Service Plays Wednesday 4/17/19

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358442

    Service Plays Wednesday 4/17/19

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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    Twitter@cpawsports


  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358442

    #2
    Toby Maxtone-Smith (VegasInsider Soccer)

    UEFA Champions League Quarterfinals - Second Legs
    Manchester City vs Tottenham Hotspur (3:00pm)
    The Wager - Play to a Draw

    FC Porto vs Liverpool
    2 Wagers on the Game
    The Wager - Liverpool and Both Teams to Score
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358442

      #3
      baseball33

      Minnesota Twins -1
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358442

        #4
        Ben Burns

        3* Boston / Indiana over 202.5
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358442

          #5
          Spartan

          3* Texas - 118
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358442

            #6
            Stephen Nover

            3*TOW
            Oakland / Houston under 9

            2* Kansas City / Chicago White Sox under 9
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358442

              #7
              Greg shaker

              3* TOW

              Houston / Utah over 212.5
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              • dawggy
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2017
                • 1770

                #8
                DR. CHUCKBASKETBALL PLAYS
                • Game: (539) Detroit Pistons at (540) Milwaukee Bucks
                  Date/Time: Apr 17 2019 8:05 PM EDT
                  Betting Line Provider: Heritage
                  Play Rating: 5%
                  Play: Milwaukee Bucks -15.0 (-108)

                  View Analysis

                  Giannis sat the entire 4th quarter of game 1. The bucks got to 100 before the Pistons got to 60. Drummond and Jackson are the only hope for Detroit and the better +/- was Reggie at -36! Drummond posted an almost unreal except it's true -45! Keep in mind this dude was ejected for a hard dumb foul on the Freak.
                  Dwayne Casey said he was happy to have just made the playoffs and now Blake won't play a minute of the series and both proved out as the debacle started hard and fast in the 1st quarter yesterday .
                  Variations of -5 for the first quarter and -9 for the first half might be solid additions as well...hard to probably go wrong with any of these and hard to imagine it gets much better even as it heads back to Detroit.
                  My play on the Bucks -14 for game 1 was largely based upon how good Milwaukee is compared to the bottom of the East as well as the like subpar if any Blake plus the season sweep...but my favorite aspect was how TERRIBLE a match up Brook Lopez is for Detroit stretching the floor and making Drummond even more neutralized down low...he comes out to guard and Lopez passes, he switches offf and Brook shoots a 3!
                  Lopez countered Drummond and his epic +/- with a +35 of his own....gonna be UGLY

                Comment

                • dawggy
                  Senior Member
                  • Dec 2017
                  • 1770

                  #9
                  DR. CHUCK

                  Game:(901) New York Mets at (902) Philadelphia Phillies
                  Date/Time: Apr 17 2019 1:05 PM EDT
                  Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
                  Play Rating: 4%
                  Play: New York Mets 1.5 (-182)

                  View Analysis

                  Day game following night game within a series where the road team is a dog and off the previous night game was beaten by double digit runs....the RL on that dog is 43-19 covering 70% of the time for almost 17% ROI.
                  Additionally we are working on an analytics based trend debunking ERA and using over and under performing pitchers with FIP and xFIP. 2-0 last night with some real no doubters fading Estrada and Margevicius.
                  Today we do the inverse and back Zach Wheeler...sporting what appears to be a nasty 7.47 ERA...but that's so 1988. His FIP shows he has truly gotten almost EVERY bad break possible on the young season...coming in at a sub-4 just 3.91! Absurd! Last night we won easy with a couple of almost 2 point gaps...and here we have an almost 3 point gap!
                  Taking the run line only due to the combo of trends...but the FIP system would recommend maybe a pizza bet on the Mets ML as well!

                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358442

                    #10
                    Dave essler

                    3*
                    Texas -125

                    1*
                    Boston / Indiana over 204
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358442

                      #11
                      Stephen Oh


                      WASHINGTON -132


                      SAN FRANCISCO @ WASHINGTON | 4/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
                      10:29 AM
                      The Giants got the better of Stephen Strasburg and the Nationals Tuesday night, but my projections show a reversal of fortunes for Wednesday with Jeremy Hellickson starting for Washington. The Nats are only 7-8 on the season, but they're 4-0 in the second game of series. San Francisco still has one of the bottom offenses in MLB. Washington wins a hefty 71 percent of my simulations, making it a huge play for tonight.

                      18-7 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +954
                      13-8 IN LAST 21 WAS ML PICKS | +433

                      2-1 IN LAST 3 SF ML PICKS | +14


                      PITTSBURGH -115


                      PITTSBURGH @ DETROIT | 4/17 | 6:40 PM EDT
                      10:19 AM
                      The Tigers have lost four in a row, and the Pirates are 3-0 when Trevor Williams gets the start, scoring at least five in runs in each of his starts. Williams gets the ball here and the Pirates win nearly 60 percent of my computer simulations by a sizeable average. Take the Pirates as the slim road favorite.

                      18-7 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +954
                      5-0 IN LAST 5 PIT ML PICKS | +540

                      11-7 IN LAST 18 DET ML PICKS | +358


                      MINNESOTA -152


                      TORONTO @ MINNESOTA | 4/17 | 7:40 PM EDT
                      10:17 AM
                      The Blue Jays have taken the first two in Minnesota, but my simulations like Jake Orodizzi a far deal more than Toronto starter Trent Thornton. The Twins salvage the series finale in nearly 70 percent of my computer simulations. The implied differential puts a fair money line price at -200. Back Minnesota.

                      18-7 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +954
                      29-18 IN LAST 47 TOR ML PICKS | +1251

                      10-6 IN LAST 16 MIN ML PICKS | +375


                      L.A. DODGERS -172


                      CINCINNATI @ L.A. DODGERS | 4/17 | 3:10 PM EDT
                      8:19 AM
                      The Dodgers look for the sweep of the Reds in this matinee, and now they bring out big gun Walker Buechler against Sonny Gray. Cincy hasn't won a road game yet this year and matchups aren't favorable for Wednesday. The Dodgers win nearly 80 percent of my simulations, a huge number that makes even this sizeable money line price a good value.

                      18-7 IN LAST 25 MLB ML PICKS | +954
                      7-2 IN LAST 9 CIN ML PICKS | +571

                      22-14 IN LAST 36 LAD ML PICKS | +402
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358442

                        #12
                        Kyle Markus (VegasInsider)

                        MLB
                        New York Yankees -116
                        Yankees/Red Sox Over 9 (-115)
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358442

                          #13
                          MidAmerican Sports

                          MLB
                          Mariners +120
                          Tigers +105
                          Brewers/Cardinals Over 9 (-125)
                          White Sox/Royals Under 9 (-120)
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358442

                            #14
                            Rockdeman Sports

                            MLB
                            Philadelphia Phillies -112
                            Cincinnati Reds +157
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358442

                              #15
                              Stats Analytics Sports (MLB)

                              Top Play - 3* Royals/White Sox Over 8.5 (-116) Heritage Sportsbook

                              2* Pirates/Tigers Over 8.5 (-105)
                              2* Twins/Blue Jays Over 8.5 (-118)
                              1* Miami Marlins +147
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