamina to continue pulling the rope.

        The emotional fire should certainly be present since these teams genuinely dislike one another outside of Kanter and Steven Adams, who were good buddies as teammates on the Thunder. Lillard and Westbrook won’t back down from one another, while George ruffled Portland’s feathers by dunking unnecessarily at the end of Game 4. The points didn’t even end up counting, but the Trail Blazers took it as a sign of disrespect.

        Lillard has averaged 30.3 points in the series, while McCollum has also been incredibly impressive and shot 5-for-8 from 3-point range in quickly adapting to the sight lines at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Seth Curry, Rodney Hood and Evan Turner combined for just six points on 1-for-6 shooting and had nowhere near the impact they enjoyed in Portland, so getting significant improvements from the bench is yet another way the Blazers can steal this game.

        George and Westbrook can no longer be counted on to consistently hit from the perimeter, but we’ll see if they’re able to get to the line and hold serve to ensure a return trip to Oklahoma City.

        David touched on the lack of playoff success that Portland has had with Lillard running the show in his piece on Friday and he’s not sure if the Trail Blazers can flip the switch but another competitive game is likely.

        “Including Friday’s Game 3 loss, Portland is now 1-17 SU and 3-14-1 ATS in its last 18 road playoff games and the lone victory has an asterisk next to it because the Clippers were hobbled in the 2016 postseason. The game on Friday was closer than the final margin and we’ve seen the Blazers play well away from home, especially since the All-Star break,” David said. “During this span, the team closed 11-5 on the road and that included a respectable 4-4 mark versus playoff teams. However, a 2-5 record in its last seven games as a road underdog doesn’t give me much confidence. Portland has gone 20-9 off a loss this season and with the line dropping for Game 4, you can see what the oddsmakers are thinking. I’m expecting OKC to even-up the series on Sunday but it won’t be easy and this contest will be decided by single-digits.”
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358442

          #19
          NBA

          Sunday, April 21

          Trend Report
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Boston Celtics
          Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
          Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
          Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
          Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 10 games on the road
          Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
          Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games when playing Indiana
          Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 16 games when playing on the road against Indiana
          Indiana Pacers
          Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
          Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games
          Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          Indiana is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
          Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games at home
          Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
          Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing Boston
          Indiana is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
          Indiana is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Indiana's last 16 games when playing at home against Boston

          Golden State Warriors
          Golden State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Golden State's last 24 games
          Golden State is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Golden State's last 12 games on the road
          Golden State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
          Golden State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Clippers
          The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 14 games when playing LA Clippers
          Golden State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
          Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
          Los Angeles Clippers
          LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
          LA Clippers is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
          LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
          The total has gone OVER in 9 of LA Clippers's last 12 games
          LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          LA Clippers is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
          The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 9 games at home
          LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
          LA Clippers is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing Golden State
          The total has gone OVER in 11 of LA Clippers's last 14 games when playing Golden State
          LA Clippers is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Golden State
          LA Clippers is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Golden State
          The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State

          Toronto Raptors
          Toronto is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
          Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
          Toronto is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
          Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
          Toronto is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Orlando
          Toronto is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Orlando
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Orlando
          Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
          Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
          Orlando Magic
          Orlando is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
          Orlando is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games
          Orlando is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
          Orlando is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
          Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
          Orlando is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Toronto
          Orlando is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
          Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

          Portland Trail Blazers
          Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
          Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
          Portland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
          Portland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Portland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Portland's last 25 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
          Oklahoma City Thunder
          Oklahoma City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
          Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
          Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
          Oklahoma City is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Portland
          Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing Portland
          Oklahoma City is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Portland
          Oklahoma City is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Portland
          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
          The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Oklahoma City's last 25 games when playing at home against Portland
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358442

            #20
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

            Camarero - Race 3

            Pick 5 (3-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Daily Double 3-4


            Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 3:35P
            FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE APRIL 20, 2018 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE APRIL 5 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 20 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 20 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
            Contenders

            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line

            Accept
            Odds


            Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * EPIC JOURNEY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest aver age Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MCFLY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. LITTLE DISTORTED: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
            4
            EPIC JOURNEY
            9/5

            7/2
            8
            MCFLY
            7/2

            5/1
            7
            LITTLE DISTORTED
            4/1

            8/1




            P#

            Horse (In Running Style Order)

            Post

            Morn
            Line

            Running Style

            Good
            Class

            Good
            Speed

            Early Figure

            Finish Figure

            Platinum
            Figure
            3
            WARRIOR QUALITY
            3

            3/1
            Front-runner
            77

            65

            68.2

            69.6

            52.6
            1
            NUESTRA SENOR
            1

            2/1
            Alternator/Front-runner
            73

            70

            69.8

            67.4

            55.4
            8
            MCFLY
            8

            7/2
            Stalker
            89

            84

            64.6

            79.8

            73.3
            5
            LET ME RUN
            5

            20/1
            Stalker
            76

            78

            63.6

            67.2

            54.2
            4
            EPIC JOURNEY
            4

            9/5
            Stalker
            92

            88

            57.2

            88.9

            86.9
            9
            TROLOBUS
            9

            10/1
            Stalker
            80

            75

            43.0

            62.4

            50.4
            2
            PAIR PAIR TIE
            2

            5/2
            Alternator/Trailer
            86

            79

            39.8

            69.2

            62.7
            7
            LITTLE DISTORTED
            7

            4/1
            Alternator/Trailer
            90

            79

            31.4

            70.2

            63.2
            10
            JAPHIR
            10

            15/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            82

            70

            48.6

            64.8

            48.8
            6
            SEA WARRIOR
            6

            10/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            85

            70

            22.0

            64.4

            48.9
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358442

              #21
              F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

              Sunland Park - Race 1

              1st Half $1 Daily Double /.50 Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4) $1Exacta / $1Trifecta .10 Superfecta


              Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 69 • Purse: $8,900 • Post: 12:50
              FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR (NEW MEXICO BREDS NON WINNERS OF FOUR LIFETIME). WEIGHT, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY PREFERRED). NEW MEXICO BRED CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
              Contenders

              Race Analysis
              P#
              Horse
              Morn
              Line

              Accept
              Odds


              Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. DONNA WHO is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DONNA WHO: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. DOM FUNNY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. RHYTHM'N SONG: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
              2
              DONNA WHO
              5/1

              3/1
              5
              DOM FUNNY
              3/1

              5/1
              3
              RHYTHM'N SONG
              7/2

              10/1




              P#

              Horse (In Running Style Order)

              Post

              Morn
              Line

              Running Style

              Good
              Class

              Good
              Speed

              Early Figure

              Finish Figure

              Platinum
              Figure
              2
              DONNA WHO
              2

              5/1
              Front-runner
              65

              60

              63.0

              60.6

              57.6
              5
              DOM FUNNY
              5

              3/1
              Front-runner
              68

              64

              50.0

              56.5

              47.0
              3
              RHYTHM'N SONG
              3

              7/2
              Alternator/Stalker
              74

              60

              54.0

              59.2

              54.7
              4
              CURLINA CURLINA
              4

              7/2
              Trailer
              64

              70

              59.6

              53.4

              48.9
              6
              BOOMTIDEROCK
              6

              8/1
              Trailer
              66

              54

              55.8

              46.4

              36.4
              1
              DEEP SNOW
              1

              10/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              67

              63

              51.8

              51.8

              40.3
              7
              ANGELAFAR
              7

              4/1
              Alternator/Non-contender
              62

              50

              45.2

              53.2

              44.2
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358442

                #22
                Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park

                04/21/19, SA, Race 8, 4.36 PT
                5F [Turf] 00.55.00 MAIDEN SPECIAL WEIGHT. Purse $55,000.
                FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD
                $1 Exacta /$0.50 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) - $1 Rolling Super High 5 / $2 HRR - (RED 1,6,7: 1/1. BLK 2,4,5,10: 6/5. GRN 3,8,9: 8/1.)
                Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 200, Win Percent 26.50, $1 ROI 1.07, For Race Category [Turf MdnMClm]
                Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
                Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
                100.0000 2 Ameerah B 7/2 Baze T Sadler John W. 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                099.8561 1 Holly Hundy 3-1 Franco G Cerin Vladimir FL 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                098.9924 7 Gallantlystreaming (IRE)(b+) 4-1 Pereira T J Miller Peter SE 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                098.9745 4 Katsaros 8-1 Van Dyke D Sadler John W. 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                098.6672 8 Shanghai Truffles 8-1 Prat F Gallagher Patrick JC 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                098.4691 6 Field Bet 8-1 Bejarano R O'Neill Doug F. W 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                097.5378 10 Calentita (IRE) 4-1 Van Dyke D Miller Peter 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                096.5189 9 Vangogo(b+) 12-1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                095.6440 5 Savera 6-1 Talamo J Miller Peter 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                093.6896 3 Dorindaslite 12-1 Espinoza A Glatt Mark 94.00 1.61 35.06 27 77
                P# 2 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 1 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 7 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 4 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 8 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 6 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 10 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 9 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 5 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                P# 3 [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Best Workouts
                And [Turf MdnMClm] Horse Age 3
                If Race Is Off Turf
                Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 435, Win Percent 35.63, $1 ROI 0.93, For Race Category [Dirt MdnMClm]
                Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to SA.
                Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
                100.0000 7 Gallantlystreaming (IRE)(b+) 4-1 Pereira T J Miller Peter SFE 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                098.9946 2 Ameerah B 7/2 Baze T Sadler John W. W 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                098.7376 1 Holly Hundy 3-1 Franco G Cerin Vladimir L 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                096.8669 4 Katsaros 8-1 Van Dyke D Sadler John W. 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                096.8135 10 Calentita (IRE) 4-1 Van Dyke D Miller Peter 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                096.5319 6 Field Bet 8-1 Bejarano R O'Neill Doug F. 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                096.4524 8 Shanghai Truffles 8-1 Prat F Gallagher Patrick JC 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                094.7704 5 Savera 6-1 Talamo J Miller Peter 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                093.9791 3 Dorindaslite 12-1 Espinoza A Glatt Mark 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                092.9810 9 Vangogo(b+) 12-1 Maldonado E A O'Neill Doug F. 54.60 1.09 35.14 104 296
                P# 7 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 2 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 1 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 4 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 10 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 6 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 8 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 5 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 3 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
                P# 9 [All Surfaces] Race Type MSW
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358442

                  #23
                  Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.

                  Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 72

                  FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


                  RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                  The Walker Group Picks

                  # 6 SEQUOYAH SUNSET 9/5

                  # 3 CAPTAIN D'ARTAGNAN 9/2

                  # 1 BUTTE CITY 5/2

                  I favor SEQUOYAH SUNSET here. His 70 average has this gelding with among the best Equibase Speed Figures here. Has formidable front speed and should fare solidly against this field. Had one of the top speed figures of this field in his last affair. CAPTAIN D'ARTAGNAN - His 68 average has this colt with among the strongest Equibase Speed Figures in this competition. With Alvarado getting the mount, watch out for this racer. BUTTE CITY - Has garnered solid Equibase Speed Figs in dirt sprint races in the past. Martin and Antongeorgi have a good win percent together.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358442

                    #24
                    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                    Bar

                    Gulfstream Park - Race #8 - Post: 5:01pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 84

                    Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                    #7 TRUE BOOTS (ML=3/1)


                    TRUE BOOTS - This pony coming off a strong effort in the last thirty days is a solid contender in my opinion.

                    Vulnerable Contenders: #1 R KISS EM GOODBYE (ML=9/5), #8 MIDNIGHT MIRACLE (ML=7/2), #6 MICAH'S GIRL (ML=8/1),

                    R KISS EM GOODBYE - Tough to bet on any horse in a sprint race at 9/5 when she hasn't shown any positive results in sprints in the last 60 days. MIDNIGHT MIRACLE - 7/2 is not worth the risk for any racer in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance event recently. MICAH'S GIRL - Couldn't close whatsoever on Nov 10th. Hard to play in today's event at the expected odds.



                    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                    Play #7 TRUE BOOTS to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

                    EXACTA WAGERS:
                    7 with 9

                    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                    None

                    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                    None

                    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
                    Pass
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358442

                      #25
                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Lone Star Park

                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.

                      Race 5 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 85

                      FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 21, 2019 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 TEXAS BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN THIS


                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      The Walker Group Picks

                      # 4 IMAGINARY IMAGE 8/1

                      # 1 LYNAH RINK 8/5

                      # 7 PREVIOUS HONOR 6/5

                      I've got to go with IMAGINARY IMAGE and could score at a price in here. Will probably compete admirably in the early speed battle which bodes well with this group of horses in this race. Posted a strong Equibase Speed Fig in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race. Can't overlook the connections here, a 20 winning percentage, one of the top at getting into the winner's circle. LYNAH RINK - Is a solid contender - given the 78 Equibase speed fig from her most recent race. With a reliable 78 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. PREVIOUS HONOR - Has been consistently racing well lately. Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a strong angle. This one ranks at the top in this field.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358442

                        #26
                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        Bar

                        Woodbine - Race #7 - Post: 4:12pm - Maiden Optional Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 89

                        Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                        #7 COURTING A KISS (ML=8/1)
                        #5 DOWNY BOY (ML=6/1)
                        #6 FAFA FOOEY (ML=3/1)


                        COURTING A KISS - The rest of the field may trail this animal all the way around the track. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him. This gelding has higher odds on the morning line than the other entrant from the stable of De Paulo. Better beware this angle. This gelding garnered a nice rating of 87 in his last event. That figure should be high enough to triumph in today's event. DOWNY BOY - This gelding should give a good showing of himself in today's affair. FAFA FOOEY - Trainer Attard moves this horse down in class ranks to face a lower class of horses. Look for a good effort with this class drop. Look at this pattern of improvement. 35/62/70 are the last 3 speed figures.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #4 KID FORESTER (ML=8/5), #2 MY WHIPPERSNAPPER (ML=4/1), #3 VIVIDARI (ML=8/1),

                        KID FORESTER - 8/5 is not priced right for any horse in a sprint of 5 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a sprint event of late. MY WHIPPERSNAPPER - Finished tenth last time. Would have to move up to be on the board in today's event. VIVIDARI - The extended vacation will probably mean trouble for this racer. Not probable for this horse to make a winning move with no recent success in a sprint clash. This gelding garnered a rating in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event.



                        STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                        #7 COURTING A KISS is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

                        EXACTA WAGERS:
                        Box [5,6,7]

                        TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                        Box [5,6,7] Total Cost: $6

                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                        Skip
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358442

                          #27
                          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

                          04/21/19, GP, Race 5, 3.22 ET
                          1M [Dirt] 1.33.01 CLAIMING. Purse $19,000.
                          Claiming Price $6,250 (Races where entered for $5,000 or less not considered in allowances). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
                          $1 Daily Double / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5 - $.50 Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $2 HRR - (RED 1,7: 4/5. BLK 5,6,8: 6/5. GRN 2,3,4: 12/1.)
                          Top Horse(100.0000) - Races 477, Win Percent 28.72, $1 ROI 0.81, For Race Category [Dirt Not MdnMClm]
                          Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
                          After scratches, a horse with stats MUST be the top rated horse for the profitable condition to be valid.
                          Profits are for $2 Win bets. ROI is based on $1. Stats are by [category] and exclusive to GPS.
                          Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags Profit ROI WPC W# Occ
                          100.0000 3 Kittian Hill 50-1 Bain G W Cuito Marcelo JTW 7.00 1.07 41.51 22 53
                          099.6401 7 Flashing Diamond 2-1 Rendon J Gracida Ruben EL 12.20 1.05 33.06 40 121
                          096.3516 6 Dancing Starlet 5/2 Zayas E J O'Connell Kathleen F
                          095.5672 8 Schmiss 7/2 Gonzales J J Delgado Gustavo 14.20 1.14 30.61 15 49
                          094.5004 5 Motion's First 10-1 Suarez K Rakoff David
                          093.4704 4 Lexi's Doll(b-) 15-1 Rios J M McGoey Monica 27.40 2.52 44.44 4 9
                          093.4052 1 Galileo's Affair 9/2 Reyes L Quiroz Angel SC
                          091.8466 2 Flying Girl 20-1 Torres C A Camano Alexis
                          P# 3 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Best Trainer and Workouts
                          P# 7 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race Sprint or Route Not Same As Today
                          P# 8 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Last Race 3rd Race After 45 Days Off
                          P# 4 [Dirt Not_MdnMClm] Horse Blinkers Off From On
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